Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS84 KMOB 081946
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
146 PM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
FLORIDA DUE TO MARGINAL DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE COUNTIES OF
ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...OKALOOSA AND COASTAL WALTON DUE TO LONG
DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING IN DRY AIR THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON THE AIR WILL NOT BE DRY ENOUGH FOR LONG ENOUGH
TO MEET FIRE WEATHER WATCH CRITERIA OVER INTERIOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP FURTHER THUS MEETING
FIRE DANGER CRITERIA OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

FLZ003-005-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080208T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0013.080210T1600Z-080211T0000Z/
INLAND SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
146 PM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ001-002-004-006-008-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0013.080210T1600Z-080211T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-COASTAL WALTON-
146 PM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
333 AM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTH
LA AND THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WILL DRIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE SFC RIDGE SHIFTS
EAST A WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL BECOME BETTERED DEVELOPED
LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY BE ENHANCED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST FROM SEABREEZE EFFECTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS
THAN YESTERDAY CAN BE EXPECTED LATER TODAY. WENT SLIGHTLY LOWER THEN
THE CURRENT MAVMOS FOR TEMPS MAINLY DUE TO PERSISTENCE AND THE
EFFECTS FROM THE COOL INSHORE WATER TEMPS. /32

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...A LONGWAVE TROF PATTERN
OVER THE EASTERN STATES SATURDAY MORNING SHIFTS INTO THE ATLANTIC
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A LARGE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN
STATES.  A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES
ON MONDAY WHILE A STRONG SHORTWAVE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
PLAINS.  DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE REGION
MEANWHILE PROMOTING MILD DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND NEAR SEASONABLE
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.  THIS NEXT SYSTEM ADVANCES EASTWARD AND
BRINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.  THIS SYSTEM ALSO SPORTS A 50-55 KNOT 850 MB JET
BUT THE NOCTURNAL PASSAGE LIMITS SURFACE BASED CAPES TO 200-400
J/KG.  SPC DOES NOT HAVE ANY AREA OUTLOOKED DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AND WILL JUST NEED TO MONITOR FOR NOW.  DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH GENERALLY MILD TEMPERATURES.
/29

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA WILL DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTHERLY
WESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME MOSTLY WEST THEN SOUTHWEST
LATER TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 17 KTS OVER INLAND BAYS AND SOUNDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO A GOOD SEABREEZE CIRCULATION
SETTING UP THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD
SLIGHTLY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
REBUILDS FROM THE WEST. A MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL
DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. /32

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
JUST IN EXCESS OF FOUR HOURS OVER THE INTERIOR PORTION OF THE SANTA
ROSA AND OKALOOSA THIS AFTERNOON.  HAVE ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR THIS AREA.  RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BRIEFLY BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS IN THIS SAME GENERAL AREA ON SATURDAY BUT WILL NOT SATISFY
DURATION REQUIREMENTS.  DRIER AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY
WILL RESULT IN A RATHER LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW
CRITICAL LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  GRANTED IT IS
THE THIRD PERIOD...BUT CONSIDERING THE LONG DURATION OPTED TO ISSUE
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
/29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      65  43  70  41 /  05  05  10  05
PENSACOLA   63  46  70  44 /  05  05  05  05
DESTIN      62  49  68  47 /  00  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   62  37  69  34 /  05  05  10  05
WAYNESBORO  64  39  68  32 /  05  05  10  05
CAMDEN      62  37  67  34 /  05  05  10  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 5 PM FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

29 EVERSOLE
32 ESBENSEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
445 AM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-091200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
445 AM CST FRI FEB 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SEVERE OR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AT THIS TIME
WIDESPREAD SEVERE OR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED.