Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 190, NWS Twin Cities, MN

July 11, 2008Le Sueur County, Rice County, Scott County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2008, 8:19 PM CDT for Le Sueur County, Rice County, Scott County, Minnesota. It was in force for 56 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 11, 2008, 8:19 PM CDT (01:19 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2008, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 56 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Le Sueur County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 11, 8:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Shakopee, MN	ONE TREE TOPPLED.
Jul 11, 8:45 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	Belle Plaine, MN
Jul 11, 8:55 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	New Prague, MN
Jul 11, 9:17 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	2 S Lonsdale, MN	REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF CO RD 4 AND CO RD 1.
Jul 11, 9:19 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	6 N Elysian, MN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 16 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 11, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jul 11, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2916 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1332 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.6
Supercell composite: 12.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMPX 120119
SVRMPX
MNC079-131-139-120215-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0190.080712T0119Z-080712T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
819 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  LE SUEUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WESTERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 816 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 65 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7
  MILES NORTHWEST OF BELLE PLAINE TO 20 MILES WEST OF KASOTA...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS INCLUDE...
  BELLE PLAINE...
  LE SUEUR...
  OTTAWA...
  JORDAN...
  KASOTA...
  SHAKOPEE...
  CLEVELAND...
  PRIOR LAKE...
  HEIDELBERG...
  LE CENTER...
  NEW PRAGUE...
  CREDIT RIVER...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WIND OR HAIL DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY...FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4425 9377 4425 9402 4434 9394 4441 9396
      4451 9389 4459 9391 4470 9364 4475 9363
      4481 9356 4482 9342 4479 9333 4421 9329
      4420 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 269DEG 38KT 4471 9381 4419 9431

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 5:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 5:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
550 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008/

STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG WITH A POTENT COLD FRONT...WILL PUSH
ACROSS MUCH OF THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TSRA
EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND TREK EAST OVER INTO
WESTERN WISCONSIN TONIGHT. SFC TEMPS HAVE SOARED INTO THE UPPER 80S
AND LOWER 90S AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER WEST CENTRAL MN. LAPSWRF MODEL
HAS TSRA DEVELOPING AND BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 23Z-02Z OVER
EAST CENTRAL MN. THE INTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS. A FEW DECRETE SUPERCELLS COULD PRODUCE
TORNADOES. EXPECT MORE OF A LINEAR LINE OF TSRA OCCURRING LATER THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT.  PRECIP WATER VALUES INCREASE TO OVER 2.00
INCHES.  WET BULB ZERO ARE OVER 12000 FEET. CAP STRENGTH(INHIBITION
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF TSRA) REMAINS FAIRLY STRONG ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME. AIRMASS SHOULD RAPIDLY DESTABLIZED IN
THE VICINITY AND JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

PRECIP MOVING OUT OF CWA OVERNIGHT...THEN A DRY WEATHER PATTERN OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DRY NORTHWEST AIR FLOW PREVAILING OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST THROUGH MONDAY.

MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE MODELS...ALL INDICATE A RATHER UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION.../00Z TAF ISSUANCE/

MAIN TAF CONCERNS HAVE TO DO WITH N TO S ORIENTED LINE OF STORMS
MARCHING ACRS MN ATTM. LINE MORE SOLID OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE
FA...AFFECTING MAINLY STC...BUT BKN CONVECTION BEGINNING TO FILL
IN OVR SWRN MN...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT THE REST OF THE TAF
SITES...EXCEPT AXN. TIMING HAS SLOWED DOWN A BIT...WITH MSP LIKELY
TO BE AFFECTED AROUND/JUST AFT SUNSET. CONVECTION SHUD CLEAR ALL
THE TAF SITES BY 06Z. THE LINE OF STORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS AND PSBLY SOME HAIL AS THEY PASS. GUSTY WINDS IN PRETTY MUCH
ALL THE TAFS...BUT ATTM...HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY GR/GS IN ANY OF
THEM. WILL CONT TO MONITOR TO SEE IF INCLUSION NEEDED IN UPDATES
OR RIGHT BEFORE TAF ISSUANCE. AS CDFNT PASSES...WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO A W TO NW DIRN...REMAINING GUSTY THRU THE ENTIRE TAF PD.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

JVM/KAT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 5:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
534 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
122245-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
534 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN. THE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR OVER CENTRAL
MINNESOTA PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER WESTERN WISCONSIN
AFTER 900 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
BEGINNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS
EVENING. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAYBE NEEDED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 11, 8:09 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
809 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     HAIL             MONTICELLO              45.30N 93.80W
07/11/2008  M0.75 INCH       WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OCCURRED AT INTERSECTION OF 25 AND 137TH.

&&

AJZ

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 8:09 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
809 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

MNZ076>078-120245-
GOODHUE-LE SUEUR-RICE-
809 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR GOODHUE...LE SUEUR AND RICE COUNTIES
UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 804 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF NEW AUBURN
TO 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF COMFREY. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT 47
MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

PEOPLE IN LE SUEUR...RICE AND GOODHUE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF LE SUEUR...OTTAWA...KASOTA...HEIDELBERG...CLEVELAND...LE
CENTER...MONTGOMERY...LONSDALE...WEBSTER AND KILKENNY...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

KAT

Local storm report, Jul 11, 8:11 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
811 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELK RIVER               45.33N 93.57W
07/11/2008  E65 MPH          SHERBURNE          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AJZ

Local storm report, Jul 11, 8:12 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
812 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     ELK RIVER               45.33N 93.57W
07/11/2008                   SHERBURNE          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OCCURRED 1 MILE WEST OF ELK RIVER GOLF CLUB.

&&

AJZ

Local storm report, Jul 11, 8:14 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
814 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 NW ELK RIVER          45.34N 93.58W
07/11/2008                   SHERBURNE          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AJZ

Local storm report, Jul 11, 8:18 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
818 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W NEW ULM             44.32N 94.51W
07/11/2008  M59 MPH          BROWN              MN   MESONET

            59 MPH WIND GUST RECORDED AT THE NEW ULM AIRPORT.

&&

MKM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 11, 7:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	McLeod, Meeker	39 min
Jul 11, 7:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Benton, Mille Lacs, Sherburne, Wright	44 min
Jul 11, 7:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Wright	36 min
Jul 11, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, McLeod, Sibley	47 min
Jul 11, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet	53 min
Jul 11, 7:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Isanti, Kanabec	47 min
Jul 11, 7:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Renville	17 min
Jul 11, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Carver, Chisago, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	64 min
Jul 11, 8:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Sherburne	27 min
Jul 11, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, Sibley	35 min
Jul 11, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Isanti	19 min
Jul 11, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet	45 min
Jul 11, 8:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Goodhue, Rice	54 min
Jul 11, 8:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Chisago, Washington	20 min
Jul 11, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Rice, Steele, Waseca	61 min
Jul 11, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Goodhue, Rice	61 min
Jul 11, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Freeborn	47 min
Jul 11, 10:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Steele	19 min
Jul 12, 3:45 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	MPX	Chippewa, Douglas, Lac qui Parle, Pope, Stevens, Swift and 1 more	15 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.