Alert archive / U.S. Virgin Islands / Hurricane Local Statements in 2009

Hurricane Local Statement 1, NWS JSJ

August 15, 2009

NWS JSJ issued this hurricane local statement at Aug 15, 2009, 12:01 PM CDT. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2009, 12:01 PM CDT (17:01 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2009, 11:14 PM CDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS JSJ

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WTCA82 TJSJ 151701
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
101 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA MAY IMPACT THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY
EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
IN EFFECT FOR OUR AREA. HOWEVER...AS THIS EVENT UNFOLDS...THE
ISSUANCE OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY SOON BECOME NECESSARY. 

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 920 MILES
EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.. THIS IS ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF
SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 1140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS
VI. ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AROUND 16 MPH AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THE PRESENT MOMENT...TROPICAL STORM ANA IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED
BUT THE FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE
NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING SOMEWHERE WITHIN
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVEN BEFORE THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES OR WARNINGS...IT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR LOCAL AUTHORITIES TO CLOSE GOVERNMENT
AGENCIES...FERRY SERVICES...AND SCHOOLS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE
YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE SKINNY BLACK LINE.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT ON A MAP...THE
DANGEROUS EFFECTS OF A STORM CAN EXTEND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTER. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE CONE OF
UNCERTAINTY...YOU COULD STILL EXPERIENCE HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL...SERIOUSLY IMPACTING LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...

CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS. STOCK UP ON DRINKING
WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.  ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN
OPENER. 

HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER
PERSON. GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.

HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. 

CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. 

PLEASE VISIT WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT. 

DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION
ZONE. IF SO...IDENTIFY PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES WHICH LEAD OUT
OF THE THREATENED AREAS. LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS.
IN ALL CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH
ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. 

MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF SMALL
CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT VENTURE
FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO PORT
QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
160300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.090815T1701Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
101 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA MAY IMPACT LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST. DO NOT GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD
AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME
NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA. 

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE TOO FAR FROM PORT. TAKE EARLY
STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...MARINE...

SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EARLY MONDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
MONDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET MONDAY
INTO MONDAY EVENING.

$$
ROSA/SEELEY/CUPO
4 follow-up statements
000 
WTCA82 TJSJ 152341
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
741 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
IN EFFECT FOR OUR AREA. HOWEVER...AS THIS EVENT CONTINUES TO UNFOLD
...THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE LOCAL AREA MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 730 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.. THIS IS ABOUT 975 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX OR ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAN JUAN. ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 17 MPH AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THE PRESENT MOMENT...TROPICAL STORM ANA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVEN BEFORE THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES OR WARNINGS...IT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR LOCAL AUTHORITIES TO ACTIVATE THEIR TROPICAL
CYCLONE EMERGENCY PLANS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE SKINNY BLACK LINE.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT ON A MAP...THE
DANGEROUS EFFECTS OF A STORM CAN EXTEND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTER. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE CONE OF
UNCERTAINTY...YOU COULD STILL EXPERIENCE HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL...SERIOUSLY IMPACTING LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...

CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS. STOCK UP ON DRINKING
WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.  ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN
OPENER. 

HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER
PERSON. GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.

HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. 

CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. 

PLEASE VISIT WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT. 

DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION
ZONE. LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS. IN ALL
CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF SMALL
CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT VENTURE
FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO PORT
QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
162345-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
741 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST.
DO NOT GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF WATCHES
OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE TOO FAR FROM PORT. TAKE EARLY
STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... 
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 40 TO 50
PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN AROUND
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
AND AROUND MONDAY EVENING FOR PUERTO RICO.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED LATER
TONIGHT AND OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. AS TROPICAL STORM ANA MOVES
CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EARLY MONDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
MONDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET MONDAY
INTO MONDAY EVENING.

