Tornado Warning 176, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 120039
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
739 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

MOC091-215-120100-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0176.000000T0000Z-080912T0100Z/
TEXAS MO-HOWELL MO-
739 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN HOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTIES...

AT 733 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF CLEAR SPRINGS...OR 7 MILES NORTH
OF WILLOW SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN 
HOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTIES...AND WILL PASS VERY NEAR TO 
THE TOWN OF CLEAR SPRINGS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

LAT...LON 3700 9204 3715 9209 3729 9174 3713 9166
      3712 9167 3705 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 245DEG 10KT 3710 9194

$$

BARJENBRUCH

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 120049
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
749 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

MOC091-120058-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0176.000000T0000Z-080912T0100Z/
HOWELL MO-
748 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HOWELL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3705 9167 3706 9198 3717 9203 3729 9174
      3714 9166 3711 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 245DEG 10KT 3711 9191

$$

MOC215-120100-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0176.000000T0000Z-080912T0100Z/
TEXAS MO-
748 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY...

AT 743 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR CLEAR SPRINGS...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF WILLOW
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF CLEAR SPRINGS.

RADAR INDICATES VERY STRONG ROTATION WITH THIS DANGEROUS STORM AND A 
TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND OR MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. 
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

LAT...LON 3705 9167 3706 9198 3717 9203 3729 9174
      3714 9166 3711 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 245DEG 10KT 3711 9191

$$

BARJENBRUCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
714 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM (THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING)...

THE BEGINNING OF A WET WEEKEND IS UNDERWAY AS ONGOING RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTH WILL
CONTINUE TO PUMP FUEL FOR RAINFALL INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO
THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE REGION...A NICE TROPICAL FEED
OF MOISTURE IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW FROM LOWELL...IS CONTINUING TO
BRING RELATIVELY DEEP MOISTURE INTO THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY AS
WELL. PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT WITH
CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS LESS THAN 20MB ACROSS CENTRAL
MISSOURI SHOULD KEEP THE RAINFALL MACHINE RUNNING INTO FRIDAY. WHILE
NOT EXPECTING ANY HEAVY RAINFALL INTO FRIDAY...THIS WILL ONLY HELP
TO SET THE STAGE FOR THE WEEKENDS RAIN BY SATURATING ALREADY WET
GROUND.

HATCH

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS INCLUDE JUST HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL
AND OVER WHAT TIME PERIOD AS A COLD FRONT AND HURRICANE REMNANTS
WILL BOTH AFFECT THE CWA.

EXPECT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO REMAIN NORTHWEST OF THE CWA THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY. THIS FRONT HAS AMPLE MOISTURE AND LIFT TO WORK
WITH AND WILL PRODUCE SOME VERY HEFTY RAINS. WHILE ITS CURRENT
POSITION IS PROVIDING SOME DECENT RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE
CWA...EXPECT THAT THE APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE
WEST AS WELL AS THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL ACT TO ACTUALLY
PULL THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MUCH OF ITS ASSOCIATED PRECIP
FURTHER NORTH. THUS HAVE LOWERED POPS AND QPF AMOUNTS FOR MUCH OF
THE CWA THROUGH SAT MORNING. EVEN WITHOUT THE DIRECT FRONTAL
INFLUENCE...MAY HAVE TO WATCH FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 80S. WE MAY BECOME
UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO SET A FEW STORMS OFF WAY OUT AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY ITSELF.

A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
SATURDAY...HELPING TO PROPEL THE COLD FRONT TO THE SOUTH. THIS
WILL ESSENTIALLY BRING THE PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH IT. AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTH...IT WILL HAVE AN INCREASINGLY TROPICAL AIRMASS
TO WORK WITH AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE MOVE UP INTO THE
REGION. EXPECT WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM...
PARTICULARLY BETWEEN 06Z SUNDAY AND 00Z MONDAY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
BE ACCELERATING AND SCOOT ON OUT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE
ACCELERATION...RAINFALL RATES WILL BE QUITE HIGH AND AM A
EXPECTING WIDESPREAD 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN WITH MAXIMUM RATES
APPROACHING 3 INCHES PER 6 HOURS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT...BUT DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY ARE OF PARTICULAR CONCERN
AS THEY MAY DROP SUBSTANTIALLY DEPENDING ON THE OVERALL TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

BARJENBRUCH

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAF CYCLE...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON THIS
EVENING...WITH SOME BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE AT KJLN. IFR CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME MORE PREVALENT LATER TONIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS DROPPING. FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE BY MID
MORNING ON FRIDAY.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-122130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
430 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE MAY BE ABLE TO BECOME
 SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING
 HOURS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ROLLA...TO OZARK...TO
 CASSVILLE LINE. ISOLATED TORNADOES...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
 QUARTERS...AND THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
 WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

 A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTH AND STALL ACROSS CENTRAL
 MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. THIS STATIONARY FRONT WILL THEN BE THE FOCUS
 FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THOUGH WIDE SPREAD
 SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY
 CAN DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
 POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING IS LIKELY
 THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD
 POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
 EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ROLLA...TO OZARK...TO CASSVILLE
 LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
723 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TORNADO          2 SW CABOOL             37.10N  92.13W
09/11/2008                   TEXAS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF MULTIPLE ROPE TORNADOES TO THE SOUTH AND
            WEST OF CABOOL.

&&

JSS