Red Flag Warning 15, NWS Pueblo, CO

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 291152
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
552 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS... HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT... PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON WEDNESDAY UNTIL 
9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...WINDY
CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS...

.FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME CRITICAL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AS BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY
AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST AND WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SPRING STORM.

COZ221-222-224>237-300400-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0012.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.080429T1800Z-080430T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
552 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON
TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME FIRE WEATHER
ZONES FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES...HAINES OF 5...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY
ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ON WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 MPH AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 OR 6.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 291805
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1205 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING AND FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS... HIGH
HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS...

.FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME CRITICAL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AS BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY
AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST AND WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301015-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0012.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
1205 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS.

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME FIRE WEATHER
ZONES FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGH HAINES INDICES
AND DRY FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES...HAINES OF 5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL
CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SAME
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ON BOTH DAYS DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD
BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 292150
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
350 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING AND FROM NOON
TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS... HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS...

.FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICAL THIS EVENING AS WINDY
CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST AND
WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
350 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS.

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME FIRE WEATHER
ZONES FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY
FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
THAT COULD RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA
THIS EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE
EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 300245
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
845 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH THE
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR WEDNESDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICAL THIS
EVENING AS WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6. CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY
CONDITIONS PERSIST AND WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301845-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
845 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF 5 OR
6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS AND
RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY
ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

METZE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
334 AM MDT MON APR 28 2008

.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

A VERY PLEASANT SPRING DAY EXPECTED TODAY...AND QUIET WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME HIGH CLOUDS SPILLING
OVR THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT IN FILTERED SUNLIGHT THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WITH H7 TEMPS CLIMBING STEADILY...WILL SEE WIDESPREAD
70S OVR THE PLAINS...AND 50S AND 60S OVR THE HIGH VALLEYS AND MTS.
ONLY CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST WAS TO DROP A DEGREE OR TWO ON ACCOUNT
OF HIGH CLOUDS. WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE LOW RHS OVER MOST OF THE REGION
AS DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. FIRE WX CONCERNS
WILL BE LIMITED BY GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT
ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL HELP WITH ANOTHER COOL NIGHT...THOUGH
WITH RISING TEMPS ALOFT...TEMPS SHOULD STAY ABOVE FZG OVR THE
PLAINS. ROSE

.LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)

MAIN CONCERNS INCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TUE AND WED...AND THEN PCPN CHANCES WITH UPR TROF
LATER THIS WEEK. UPR RIDGE WL SHIFT EWRD ACRS THE AREA ON TUE AS
AN UPR TROF MOVES OVR WA/OR AND ID. RH VALUES ACRS MUCH OF THE
AREA ON TUE WL BE BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND WITH INCREASING WINDS WE
COULD SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEA CONDITIONS DEVELOP ACRS MUCH OF THE
AREA. CONSIDERED ISSUING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUE...BUT THE
LATEST FUEL STATUS I HAVE IS A WEEK OLD AND THIS SHOULD GET
UPDATED LATER TODAY...AND THUS HAVE DECIDED TO LET THE DAY SHIFT
TAKE A LOOK AT THE NEW DATA AND THEN MAKE THE DECISION. THAT UPR
TROF WL CONTINUE MOVING EWRD TUE NIGHT AND WED. THE GFS HAS THE
UPR TROF MOVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY LATE WED...BUT THE NAM IS
A LITTLE SLOWER. WED WL BE ANOTHER DRY DAY WITH RH VALUES BELOW 15
PERCENT. THE WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGER ON WED AND THIS DAY LOOK
EVEN MORE FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MAX
TEMPS BOTH TUE AND WED WL BE ABOVE NORMAL. AT 12Z THU THE ECMWF
HAS AN ELONGATED TROF STRETCHING FROM NORTH CENTRAL MT TO WRN
CO...WITH A CLOSED LOW OVR WRN CO. THE GFS HAS A CLOSED LOW OVR
SRN ALBERTA WITH THE TROF EXTENDING SWRD TO THE UT/CO BORDER...AND
THE NAM HAS THE TROF EXTENDING SWRD INTO UT. BY 00Z FRI THE ECMWF
HAS A CLOSED LOW OVR EXTREME NWRN KS...WHILE THE GFS HAS A CLOSED
LOW OVER WRN NE. PCPN SHOULD SPREAD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA WED NIGHT AND THEN SPREADING FARTHER EWRD ACRS THE
AREA THU WITH A REAL GOOD CHANCE FOR PCPN OVR NRN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES AND LAKE AND
CHAFFEE COUNTIES...WITH SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE ECMWF HAS SOME REALLY STRONG WINDS THU OVR
PORTIONS OF THE ERN PLAINS...WHILE THE GFS IS NOT AS STRONG. BY
FRI MORNING THE MODELS FORECAST THE UPR LOW TO MOVE INTO ERN NE
WITH SOME WRAP AROUND PCPN CONTINUING THU NIGHT AND INTO FRI OVR
SOME OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE STILL SOME MODEL
INCONSISTENCIES WITH REGARD TO HOW FAST THIS SYSTEM WL MOVE ACRS
THE AREA AND ITS EXACT LOCATION. IT LOOKS LIKE MAX TEMPS ON THU
OVR THE SERN PLAINS WL BE ABOUT 25-30 DEGREES COOLER THAN ON WED.
LOOKS LIKE NWRLY FLOW WL BE OVR THE AREA ON SAT WITH MAX TEMPS
AROUND NORMAL...AND MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS OVR THE HYR TRRN. FOR SUN
THE GFS BRINGS A SHRTWV TROF ACRS THE STATE AND MOVES A COLD FRONT
INTO THE SERN PLAINS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME PCPN MOST AREAS.
WL NOT MAKE FORECAST CHANGES BEYOND FRI.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR ALL THREE TAF SITES (AND ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO) NEXT 24
HOURS...WITH LIGHT WINDS AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN U.S.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

44/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
551 AM MDT MON APR 28 2008

COZ058>089-093>099-291200-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
551 AM MDT MON APR 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES GENERALLY BELOW 15 PERCENT AT THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS. WIND GUSTS ON TUESDAY MAY BE BETWEEN 25 AND 30
MPH...AND ON WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BE 30 TO 35 MPH. IF THESE WINDS
DEVELOP...ALONG WITH THE LOW HUMIDITIES AND THE DRY FUELS...THEN
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR. A WEATHER
SYSTEM AFFECTING THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS OF TELLER...LAKE AND CHAFFEE
COUNTIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.