$$

RM
000 
WTCA82 TJSJ 152347 CCA
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
746 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
IN EFFECT FOR OUR AREA. HOWEVER...AS THIS EVENT CONTINUES TO UNFOLD
...THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE LOCAL AREA MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 730 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.. THIS IS ABOUT 975 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX OR ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAN JUAN. ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 17 MPH AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THE PRESENT MOMENT...TROPICAL STORM ANA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVEN BEFORE THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES OR WARNINGS...IT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR LOCAL AUTHORITIES TO ACTIVATE THEIR TROPICAL
CYCLONE EMERGENCY PLANS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE SKINNY BLACK LINE.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT ON A MAP...THE
DANGEROUS EFFECTS OF A STORM CAN EXTEND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTER. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE CONE OF
UNCERTAINTY...YOU COULD STILL EXPERIENCE HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL...SERIOUSLY IMPACTING LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...

CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS. STOCK UP ON DRINKING
WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.  ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN
OPENER. 

HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER
PERSON. GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.

HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. 

CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. 

PLEASE VISIT WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT. 

DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION
ZONE. LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS. IN ALL
CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF SMALL
CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT VENTURE
FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO PORT
QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
170000-
/O.COR.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
746 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST.
DO NOT GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF WATCHES
OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE TOO FAR FROM PORT. TAKE EARLY
STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... 
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 40 TO 50
PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN AROUND
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
AND AROUND MONDAY EVENING FOR PUERTO RICO.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED LATER
TONIGHT AND OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. AS TROPICAL STORM ANA MOVES
CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EARLY MONDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
MONDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET MONDAY
INTO MONDAY EVENING.

$$

RM
000 
WTCA82 TJSJ 152359
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
759 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
IN EFFECT FOR OUR AREA. HOWEVER...AS THIS EVENT CONTINUES TO UNFOLD
...THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE LOCAL AREA MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 730 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.. THIS IS ABOUT 975 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX OR ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAN JUAN. ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 17 MPH AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THE PRESENT MOMENT...TROPICAL STORM ANA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVEN BEFORE THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES OR WARNINGS...IT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR LOCAL AUTHORITIES TO ACTIVATE THEIR TROPICAL
CYCLONE EMERGENCY PLANS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE SKINNY BLACK LINE.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT ON A MAP...THE
DANGEROUS EFFECTS OF A STORM CAN EXTEND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTER. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE CONE OF
UNCERTAINTY...YOU COULD STILL EXPERIENCE HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL...SERIOUSLY IMPACTING LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE FOLLOWING ARE SUGGESTED ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN AT THIS
TIME...

CHECK BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS. STOCK UP ON DRINKING
WATER AND CANNED OR DRIED FOOD.  ENSURE YOU HAVE A MANUAL CAN
OPENER. 

HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR AT LEAST THREE TO FIVE DAYS PER
PERSON. GATHER MEDICINES...TOILETRIES...AND FIRST AID SUPPLIES.

HAVE A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF CASH ON HAND SINCE CREDIT CARDS AND
AUTOMATED CASH MACHINES DO NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. 

CHECK FUEL LEVELS ON AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS...AND CHAIN SAWS.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. 

PLEASE VISIT WWW.READY.GOV FOR A MORE COMPLETE LIST OF ITEMS TO
INCLUDE IN AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS KIT. 

DETERMINE WHERE YOU SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. CONSIDER WHETHER YOU LIVE IN A POTENTIAL EVACUATION
ZONE. LEARN THE LOCATIONS OF OFFICIAL SHELTERS. IN ALL
CASES...HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR UNSAFE
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER EARLY STEPS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. IF SMALL
CRAFT MUST GO OUT AND CURRENT CONDITIONS ALLOW...DO NOT VENTURE
FAR FROM PORT AND DO NOT STAY OUT VERY LONG. RETURN TO PORT
QUICKLY IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
170000-
/O.COR.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
759 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST.
DO NOT GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF WATCHES
OR WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE TOO FAR FROM PORT. TAKE EARLY
STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... 
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 40 TO 50
PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN AROUND
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
AND AROUND MONDAY EVENING FOR PUERTO RICO.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED LATER
TONIGHT AND OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. AS TROPICAL STORM ANA MOVES
CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EARLY MONDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
MONDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET MONDAY
INTO MONDAY EVENING.

