River Flood Warning 27, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

000 
WGUS41 KPHI 082128
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
428 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY... 

  THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON
  THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK

...MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE MILLSTONE RIVER...
...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE RARITAN RIVER...

NJC035-090328-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0021.080309T0224Z-080310T1530Z/
/BKWN4.2.ER.080309T0224Z.080309T1600Z.080310T0930Z.NO/
428 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS.
* AT 4:00 PM, THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET AND RISING. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  THE
  RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET, THE DELAWARE AND RARITAN CANAL IS FLOODED BY THE
  MILLSTONE RIVER.

$$

NJC019-035-090327-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0034.080309T0210Z-080309T1440Z/
/STTN4.1.ER.080309T0210Z.080309T0400Z.080309T0840Z.NO/
428 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON.
* AT 4:00 PM, THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND CONTINUE
  RISING TO NEAR 8.5 FEET THIS EVENING.  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL 
  BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY.
* AT 8.0 FEET, THE RIGHT BANK AND APPROACH TO THE BRIDGE IS FLOODED.

$$

NJC023-035-090327-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0027.080309T0542Z-080310T0107Z/
/BDKN4.1.ER.080309T0542Z.080309T1200Z.080309T1907Z.NO/
428 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK.
* AT 4:00 PM, THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* THIS RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT CONTINUE
  TO NEAR 29.2 FEET ON SUNDAY MORNING.  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 28.0 FEET, THERE IS MINOR FLOODING IN THE AREA.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

MILLSTONE RIVER
  BLACKWELLS MILL  9.0    6.1  SAT 4 PM    11.0  SUN 12 PM

RARITAN RIVER
  BOUND BROOK     28.0   23.9  SAT 4 PM    29.2   SUN 8 AM 
  STANTON          8.0    7.5  SAT 4 PM     8.5  SAT 11 PM

&&

IOVINO

000 
WGUS81 KPHI 090305
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1005 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  FOR THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS 
  FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON 
  FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT RARITAN 
  FOR THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK 

...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE MILLSTONE RIVER...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE RARITAN 
RIVER...

NJC035-091305-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-080310T0815Z/
/BKWN4.1.ER.080309T0900Z.080309T1800Z.080310T0215Z.NO/
1005 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS.
* 9:30 PM SATURDAY, THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AND
  IT SHOULD CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON.  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE
  SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

NJC019-035-091304-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-080309T1630Z/
/STTN4.1.ER.080308T2208Z.080309T0300Z.080309T1030Z.NO/
1005 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON.
* AT 9:30 PM SATURDAY, THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.

$$

NJC035-091012-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080309T1012Z/
/RRTN4.1.ER.080309T0009Z.080309T0200Z.080309T0412Z.NO/
1005 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT RARITAN.
* AT 9:30 PM SATURDAY, THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING SLOWLY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WAS NEAR CREST AND IT SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  OVERNIGHT.
* AT 10.0 FEET, FLOODING OCCURS ALONG OLD YORK ROAD AND IN NORTH 
  BRANCH VILLAGE.

$$

NJC023-035-091304-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0027.080309T0548Z-080310T0000Z/
/BDKN4.1.ER.080309T0548Z.080309T1200Z.080309T1800Z.NO/
1005 PM EST SAT MAR 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK.
* AT 9:30 PM SATURDAY, THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT AND IT 
  SHOULD CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.2 FEET ON SUNDAY MORNING.  THE
  RIVER SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

MILLSTONE RIVER
  BLACKWELLS MILL  9.0    7.2  SAT 930 PM    9.5  SUN 2 PM 

RARITAN RIVER
  BOUND BROOK     28.0   26.3  SAT 930 PM   29.2  SUN 8 AM 
  STANTON          8.0    8.6  SAT 930 PM     CRESTED
  RARITAN         10.0   11.1  SAT 930 PM     CRESTING

&&

IOVINO

000 
WGUS81 KPHI 091119
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS 
  SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON 
  RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK 

...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR 
   RARITAN RIVER...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE MILLSTONE
   RIVER...

NJC019-035-091624-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-080309T1624Z/
/STTN4.1.ER.080308T2208Z.080309T0115Z.080309T1024Z.NO/
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK AND APPROACH TO BRIDGE FLOODED.

