Small Craft Advisory 25, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

603 
WHUS71 KPHI 261924
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
224 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009

ANZ450>455-271000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090227T1500Z-090228T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
224 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM
EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY. 

A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST SHOULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ON FRIDAY. WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS FOR LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. WAVES SHOULD BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET ON THE OCEAN WATERS AT
THAT TIME AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-271000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090227T1500Z-090227T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
224 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST SHOULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ON FRIDAY. WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS FOR LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

RNS

747 
WHUS71 KPHI 270900
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

ANZ430-431-272200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090227T1500Z-090228T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
400 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1000 AM UNTIL 1000
PM.

A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO REACH DELAWARE
BAY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-272200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090227T1500Z-090228T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
400 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1000 AM THIS MORNING
UNTIL 600 PM ON SATURDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTAL
WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30
KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING,
ESPECIALLY NEAR SHORE. WAVES SHOULD REMAIN GREATER THAN 5 FEET
FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

LOW PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TO PASS OFF THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO

179 
WHUS71 KPHI 271929
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
229 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

ANZ450>455-281000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090301T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
229 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. 
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT AFTER
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST, THE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 25 KT. HOWEVER, SEAS SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT OR GREATER THAN
5 FT OVERNIGHT. WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST AT 20 KT WITH GUSTS
INCREASING TO 30 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE
INTO SUNDAY ALONG WITH SEAS OF 5 FT OR GREATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-280300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090228T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
229 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. 
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT AFTER
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST, THE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 25 KT. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

RNS

324 
WHUS71 KPHI 280224
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
924 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

ANZ430-431-280330-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090228T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
924 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

ANZ450>455-282100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090301T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
924 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25 KT ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT AFTER
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST THE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE. 
HOWEVER...SEAS SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT OR GREATER THAN 5 FT OVERNIGHT.
WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST AT 20 KT WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 30 KT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY ALONG WITH
SEAS OF 5 FT OR GREATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS...SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

896 
WHUS71 KPHI 280835
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

ANZ430-431-282130-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090301T0300Z-090301T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
335 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST SUNDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHWEST. THIS
WILL INCREASE A NORTHEASTERLY WIND TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY. HOWEVER, A SECONDARY STORM WILL DEVELOP AND TRACK NEAR OUR
AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO THE
STRONGER OF THE TWO, WITH GALE FORCE WINDS FORECAST STARTING
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SEAS WILL ALSO BE BUILDING WITH TIME, ESPECIALLY
CLOSER TO THE MOUTH OF THE BAY AS SEAS INCREASE QUITE A BIT ON THE
OCEAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-282130-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090301T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
335 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHWEST. THIS
WILL INCREASE A NORTHEASTERLY WIND TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT,
WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER, A SECONDARY STORM
WILL DEVELOP AND TRACK NEAR OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO THE STRONGER OF THE TWO, WITH GALE FORCE
WINDS FORECAST STARTING SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SEAS WILL BE GREATLY
BUILDING WITH TIME UNDER THE PROLONGED NORTHEASTERLY FETCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

GORSE

065 
WHUS71 KPHI 282033
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

ANZ430-431-010445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090301T0300Z-090301T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM
THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, AND ALONG
THIS FRONT TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. THE FIRST OF THE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WHILE THE SECOND IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SECOND OF THE TWO
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST, WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE TONIGHT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-010445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090301T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, AND ALONG
THIS FRONT TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. THE FIRST OF THE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WHILE THE SECOND IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SECOND OF THE TWO
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST, WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE TONIGHT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

229 
WHUS71 KPHI 010230
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

ANZ430-431-011100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.090301T0230Z-090301T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
930 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST... AND ALONG
THIS FRONT TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. THE FIRST OF THE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT... WHILE THE SECOND IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SECOND OF THE TWO IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST... WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE TONIGHT... WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-011100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090301T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. A
GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST... AND ALONG
THIS FRONT TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. THE FIRST OF THE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT... WHILE THE SECOND IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SECOND OF THE TWO IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST... WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE TONIGHT... WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALL
VESSELS... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

527 
WHUS71 KPHI 010845
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE BY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TODAY,
THEN A MORE POTENT STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING. THIS SECOND STORM WILL BE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES BY OUR
AREA, THEREFORE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED.

ANZ450>455-012130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090302T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0008.090302T0300Z-090302T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS TODAY AND EARLY THIS
EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 40 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WHILE
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST. SEAS WILL ALSO BE
ELEVATED TODAY AND TONIGHT, THEN SETTLE DOWN SOME MONDAY AFTERNOON
AS THE WIND TURNS MORE OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-012130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090302T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0003.090301T2300Z-090302T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0008.090302T0300Z-090302T2100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
345 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS TODAY AND EARLY
THIS EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 35 KNOTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY
WHILE SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST. SEAS WILL BE
ELEVATED WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS MAINLY NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY,
THEN SETTLE DOWN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GORSE

290 
WHUS71 KPHI 012113
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
413 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING WILL DEEPEN AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE LOW WILL BE WELL
EAST OF CAPE MAY MONDAY MORNING AND NEAR NOVA SCOTIA BY MONDAY
EVENING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE NORTHWEST WILL RESULT IN GALE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT AND MOST
OF MONDAY.

