High Wind Warning 62, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 221011
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
411 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008

...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

.STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS HAVE GRADUALLY
TAPERED BELOW WARNING LEVELS EARLY THIS MORNING. THUS...THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS ALOFT AROUND THE
BASE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. THESE STRONG WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

TXZ258-222200-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0062.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.A.0047.081223T0600Z-081224T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PINE SPRINGS
311 AM MST MON DEC 22 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUADALUPE PASS WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MST
EARLY THIS MORNING. 

THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS HAVE GRADUALLY
SUBSIDED BELOW WARNING LEVELS EARLY THIS MORNING. THUS...THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 35 TO 50 MPH...
WITH GUSTS OVER 70 MPH ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BY LATE THIS
EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

HIGH WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 62 180 LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DRIVERS OF CAMPERS...VANS...AND TRACTOR
TRAILERS.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ074-222200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.A.0047.081223T0600Z-081224T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ALPINE
411 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008 /311 AM MST MON DEC 22 2008/

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET IN THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

HIGH WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DRIVERS OF CAMPERS...VANS...AND TRACTOR
TRAILERS.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 221017 CCA
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
411 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008

...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

.STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS HAVE GRADUALLY
TAPERED BELOW WARNING LEVELS EARLY THIS MORNING. THUS...THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS ALOFT AROUND THE
BASE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. THESE STRONG WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

TXZ258-222200-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0062.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.A.0047.081223T0600Z-081224T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PINE SPRINGS
311 AM MST MON DEC 22 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUADALUPE PASS WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MST
EARLY THIS MORNING. 

THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING 
GUADALUPE PASS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE 
TUESDAY EVENING.

STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS HAVE GRADUALLY
SUBSIDED BELOW WARNING LEVELS EARLY THIS MORNING. THUS...THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 35 TO 50 MPH...
WITH GUSTS OVER 70 MPH ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BY LATE THIS
EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

HIGH WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 62 180 LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DRIVERS OF CAMPERS...VANS...AND TRACTOR
TRAILERS.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ074-222200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.A.0047.081223T0600Z-081224T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ALPINE
411 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008 /311 AM MST MON DEC 22 2008/

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY AND 
THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE 
TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH 
GUSTS TO 60 MPH ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY AND  
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS BEGINNING LATE 
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE 
DIMINISHING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

HIGH WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING 
CONDITIONS FOR MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE GUADALUPE 
MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS 
MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DRIVERS OF 
CAMPERS...VANS...AND TRACTOR TRAILERS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
549 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

A COUPLE OF CONCERNS WITH THE EVENING TAF ISSUANCE WITH THE FIRST
REVOLVING ON INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF
LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA. ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT ALONG THE 285 TO 295
THETA SURFACES. CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS WILL DECREASE
MARKEDLY AS THE OVERNIGHT HOURS CONTINUE ON...WITH A NORTHWARD
MARCH OF LOW CLOUDS EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE EASTERN PERMIAN
BASIN AFTER 06Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND WRF
INDICATE A WELL DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LAYER ACROSS KMAF BEYOND
06Z...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
TOMORROW. H85 LOW-LEVEL JET ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT
LEADING TO INCREASED MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTH. FOR NOW
HAVE ONLY INCLUDED MVFR CEILINGS AT KMAF...AS 18Z WRF INDICATES
ONLY LIMITED WESTWARD EXPANSION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD DECK. MEANWHILE
THE GFS IS A LITTLE MORE ROBUST...SUGGESTING MVFR CEILINGS AS FAR
WEST AS KFST AND KINK. WILL AWAIT 00Z MODEL DATA BEFORE MAKING
MVFR MENTION ACROSS WESTERN TAF SITES. WITH INCREASING H85
FLOW...SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KCNM. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS MAIN SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS CONTINUES SLIDING EASTWARD.

