Severe Thunderstorm Warning 8, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WUUS54 KMOB 312246 CCA
SVRMOB
ALC097-129-MSC039-041-111-131-312345-
/O.COR.KMOB.SV.W.0008.080131T2244Z-080131T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
444 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LUCEDALE...
  GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LEAKESVILLE...
  SOUTHEASTERN PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  EASTERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
  SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 442 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF AVERA TO
  MCHENRY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  LEAKESVILLE TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF WIGGINS...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
  MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LEAF AND JONATHAN BY 450 PM CST...
  RAMSEY SPRINGS...BENNDALE...BEATRICE AND AVENT STATION BY 455 PM
  CST...
  FRUITDALE...VERNAL...MERRILL AND LEAKESVILLE BY 500 PM CST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3138 8789 3073 8843 3073 8884 3071 8886
      3069 8922 3140 8869
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 267DEG 40KT 3133 8862 3068 8913

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 312312
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
511 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

ALC097-129-MSC039-041-111-131-312345-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080131T2345Z/
WASHINGTON AL-GEORGE MS-STONE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-MOBILE AL-
511 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST
FOR NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN PERRY...
EASTERN STONE...GEORGE AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 504 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FRUITDALE TO BEATRICE...OR
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHATOM TO 16 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WIGGINS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ESCATAWPA...VERNAL AND BEXLEY BY 515 PM CST...
  ESCATAWPA...ROUNSAVILLE AND PISGAH BY 520 PM CST...
  VINEGAR BEND AND LUCEDALE BY 525 PM CST...
  TIBBIE AND DEER PARK BY 530 PM CST...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
STONE COUNTY...WITH TREES REPORTED DOWN AROUND WIGGINS AND MCHENRY.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A 
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

NUMEROUS CIRCULATION SIGNATURES ARE BEING DETECTED ALONG THE LEADING 
EDGE OF THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THESE WILL ALL BE CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING 
FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 1100 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND 
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3139 8854 3138 8789 3073 8843 3073 8884
      3071 8886 3070 8908 3140 8857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 267DEG 26KT 3139 8840 3069 8893

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 312336
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
536 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

MSC039-312346-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080131T2345Z/
GEORGE MS-
536 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1100 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3138 8789 3094 8825 3094 8827 3092 8827
      3078 8838 3076 8841 3077 8842 3104 8843
      3139 8829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 270DEG 40KT 3138 8802 3076 8846

$$

ALC097-129-312345-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080131T2345Z/
WASHINGTON AL-MOBILE AL-
536 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST
FOR NORTHWESTERN MOBILE AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 532 PM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SUNFLOWER
TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOFFET...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHATOM TO 13 MILES SOUTH OF LUCEDALE...MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1100 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3138 8789 3094 8825 3094 8827 3092 8827
      3078 8838 3076 8841 3077 8842 3104 8843
      3139 8829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 270DEG 40KT 3138 8802 3076 8846

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
400 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...THE LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR MCB TO THE
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS AND ACROSS THE MARINE AREA TO NEAR
APALACHICOLA.  AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA THIS
EVENING...THE WARM FRONT SHOULD BRIEFLY MOVE INTO THE COASTAL
COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREA.  MEANWHILE...THE AMOUNT OF CAPE
REMAINS LIMITED...AT MOST 500 J/KG...AS THE LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING.  THE 55 KNOT 850 JET RESULTS IN 0-1 KM
HELICITIES FOR SURFACE BASED OR NEAR SURFACE BASED CONVECTION OF
150-250 M2/S2...CERTAINLY ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SEVERE CONVECTION.
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT MID LEVEL DRY AIR WILL BE ERADICATED
AS THE LINE MOVES THROUGH...WITH WET BULB ZERO VALUES RISING TO
ABOVE 11KFT.  THE MINIMAL INSTABILITY REMAINS THE WILD CARD AND
POWERFUL LIMITING FACTOR...AND THE LACK OF DRY AIR ALOFT BECOMES AN
INCREASINGLY SIGNIFICANT LIMITING FACTOR AS WELL.  SO...COULD BE
SOME STRONG STORMS OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
LINE AS THE WARM FRONT BRIEFLY MOVES ONSHORE.  CERTAINLY CANNOT RULE
OUT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO EARLY ON BEFORE THE SOUNDING
MOISTENS COMPLETELY AND WILL MENTION POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS DESPITE
THE INCREASING LIMITING FACTORS.  DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS FOLLOW
FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION...THEN DRY CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  THE NEXT SYSTEM
DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND ADVANCES EASTWARD...WITH A
RETURN FLOW LIFTING AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA AS A
WARM FRONT...SUPPORTING CHANCE POPS FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. /29

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...THE PLAINS SYSTEM EJECTS TO
THE GREAT LAKES INTO QUEBEC ON TUESDAY.  THIS SYSTEM BRINGS A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT.  BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
SMALL POPS ON WEDNESDAY.  AFTER WARM DAYS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES RETURN TO NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. /29

&&

.MARINE...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING
AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. AS THIS
LOW PRESSURE PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA. A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL FOLLOW IN ITS
WAKE. THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL WEAKEN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST. /13

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.  AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN
JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      43  58  34  64 / 100  05  10  10
PENSACOLA   43  57  37  62 / 100  05  10  10
DESTIN      48  58  42  61 / 100  05  10  05
EVERGREEN   44  58  27  65 / 100  05  10  05
WAYNESBORO  36  54  26  63 /  90  05  10  10
CAMDEN      38  53  28  64 / 100  05  10  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

29 EVERSOLE
13 CULLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
457 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-312000-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
457 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH LOUISIANA TODAY INTO
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT.  TO THE EAST OF THE LOW...A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE INLAND FROM THE NORTHERN GULF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  AS THE LOW
PASSES TO THE NORTH...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...AND TRAVEL EAST
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH RAIN ENDING OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING....MAINLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 84 FROM
WAYNESBORO TO ANDALUSIA.  LARGE HAIL WILL BE A POSSIBILITY WITH
SEVERE STORMS AS WELL.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OVER THE MARINE AREA...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30
KNOTS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES TO
THE NORTHWEST.  A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA TONIGHT AS THE LOW PASSES TO THE NORTH.  A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS POSTED FOR THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST OF THE REGION AND MOISTURE
INCREASES ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
405 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

MSZ075-078-312245-
STONE-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW AUGUSTA AND WIGGINS...
405 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING DETECTED SOUTH AND WEST OF STONE
AND PERRY COUNTIES...

AT 400 PM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS 24 MILES WEST OF WIGGINS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL ARRIVE AT THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE COUNTY BY
420 PM AND AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND WIGGINS...WHITES
CROSSING...BELLEVILLE...JANICE...MAHNED AND NEW AUGUSTA THROUGH 445
PM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH COULD DO DAMAGE
TO WEAK STRUCTURES...DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.