Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Twin Cities, MN

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 150216
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
914 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

MNC003-019-053-059-085-123-139-141-171-150300-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-080615T0300Z/
ISANTI MN-SHERBURNE MN-WRIGHT MN-ANOKA MN-HENNEPIN MN-RAMSEY MN-
MCLEOD MN-CARVER MN-SCOTT MN-
914 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN SCOTT...CARVER...NORTHEASTERN MCLEOD...NORTHWESTERN
RAMSEY...HENNEPIN...ANOKA...EASTERN WRIGHT...EASTERN SHERBURNE AND
SOUTHWESTERN ISANTI COUNTIES...

AT 908 PM CDT...DAMAGING WINDS OF 66 MPH WERE REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 
7 NEAR LESTER PRAIRIE WITH THIS STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS 
STORM...SEEK SAFE SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

AT 911 PM CDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST FRANCIS
TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROGERS TO WATERTOWN...AND MOVING EAST AT 53
MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WOODLAND...WAYZATA...SPRING
LAKE PARK...SHOREWOOD...OTSEGO...ORONO...OAK PARK... 
MOUND...MINNETONKA ... MINNEAPOLIS... ST. 
PAUL...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE... ANOKA AND MINNETRISTA.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...WHICH CAN UPROOT
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOFS AND WINDOWS.
EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES AS THEY MAY BE OVERTURNED. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO
EXPECTED...WHICH CAN CAUSE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND WINDOWS. SEEK
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE JUST 
NORTHWEST OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY 
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4489 9319 4457 9375 4463 9382 4464 9377
      4467 9377 4467 9388 4471 9388 4494 9422
      4520 9389 4554 9361 4538 9301 4514 9301
      4509 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 284DEG 46KT 4543 9341 4515 9352
          4496 9375

$$

KAT/MDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
640 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...

FA BETWEEN TWO ACTIVE WEATHER MAKERS AT THE CURRENT TIME. STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN IA
THIS AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS WERE TAKING SHAPE ALONG A COLD FRONT
AND STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS ND. OUR LAPSWRF SHOWING STORMS
DEVELOPING/MOVING ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MN CWA BETWEEN 00Z AND
04Z AND ACROSS THE NORTH METRO AND WESTERN WI IN THE 04Z TO 06Z
TIME FRAME. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOW OUT FOR OUR NW CWA.

ADDITIONALLY...THE NMMWRF SHOWS MORE ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ACROSS
SOUTHERN MN IN THE 06Z TO 12Z TIME FRAME. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY
850-700MB FRONTOGENESIS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND GFS DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE AREA ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE TRANSPORT AT 850MB. IN
FACT...PW IS FORECAST TO DOUBLE FROM 0.60 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN MN
TO 1.2 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. IT SEEMS THAT THE WORST WOULD BE
OVER NORTHERN IA TONIGHT WHERE THE FOCUS IS ON THE MOISTURE
TRANSPORT...BUT THE EVENING SHIFT WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS
SITUATION CLOSELY DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS.

STILL LOOKS LIKE IMPROVING CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT. SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER THE WI CWA IN
THE AFTERNOON. RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH COOL BUT DRY
WEATHER FORECAST FOR US. WARMING TREND FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NORMAL VALUES ALONG
WITH SMALL POP CHANCES SPREADING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA.

&&

.AVIATION.../00Z TAF ISSUANCE/
SFC COLD FRONT ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE/SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. TSRA
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHERE DEWPOINTS
HAD POOLED INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS
WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING MARGINAL VFR IN
THE VICINITY OF THE TSRA OR HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS. TSRA LINGERING
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MN AND
WESTERN WISCONSIN SUNDAY MORNING...THEN CLEARING WITH CLOUDS AND
CEILING AT OR ABOVE 4K AGL FEET. SKC OR CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 10K FEET
AGL OVER THE REST OF THE TAF SITES BY MID MRNG SUNDAY.  SFC WINDS
SHIFTING AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON SUNDAY.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

RAH/JVM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1137 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
151645-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1137 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT. THE
GREATEST RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE NORTH
OF A LINE FROM ALEXANDRIA TO THE TWIN CITIES TO LADYSMITH. THE
MAIN THREATS FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS IN RESPONSE TO
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WHICH WILL MOVE INTO MINNESOTA
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

MDB/JPR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
721 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 PM     HAIL             ALEXANDRIA              45.87N 95.38W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       DOUGLAS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUST OF 56 MPH MEASURED AT ALEXANDRIA AIRPORT.

&&

MDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
840 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     HAIL             MELROSE                 45.68N 94.81W
06/14/2008  M0.88 INCH       STEARNS            MN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

KME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
851 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     HAIL             4 W ATWATER             45.14N 94.86W
06/14/2008  M0.25 INCH       KANDIYOHI          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0834 PM     HAIL             ST CLOUD                45.55N 94.17W
06/14/2008  M0.88 INCH       STEARNS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0838 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 S HILLMAN             45.91N 93.89W
06/14/2008  M60 MPH          MORRISON           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
854 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 PM     HAIL             ATWATER                 45.14N 94.78W
06/14/2008  M0.88 INCH       KANDIYOHI          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COUNTY RD 2 AND 28

&&

KME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
856 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     HAIL             4 N SPICER              45.29N 94.94W
06/14/2008  M0.75 INCH       KANDIYOHI          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
858 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     MONTICELLO              45.30N 93.80W
06/14/2008  M63 MPH          WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KME