&&

32

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008/

DISCUSSION...
A COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION. SOME LOW CLOUDS WILL BE DEVELOPING/SPREADING NORTH FROM
THE RIO GRANDE LATE IN AN AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO DECREASE MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

ANOTHER DAY OF MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED MONDAY
AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST AND A SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
DEVELOPS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP NORTH AND WEST THROUGH THE MORNING AND WILL TAKE MUCH
OF THE AFTERNOON TO DECREASE. WITH 850 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURES PROGGED
TO REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE HAVE GONE WITH THE COLDEST GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES (FWC).

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT AS A CONTINUED STRONG WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT ERODES THE COLD AIR AND THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST AS
A SURFACE LEE TROUGH FORMS IN THIS FLOW. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
WILL REBOUND TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL DESPITE SOME CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS. 50 TO 70 KNOT 500 TO 700 MILLIBAR WIND SPEEDS SUGGEST
HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AS EARLY AS AFTER MIDNIGHT
MONDAY NIGHT WITH A MOUNTAIN WAVE SIGNATURE PROGGED ON THE NAM.
WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
BEGINNING AT 06Z TUESDAY AND RUN IT FOR NOW UNTIL 00Z WEDNESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY PREFERRED THE ECMWF OVER THE GFS40 AS THE CANADIAN/NOGAPS
IS SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF IN BEING LESS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SOUTHERN
STREAM TROUGH EJECTING WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY...WILL THUS HOLD OFF
ANY MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE WEATHER GRID AT THIS TIME CHRISTMAS
EVE (LIKE THE GFS SUGGESTS). TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL
BE ABOVE NORMAL. THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL PASS TO THE NORTH
BY THIS WEEKEND WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED...BUT NOT FAR
FROM NORMAL.

FIRE WEATHER...
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE MTNS MON NIGHT AND TUE
MORNING AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL TROF MOVING INTO THE 4 CORNERS REGION
BY TUE PM. ASSOCD LEE SIDE SFC TROF WILL FORM ACRS ERN NM AND WRN PB
TUE PM AND LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ALONG TROF.
ACCORDINGLY SO IT WILL BE NOTABLY WARMER TUE THAN MON. ALSO EXPECT
THAT SFC MSTR WILL BE LIMITED...AS THERE WON/T BE ENUF TIME FOR MSTR
TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY ACRS THE WRN PB/TRANS PECOS. THIS WITH THE
TEMPS IN THE 60S AND 70S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS
AND IN WRN PB SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR MIN RH/S TO FALL TO
NEAR 15 PCT OR JUST BLO FOR A FEW HRS TUE PM. MEANWHILE MID/UPPER
CLOUDS AND LIFT E OF AFOREMENTIONED TROF AXIS AND RATHER LOOSE MSLP
GRADIENT NEAR/ALONG LEE TROF WILL TEND TO INHIBIT/DELAY WINDS FARTHER
S IN WRN PB/TRANS PECOS LOWLANDS. HOWEVER ACCORDING TO NAM12
SOUNDING THERE WILL BE A WELL MIXED LAYER TO NEAR 75H WITH MEAN
LAYER WIND IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS NEAR PECOS. STILL AREA OF HIEST WINDS
AND LOWEST RH/S DON/T LOOK TO MATCH UP AS STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
ACRS SE NM/MTNS AND LOWEST RH/S WILL BE IN WRN PB AND LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF TRANS PECOS. SO ATTP WITH UNCERTAINLY WILL CONTINUE TO
FOREGO ISSUANCE OF WATCH WHILE MAINTAINING MENTION OF INCREASING
CONCERNS.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
221 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-222030-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
221 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008 /121 PM MST SUN DEC 21 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MID 20S. THIS WITH WINDS IN
THE PLAINS NEAR 10 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS READINGS NEAR 10
DEGREES AND IN THE MOUNTAINS WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILL READINGS NEAR 5 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
ABOVE 6000 FT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FT.

IN ADDITION...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE TRANS
PECOS AS DRY AIR COMBINES WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AND DRY GRASSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND