Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WWUS85 KTWC 140212
RFWTWC

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
712 PM MST THU MAR 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST FRIDAY
MORNING UNTIL 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
146...148 AND EXTREME EASTERN 147 FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING. THIS INCLUDES
GREENLEE...GRAHAM...COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA AND
EASTERN PINAL COUNTIES...

.A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...
ALONG WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AND A HIGH
FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE RESULTED IN THE CONTINUATION OF A RED
FLAG WARNING ON FRIDAY FROM 11 AM MST TO 8 PM MST.

AZZ146-148-141015-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080314T0200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0004.080314T1800Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
712 PM MST THU MAR 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED THIS EVENING AT 7 PM MST...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT
AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CONTINUE A SLOW RISE. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER FRIDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 20 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 40 TO 50
MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW
15 PERCENT FRIDAY. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST FRIDAY MORNING TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FRIDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

$$

AZZ147-141015-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0004.080314T1800Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
712 PM MST THU MAR 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY. 

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS A DRY WEATHER
SYSTEM MOVES INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 35 TO
45 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE FACTORS HAVE RESULTED IN THE CONTINUATION
OF A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM MST FRIDAY MORNING TO 8 PM MST
FRIDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING ON FRIDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KTWC 140943
RFWTWC

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
243 AM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST FRIDAY MORNING
UNTIL 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146...148 AND
EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF 147 FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000 FEET DUE
TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH FIRE
DANGER RATING. THIS INCLUDES GREENLEE...GRAHAM...COCHISE...SANTA
CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA AND EASTERN PINAL COUNTIES...

.THE SOUTHERN END OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF ARIZONA WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...A DRY AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE RESULTED
IN THE CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM MST FRIDAY
MORNING TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000 FEET.

AZZ146>148-150300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0004.080314T1800Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
243 AM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET. 

THE SOUTHERN END OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF ARIZONA WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA TODAY...ESPECIALLY GREENLEE...GRAHAM...COCHISE...SANTA
CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA AND EASTERN PINAL COUNTIES. EXPECT SUSTAINED
20-FOOT WINDS OUT OF THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AROUND DAYBREAK TO
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING...PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DIPPING INTO
THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. 

THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND
A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE NECESSITATED THAT THE RED FLAG
WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 146...148 AND
EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF 147 FROM 11 AM MST THIS MORNING UNTIL
8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET. THIS INCLUDES GREENLEE...
GRAHAM...COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA AND EASTERN PINAL
COUNTIES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD
OF THE RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KTWC 142212
RFWTWC

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
312 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146...148 AND EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF
147 FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000 FEET DUE TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING.
THIS INCLUDES GREENLEE...GRAHAM... COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ...EASTERN
PIMA AND EASTERN PINAL COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 146 AND 148 DUE TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER DAY OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING. THIS
INCLUDES GREENLEE...GRAHAM...COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ AND EASTERN PIMA
COUNTIES. 

.THE SOUTHERN END OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ARIZONA WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...A DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER RATING HAVE RESULTED IN THE CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000
FEET.

AZZ146-148-151400-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.A.0004.080315T1800Z-080316T0300Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
312 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
BELOW 7000 FEET. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS
ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ARIZONA WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY FOR GREENLEE...GRAHAM...
COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ AND EASTERN PIMA COUNTIES. EXPECT SUSTAINED
20-FOOT WINDS OUT OF THE WEST AT 20 TO 35 MPH TO PERSISTS INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. GUSTS TO FROM 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DIPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS.

THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE NECESSITATED THAT
THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
146 AND 148 UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET. THIS
INCLUDES GREENLEE...GRAHAM...COCHISE... SANTA CRUZ AND EASTERN
PIMA COUNTIES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER EXPECTED OR ARE OCCURRING. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THE
WIND SPEEDS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE BREEZY TO WINDY
CATEGORY...BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS THE WINDS ARE TODAY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND THE
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES 146 AND 148 FOR SATURDAY DURING THE
LATE MORNING TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...AND
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON SATURDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

$$

AZZ147-150300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
312 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

THE SOUTHERN END OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN HALF OF ARIZONA WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS...MAINLY FOR EASTERN PINAL COUNTY. EXPECT
SUSTAINED 20-FOOT WINDS OUT OF THE WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH TO
PERSISTS INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...A DRY AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS.

THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE NECESSITATED THAT
THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS
OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147...MAINLY EASTERN PINAL COUNTY UNTIL 8 PM
MST THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE 
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE 
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT CONTINUES THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KTWC 150306
RFWTWC

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
805 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

AZZ146-148-151200-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.A.0004.080315T1800Z-080316T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
805 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 
FEET...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE DECREASED CONSIDERABLY SINCE
SUNSET THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE
TO RECOVER THIS EVENING FROM LOW READINGS OF BELOW 15 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. THUS...DUE TO IMPROVING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WIND
SPEEDS...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN 
SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH
THE WIND SPEEDS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE BREEZY TO WINDY
CATEGORY... BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS THE WINDS WERE TODAY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND THE
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES 146 AND 148 FOR SATURDAY DURING THE
LATE MORNING TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...AND
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON SATURDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.*|

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

$$

AZZ147-150415-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
805 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 
FEET...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED CONSIDERABLY THIS EVENING AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES CONTINUED TO INCREASE ABOVE THE 15 PERCENT
THRESHOLD. THUS...THE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

WWUS85 KTWC 150304
RFWTWC

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
804 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

AZZ146-148-151200-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.A.0004.080315T1800Z-080316T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
804 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE DECREASED CONSIDERABLY SINCE
SUNSET THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE
TO RECOVER THIS EVENING FROM LOW READINGS OF BELOW 15 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. THUS...DUE TO IMPROVING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WIND
SPEEDS...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN 
SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH
THE WIND SPEEDS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE BREEZY TO WINDY
CATEGORY... BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS THE WINDS WERE TODAY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THESE STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND THE
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES 146 AND 148 FOR SATURDAY DURING THE
LATE MORNING TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...AND
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON SATURDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.*|

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

$$

AZZ147-150415-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080315T0300Z/
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
804 PM MST FRI MAR 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED CONSIDERABLY THIS EVENING AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES CONTINUED TO INCREASE ABOVE THE 15 PERCENT
THRESHOLD. THUS...THE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
258 PM MST THU MAR 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS CROSSING THE GREAT
BASIN WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS INTO FRIDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY...A STRONG GULF OF ALASKA LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL DROP INTO THE REGION...LEADING TO MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
POTENTIALLY WET WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS ARIZONA WILL GRADUALLY BREAK
DOWN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
BECOMING MORE ZONAL DUE TO NUMEROUS DISTURBANCES PASSING TO OUR
NORTH. THE GRADIENT IS ALREADY STARTING TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH WIND GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH IN EASTERN LOCATIONS SUCH AS
SAFFORD AND DOUGLAS. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING BEFORE SLACKENING OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...CURRENT IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRROFORM CLOUDINESS
OVER ARIZONA AND UPSTREAM TO OUR NORTHWEST AS WELL WHICH WILL RESULT
IN PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT. THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN
CONSIDERABLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON LEADING TO STRONG WINDS UP TO 40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE ACROSS ACROSS
GRAHAM...GREENLEE AND COCHISE COUNTIES WHERE A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED. IN ADDITION...DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN HOISTED FOR FRIDAY AS
WELL. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

SATURDAY WILL BE MORE OR LESS A TRANSITION DAY WITH EXTENSIVE MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS AS THE BROAD TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH FROM THE GULF OF
ALASKA MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE WEST COAST. THE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
TIGHT RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF BREEZY CONDITIONS SATURDAY.

