Red Flag Warning 47, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS84 KMOB 041917
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
217 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING CANCELED FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE INTERIOR
PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY AND
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY.  RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BRIEFLY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON BUT WILL NOT SATISFY DURATION REQUIREMENTS.  SEASONABLE
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY LOW MOISTURE WILL
RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BOTH MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

FLZ001-003-005-051130-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080505T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0042.080505T1700Z-080506T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0048.080505T1600Z-080506T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0043.080506T1600Z-080507T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
217 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE
RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BRIEFLY BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL NOT SATISFY DURATION REQUIREMENTS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AROUND NOON THEN RETURN
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS BY 6 PM BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ002-004-006-008-051130-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0042.080505T1700Z-080506T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0048.080505T1600Z-080506T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0043.080506T1600Z-080507T0000Z/
COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
COASTAL WALTON-
217 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AROUND NOON THEN
RETURN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS BY 6 PM BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
946 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008

.UPDATE...COLD CLOUD TOPS=>SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED
RAPIDLY EAST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING...WITH CLEARING SKIES SETTING
UP. WELL REMOVED FROM THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS SOME 350 MILES OR SO
WEST WAS COLD FRONT POSITIONED FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND INTO THE WESTERN GULF...OFF THE SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA COAST. FRONTAL PASSAGE...FORECAST DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS
SUNDAY MORNING...COMES THROUGH DRY. WITH LATEST SATELLITE/RADAR
TRENDS...HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT WITH A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY CONDITION. NO CHANGE TO NIGHTTIME MINS. /10

.....................PREVIOUS DISCUSSION........................

.SHORT TERM...FOR SUNDAY A ZONAL FLOW IS NOTED IN THE MID TO UPPER
LEVELS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH BROAD SFC HIGH BUILDING OVER THE TN
RIVER VALLEY STRETCHING SOUTH TO THE LA COAST. THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO
SOME COOL AIR ADVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF REGION THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...THOUGH THE AIRMASS LOOKS TO BE MORE PACIFIC ORIENTED THAN
PREVIOUS COLD FRONT LAST WEEK. /32

&&

.LONG TERM...BY SUN NIGHT MID TO UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS
BEGINS TO SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH RIDGE AXIS MOVING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES BY WED AFTERNOON. A FEW IMPULSES OR SHORT
WAVES ARE NOTED IN THE MID LEVELS BY MID WEEK OVER LA DAMPENING OUT
AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS LOWER PARTS OF MS AND AL. WITH THIS
BELIEVE WE WILL SEE A GOOD RETURN FLOW DEVELOP BY WED WITH MAYBE
SOME EXTRA CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA
LATE TUES NIGHT THROUGH WED. RETURN FLOW BECOMES BETTER DEVELOPED BY
THU AS BROAD MID TO UPPER TROF DIGS SLIGHTLY OVER THE MID SECTION OF
THE COUNTRY. CURRENTLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
LOOKS UNLIKELY WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM BY LATE NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY A
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE CWFA BY SAT AFTERNOON.
/32

&&

.MARINE...A COLD FRONT ADVANCING FROM NEAR THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT.  LIGHT TO
MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT.  A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES.  A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES EASTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ADVANCES FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. /29

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL HAVE TO BE
CLOSELY MONITORED THROUGH TUES AS UPPER RIDGE AND BETTER SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT SLOWLY MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. AS A RESULT...A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. /32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      58  81  53  83 /  00  00  00  00
PENSACOLA   62  84  56  84 /  00  00  00  00
DESTIN      61  78  60  79 /  00  00  00  00
EVERGREEN   56  80  49  84 /  00  00  00  00
WAYNESBORO  55  79  49  83 /  00  00  00  00
CAMDEN      55  78  50  84 /  00  00  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
331 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-042045-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
331 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY CREATING
AN INCREASED RISK OF WILDFIRES. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.