$$

NJC035-092119-
/O.ROU.KPHI.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRTN4.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  NORTH BRANCH RARITAN RIVER AT RARITAN.
* AT 6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* CRESTED...FURTHER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING ALONG OLD YORK ROAD AND IN NORTH 
  BRANCH VILLAGE

$$

NJC023-035-092119-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080310T0200Z/
/BDKN4.1.ER.080309T0615Z.080309T1100Z.080309T2000Z.NO/
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 30.5 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL MAIN STREET IN THE TOWN OF
  BOUND BROOK BEGINS TO FLOOD

$$

NJC035-092119-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-080310T0742Z/
/BKWN4.1.ER.080309T0853Z.080309T1800Z.080310T0142Z.NO/
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 9.8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE D&R CANAL IS FLOODED BY THE MILLSTONE
  RIVER

$$

                    FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

MILLSTONE RIVER
  BLACKWELLS MILL   9.0    9.48  SUN 7 AM     9.8  SUN 2 PM 

RARITAN RIVER
  BOUND BROOK      28.0   29.93  SUN 7 AM    29.8  SUN 8 AM 
  STANTON           8.0    8.09  SUN 6 AM     7.1  SUN 8 AM 
  RARITAN          10.0    7.97  SUN 6 AM     9.0  SUN 8 AM 

&&

000 
WGUS81 KPHI 091447
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1047 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH RARITAN
   RIVER AT STANTON...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
   JERSEY...
 
  MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS 
  RARITAN RIVER AT MANVILLE
  RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK  

...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR 
   MILLSTONE RIVER...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE RARITAN 
   RIVER...

NJC035-100047-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-080310T0700Z/
/BKWN4.2.ER.080309T0853Z.080309T1500Z.080310T0100Z.NO/
1047 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

...MODERATE FLOODING EXPECTED...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MILLSTONE RIVER AT BLACKWELLS MILLS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS APPROACHING 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO AROUND 10.0 FEET LATE THIS
  MORNING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE D&R CANAL IS FLOODED BY THE MILLSTONE
  RIVER

$$

NJC019-035-091517-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-080309T1624Z/
/STTN4.1.ER.080308T2208Z.080309T0115Z.080309T1225Z.NO/
1047 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RARITAN RIVER AT STANTON HAS CRESTED AND IS
  NOW RECEDING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK AND APPROACH TO BRIDGE FLOODED.

$$

NJC023-035-100047-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080310T0200Z/
/MNVN4.1.ER.080309T0520Z.080309T1115Z.080309T2000Z.NO/
1047 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT MANVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOST VALLEY AT LINCOLN AVENUE FLOODS

$$

NJC023-035-100047-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080310T0200Z/
/BDKN4.2.ER.080309T0615Z.080309T1245Z.080309T2000Z.NO/
1047 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RARITAN RIVER AT BOUND BROOK.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 30.5 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL MAIN STREET IN THE TOWN OF
  BOUND BROOK BEGINS TO FLOOD

$$

                    FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

MILLSTONE RIVER
  BLACKWELLS MILL   9.0    9.98  SUN 10 AM   10.0  SUN 11 AM

RARITAN RIVER
  MANVILLE         14.0   16.14  SUN 10 AM   CRESTED 
  BOUND BROOK      28.0   29.89  SUN 10 AM   CRESTED 
  STANTON           8.0    7.65  SUN 10 AM   CRESTED 

&&

000 
WGUS81 KPHI 092002
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE RARITAN RIVER...

NJC023-035-092032-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080310T0200Z/
/MNVN4.1.ER.080309T0520Z.080309T1115Z.080309T1818Z.NO/
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR MANVILLE
ON THE RARITAN RIVER.
* AT 3:45 PM, THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET AND FALLING. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 

$$

NJC023-035-092032-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080310T0200Z/
/BDKN4.2.ER.080309T0615Z.080309T1245Z.080309T1909Z.NO/
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR BOUND BROOK
ON THE RARITAN RIVER.
* AT 3:45 PM, THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET AND FALLING. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

RARITAN RIVER
  MANVILLE        14.0   13.5  SUN 345 PM     CRESTED 
  BOUND BROOK     28.0   27.8  SUN 345 PM     CRESTED 

&&

IOVINO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1220 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE, EXTENDING FROM PENNSYLVANIA TO NORTH
CAROLINA, WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WHILE INTENSIFYING. THE LOW WILL
RAPIDLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE
REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL
SWING ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH SOME BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
INLAND CONVECTION HAS BEEN FILLING THIS MORNING, CERTAINLY ENOUGH
TO MAINTAIN THE FLOOD WATCH. MEANWHILE, THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS ABOUT THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF OUR AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, AND BETWEEN THE UPPER JET, THE NEGATIVE
TILT TO THE H5 LOW ROTATING THROUGH, THE VERY ROBUST AND VEERING
LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD AND THE DEVELOPING INSTABILITY OVER OUR FAR
SOUTHERN ZONES AT 16Z PER THE LAPS FIELDS, THAT SEEMS A GOOD IDEA.
FINALLY, WINDS OUTSIDE OF ANY CONVECTION ARE INCREASING IN ADVANCE
OF THE LOW OVER OUR SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE A WIND ADVISORY ALREADY
IS IN EFFECT, AND LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT IMMEDIATELY AFTER
THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM, THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE
WEST AND STRONG SINKING AS INDICATED BOTH BY STRONG SURFACE
PRESSURE RISES AND STRONG NVA ON A STRONG H5 JET WILL COMBINE TO
MAINTAIN AT LEAST WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS INTO OR BEYOND
MIDNIGHT. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN RECONFIGURED ACCORDINGLY. THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE AREA ALREADY HAS OR WILL MOVE WELL INTO
THE 60S WITH THE PUSH OF WARM AIR AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW.