A MAJOR CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER IS EXPECTED STARTING SUNDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY AS THIS GULF OF ALASKA TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHWESTERN US. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
GENERAL DEPTH AND TIMING OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH MONDAY. AS THE TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH IT WILL BE VERY CONVECTIVE IN NATURE WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE QUITE COLD (-30C AT 500MB). FOR
THIS PACKAGE...HAVE KEPT THE MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST AS THIS MOVES THROUGH AND NUDGED POPS UP SLIGHTLY SUNDAY
AND MONDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE MAIN QUESTIONS THAT WE HAVE
YET TO HONE IN ON WILL BE THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE PRECIPITATION.
THIS WILL LARGELY BE DEPENDENT ON THE LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT
FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC. TEMPERATURES AND THICKNESSES ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO BE LOW ENOUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR SOME SNOW SHOWERS
DOWN TO THE EASTERN VALLEY FLOORS.

ONCE THAT SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA BY TUESDAY...A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BRINGING DRIER WEATHER AND MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH WINDS IN THE
BREEZY TO WINDY CATEGORY FOR MAINLY THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148 AND SRN PORTIONS OF 146 UNTIL 7 PM
MST. DUE TO SNOW PACK IN THE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY IN ZONE 146
ABOVE 7000 FEET...THE WARNING IS FOR AREAS BELOW 7000 FEET.

THE GRADIENT REALLY TIGHTENS FRIDAY WITH WINDY TO VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WIND SPEEDS ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH. MINIMUM RH
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOWER
TEENS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEREFORE...THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING ON FRIDAY
FOR ALL OF 146...148 AND EXTREME EASTERN 147...WHICH MEANS THE
EASTERN HALF OF PINAL COUNTY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MST TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS GENERALLY ABOVE 20000 FT CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA.
THESE HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...
BECOMING SWLY/WLY 15-25 KTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 KTS BETWEEN 21Z (2
PM MST)...AND 02Z (7PM). WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT BUT
THEN PICK UP AGAIN FRIDAY AND WILL BE EVEN STRONGER. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
    RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WX
     ZONES 146/EASTERN 148...BELOW 7000 FEET.
    RED FLAG WARNING FRI AFTN/EVENING FOR FIRE WX ZONES
     146/EASTERN 147/148.
    WIND ADVISORY FRI AFTN/EVENING FOR PUBLIC WX ZONES 19/30/35.

PUBLIC...LADER
AVIATION/FIRE WX...MOLLERE

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
615 AM MST THU MAR 13 2008

AZZ019-030-035-140200-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-COCHISE COUNTY-
630 AM MST THU MAR 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
THIS EVENING BELOW 7000 FEET.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TODAY AS A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES
INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. WIND SPEEDS WILL EITHER MEET OR SLIGHTLY
EXCEED RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON AS WARM TEMPERATURES ALLOW
FOR STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MAKE THEIR WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WEST
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIND SPEEDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER FRIDAY...THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED AND A WIND ADVISORY MIGHT ALSO BE NEEDED.

THE THREAT OF A LATE SEASON WINTER STORM IS INCREASING FOR LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A STORM OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL DROP DOWN
THE WEST COAST EARLY THIS WEEKEND...AND THEN TURN EAST ACROSS
ARIZONA. AHEAD OF IT...ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL...BUT SNOW LEVELS MAY LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. TRAVELERS LATE THIS WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS CLOSELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ029-031>034-141400-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-
630 AM MST THU MAR 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WARM...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEE RFWTWC /WWUS85 KTWC/ FOR MORE
INFORMATION. WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW THE CRITICAL 15 PERCENT LEVEL.
IF THE FORECAST WINDS MATERIALIZE...WIND ADVISORIES MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR PART OF THE AREA.

THE THREAT OF A LATE SEASON WINTER STORM IS INCREASING FOR LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A STORM OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL DROP DOWN
THE WEST COAST EARLY THIS WEEKEND...AND THEN TURN EAST ACROSS
ARIZONA. AHEAD OF IT...ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL...BUT SNOW LEVELS MAY LOWER AS LOW AS 3500 FEET SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. TRAVELERS LATE THIS WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS CLOSELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.