Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

New Castle County, DE, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 262102
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
402 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...A WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY...

.A WEAK SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE SOME MAINLY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE AREA 
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY, THEN A MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS 
ANTICIPATED STARTING TUESDAY EVENING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL 
DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON 
TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND MOVE ACROSS 
THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING 
SNOW TO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, ALTHOUGH AS MILDER 
AIR ARRIVES ESPECIALLY ABOVE THE SURFACE, THE SNOW WILL TURN INTO A 
WINTRY MIX FOR MOST AREAS WITH EVEN A CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN FARTHER 
TO THE SOUTH. THE STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM OUR 
AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-271000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
402 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STEADY SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY 
EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES.
AS MILDER AIR ARRIVES ABOVE THE SURFACE FROM ABOUT MIDDAY ON, THE 
SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET THEN POSSIBLY CHANGE OVER TO A MIX OF SLEET 
AND FREEZING RAIN FOR AWHILE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION 
SHOULD TAPER OFF TOWARD WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW AND SOME
SLEET IN THE POCONOS AND NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH. FOR AREAS THAT HAVE A CHANGE OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN, THERE MAY BE AN ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE
QUARTER OF AN INCH.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT 
SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE 
TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES REGARDING 
THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM.

$$

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ067>069-271000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
402 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STEADY SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY 
EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES.
AS MILDER AIR ARRIVES ABOVE THE SURFACE INITIALLY FROM ABOUT MID 
MORNING ON, THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET THEN CHANGE TO A MIX OF 
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH WARMING THAT OCCURS TO 
ALLOW THE SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING, ALLOWING 
FOR A PERIOD OF PLAIN RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE FOR 
A CHANGE OVER TO PLAIN RAIN SHOULD BE FOR LOCATIONS FARTHER SOUTH
AND EAST OR CLOSER TO INTERSTATE 95. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD
TAPER OFF TOWARD WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET, WITH 
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION, AS THE SNOW MIXES WITH
AND CHANGES OVER TO SLEET THEN FREEZING RAIN, AN ICE ACCUMULATION
OF ABOUT ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT 
SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE 
TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES REGARDING 
THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ012>014-016>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-271000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
402 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STEADY SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY 
EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. AS MILDER AIR BEGINS TO WORK 
IN FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY, THE SNOW WILL 
CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN, THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY NOON 
ON WEDNESDAY WHEN TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING. THE 
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TOWARD WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET TO OCCUR. 
ONCE THE SNOW AND SLEET CHANGES TO FREEZING RAIN, ONE TENTH TO ONE 
QUARTER INCH OF ICE COULD ACCUMULATE. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT 
SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE 
TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES REGARDING 
THE UPCOMING WINTER STORM.

$$

GORSE

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 270818
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTRY WEATHER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A  LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER WILL
FORM OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
CROSSING THE REGION WEDNESDAY EVENING.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T0818Z-090128T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING REPLACES THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

A PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AROUND AN INCH OF
ACCUMULATION THIS MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING
THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY
TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 4 INCHES. ALSO 1/4 INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T1700Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE MIXING
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY MORNING,
THE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN. 

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 5 INCHES.
ALSO, 1/4 INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ067>069-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
3 TO 5 INCHES ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALSO, 1/4 INCH
OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ012-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
MIDDLESEX-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEW BRUNSWICK
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH
3 TO 5 INCHES ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. ALSO, 1/4
INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME FLURRIES TODAY...THE PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING. THIS SNOW
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN AROUND MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES
EXCEPT UP TO 10 INCHES OVER THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.
3 TO 5 INCHES SHOULD BE ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALSO,
1/4 INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MDZ012-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T0818Z-090128T1200Z/
KENT MD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHESTERTOWN
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACES
THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AROUND AN INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION THIS
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY TO RAIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
1 TO 3 INCHES. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS ANTICIPATED FROM THE
FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ013-014-020-026-027-272145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T2100Z-090128T1700Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM
WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THE SLEET AND FREEZING
WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WELL INLAND AND THE LOWEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE
COAST. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ021>025-272145-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T0818Z-090128T1200Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
318 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AN INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION THIS
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY TO RAIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
1 TO 3 INCHES. THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD BE INLAND WITH THE
LESSER AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE
FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

