Severe Thunderstorm Warning 21, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS52 KMHX 122048 RRA
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
447 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

NCC061-122100-
/O.CON.KMHX.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-080412T2100Z/
DUPLIN NC-
447 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR DUPLIN COUNTY...

AT 443 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WARSAW TO WALLACE...MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 48 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  KENANSVILLE AND GREENEVERS BY 455 PM EDT...
  CHINQUAPIN...CYPRESS CREEK...LYMAN AND BEULAVILLE BY 500 PM EDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3475 7820 3488 7816 3502 7816 3509 7775
      3503 7776 3492 7765 3471 7769 3470 7798
      3472 7803 3470 7814
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 260DEG 42KT 3495 7808 3470 7794

$$

24

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
309 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NW SUNDAY AND
CROSS THE AREA SUN NIGHT. LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP OFFSHORE LATE MON
INTO TUE...THEN LIFT NE AWAY FROM THE AREA WED. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE W THU AND FRI...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE SAT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE POSS STRONG TO SEVERE TSRA THIS AFTN AND
EARLY EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. STRONG HEATING IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT HAS PRODUCED DECENT INSTAB WITH CAPE VALUES AOA 1000
INLAND. THIS INSTAB COMBINED WITH GOOD LOW LVL WINDS WILL LEAD TO
POSS SOME DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS MOVE/DEVELOP OVER THE AREA.
WOULD APPEAR BEST POTENTIAL WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 17
AWAY FROM COOLER MARINE LYR. WL GO WITH LOW LIKELY POPS INLAND TO
CHC CLOSER TO THE CST INTO THE EVENING. PRECIP SHLD SLIDE OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN AFTER FROPA. LIMITED CAA WILL GIVE
LOW TEMPS IN THE MID 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKS PRETTY NICE OVERALL AS INIT FRONT IS WELL OFFSHORE
AND SECOND FRONT APPROACHES LATE. THINK WILL START OUT PC TO MCLR
WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS ESPCLY N LATER IN THE DAY AHEAD OF
SECOND FRONT AND UPR TRF. WL GO WITH SMALL POP NRN 2/3 OF CWA
DURING THE AFTN AS FORCING AHEAD OF TRF MAY SQUEEZE OUT SOME SHRA
DESPITE LIMITED MOISTURE. SFC LOW EXPECTED TO GRAD DEVELOP
OFFSHORE LATER MON INTO TUE AS UPR TRF DIGS AND CUTS OFF TO OUR S.
RIGHT NOW BEST CHCS OF PRECIP LOOK TO BE MON INTO MON NIGHT THEN
LOOKS LIKE PRECIP WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE TUE. COULD BE STRONG WINDS
WITH THIS LOW GIVEN POSITION CLOSE TO THE GULF STREAM. TEMPS MON
AND TUE WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH THE UPR TRF OVER THE
REGION...HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET TO 60 BOTH DAYS. UPR 30S
EXPECTED INLAND MON NIGHT BUT SHLD BE ENUF CLOUDS/BRZ TO KEEP ANY
FROST FROM FORMING.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG LOW OFFSHORE WILL DRIFT NE AWAY FROM THE AREA WED INTO THU
AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE W. APPEARS LOW WILL BE FAR ENOUGH
OFFSHORE TO KEEP RAIN E OF LAND...COULD BE STRONG WINDS HOWEVER
ALONG THE COAST. WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH INLAND TO ALLOW SOME MID
30S WED MORN AND LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR FROST THREAT.
THE HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FRI AND SLIDE OFFSHORE SAT. TEMPS
WILL WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH 70S EXPECTED OVER LAND THU THROUGH
SAT.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MAINLY VFR WITH OCCN MVFR VSBYS/CIGS WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND
TSTMS PSBL NEAR TERMINALS THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN MOVING
OFFSHORE. SW WIND GUSTS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE (STRONGER IN CONVECTION)
WILL DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER 13/00Z AND SHIFT MORE W TO NW BY
MORNING.

MAINLY VFR EXPECTED SUN THO SOME BKN CU/SCU BTWN 4-6K FT POSBL AHEAD
OF STRONG MID TO UPR SHORT WV. ASSOCIATED WK SFC BNDRY MOVING THRU
DURING EARLY EVENING WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BE SHIFTY BUT SHLD CONTAIN
A WLY COMPONENT AROUND 10 KT ALL DAY WITH LARGER SCALE SFC LOW PRES
N OF AREA. PSBLE MVFR CIGS MON/EARLY TUE WITH COLD UPR TROF NEARING
ERN US AND SFC LOW PRES DVLPG OFFSHORE.

