High Wind Warning 5, NWS Northern Indiana

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 090923
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
423 AM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY...

.A NEAR RECORD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE
GREAT LAKES...SUPPORTING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION
THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT WESTERLY AND INCREASE DURING THE
LATE MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60
MPH WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS WELL AS POTENTIALLY CAUSE
MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.


INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-091730-
/O.CON.KIWX.HW.W.0005.091209T1500Z-091210T0000Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
423 AM EST WED DEC 9 2009 /323 AM CST WED DEC 9 2009/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING...WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
  GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH.

* IMPACTS: WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS WELL
  AS CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS SHOULD
  SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

JC

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 091600
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1100 AM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.A NEAR RECORD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE
GREAT LAKES...SUPPORTING STRONG WINDS LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT WESTERLY AND RAPIDLY
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS WELL AS
POTENTIALLY CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS
SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-100000-
/O.CON.KIWX.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091210T0000Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
1100 AM EST WED DEC 9 2009 /1000 AM CST WED DEC 9 2009/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
  GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS 
  WELL AS CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS 
  SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN 
  DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 091921
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
221 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING...

.A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG WINDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY...SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE STRONG WINDS
WILL RELAX A BIT TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST AT 20 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN
BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS WELL AS POTENTIALLY CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS AND
USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS
SITUATION.

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-100000-
/O.CON.KIWX.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091210T0000Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
221 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009 /121 PM CST WED DEC 9 2009/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
  GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20-30 MPH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS: WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE BRANCHES AS 
  WELL AS CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. PERSONS 
  SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN 
  DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

STEINWEDEL

000 
WWUS73 KIWX 092328
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
628 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-100030-
/O.CAN.KIWX.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091210T0000Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...
NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...
MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...
WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...
OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...
COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...
BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...
SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...
FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...
SPENCERVILLE
628 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009 /528 PM CST WED DEC 9 2009/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE HIGH WIND WARNING. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AND NO LONGER
POSE A THREAT FOR PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
738 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

.AVIATION...

MIX BAG OF PRECIPITATION BEING REPORTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND CAUSING PROBLEMS AT PRACTICALLY EVERY TERMINAL. MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PD WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
POSSIBLE...WHICH IS ALREADY BEING REPORTED AT KSBN AND HAVE
COVERED THIS WITH A TEMPO GROUP. SURGE OF WARMER AIR IS TAKING
LONGER THAT ORIGINALLY THOUGHT TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST
SO HELD ON TO A MIX OF RASNPL UNTIL 06/08Z AT KFWA/KSBN
RESPECTIVELY. LOOK FOR THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING AFTER 12Z WHICH WILL CHANGE ANY PRECIPITATION OVER TO
SNOW BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
OF UPWARDS OF 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35KTS AND EVEN STRONGER
TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

ANY SNOW THAT DOES FALL AND ACCUMULATES ON WEDNESDAY, MAINLY AT THE KSBN/KBEH
TERMINALS, WILL SEE BLOWING SNOW AND VISBYS DROP. HAVE STARTED
TRENDING THIS AT THE END OF THE TAF PD BUT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
WITH LATER TAF ISSUANCES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

DEEP TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED POWERHOUSE 150 KT PLUS UPR JET NOW JUST
EJECTING INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL PIVOT NEWD INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY TONIGHT WHILE TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT. 12 HR 7-5H HEIGHT
FALLS OF NEARLY 20 DAM ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY...AND
IMPRESSIVE 5-3H Q-VECTOR CONV/DPVA WILL YIELD A ROBUST LOW LVL
RESPONSE...WITH THETA-E ADV WITHIN 40-50KT CROSS ISOBARIC ISENTROPIC
FLOW. PRECIP SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WILL MOVE INTO THE FA FROM
SW TO NE EARLY THIS EVE...WITH THE SYSTEM DRY SLOT POISED TO SLIDE
IN BY LATE TONIGHT. 12Z GUIDANCE REMAINED RELATIVELY CONSISTENT IN
TRACKING THE SFC LOW TO NEAR CHICAGO BY 12Z WED AND INTO NRN LOWER
MI BY WED AFTN...WITH THE 7H LOW NW OF THAT. THIS TRACK IS OBVIOUSLY
NOT A GOOD TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOW LOCALLY. HOWEVER...THERMAL PROFILES
LOOK INITIALLY FAVORABLE FOR A BRIEF BURST OF SNOW/SLEET LATE THIS
AFTN AND EVE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. MAYBE AN INCH OR TWO AT
MOST NORTH OF ROUTE 6. THE SNOW/SLEET WITH THE INITIAL OMEGA SURGE
WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THIS EVE AS WARM AIR SURGES NWD ON THE
EASTERN FLANK OF THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING MID LATITUDE CYCLONE. AREAS
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 30 WILL SEE MAINLY RAIN LATE THIS AFTN/EVE...WITH
SOME SLEET POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTN PER UPSTREAM OBS. DRY SLOT WITH
LOW CLOUDS/DRIZZLE WILL SETTLE IN LATE TONIGHT INTO THE FIRST PART
OF WED MORNING AS THE CYCLONE WRAPS UP WEST OF HERE.