ONCE THE LOW MOVES WELL NORTHEAST WELL CONTINUE IN GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE FROM THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
BY COMPARISON, THIS WILL BE A RATHER TRANQUIL PERIOD AND GROWING
MORE TRANQUIL AS WE MOVE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK. THE WINDS CONTINUE
GUSTY AND THE TEMPERATURES CHILL DOWN WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
LEFT BEHIND BY THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE. EXPANDING SURFACE HIGH
WILL COVER THE REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. LOWS SUNDAY
NIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN SATURDAY NIGHT UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS. HIGHS ON SUNDAY FROM AROUND FREEZING
POCONO REGION TO NEAR 50 SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE. LOW SUNDAY NIGHT 15
TO 22.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SLOW MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY WITH SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WITH IT. THE SHOWERS DISSIPATE
CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS BUT THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
MONDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY
NIGHT AND BRING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION. UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION INTO THURSDAY BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST THURSDAY AND
ANOTHER, IN WHAT HAS BEEN AN ENDLESS ASSEMBLY LINE OF TROUGHS SHOULD
BE ON THE EAST COAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK WILL BE BELOW NORMAL, THEN RISE TO AND
ABOVE NORMAL TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION FILLING IN OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT AT LEAST PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY, AND THE SOUTHERN TAF SITES CAN
EXPECT GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH. CEILINGS AND VSBYS ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE BY EARLY EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA,
BUT BY THEN WE EXPECT GUSTY W WINDS DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING INTO
SUNDAY, DUE TO THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS THE DEPARTING
LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES.

BEYOND THE TAF PERIOD, A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE THAT MIGHT BRING MVFR
CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AND A SLIGHTLY STRONGER COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM
TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY THAT MIGHT BRING CONDITIONS BRIEFLY DOWN
AS WELL. NEITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS SHOULD HAVE THE SAME IMPACT AS THE
CURRENT SYSTEM. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AT OTHER TIMES OF THE
OUTLOOK PERIOD FROM LATER SATURDAY NIGHT ONWARD.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNING IS GOING UP IMMEDIATELY OVER ALL WATERS AND WILL BE
IN EFFECT UNTIL 15Z SUNDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT IT MAY BE ABLE TO
COME DOWN A LITTLE SOONER, AND CLEARLY WE STILL HAVE OVER A DAY TO
ASSESS THE SITUATION. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT WE COULD EVEN REACH
STORM WARNING TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT THAT HIGH ATTM.
AGAIN, LATER SHIFTS WILL LOOK AT THIS FURTHER, ESPECIALLY SINCE IT
WOULD BE A NARROW WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY. WE SHOULD DROP BACK TO
SCA CONDITIONS COME SUNDAY AND DROP BELOW SCA LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT.
CURRENT WAVE WATCH DATA INDICATES THAT SCA CRITERIA WILL NOT BE
MET FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD, AFTER THE CURRENT FLAGS ARE
LOWERED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT, AS LAST NIGHTS RAINFALL
GENERALLY BETWEEN ONE-HALF INCH AND ONE INCH OVER THE WATCH AREA
IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE PRESENT ACTIVITY. THE CONVECTION ALSO IS
CAUSING SOME FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NJZ001-007>010-012-013-
     015>019.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NJZ013-014-
     020>027.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR DEZ001.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ001.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR DEZ002>004.
MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MDZ008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR MDZ008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR MDZ012-015-019-
     020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 12 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EBERWINE/MEOLA
NEAR TERM...DELISI/EBERWINE
SHORT TERM...EBERWINE
LONG TERM...EBERWINE
AVIATION...LN/ROBERTSON
MARINE...LN/ROBERTSON
HYDROLOGY...DELISI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-
091000-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

NJZ014-091000-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

NJZ013-091000-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ020>027-091000-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

ALSO...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF THE AREA
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

ANZ430-431-450>455-091000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1146 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

ALSO...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF THE WATERS
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1056 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-081800-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...CHESTERTOWN...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON
1056 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN NOW AND
100 PM. EXPECT WINDS GUSTS UP TO 55 MILES AN HOUR AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR SHARP REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AND PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS. TREES MAY BE UPROOTED IN THE STRONGER WIND GUSTS DUE TO
THE WET SOIL CONDITIONS.

SZATKOWSKI