RNS

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 270901
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTRY WEATHER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A  LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER WILL
FORM OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
CROSSING THE REGION WEDNESDAY EVENING.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T0900Z-090128T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING REPLACES THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

A PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AROUND AN INCH OF
ACCUMULATION THIS MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING
THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY
TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 4 INCHES. ALSO 1/4 INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T1700Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE MIXING
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY MORNING,
THE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN. 

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 5 INCHES.
ALSO, 1/4 INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ067>069-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
3 TO 5 INCHES ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALSO, 1/4 INCH
OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ012-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
MIDDLESEX-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEW BRUNSWICK
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH
3 TO 5 INCHES ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. ALSO, 1/4
INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0003.090127T2100Z-090128T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME FLURRIES TODAY...THE PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING. THIS SNOW
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN AROUND MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES
EXCEPT UP TO 10 INCHES OVER THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.
3 TO 5 INCHES SHOULD BE ON THE GROUND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALSO,
1/4 INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MDZ012-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T0900Z-090128T1200Z/
KENT MD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHESTERTOWN
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACES
THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AROUND AN INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION THIS
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY TO RAIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
1 TO 3 INCHES. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS ANTICIPATED FROM THE
FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ013-014-020-026-027-272230-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.090127T2300Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T2100Z-090128T1700Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM
WATCH.

ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES TODAY...THE
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
THIS SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH AND
THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THE SLEET AND FREEZING
WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WELL INLAND AND THE LOWEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE
COAST. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ021>025-272230-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.090127T0900Z-090128T1200Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
400 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE AN INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION THIS
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND INTERMITTENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, THE SNOW SHOULD REDEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT AND FINALLY TO RAIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
1 TO 3 INCHES. THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD BE INLAND WITH THE
LESSER AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST. ALSO A COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE
FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

SINCE THE GROUND IS FROZEN, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE
AND ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY QUITE RAPIDLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

RNS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
310 PM EST SUN JAN 25 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM MONTANA INTO ILLINOIS
WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND REACH THE AREA ON TUESDAY BEFORE MOVING
OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ENTERING THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES WILL MOVE EAST REACHING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND
THEN PASS NORTHEAST OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY OR DELMARVA COAST ON
WEDNESDAY. OTHER WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE
INITIAL LOWS COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE SHOULD EVENTUALLY MOVE IN FROM THE WEST FOR SATURDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION NEXT SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
NOBODY TOLD ME THERE WOULD BE DAYS LIKE THIS. THE MODELS IN GENERAL
ARE EDGING CLOSER, BUT THEY ALL HAD INITIALIZATION MISSES OUT IN THE
WEST. THE WRF-NMM TROF DEPICTION LOOKED GOOD, BUT WAS TOO FAR EAST
AND WE SEE WHERE IT WENT FROM THERE. THE GFS TROF LOOKED TOO FLAT VS
THE RAOBS, ALTHOUGH ITS POSITIONING WAS BETTER. THE EUROPEAN TROF
POSITION LOOKED GOOD BUT A BIT TOO FAR TO THE WEST. MAYBE OR MAYBE
NOT WE CAN SEE WHERE THIS LED DOWN THE ROAD TO THE ULTRA FAST
WRF-NMM SOLUTION, THE FASTER BUT LATITUDINALLY SIMILAR SOLUTION OF
THE GFS WITH THE ECMWF. THIS FCST PACKAGE THUS TOOK ABOUT A 50/50
BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF AND INTRODUCED THE UBIQUITOUS MIXED BAG
OF PCPN.