STRONG CDFNT WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH WED MORNING...WITH STAUNCH CAA
AND STRONG WINDS IN ITS WAKE LATE WED MORNING INTO WED AFTN/EVE. SFC
LOW WILL DEEPEN TO AROUND 975MB IN NRN LOWER MI PER LATEST MODEL
SOLUTIONS. RESULTANT SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT...ISOLLABARIC
COUPLET...AND NAM BUFKIT MOMENTUM PROGS SUGGEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 50
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WED/WED EVE. NAM INDICATING THAT A HIGH WIND
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED WITH 50 KNOT WINDS AT 92H. CURRENT THINKING IS
THAT MIXING THIS TO THE SFC MAY BE TOUGH GIVEN THE PROGGED LOW LVL
SHEAR. WILL COVER WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR NOW. OTHER CONCERN IS
SNOW/BLOWING SNOW CHANCES IN FAR NC IN AND SW LOWER MI WED AFTN INTO
WED NIGHT. WEAKENING DEFORMATION AXIS/SYNOPTIC SUPPORT WILL ROTATE
THROUGH THE NW WED AFTN. THIS SYNOPTIC MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
INCREASING LAKE INSTABILITY PER CAA WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
SCT/NUM SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER...ACCUMULATIONS IN THE FAR NW SHOULD
NOT BE MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO WED AFTN GIVEN BNDRY LAYER WESTERLY
FLOW OF 40-50 KNOTS LIMITING PARCEL RESIDENCE TIME. SRN/EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FA WILL LIKELY SEE LINGERING SHRAS CHANGE OVER TO A
FEW SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES ON WED. WESTERLY FLOW WILL DISSIPATE A BIT
BY WED NIGHT WITH ANY SYNOPTIC SUPPORT SHIFTING OFF TO THE NE.
LIGHTER WESTERLY FLOW AND DELTA T/S IN UPPER TEENS WITH LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LVLS INCREASING TO BTW 8-10 KFT SHOULD RESULT IN SOME
ORGANIZATION TO THE SNOW ACROSS THE FAR NORTH...ESPECIALLY NRN
CASS/BERRIEN COUNTIES IN MI. AN ADDITIONAL COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE HERE WED NIGHT...WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING
LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION OUTSIDE OF BERRIEN/CASS AND MAYBE ST
JOE COUNTIES IN MI. WILL PROBABLY NEED SOME TYPE OF HEADLINE UP IN
THESE COUNTIES FOR WED AFTN/NIGHT/THU GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR
BLOWING SNOW AND ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-5 INCHES. HELD OFF ON ANY
HEADLINE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM...

STRONG SYSTEM WILL HAVE EXITED THE REGION BY THE BEGINNING OF LONG
TERM WITH VERY COLD AIR FOLLOWING IN ITS WAKE.  H85 TEMPS FALL
QUICKLY TO -20C 12Z THU...RESULTING IN HIGHS ACROSS THE CWA WHICH
MAY PEAK BELOW 20 IN MOST LOCATIONS AS HANDLED BY A BLEND OF MET
GUIDANCE...WHICH COOLED THIS CYCLE...WITH WARMER MAV. WITH WINDS
STILL 15-20MPH THIS WILL MAKE FOR A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY DROPPING WIND
CHILL READINGS NEAR ZERO. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST...AND
EVEN STEADY GRADIENT WINDS WORKING AGAINST RADIATIONAL COOLING
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL SETTLE NEAR 10 WITH SOME LOCATIONS FALLING TO
SINGLE DIGITS.