$$

RM
000 
WTCA82 TJSJ 160414
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1214 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM ANA TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PUERTO RICO BY MONDAY EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOR THE SPECIFIED AREAS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 710 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS IS ABOUT 930 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI...OR ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX VI. ANA WAS MOVING WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT
17 MPH AND ITS MAXIMUM WINDS WERE 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THE PRESENT MOMENT...TROPICAL STORM ANA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK WITH HOTEL
MANAGEMENT OR WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING ANY ACTIONS THEY
SHOULD TAKE.

FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS AND PLACES PRONE TO COASTAL FLOODING...
TROPICAL CYCLONES BRING BOTH HIGH WINDS AND STORM
SURGE...TORRENTIAL RAINS AND LOCAL FLOODING.

FOR THE MARINE WATERS...TROPICAL CYCLONES GENERATE HIGH WINDS AND
DANGEROUS SEAS.

TORNADOES...AND WATERSPOUTS OFTEN ACCOMPANY TROPICAL CYCLONES.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 3 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. 

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-170415-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.090816T0414Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
1214 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT ...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED.

$$

VIZ001-002-170415-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.TR.A.1002.090816T0414Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1214 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED.

$$

AMZ712-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-160515-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1214 AM AST SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT ...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND SURROUNDING WATERS. OTHER AREAS SHOULD MAKE PRELIMINARY
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this hurricane local statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane local statement went out at Aug 15, 8:11 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 8:11 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
911 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

.UPDATE...UPDATED TO INCLUDE TROPICAL WIND PROBABILITIES FROM TPC
GRIDS BRINGING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WORDING INTO
THE MONDAY NIGHT PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM ANA FIRST CONCERN ON THE
LIST THIS MORNING...LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A SPREAD FROM JUST SOUTH
OF PUERTO RICO (AND USVI) TO JUST NORTH. OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST
TRACKS SYSTEM JUST NORTH...BRINGING TROPICAL STORM FORCED WINDS
THROUGH THE VI...NORTHERN PR...ALL EASTERN CARIBBEAN PASSAGES AND
ATLANTIC WATERS. EARLY CYCLE 12Z MODELS HAVE SHIFTED AL90 (THE
NEXT SYSTEM) A BIT FARTHER TO THE RIGHT...BETTER NEWS FOR PR AND
THE US. THIS KEEPS IN LINE WITH THE 00Z AND 06Z LATE CYCLE (MORE
RELIABLE) RUNS. THIS MAY BE A TEMPORARY TREND...WILL LOOK FORWARD
TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK ONCE THE NHC INITIATES THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION...A FEW GUSTY SHOWERS THIS MORNING AFFECT THE NORTHERN
AIRPORTS INCLUDING TJSJ. EXPECTING THESE SHOWERS TO DIE OFF BY
14Z...LEAVING MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY 15 TO 25 KT NE
FLOW. AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOULD BE FOCUSED OVER THE TJPS AND
SOUTHERN TJMZ VICINITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MORE COVERAGE THAN
YESTERDAY AND A POSSIBLE TSRA. LOOKING AHEAD...TROPICAL STORM
FORCED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT FOR ALL AIRPORTS...WITH
TISX...TIST AND TJSJ LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE CORE OF THE HIGHEST
WINDS. TNCM AND TKPK WOULD BE HIT EARLIER...POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 604 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009/

SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ANA WILL APPROACH THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN SUNDAY NIGHT. A VERY STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED 475
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DETECTED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR THIS MORNING. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY
WAS OCCURRING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...WITH SOME SHOWERS
AFFECTING THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AND
THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS. A NORTHEAST WIND FLOW PRODUCED BY A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL
AREA...IS TRANSPORTING PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA. LATEST MIMIC TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT FROM
CIMSS SHOWS A LINE OF MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS...NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ATLANTIC. THIS AREA OF MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE SOMEWHAT THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION FOR TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUNDAY LOOKS DRIER THAN TODAY. IN FACT...LATEST PROGNOSIS
SOUNDINGS INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR 1.30
INCHES SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST VALUES
FROM CIMSS. HOWEVER...THIS DRY WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED.