ANZ450>455-020515-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090302T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.090301T2108Z-090302T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
413 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-020515-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090302T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.090301T2113Z-090302T2100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
413 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST
TONIGHT. A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE MIDWEST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO EAST CANADA WILL DRAG A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL STALL TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE WEEKEND. AREAS OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AND BRING A CONGLOMERATION
OF WINTRY WEATHER TO OUR REGION FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE HIGH IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST WITH LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED IN CANADA, JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION,
THIS EVENING.TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN
ANTICIPATED AS CLEAR SKIES (HIGH CLOUDS IF ANY ARE OUT) HAVE
ALLOWED DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE. TEMPERATURES ARE
PRIMARILY IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE LEHIGH
VALLEY AS WELL AS CENTER CITY HAVE REMAINED WARMER AND REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 30S THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WE HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE HOURLY TEMPERATURES TO BETTER SHOW THIS COOLING TREND BUT
CURRENT FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES LOOK ON TRACK. WITH A WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW, DEW POINTS HAVE ARE STARTING TO RISE INTO THE
LOWER 20S AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT.

AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
TONIGHT, WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
AS A SUBTLE WARM FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. THIS MAY TOUCH OFF SOME
VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN OUR FAR NORTHERN AREAS TOWARD
DAYBREAK. WHATEVER PRECIPITATION DOES OCCUR SHOULD INITIALLY FALL
AS SNOW, BUT COULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN,
ESPECIALLY SINCE THE INTENSITY WILL BE QUITE LIGHT. IT COULD
ACTUALLY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE ENDING BY
MID OR LATE MORNING. BUT, AGAIN, IT WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND
CONFINED OUR NORTHERNMOST AREAS. AS LONG AS THE CLOUDS MOVE IN
FROM THE WEST ON SCHEDULE TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN
THE 20S TO LOW 30S. IF THE CLOUDS MOVE IN SLOWER, THEN READINGS
WILL DROP A FEW DEGREES LOWER BEFORE LEVELING OFF. DRIER AIR WILL
MOVE IN THURSDAY AS WINDS IN THE WARM SECTOR SWING AROUND TO A S
TO SW DIRECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY THURSDAY
REACHING HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
OUR NEXT WEATHER MAKER WILL BE A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE
WEST. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE INCREASING
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IN
THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL OCCUR FROM MIDDAY FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING, ALTHOUGH A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS COULD SPREAD
IN TO OUR NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS FRIDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME
THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING
EVERYWHERE IN OUR AREA, SO THAT THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS ALL
RAIN. LOW TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 30S.
HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S IN THE POCONOS TO
THE LOW AND MID 60S IN OUR SOUTHERN AREAS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
OFF TO THE EAST, COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO WORK ITS WAY BACK IN.
RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRIEFLY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS IN OUR NORTHERN
AREAS BEFORE ENDING AROUND MIDNIGHT. LOWS BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY
WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S IN THE POCONOS TO AROUND 40 IN OUR
SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES TO TO BE THE THEME IN THE EXTENDED AS THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE
UPCOMING ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT.

AFTER THE FROPA FRIDAY NIGHT, THE MODELS DIVERGE AND DISAGREE WITH
THE NEXT SYSTEM EXPECTED SATURDAY/SUNDAY. THE ECMWF TAKES THE LOW
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND THEN OFFSHORE BEFORE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST, ALBEIT A WAYS OFFSHORE. THE GFS HAS THE LOW
MOVING ACROSS THE CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER AND MOVING OFFSHORE JUST
SOUTH OF OUR REGION. THE LOW THEN TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST BUT STICKS
CLOSER TO OUR BORDERS. THE NAM HAS THE LOW MOVING ACROSS DELMARVA.
THE UKMET SEEMS TO BE MORE LIKE THE ECMWF WITH THE LOW STAYING TO
OUR SOUTH BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE. WHERE THE LOW GOES AND HOW CLOSE
IT IS TO OUR BORDERS WILL IMPACT THE WEATHER ACROSS OUR REGION. FOR
NOW WE WILL GO WITH A SNOW/RAIN MIX THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE
REGION. WITH OUT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO SUPPORT ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER, THIS WAS THOUGHT THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION. A CLOSED 500MB
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA USHERING MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS. IT WILL TRULY FEEL LIKE WINTER ONCE
AGAIN.

