Tornado Warning 45, NWS Lake Charles, LA

000 
WWUS54 KLCH 221845
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
145 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

LAC079-221900-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-091022T1900Z/
RAPIDES LA-
145 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH...

AT 144 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST WEST OF ALEXANDRIA 
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR
HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER
YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3124 9247 3127 9263 3140 9265 3145 9235
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 189DEG 19KT 3130 9256

$$

ERICKSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1247 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

.AVIATION...
THE SQUALL LINE IN SW LA MOVING EASTWARD AT THIS TIME AT TOWARDS
LFT...ARA AND AEX. IFR CONDITIONS. FLIGHT CONDITIONS MVFR TO
IMPROVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 22/12Z TAF ISSUANCE...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE FILLING IN ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGING IN
ABUNDANT GULF AND EAST PACIFIC MOISTURE. MEANWHILE...STRONG UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL HELP ENHANCE ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WHILE RAIN CHANCES DO NOT END UNTIL
SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA DURING THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

WILL GO WITH PREVAILING SHOWERS WITH TS IN THE VICINITY FOR KBPT
TO START THE TAF FORECAST...WITH THESE CONDITIONS ARRIVING AT KLCH
BY 22/14Z...KAEX BY 22/15Z AND KLFT/KARA BY 22/16Z. MVFR CEILINGS
WITH MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES ACROSS.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009/

UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS...ZONES AND COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR TORNADO
WATCH 771 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER OUR WRN ZONES THIS MORNING. VWP
PROFILES REMAIN INDICATIVE OF DECENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING STORMS AS WELL AS A FEW TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 447 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009/

HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT SHAPING UP FOR TODAY...

SYNOPSIS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWS
LARGE UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER WRN KS. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A BROAD
SWATH OF DIVERGENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW COVERED THE SRN PLAINS INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY. DEEP MOISTURE WAS SPREADING TOWARD THE NRN
PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY.

AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER SRN KS NR ICT...WITH
THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH TOWARD OKC AND DFW EXTENDING SW
ALONG ROUGHLY THE I-35 CORRIDOR. AREA RADAR MOSAIC INDICATED A
BROAD AREA OF MODERATE RAIN ACRS MUCH OF TX INTO OK AND ARK...WITH
SCT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD LA.

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS
TODAY...GRADUALLY OPENING INTO A TROUGH FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TOWARD
THE GREAT LAKES. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS DEPICT SFC LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE TX COAST THIS AM...WHICH WILL TREK NE TOWARD
THE LAKES AREA OF TX BY EARLY AFTN THEN NE LA BY EARLY EVENING.
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING WARM MOIST AIR OVER THE AREA WITH SFC DEWPOINTS INTO THE
LOWER 70S. SPC NOW INDICATING A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OVER THE AREA TODAY AS THIS SFC LOW PROVIDES A FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT. STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WITH SREH HELICITIES BETWEEN
200 AND 300 M2/S2 WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
ROTATING STORMS AND A FEW COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE DESPITE
WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODEST INSTABILITY. WILL ADDRESS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER FURTHER IN THE HWO.

OVERALL...THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE OF A HEAVY RAINFALL
EVENT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS IN PLACE WITH PWS BETWEEN 2.0-2.2
INCHES...ALONG WITH THE REMNANTS OF RICK BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE
MEAN SWRLY FLOW. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST...FAVORABLE JET DYNAMICS
WILL ENHANCE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND LARGE SCALE LIFT...HELPING TO
SUPPORT WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. AREA TOTALS OF
AROUND 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO
5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. AT THIS TIME...HAVE HELD OFF
ON ISSUING AN FFA AS AREA HAS HAD NEARLY A WEEK TO DRY OUT SINCE
THE LAST EVENT AND ANY FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCALIZED IN
NATURE. FURTHERMORE...MOST AREA RIVERS ARE NEAR BASE FLOW AND
SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF HANDLING THE RUNOFF.

EXPECT ALL OF THIS MESS TO COME TO AN END ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES
THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...AND IT SHOULD BE WELL EAST OF
THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT...NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO USHER IN DRIER COOLER AIR WITH A PLEASANT WEEKEND ON
TAP. A SLT CHC FOR RAIN RETURNS ON MONDAY AS A DISTURBANCE PASSES
THE AREA...WITH A STRONGER FRONT EXPECTED TOWARD THE LATTER PART
OF NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND INCREASING SEAS AND
WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OFFSHORE.
THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE GULF WATERS ON TONIGHT...WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  70  51  74  54 /  40  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  69  49  73  56 /  20  10   0   0   0
KAEX  56  66  44  72  49 /  50  10   0   0   0
KLFT  62  70  51  72  52 /  60  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT
     20 NM...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION BAY...WATERS FROM CAMERON,
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING
     FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
515 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-231015-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
515 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AS A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME ROTATING STORMS TO DEVELOP AND A FEW COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE. THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS FROM ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

OF GREATER CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY.
GULF MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM RICK ALLOWING FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF
AROUND TWO INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE
IN SOME LOCATIONS. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF
URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS. WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED
HOWEVER.

MOST OF THE FLOOD AND SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO
AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

THE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE MONDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVES OVER THE AREA...OTHERWISE...MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS THIS TIME.

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1229 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     TORNADO          JENNINGS                30.22N 92.66W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO REPORTED CROSSING I-10 NEAR JENNINGS.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1233 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 PM     TORNADO          4 NW JENNINGS           30.26N 92.70W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO STILL ON THE GROUND ONE MILE NORTH OF
            INTERSTATE.CARS HAVE BEEN OVERTURNED ON THE INTERSTATE.

&&

BRAZZELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1249 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1224 PM     TORNADO          3 W JENNINGS            30.23N 92.71W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPOYEE REPORTS THAT MANY TREES AND POWER LINES ARE
            DOWNED ALONG HWY 90 WITH DAMAGE TO A SILO. HE IS
            CURRENTLY CONDUCTING A DAMAGE SURVEY.

&&

BRAZZELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
107 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0101 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELTON                   30.48N 92.70W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. TREE FELL ON HOUSE IN ELTON.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
117 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 PM     TORNADO          4 W LAKE ARTHUR         30.09N 92.74W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KPLC WEATHER WATCHER REPORTS THAT TORNADO TOUCH DOWNED
            NEAR LAKE ARTHUR. SURVEY WILL BE CONDUCTED SHORTLY.

&&

BRAZZELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
126 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     TORNADO          WSW ELTON               30.48N 92.70W
10/22/2009                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DAMAGE REPORTED BY KPLC IN THE TOWN OF ELTON FROM
            POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

BRAZZELL