High Wind Warning 3, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS75 KLKN 120844
NPWLKN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
144 AM PDT MON MAY 12 2008

NVZ033-120945-
/O.EXP.KLKN.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080512T0900Z/
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEST WENDOVER
144 AM PDT MON MAY 12 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING.
OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA AND
THEY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON.

$$

RCM/JR/LW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
206 PM PDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
SHOWERS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...GUSTY WINDS...AND COLDER
TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER WEATHER
FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AN UPPER LOW SWINGS ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT DRAGGING ACROSS CWA
OVERNIGHT. FRONT NEAR NORTHERN CA-NV BORDER AROUND 00Z AND
MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST TO ELKO BY MIDNIGHT AND THROUGH ELY ABOUT
12Z. MAY SEE FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT...BUT
STRONGEST DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE REMAINS NORTH OF NV. HOWEVER...
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVERNIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN NV WITH SOME LOCALLY
HEAVIER PCPN POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD THE COLD FRONT...BUT
DECOUPLING WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE
USUAL PLACE OF CONCERN THIS EVENING WILL BE WENDOVER WITH SURFACE
GRADIENTS TIGHTENING. THIS AREA STILL LOOK BELOW CRITERIA...HOWEVER
MAY SEE GUSTY WINDS NEAR CRITERIA FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS RIGHT AFTER
FRONT PASSAGES THROUGH. HAVE LOWERED MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING TEMPS
BELOW MOS AS THICKNESS VALUES NEAR 543DM AND NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.
AIRMASS REMAINS UNSTABLE OVER WHITE PINE COUNTY EARLY MONDAY MORNING
FOR LINGERING SHOWERS AND TSTMS THROUGH 18Z...THEN AIRMASS
STABILIZES FOR CLEARING SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT
BUILDS INTO CWA TUESDAY FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WARMING TREND.
HARMER

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THROUGH THE EXTENDED SHOWING A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. BEFORE THAT...MODELS SHOW A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE BRUSHING NE NV AS IT PUSHES SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NW
TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH NORTHERLY FLOW...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS REMAINING OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO WEDNESDAY.
TEMPS WILL START OFF A FEW DEGS ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY...AND BY
THURSDAY GFS AND ECMWF SHOW STRONG PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO
THE WEST COAST WITH AN OMEGA BLOCK SETTING UP OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES...AND A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW IN SOUTHEAST CANADA.
THIS WILL RESULT IN THE POLAR JET RETREATING NORTH INTO ALASKA AND
NRN CANADA WITH THE STORM TRACK WELL NORTH OF NV. KEPT CONDITIONS
DRY INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE AXIS DRIFTS EAST OVER THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AND STAYS OVER THE AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY MODERATE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ON THURSDAY WITH SOME
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA...BUT THEN QUICKLY WARM TO NEAR 90 BY
SATURDAY AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW VEERS INTO THE WEST. CONTINUED TO
INCREASE TEMPS A FEW DEGS INTO NEXT WEEK WITH GFS AND ECMWF SHOWING
WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND AND 700MB TEMPS BETWEEN 12C
TO 16C. THIS WILL RESULT IN DAYTIME HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S
IN THE LOWER VALLEYS OF HUMBOLDT AND LANDER COUNTIES DURING THE
WEEKEND...WITH MID 80S TO NEAR 90 ELSEWHERE. LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ON THE MILD SIDE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR WITH 40S TO LOW 50S
ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND DURING THIS WEEKEND.  TT
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SOME MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS EXPECTED ACROSS NRN AND ERN NV THROUGH TONIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A 10 PCT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTORMS ALONG THE
FRONT AT KWMC...KELY...AND KTPH THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A 20 PCT
CHANCE AT KEKO.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT WITH SOME LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS NEAR 40 MPH. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING THIS EVENING ACROSS ZONES 451
AND 452...THEN SPREAD INTO ZONES 454...455...AND 457 OVERNIGHT
AND MONDAY.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.