Red Flag Warning 43, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS84 KMOB 311929
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
229 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 4 HOURS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED...

.RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 35 TO
40 PERCENT RANGE. THE VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 33 PERCENT
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OVER INLAND AREAS THROUGH 5 PM. WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES FORECASTED FOR THE INLAND AREAS TOMORROW...THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT RH VALUES COULD FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 10 IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS.

FLZ001-003-005-011200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FW.W.0043.000000T0000Z-090531T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0034.090601T1700Z-090601T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
229 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 35 TO
40 PERCENT RANGE. THE VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 33 PERCENT
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OVER INLAND AREAS THROUGH 5 PM...HOWEVER THEY WILL
LIKELY NOT REMAIN BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS. A SEABREEZE MOVING
INLAND FROM THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING SLIGHTLY HIGHER
RH VALUES THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH LIGHT 
SOUTHERLY WINDS. 

WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES FORECASTED FOR TOMORROW...THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RH VALUES COULD FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10 IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ002-004-006-312030-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FW.W.0043.000000T0000Z-090531T2300Z/
COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
229 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 35 TO
40 PERCENT RANGE. THE VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 33 PERCENT
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OVER INLAND AREAS THROUGH 5 PM...HOWEVER THEY WILL
LIKELY NOT REMAIN BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS. A SEABREEZE MOVING
INLAND FROM THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING SLIGHTLY HIGHER RH
VALUES THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
349 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2009

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
LOUISIANA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH
SUNDAY...WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW TONIGHT GOING LIGHTER AND VARIABLE
TOMORROW UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS. TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S
INLAND TOMORROW WITH MID 80S AT THE COAST WHERE A LIGHT SEABREEZE
WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP. AIRMASS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY SO NO SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST. /05

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)...WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING EAST EARLY IN THE WEEK...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BRING UP THE MOISTURE DEPTH...AND
DIURNALLY FORCED ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS (SOMEWHAT GREATER
COVERAGE) EXECTED THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A MIDLEVEL TOUGH MOVES
ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH BRINGING A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT DOWN INTO
OUR REGION. THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SOMEWHAT HIGHER
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S AND LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE MID/UPPER 80S IN THE MID TO LATE WEEK TIMEFRAME. /05

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRES OVER E TX/LA WILL SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
DEEP S OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. IN THE NEAR TERM...WINDS ARE
FCST TO BECOME OFFSHORE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND TURN ONSHORE
DURING THE DAY NEAR THE LAND/SEA INTERFACE. WIND SPEEDS LIGHT
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS EXPECTED. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FCST TO
MOVE ACROSS THE LWR MS RVR VALLEY BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN SHWRS/TSTMS BY PDS END. /10

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24HRS. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE OVER EAST TEXAS TODAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EAST ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH SUNDAY...MOVING TO THE EAST COAST
BY TUESDAY. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE
AREA...A DRY AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH NORTHERLY
TRANSPORT WINDS BECOMING MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE SUNDAY...THEN MORE
SOUTHERLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS EARLY IN THE WEEK. /05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      61  91  65  91 /  00  00  05  05
PENSACOLA   66  90  69  89 /  00  00  05  05
DESTIN      68  88  71  86 /  00  00  05  05
EVERGREEN   59  92  62  93 /  00  00  05  05
WAYNESBORO  58  92  59  93 /  00  00  05  05
CAMDEN      58  92  61  93 /  00  00  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND
     INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

05/GARMON
10/MANISCALCO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-311200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
924 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A DRY AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL.  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS MOISTURE
LEVELS INCREASE.  NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND STORM SPOTTERS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT ANTICIPATED.