LEST WE GET TOO FAR AHEAD OF OURSELVES, THE LITTLE SHORT WAVE THAT
COULD CAUSED BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW IN OH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THEY DID
NOT GET THE INTENSITY, BOTH THE WRF-ARW AND WRF-NMM HAD THE
GEOGRAPHICAL EXTENT OF THE FLURRIES PRETTY WELL PEGGED. THE OH SNOW
SEEMS TO HAVE THE COINCIDENTAL CONFLUENCE OF THE SHORT WAVE WITH A
JET STREAK ALOFT. THE MODELS FOR TONIGHT SEPARATE THESE FEATURES AS
THEY OUTRUN THE DEEPER FCST MOISTURE. THIS EXPLAINS THE LACK OF PCPN
ON OUR SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS. AS MUCH AS THIS SEEMS LOGICAL, WE
BELIEVE SOME PLACES WILL GET A COATING OUT OF THIS (WRN ZONES) AS
THESE FLURRY FCSTS OF LATE HAVE OUTPERFORMED. SO NO CHANGE FROM THE
PREVIOUS FCST. BECAUSE OF THE CLOUDS WE DID DECIDE TO COMPROMISE
BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM MOS FOR MIN TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
WE KEPT THE FLURRIES IN FOR MONDAY DAY AS THERE ARE STILL SOME SHORT
WAVES THAT WILL MOVING THROUGH ALOFT. WITH PLENTY OF MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS, SKIES SHOULD AVERAGE MOCLDY. BECAUSE OF THE CLOUDS, WE
BELIEVE THAT NAM MOS IS TOO WARM AND WE SIDED WITH THE COLDER GFS
MOS.

IN THE FAST WSW FLOW ALOFT, THE MODELS (AND US FCSTRS) WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE A HARD TIME FOLLOWING THE SHORT WAVES. THE WRF-NMM SOLN
TAKES THIS TO AN EXTREME AS IT IS AS MUCH AS 12 HOURS FASTER WITH
SIGNIFICANT MEASURABLE PCPN VS MOST OF THE OTHER MODELS. THERE IS NO
REAL RIDGING TO STOP THE PCPN OR AT THE LEAST THE CLOUDS. THE GFS
AND CAN RGEM SUGGEST THIS IS ALSO POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF THE LACK OF
RIDGING.  SO WE DID BUMP UP PCPN CHANCES INTO LATE MON NGT FOR OUR
SERN ZONES. ON THE OTHER HAND THE WRF-NMM IS NOT FORECASTING ANY
ISENTROPIC LIFT OF CONSEQUENCE EITHER MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY
PUTTING ITS HEAVIER QPF IN QUESTION. BECAUSE OF THE CLOUDS WE
BELIEVE GFS MOS IS TOO LOW WITH MINS AND WE SIDED TWD THE WARMER NAM
MOS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS EXTENDED PACKAGE IS FOLLOWING A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GFS AND
ECMWF MODEL SOLN. THEY ARE PRETTY CLOSE TO THE UKMET AND CAN GGEM.
WE DISCOUNTED THE FLATTER ZONAL WRF-NMM SOLUTION. IT DID HAVE
INITIALIZATION PROBLEMS PLUS ITS QPF SOLN LOOKS WAY TOO MOIST GIVEN
A ZONAL SOLUTION. ON THE OTHER HAND ANY INCREASE IN AMPLITUDE ALOFT
BRINGS THE POSSIBILITY OF NON-SNOW PTYPES INTO OUR CWA. WHILE ITS AN
ARCTIC HIGH, ITS POSN AS THE HEAVY PCPN MOVES IN IS NOT CONDUCIVE TO
MAINTAINING PCPN AS SNOW THRUT. IN ADDITION THE W-E SYSTEMS HAVE
TRENDED NORTH WITH TIME ALL WINTER LONG AND THIS GENERAL TREND
CONTINUED WITH THE 12Z MODEL RUNS. THRU TUESDAY DAY THE PTYPE SHOULD
BE SNOW AND ACCUMULATIONS MIGHT REACH AN INCH OR TWO BY EVENING
ESPECIALLY THE SERN PART OF OUR CWA.