&&

.MARINE...
INIT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THRU THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN BUT
GRADIENT EXPECTED TO SLACKEN TO BELOW SC THRESHOLD EVERYWHERE AFT
ABOUT 3Z...AND BEND FROM SW THIS EVENING TO W AROUND MIDNITE THEN
NW BY MORNING. SC SEAS WILL END IN CENTRAL WATERS LATE
TONIGHT...AND GIVEN WW3 IS HANDLING EVENT OK WILL SCALE BACK
ENDING TIME OF SC HEADLINES BY A FEW HOURS SRN WATERS. SPECTRAL
DENSITY PLOTS ACROSS AREA BUOYS STILL SHOW SOME LINGERING LONG
PERIOD ENE SWELL PRODUCED BY NORTH CENTRAL/EAST ATLC STORM
ACTIVITY EARLY THIS WEEK...AND EXPECT THIS TO FADE SLOWLY THRU
SUN. THIS FEATURE WILL BE DOMINANT NRN WATERS NR COAST WHERE THE
SSW WIND WAVES ARE SHADOWED. OTHERWISE THE SHORTER PERIOD SSW WAVE
GROUP WILL DOMINATE AND HAVE MORE IMPACT ON MARINERS DUE TO
STEEPNESS. GIVEN 41025 HAS SSTS ABOUT 20F LOWER THAN 36HRS
AGO...MIXING POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED AT BEST THERE THROUGH THIS
EVENINGS PREFRONTAL FLOW.

A STRONG MID TO UPR SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THRU SUN EVENING ALLOWING A
WEAK SFC BNDRY TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BE A BIT
SHIFTY TOMORROW...ESP LATER IN THE DAY/EARLY EVENING WHEN NAM/ECMWF
SUGGEST A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE THRU. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS THESE SOLNS
SUN AND SUN EVENING WITH BETTER AGREEMENT THAN GFS WHICH DOESNT
SHOW THE WEAK LOW MOVING THRU. WINDS/SEAS EXPECTED TO BE LARGEST
CENTRAL AND SRN WATERS...MAINLY OFFSHORE...WHERE A TIGHTER
GRADIENT IS ANTICIPATED. IN FACT...FUTURE SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ADD
SC HEADLINES LATE SUN AFTN/SUN EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS BUT NOT
CONFIDENT ENOUGH ATTM. THE LINGERING 12-13 SECOND SWELL ENERGY
FROM TODAY/YESTERDAY WILL DROP IN SIZE AS THE PERIOD SHORTENS WITH
DISPERSION OF THE TAIL END OF THE EVENT. YET ANOTHER WEAK SFC
BNDRY ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER MID/UPR IMPULSE EXPECTED TO MOVE
THRU DURING MON...ALLOWING MODERATE TO FRESH NLY WINDS TO DVLPG.

MARINE CONDS ACROSS ERN NC COASTAL WATERS STILL EXPECTED TO
DETERIORATE MON NITE THROUGH WED AS STRONG/COLD MID TO UPR TROF
SPARKS LOW PRES DVLPMENT OFFSHORE. THE ECMWF...SREF...AND NAM ARE
SHOWING MORE OF A WRN LOW WHILE GFS IS A BIT FURTHER OFFSHORE...THO
NOT AS MUCH SO AS PREVIOUS RUNS. THUS LEAN TOWARDS THE FORMER
CONSENSUS WHICH LEADS TO NEAR GALE CONDS THRU MIDWEEK. CONDS ONLY
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORKWEEK WITH
HIGH PRES BUILDING S OF THE AREA AND THE LOW OFFSHORE LIFTING
NE...THO SEAS/SWELL WILL BE SLOW TO FADE.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ135.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ130.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR AMZ152-154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR AMZ156-158.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RF
NEAR TERM...RF
SHORT TERM...RF
LONG TERM...RF
AVIATION...MW
MARINE...MW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
318 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-130730-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
318 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
BE STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...ALONG WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE WEST OF HIGHWAY 17 DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LESS CLOSER TO THE
COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

UNUSUALLY COLD AIR WILL AFFECT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES EARLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL DROP INTO THE MIDDLE 30S. SOME PATCHY FROST MAY BE
POSSIBLE OVER PROTECTED INLAND AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
312 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

NCZ029-044-079-122015-
GREENE-MARTIN-PITT-
312 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PITT...MARTIN AND GREENE COUNTIES
UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 312 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16 MILES NORTH
OF GOLDSBORO TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF SMITHFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60
MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR FARMVILLE AT 340 PM EDT...
AYDEN AT 400 PM EDT...WINTERVILLE AT 405 PM EDT...WILLIAMSTON AT 410
PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE STORMS INCLUDE
GREENVILLE.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON
AREA ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING AN
EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
403 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW WALSTONBURG        35.54N 77.76W
04/12/2008                   GREENE             NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIDING AND SHINGLES BLOWN OF A HOUSE.

&&

RF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
417 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0357 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE FARMVILLE          35.62N 77.57W
04/12/2008                   PITT               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            POWER POLE SNAPPED ON WESLEY CHURCH ROAD

&&

RF