WITH COLD AIR AND WESTERLY WINDS...LAKE EFFECT WILL GEAR UP AND LAST
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS REMAIN WEST TO WSW AND DELTA T/S STAY
NEAR 20C THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...AND 15C BY FRIDAY EVENING BEYOND
WHICH WARMING TEMPS AND BACKING WINDS SHUT THINGS DOWN. GIVEN WIND
DIRECTION MAIN IMPACT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE LIMITED TO MICHIGAN
COUNTIES.  EQL LEVELS ARE JUST ABOVE GROWTH ZONE BUT AMOUNTS MAY BE
STUNTED INITIALLY BY DRY AIR AND BRISK WIND SPEEDS KEEPING MODE
MULTICELLULAR THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS MODERATING
BACK TO LOW 30S FOR HIGHS.  BEYOND THIS...MODEL AGREEMENT BECOMES
QUITE POOR AS UPPER FLOW OVER CANADA IS HANDLED VERY DIFFERENTLY.
AN ARGUMENT COULD BE MADE TO PULL SATURDAY POPS WITH NO SUPPORT FROM
THE 12Z ECMWF...BUT WILL LET THEM RIDE GIVEN 12Z GFS AND ENSEMBLE
STILL SHOWING WEAK LOWER/MID LEVEL WAVE.  KEPT POPS DRY BEYOND THIS
AS CONFIDENCE IN ANY SOLN IS VERY LOW AS MODELS ATTEMPT TO RETURN
EASTERN TROUGH BUT DISAGREE ON EVOLUTION OF UPPER PATTERN AND
PLACEMENT OF WAVES WITHIN FLOW.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
     /MIDNIGHT CST/ THURSDAY FOR INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-
     032>034.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ WEDNESDAY
     FOR INZ003>009-012>018.

MI...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     MIZ077>081.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ001-002-
     004-005-015.

LM...GALE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...STEINWEDEL
LONG TERM...LUDINGTON
AVIATION...WEISSER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
842 AM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-091245-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
842 AM EST TUE DEC 8 2009 /742 AM CST TUE DEC 8 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST LATE
THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW IS
POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF A WINIMAC TO PAUDLING LINE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE THE RAIN BEGINS TO CHANGE TO RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BLAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING
WITH VERY WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AND SHARPLY COLDER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-091245-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
842 AM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHEAST GALES TO 35 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...CREATING
LARGE WAVES AND POSING A RISK FOR SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEST TO SOUTHWEST GALES TO 45 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING WITH STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
814 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 PM     SLEET            SOUTH BEND              41.68N  86.25W
12/08/2009  E0.0 INCH        ST. JOSEPH         IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW ACCIDENTS AND UNKNOWN PRECIPITATION BEING
            REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900115

SAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
815 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     SLEET            PLYMOUTH                41.34N  86.31W
12/08/2009  E0.0 INCH        MARSHALL           IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROADS ARE SLICK. UNKNOWN PRECIPITATION. FEW ACCIDENTS
            HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900116

SAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
821 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 PM     SLEET            ELKHART                 41.68N  85.98W
12/08/2009  E0.0 INCH        ELKHART            IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW CARS ROLLED OVER...ONE HIT A POLE AND OTHER
            SLIDE-OFFS REPORTED. ROADS ARE SNOW AND SLEET COVERED.
            UNKNOWN AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900117

SAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
826 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0824 PM     SLEET            2 SSW WARSAW            41.21N  85.87W
12/08/2009  E0.0 INCH        KOSCIUSKO          IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            US 30 ICE COVERED AND ROADS ARE SLICK. MANY SLIDE-OFFS.
            A MIX OF PRECIPIATION FALLING AT THIS TIME.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900118

SAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
828 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0828 PM     SLEET            DECATUR                 40.83N  84.93W
12/08/2009  E0.0 INCH        ADAMS              IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ONE ACCIDENT IN TOWN. PRIMARILY SNOW TRANSITIONING
            CURRENTLY TO SLEET. AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION UNKNOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900119

SAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
946 PM EST TUE DEC 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 PM     SNOW             HILLSDALE               41.92N  84.63W
12/08/2009  M2.5 INCH        HILLSDALE          MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW CAR ACCIDENTS...ONE ROLL OVER...ROADS COVERED AND
            SLICK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0900120

SAW