WITH THIS FCST PACKAGE WE INTRODUCED SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
INTO THE LITERAL MIX FOR THE SERN HALF OF OUR CWA. ON TUESDAY DAY IT
SHOULD BE MAINLY SNOW ACROSS OUR CWA AND THEN WE TRANSITION TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN S AND E OF THE I95 CORRIDOR AS THE NIGHT
CONTINUES. WE FOLLOWED AS A BEST ESTIMATE FOR NOW THE FCST 546DM
1000-500MB THICKNESS FOR THE SNOW VS NO SNOW PTYPE LINE. BECAUSE OF
THE RECENT COLD WEATHER AND BECAUSE IT IS LATE JANUARY, WE WERE MORE
CONSERVATIVE THAN THE MODEL SFC FCST TEMPS AS TO WHERE PCPN BECOMES
PLAIN RAIN. TO THAT END MAV MOS GUIDANCE LOOKED BETTER THAN THE GFS
OR ECMWF ACTUAL SFC TEMP OUTPUT. SINCE THIS EVENT IS STILL KEYED ON
THE 5TH PERIOD WE DID NOT WANT TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH ATTM.
WHILE A FLATTER MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION WOULD MEAN MORE SNOW, IT
SHOULD ALSO MEAN LESS QPF. MIXED PCPN OR NOT...SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW APPEAR POSSIBLE FOR MOST OF OUR CWA BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER (SE
LESS, FAR N MORE).

THE PRECIPITATION EVENT SHOULD BE UNWINDING COME WEDNESDAY DAY AS
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM OUR CWA. THE GFS IS THE
FASTEST MODEL ENDING MOST OF THIS EVENT BY MORNING, BUT FOR NOW WE
EXTENDED IT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY ABOUT WHERE WE GO FROM HERE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE NEXT COUPLE OF SYSTEMS. MOST
OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE ANOTHER WAVE FOR THURSDAY WITH OUR
CWA NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE PCPN SHIELD. THIS IS AGAIN REPEATED
SLIGHTLY FARTHER OFFSHORE FOR FRIDAY. FOR NOW WE CONTINUED CHANCE
POPS. ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT THE LONG WAVE TROF MIGHT BE THE
MEANS FOR PCPN CHANCES IF THE LOW ALONG THE COAST PASSES TO FAR TO
THE E.

HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FOR SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHES OUR CWA FOR SUNDAY. BECAUSE OF ALL OF THE
UNCERTAINTY WE DID NOT SWAY MUCH FROM MEX MOS OR HPC GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

STRONG WINDS MOVING THROUGH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH CONTINUED TO
GENERATE JET STREAM CI TODAY, ALTHOUGH IT WAS QUITE THIN, ESPECIALLY
IN OUR SOUTHERN SECTIONS. AN AREA OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS BEGINNING
TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL LOWER FROM WEST
TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, PROBABLY DROPPING TO SC,
ESPECIALLY NORTH, TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. RADAR SHOWS AN AREA OF SNOW
MOVING EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. MUCH OF
THIS SNOW IS FORECAST TO EVAPORATE AS IT REACHES OUR AREA. WHILE
FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
PREVAIL.

OUTLOOK...
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER LATER
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS TO OUR SOUTH IS
LIKELY TO BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, WITH POSSIBLY MORE PRECIPITATION THURSDAY. CIGS AND VSBYS
WILL BE LOW AT TIMES THROUGH THE MID AND LATE WEEK PERIOD, WITH
IFR/LIFR IN THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ALLOWED WINDS AND SEAS
TO DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS EAST TONIGHT BUT
WILL BE REINFORCED MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT BY ANOTHER LARGE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. A SERIES OF LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS TO OUR SOUTH LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. WINDS AND WAVES
ARE FORECAST TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING THAT PERIOD,
POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS TUESDAY NIGHT. ALL IN ALL, THIS WEEK COULD
TURN OUT TO BE A VERY ACTIVE MARINE WEATHER PERIOD.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI
NEAR TERM...GIGI
SHORT TERM...GIGI
LONG TERM...GIGI/OHARA
AVIATION...RPW
MARINE...RPW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-271030-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ008>010-015-271030-
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ012>014-016>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-271030-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ021>025-271030-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY NIGHT AND SOME
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO
RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-271030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
241 AM EST MON JAN 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.