ANY WAY YOU LOOK AT IT THE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION OVER THE
WEEKEND. IT CAN HAPPEN AS EARLY AS SATURDAY BUT AS LATE AS SUNDAY
EVENING. WE PREFERRED THE HPC SOLUTION WHICH IMPACTS US ON SUNDAY.
THIS TAKES THE SURFACE LOW OUT OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER
LOW HANGING AROUND THROUGH LATE MONDAY.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF NO PRECIP MAY EXIST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
VERY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS TO OUR SOUTH. THE GFS HAS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TUESDAY, CROSSING THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF HINTS AT A LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AS
WELL. FOR NOW WE WILL KEEP POPS MINIMAL, AT 20 PERCENT OR LESS,
SINCE THERE ARE BOUND TO BE CHANGES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL MODEL RUNS.

WE USED A BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST HPC
GUIDANCE FOR THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A GLITCH IN THE
WEATHER EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WARM ADVECTION ALONG WITH A
DISTURBANCE ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW CLOUDS TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT.
INITIALLY, HIGH CLOUDS ARRIVE AROUND MIDNIGHT, THEN BY MORNING
MIDDLE CLOUDS ARRIVE MAINLY FROM PHL NORTHWARD. THEN EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING SOME STRATOCU SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN MAINLY FROM PHL
NORTHWARD. HOWEVER, SINCE THE AIR IS QUITE DRY IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER, IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR CLOUDS TO GET ANY LOWER THAN 4 OR 5
THSD FT. VSBYS SHOULD REMAIN UNRESTRICTED AT ALL TAF SITES SINCE ANY
PCPN IF IT DOES OCCUR SHOULD BE LIGHT. TO THE NORTH OF THE TAF
SITES, IE TO THE NORTH OF ABE/RDG, THERE MIGHT BE SOME LIGHT SNOW,
SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN THAT COULD LOWER CIG/VSBY TO MVFR THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY. SOME
RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAINLY IN THE
AFTN/EVENING HOURS. CONDITIONS COULD LOWER TO IFR IN ANY RAIN. THE
COLD FRONT STALLS TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY, THEN LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO FORM ON THE FRONT AND INTENSIFY AS IT HEADS NORTHEAST
ALONG THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THE LOW WILL
DETERMINE WHERE AND HOW MUCH RAIN/SNOW WILL FALL BUT EARLY
INDICATIONS ARE THAT MAINLY RAIN SHOULD FALL FROM PHL SOUTH AND EAST
WITH SNOW AND/OR RAIN TO THE NORTH/WEST OF PHL.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTH WINDS ARE BLOWING A LITTLE STRONGER THAN EXPECTED THIS
EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 16 KT NOTED AT BUOY 44065 AND AT BRANDT BEACH
/BRBN4/ ON LONG BEACH ISLAND. THEREFORE HAVE AMENDED THE MARINE
FORECAST TO INCREASE WINDS OVERNIGHT TO BETTER MATCH OBSERVED
CONDS. ALSO...THE VAD WIND PROFILE FROM KDIX SHOWS 20KT AT 1000 FT.

OTHERWISE...MOSTLY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE
NJ/DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY THROUGH TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST OF THE REGION. ON
FRIDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCREASED GRADIENT
AND THIS MIGHT ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 KT. HOWEVER, SINCE
THIS GRADIENT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN THE
WATER, WIND SPEEDS COULD BE TEMPERED BY BOUNDARY LAYER STABILITY.
ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING, THE WINDS SHOULD
SHIFT TO THE NW, BUT SPEEDS SHOULD DECREASE IN RESPONSE TO A
WEAKER GRADIENT. THEREFORE, IF SCA CONDITIONS DEVELOP, IT WOULD BE
DURING FRIDAY.

THE COLD FRONT EVENTUALLY WILL STALL TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY, PROBABLY
OVER THE CAROLINAS. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM ON THE FRONT
AND INTENSIFY AS IT HEADS NE ALONG THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE
ARE SOME COMPUTER MODEL DIFFERENCES AS TO WHEN THE LOW DEVELOPS WITH
SOME MODELS SHOWING IT HAPPENING SATURDAY NIGHT, AND OTHERS
SUGGESTING SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW, WE PLAN TO GO WITH THE
SUNDAY SOLUTION. AS THE LOW MOVES BY TO THE EAST, SCA CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED. MUCH COLDER AIR RETURNS FOR MONDAY WITH
CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS. ALTHOUGH GALES WONT BE FCST AT THIS POINT, WE
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION FOR POTENTIAL GALES MONDAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPW
NEAR TERM...MEOLA/RPW
SHORT TERM...RPW
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...STAUBER
MARINE...AMC/STAUBER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
438 AM EST WED FEB 25 2009

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-261000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
438 AM EST WED FEB 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-261000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
438 AM EST WED FEB 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.