IMPORTANT CHANGES HAS BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC
THE LAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM ANA...THE FIRST NAMED STORM OF
THE 2009 HURRICANE SEASON IS BORN. AT 5:00 AM AST THIS
MORNING...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO. LATEST NHC OFFICIAL TRACK...PASS ANA
BETWEEN 35-50 MILES NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO ON MONDAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF ANA...WILL MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM MOVING ON A
WESTWARD TRACK AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. LATER...SOME
COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN A
LITTLE...PRODUCING A MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK OF THE STORM. IF
THIS NOT HAPPEN...THEN...THE TROPICAL STORM WILL MOVE FURTHER
SOUTH...AND THE SYSTEM COULD IMPACT THE LOCAL AREA MORE STRONGER.
IN ANY WAYS...ANA IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE ENOUGH FROM OUR
FORECAST AREA...TO PRODUCED A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY ON MONDAY.

BEHIND TROPICAL STORM ANA...ANOTHER SYSTEM...A VERY STRONG
TROPICAL WAVE...HAVE A HIGH CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER TODAY. LATEST COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL
TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. AFTER THAT...MAINLY WHEN THE
SYSTEM REACH 50 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE...THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY TRACK...PASSING THE CENTER NEAR 150 MILES NORTHEAST
OF THE LOCAL AREA. LOOKS LIKE THE MODELS SUGGESTS THAT THIS
DEVELOPING SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWER...AND ALSO WILL BE LESS
STRONGER...THAN PREVIOUS COMPUTER MODEL RUNS. A WEAKNESS IN THE
MID LEVEL RIDGE...IF FORECAST BY MOST OF THE COMPUTER MODELS IN THE
LONG RANGE NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA. IF THE SYSTEM MOVE
SLOWER...IT WILL REACH THE WEAKNESS BY THAT TIME...AND WILL TEND
TO MOVE MORE ON A NORTHWESTERLY COMPONENT. HOWEVER...IF THE SYSTEM
MOVE FASTER THAN INDICATED BY THE MODELS...THE RIDGE WILL BE
INTACT AND MORE STRONGER WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO MOVE
CLOSER TO THE LOCAL AREA.

DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE TRACKS OF BOTH SYSTEMS...RESIDENTS
OF PR AND THE USVI ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OVER THE WEEKEND AND GO OVER THEIR
HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS IN CASE THE THREAT FROM THESE TWO
TROPICAL SYSTEMS BECOMES MORE REAL.

AVIATION...A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 61W BUT MAINLY SOUTH OF 15 NORTH
WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA BETWEEN 15/18Z AND 16/00Z
SPREADING ADDITIONAL MOISTURE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. SOME BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY
OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND INTERIOR MOUNTAIN SECTIONS AS
CLOUDS DEVELOP AND OBSCURE THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN TOPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  87  79  89  80 /  40  30  30  60
STT  89  80  91  79 /  40  20  30  60

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

93/64
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 7:35 AM CDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
835 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-161000-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
835 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

TROPICAL STORM ANA MAY AFFECT THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 600 MILES TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. ADVISORIES
WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-161000-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
835 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

TROPICAL STORM ANA MAY AFFECT THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 600 MILES TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. ADVISORIES
WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 3:56 AM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryJSJ3 hr
Aug 15, 2:04 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJSJ113 min

Nearby

Hurricane Local Statements in U.S. Virgin Islands, 2009Hurricane Local Statements in Puerto Rico, 2009Every hurricane local statement in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.