Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2009

Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS Fairbanks, AK

July 2, 2009

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 2, 2009, 2:23 AM AKDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 2, 2009, 2:23 AM AKDT (10:23 UTC)
Expired: Jul 4, 2009, 2:56 AM AKDT
In force: 49 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

324 
FZAK52 PAFG 021023
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-030200-
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1000 MB LOW NEAR SHEMYA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND BECOME
ABSORBED BY A 990 MB LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN
DRIFT WEST TO BE 200 MN SOUTH OF ANADYR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL
WEAKEN OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE ARCTIC.

$$

PKZ200-030200-
NORTON SOUND-
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-030200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-030200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-030200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
223 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

CF/KA JUL 09

4 follow-up statements

528 
FZAK52 PAFG 022121
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-031600-
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1000 MB LOW NEAR SHEMYA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND BECOME
ABSORBED BY A 990 MB LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA TONIGHT.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN DRIFT
WEST TO BE 200 MN SOUTH OF ANADYR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL WEAKEN
OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON SUNDAY.


$$

PKZ200-031600-
NORTON SOUND-
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-031600-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-031600-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-031600-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
121 PM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JK/RL/AC JUL 09

941 
FZAK52 PAFG 031027
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-040200-
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN DRIFT WEST TO BE 987 MB 200 NM
SOUTH OF ANADYR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ200-040200-
NORTON SOUND-
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-040200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-040200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-040200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
227 AM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CF/KA JUL 09

617 
FZAK52 PAFG 032217
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-041330-
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF ANADYR WILL WEAKEN OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THROUGH SAT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON MON.

$$

PKZ200-041330-
NORTON SOUND-
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-041330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
WINDS AND SEAS HIGHEST SOUTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-041330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT .
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-041330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
217 PM AKDT FRI JUL 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AC/RL/RT JUL 09

229 
FZAK52 PAFG 041056
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-050200-
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 MB LOW OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN.
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS INLAND OVER
NORTHWEST ALASKA AND MOVING EAST OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC
COAST.

$$

PKZ200-050200-
NORTON SOUND-
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-050200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 12 FT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS 5 FT EXCEPT 10 FT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-050200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-050200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
256 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

DJH JUL 09

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 2, 1:55 AM AKDT, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 1:55 AM AKDT, 28 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
155 AM AKDT THU JUL 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS IN SHORT RANGE ARE SIMILAR THROUGH 48 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL HIGH
CONTINUES TO BUILD NORTH. ARCTIC HIGH DROPS SOUTH SLIGHTLY AND
WEAKENS THROUGH 60 HOURS. 500 MB HEIGHT WILL REMAIN STAY HIGH OVER
THE INTERIOR THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY.

LOW IN BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST AND STRENGTHEN THE GRADIENT ALONG
WITH THE WEST COAST BY WORKING IN CONJUNCTION WITH RELATIVELY
STRONG HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC. THIS WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TH REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

MEDIUM RANGE...THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING SPREAD NEXT WEEK. AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF MAINLAND AK
WITH UPPER TROUGHS TO THE WEST OF THE STATE ACROSS THE WESTERN
BERING SEA/EASTERN RUSSIA WITH A SECOND TROUGH ACROSS NORTHERN
CANADA. 500 MB HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPS ARE ALL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
EARLY JULY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THE WARM AIRMASS ALOFT WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE CAPPED FOR THE MOST PART WITH ONLY
ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MOSTLY
ACROSS THE MORE ELEVATED TERRAIN.

BY EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK...THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES BEGIN TO
DIVERGE...BUT IN GENERAL TRY TO LOWER HEIGHTS ACROSS NORTHERN AK
EITHER AS THE CIRCULATION WITH THE UPPER LOW IN CANADA SPREADS
SOUTHWEST OR AS SOME OF THE ENERGY WITH THE LOW IN THE BERING
PRESSES EAST.  THE RELATIVE MEASURE OF PREDICTABILITY DROPS OFF
SIGNIFICANTLY BY 00Z WED/JULY 8TH...WITH THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE THAT
A STRONG RIDGE REMAINS IN TACT SOUTH OF THE STATE.

GIVEN ALL OF THE ABOVE...EXPECT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS THROUGH MONDAY
WITH SOME COOLING TO ENSUE TUES. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD LIKELY OCCUR NEXT WEEK IF THE RIDGE IN FACT DOES
BREAK DOWN WITH LOWER HEIGHTS ACROSS THE MAINLAND.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...VERY WARM DRY WEATHER WILL TAKE HOLD OF CENTRAL
ALASKA FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. THIS WILL LIKELY WARRANT FIRE
WEATHER ISSUES

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.
&&

CF JUL 09

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 2, 2:23 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFG	36 hr
Jul 2, 2:25 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFG	36 hr
Jul 2, 1:21 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFG	38 hr
Jul 2, 1:21 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFG	49 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2009 Every small craft advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.