Red Flag Warning 5, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS83 KLBF 150847
RFWLBF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
347 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2008

...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY...

.STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF A SURFACE FRONT WILL BRING DRY AND
VERY WARM CONDITIONS TO WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

NEZ204-206-210-160100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0005.080415T1800Z-080416T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-FRENCHMAN BASIN-
347 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2008 /247 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR LOW 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WIND...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR LOW 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WIND. 

SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO
15 PERCENT OR LOWER IN MUCH OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. 
IN ADDITION...CURED GRASS IS STILL IN ITS DRIEST WINTER STATE. 
THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO LARGE 
FIRE GROWTH AND MAY CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. THE 
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BE ALONG AND WEST OF 
HIGHWAY 61 AND ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 2. AS THE WIND 
DIMINISHES EARLY THIS EVENING...IT IS LIKELY TO SHIFT TO A MORE
WESTERLY DIRECTION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
SPRINGER

000 
WWUS83 KLBF 151717 AAA
RFWLBF

RED FLAG WARNING...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1217 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008

...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

.SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF A SURFACE TROUGH AND ADVANCING COLD FRONT WILL
BRING DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS TO WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOUTH WIND OF 10 TO 20
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. 

NEZ204-206-210-160100-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0005.080415T1800Z-080416T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-FRENCHMAN BASIN-
1217 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008 /1117 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH BY LATE 
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO 15 PERCENT
OR LOWER IN MUCH OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. IN
ADDITION...CURED GRASS IS STILL IN ITS DRIEST WINTER STATE. THIS
COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO LARGE FIRE GROWTH
AND MAY CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. THE CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BE ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 61 AND
ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 2. AS THE WIND DIMINISHES EARLY THIS
EVENING...IT IS LIKELY TO SHIFT TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

KAR

000 
WWUS83 KLBF 160106
RFWLBF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
806 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008

...WINDS HAD DECREASED AND THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED
   TO EXPIRE...

NEZ204-206-210-160215-
/O.EXP.KLBF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080416T0100Z/
EASTERN PANHANDLE/CRESCENT LAKE NWR-
SANDHILLS/VALENTINE NWR/NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST/
SAMUEL R MCKELVIE NATIONAL FOREST-FRENCHMAN BASIN-
806 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008 /706 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE DCREASED EARLY THIS EVENING AND THE RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

POWER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
313 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...
H5 ANALYSIS AND H2O IMAGERY SHOWING RIDGE IS NOW AMPLIFIED FROM
DESERT SW INTO CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES WITH DEEP TROF REMAINING
ACROSS EASTERN CONUS AND STRONGER ENERGY MOVING INTO NW CANADA. GOES
DPI TPW SHOWING MOISTURE HAS BEE WIPED OUT OF MUCH OF CONUS
ESPECIALLY GULF STATES WHICH WILL KEEP DRY FCST IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST MID WEEK. TEMPS IN THE MID 70S UNDER NORTHER PORTION OF RIDGE
YDAY SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO WESTERN CWA TODAY. VIS PICS CONTINUED TO
SHOW SOME SNOW PACK OVER N.SANDHILLS INTO NCENTRAL WITH LITTLE WIND
UNDER SFC HIGH ON SUNDAY LIMITING SOME OF THE MELTING EVEN UNDER
FULL SUN. TODAY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THIS SFC HIGH PUSHES EAST AND
LEE TROF STRENGTHENS. SOUTHERLY WINDS IN BREEZY/WINDY CATEGORY
SHOULD TAKE A TOLL ON SNOW PACK AND ALLOW GOOD WARMUP INTO WESTERN
CWA. WILL CONTINUE THE COOL BIAS HOWEVER WITH LOW 60S FAR NE...LOW
TO MID 70S IN THE WEST...WHICH WOULD BE A LEAN MORE TOWARDS MAV
GUIDANCE. GOOD WARM UP ON TUESDAY AS THIS RIDGE TRANSLATES EAST AND
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FAR NW ZONES LATE. THIS WILL LEAVE THERMAL
RIDGE OVER HEART OF CWA WITH SW FLOW TAKING DOMINATING VERTICAL
PROFILE IN THE WEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO TEMPS WELL INTO THE 70S AND
LOWER 80S...AND ALLOW RH VALUES TO APPROACH OR EXCEED CRITICAL
LEVELS...AND ELEVATE FIRE CONCERNS. FROPA SHOULD MOVE THROUGH DRY AS
ISENTROPIC VECTS DO NOT SHOW STRONG MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF
INTO LATER IN THE DAY ON WEDNEDAY...HOWEVER MUCH OF THIS WILL BE
TRANSPORTED EAST OF CWA AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE REMAINS MAINLY
SOUTHEAST OF CWA AS WELL. CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO GO ANY
HIGHER THAN SLIGHT POPS IN FCST ATTM. INSTABILITY REMAINS WELL
SOUTHEAST AS OF CWA AS WELL AND LIMITED T MENTION TO EVENING. CLOUDS
AND CAA SHOULD KEEP RATHER COOL TEMPS IN FOR THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IN
SOUTHERN CWA...THEN WARMUP LOOKS ON TRACK THROUGH LATE WEEK.

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...
    HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE ROUNDING THE CREST OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS
LIKELY TO BE OVER VALENTINE BY 15Z...BUT MAY NOT REACH NORTH PLATTE
UNTIL 00Z. STILL...UNRESTRICTED CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY WILL BE THE
RULE IN WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AT THE BEST MIXING
TIME...SURFACE WIND IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 20KT FROM THE SOUTH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

.FIRE WEATHER...
    NEAR SURFACE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS STILL LIKELY TO DROP TO 15
PERCENT OR LOWER TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN MUCH OF WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH
WIND INCREASING TO 20-30MPH. SATELLITE DERIVED GREENNESS FROM LAST
WEEK INDICATES THAT THE SPRING GREENING IS A LITTLE BEHIND SCHEDULE
THIS YEAR...SO FUEL CHARACTERISTICS MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE FIRE
GROWTH. OUR CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A FIRE WATCH FOR
MOST OF THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST FIRE ZONES. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
ONE MAY BE NEEDED FOR NIOBRARA...LOUP VALLEY (ONEILL TO BROKEN BOW)
AND LOESS PLAINS AS WELL...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH THAT
CRITICAL LEVELS OF WIND AND HUMIDITY WILL BE REACHED IN THOSE
AREAS.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FIRE ZONES
204-206-210 TUESDAY 18Z TO 01Z.

&&

13/SPRINGER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
540 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-151045-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
540 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008 /440 AM MDT MON APR 14 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

RANGELAND FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH WIND AHEAD OF AN INCOMING FRONT WILL
CREATE VERY DRY...VERY WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS.

A FRONT COMING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL REDUCE THE
FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN ITS
WAKE WEDNESDAY EVENING...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH
THEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

SPRINGER