Severe Thunderstorm Warning 151, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 112027
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
326 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

ALC099-112035-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-080611T2030Z/
MONROE AL-
326 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY WILL BE 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM JUST SOUTH OF MONROEVILLE THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS WEAKENING BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...BUT STILL 
LIKELY PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AROUND 35 MPH...IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.  

LAT...LON 3147 8742 3153 8733 3146 8723 3138 8732
      3140 8739
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 141DEG 6KT 3146 8735

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
415 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...LITTLE CHANGE IN TODAYS SYNOPTIC
PATTERN FROM 24 HOURS AGO. WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WITH A WEAK H5
LOW OVERHEAD...MORE LIKE THE COL AREA IN BETWEEN TWO UPPER HIGHS.
SOME COASTAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROAMING EAST ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS AND OCCASIONALLY JUST TAPPING THE BEACH EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL DEVELOP INLAND AS THE MORNING HEATS UP. AS
EXPECTED YESTERDAY...HAD SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FEROCIOUS
LIGHTNING ON TUESDAY AND WILL HAVE SIMILAR CONDITIONS TODAY. SOME OF
THE SPOTS THAT RECEIVED A THUNDERSTORM TUESDAY MAY GET ANOTHER ONE
TODAY OR THEY MAY NOT...THATS THE NATURE OF SUMMER CONVECTION. DO
THINK THAT DEVELOPMENT WILL START ALONG INTERSTATE 10 JUST BEFORE
NOON AND THEN DRIFT NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON.  /11

THIS AFTERNOONS WET MICROBURST RISK...MODERATE

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...ABUNDANT DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ALONG WITH A TUTT LOW OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND WEAK TROUGH
IN THE AREA WILL AGAIN LEAD TO ACTIVE CONVECTION ALONG THE SEABREEZE
ON THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND AS A TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE EAST COAST FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AND PW VALUES CLIMB ABOVE 2 INCHES. THIS WILL SEND A WEAK
COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY LEADING TO AN
ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD TEMPS DOWN TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW CLIMATOLOGY. THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY DOWN THE
EAST COAST DURING THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK SENDING THE COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR...A DRIER AIRMASS WOULD
FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY KNOCKING POPS BACK DOWN
BELOW CLIMO AND ALLOWING TEMPS TO WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL. THIS BEARS
WATCHING...CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR...AS IT IS RARE TO GET A
FRONT COMPLETELY THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST IN JUNE. /13

&&

.MARINE...A SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE MARINE AREA INTO
FRIDAY THEN A PIECE OF THE RIDGE BREAKS OFF AND A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER IS LEFT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE MOSTLY SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST WINDS THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK WILL BECOME NORTH AND
NORTHWEST ON THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS. WILL STILL
LIKELY BE AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST ON THE WEEKEND. A
CONTINUATION OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE MARINE AREA. SEAS GENERALLY 1 TO 3 FEET BUT LOCALLY HIGHER
IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      88  71  89  72 /  50  20  40  20
PENSACOLA   88  74  87  74 /  50  20  50  20
DESTIN      87  75  88  76 /  50  20  50  20
EVERGREEN   89  69  90  70 /  50  20  50  20
WAYNESBORO  89  69  91  70 /  40  10  50  20
CAMDEN      89  69  91  71 /  40  10  50  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

11.DF
13.JC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
105 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-121200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
105 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SEABREEZE AND MOVE
INLAND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS.  ISOALTED STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
PERIODICALLY...WITH SUDDEN WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES...HEAVY RAINS...AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARD.  AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO
NEAR 60 MPH AND HAIL TO NICKEL SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE NUMEROUS
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.  A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
133 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

MSZ075-076-111900-
PERRY-GREENE-
133 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER PERRY AND GREENE
COUNTIES...

AT 133 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AVERA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
AVERA...BOTHWELL AND SAND HILL THROUGH 200 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH...WHICH
COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS.
PERSONS IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES NEAR THIS THUNDERSTORM SEEK SHELTER IN
A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND
LOW LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER
COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
220 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

MSZ067-111945-
WAYNE-
220 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING DETECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE
COUNTY...

AT 220 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MULBERRY
TO 4 MILES EAST OF MULBERRY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
STRENGTHFORD THROUGH 245 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH
COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS.
PERSONS IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES NEAR THESE STORMS SHOULD SEEK SAFE
SHELTER IN A HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES
IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER
AROUND LOW LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
233 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

ALZ062-064-112015-
UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER BALDWIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAY MINETTE...
233 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING DETECTED OVER BALDWIN
COUNTY...

AT 233 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING FROM BAY MINETTE
SOUTHWARD TO JUST NORTH OF ROBERTSDALE.  THE STRONGEST STORM WAS
INDICATED 3 MILES NORTH OF LOXLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH.

THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND...STEELWOOD...STAPLETON AND WHITEHOUSE FORKS THROUGH 315 PM
CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH...WHICH
COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS.
PERSONS IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES NEAR THESE STORMS SHOULD SEEK SAFE
SHELTER IN A HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES
IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER
AROUND LOW LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
239 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

ALZ054-055-112015-
MONROE-WILCOX-
239 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER EXTREME NORTHERN
MONROE AND SOUTHERN WILCOX COUNTIES...

AT 238 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CHESTNUT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
FATAMA...VREDENBURGH AND BELLVIEW THROUGH 315 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS.

SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND
LOW LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER
COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.