High Wind Warning 65, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 272015
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
215 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND WIND ADVISORY FOR THE 
PLAINS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

.A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE
AREA.  THE STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
ALSO DEPART THE REGION.  THIS...ALONG WITH A WEAKENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT...WILL ALLOW SURFACE WINDS TO DECREASE BY LATE
AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  THEREFORE...
THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND
THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...WESTERN LOW ROLLING
PLAINS AND LOWER TRANS PECOS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 3 PM
CST.  

NMZ027-TXZ074-258-272115-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0065.000000T0000Z-081227T2100Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ALPINE...PINE SPRINGS
215 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008 /115 PM MST SAT DEC 27 2008/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

LOOK FOR WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH TO CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 3 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-272115-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-081227T2100Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...
JAL...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...
ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...
RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...SANDERSON
215 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008 /115 PM MST SAT DEC 27 2008/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 45 
MPH...WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THEREFORE...THE WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 3 PM CST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
540 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
PACIFIC FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING
LEAVING A WEST WIND IN ITS WAKE.  TAF SITES BRIEFLY GUSTED WITH
FROPA AND HAVE THEN FALLEN OFF.  EXPECT GUSTY CONDITIONS BY
MIDDAY AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS... THEN DECREASING DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON.  A FEW LIGHT RETURNS ON RADAR ACROSS LEA AND GAINES
COUNTY BUT LITTLE IF ANYTHING REACHING GROUND.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 501 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING
ACROSS THE ROCKIES PRESENTLY. THE ASSOCIATED PACIFIC FRONT HAS
PROGRESSED EASTWARD TO NEAR A BIG LAKE TO BEND BEND LINE...AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THIS MORNING. A BAND OF LOW
CLOUDS WITH SOME LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION WAS ALSO NOTED OVER
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS BAND OF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE
EASTWARD AS WELL THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE.
CLEARING SKIES SHOULD BE THE TREND FOR MOST OF THE
MORNING...MAKING WAY FOR SUNNY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE CWA BY
AFTERNOON.

CERTAINLY THE KEY CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST HAS BEEN DETERMINING HOW
THE WIND FORECAST SHOULD READ AS THIS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BOTH THE GFS AND THE
WRF SHOW THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS OVER THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. A 60 KT 70O MB JET OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
SW TEXAS THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT INTO THE NORTHEAST
PERMIAN BASIN AND ROLLING PLAINS BY NOON. PRIMARY INDICATIONS ARE
THAT SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PERMIAN
BASIN WILL APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...PRESENTLY FEEL THAT A FORECAST OF 20 TO 30
MPH SHOULD BETTER REPRESENT MOST OF THIS AREA. HOWEVER...AS
MENTIONED...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED REPORT MEET
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

OVERALL...DRIER CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR THE AREA. COLD
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED....AND HAVE TRENDED THE
LOWS CLOSER TO THE WRF SOLUTION...WHICH SEEMS MUCH BETTER THAN THE
WARMER GFS DUE TO BETTER RESOLUTION OF DEW POINTS. AFTER ONE COOL
DAY ON SUNDAY...EXPECT A QUICK WARMUP INTO NEXT WEEK.

FIRE WEATHER...
PACIFIC FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH A WEST WIND
SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION.  SOME CONCERN FOR APPROACHING CRITICAL
FIRE WX CONDITIONS TODAY... ESPECIALLY ACROSS PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN
LOW ROLLING PLAINS.  WILL HAVE COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT... BUT ALSO LOWER DEWPTS.  CURRENTLY IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT
TIME OF MAX WIND AND MAX HEAT/LOW RH WILL COINCIDE.  HIGHEST WIND
LOOKS TO BE LATE MORNING TOWARD MIDDAY AND THEN DECREASING THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON... WHICH WOULD BE TIME OF LOWEST RH.  COULD SEE MIN
RH BELOW 15 PERCENT EAST OF A SEMINOLE TO FORT STOCKTON LINE AFTER
21Z.  THEREFORE WILL NOT ISSUE ANY RED FLAG PRODUCTS AT THIS TIME...
BUT WILL HIGHLIGHT CONCERNS IN FWF AND HWO.  WILL LET NEXT SHIFT
REEVALUATE CONDITIONS AFTER SUNRISE.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH WIND.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

72/03

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
844 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-281445-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
844 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008 /744 AM MST SAT DEC 27 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS
MORNING THEN DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO AFFECT THE DAVIS MOUNTAIN ABOVE 6000 FEET AT LEAST THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON.

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AS
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN TO
NEAR 15 PERCENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND