Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS JSJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
436 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

.DISCUSSION...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
AND SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. AT THE
SAME TIME...RATHER FLAT RIDGE WILL TRY TO NOSE INTO THE FA.
HOWEVER...BANDS/PATCHES OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND EAST LEAST EARLY MONDAY...
WITH CONTINUED CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

THEN...STILL LOOKS LIKE A STRONG SHORT WAVE WILL DIG SOUTHEAST
TOWARD THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND THEN MOVE
ACROSS THE ISLANDS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRIVING
ANOTHER BOUNDARY OR POSSIBLY TWO SOUTH SOUTHEAST TOWARD AND THEN
PROBABLY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS...WITH BANDS OF CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS AND THEN AT LEAST SOME TEMPORARY DRYING BEHIND.
HOWEVER...IT LOOKS LIKE MID LEVEL TROUGHINESS WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY AND THIS MAY KEEP LOCAL WEATHER A BIT UNSETTLED.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE POPPED UP NEARLY
EVERYWHERE OVER THE FORECAST AREA SINCE MORNING. EXPECT SIMILAR
NUMEROUS COVERAGE WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NEARLY ALL
SITES EXCEPT ST CROIX FOR NEXT 12 HOURS AT LEAST. WORST CONDITIONS
EXPECTED OVER TJPS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHERE IFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE THE RULE UNTIL EARLY EVENING. OVER SAN JUAN AREA
AIRPORTS...ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG SHOWERS SHOULD PRODUCE TEMPO
IFR CONDITIONS BEGINNING 19-20Z AND PROBABLY DUE TO LAST UNTIL 3Z
OR SO...AS NIGHTTIME LAND BREEZE FLOW KICKS IN JUST AFTER SUNSET
FAVORING CONVECTION IN THAT AREA. TIST LIKELY WILL SEE SOME SHORT
TERM RELIEF AFTER 20-21Z AS SATELLITE AND RADAR DEPICT RELATIVELY
DRIER AIR COMING IN FROM THE EAST.

&&

.MARINE...LARGE...LONG PERIOD NORTH SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
COMBINE WITH EAST NORTHEAST SWELLS TO MAINTAIN ROUGH AND CONFUSED
SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE A VERY SLOW IMPROVING TREND BEGINS.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST COASTS
OF ALL OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH 11 AM AST MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  73  81  73  81 /  60  50  50  40
STT  74  81  75  81 /  60  50  50  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM AST MONDAY FOR CULEBRA-MAYAGUEZ
     AND VICINITY-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-SAN JUAN AND
     VICINITY-VIEQUES.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ710 THROUGH 750.

VI...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM AST MONDAY FOR ST CROIX-ST
     THOMAS ST JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST
     COASTS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ710 THROUGH 730.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-071000-
630 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...HIGH SURF WILL AGAIN BE AN ISSUE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT ALONG THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO.  A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST THROUGH NORTH COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY MORNING.
SWELL CONDITIONS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN
THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS.

IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST MARINE UPDATES FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS MARINE
WEATHER EVENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...CONFUSED AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...WE HAVE CONTINUED THE
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR ALL WEST THROUGH NORTH COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY MORNING. THESE
SWELL CONDITIONS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN
THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS.

IN ADDITION...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING. STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST MARINE UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON THIS MARINE WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-071000-
630 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...HIGH SURF WILL AGAIN BE AN ISSUE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING ALONG THE NORTHERN COASTS OF ST THOMAS...ST JOHN...ST CROIX
AND THE ADJACENT SMALLER ISLANDS IN THE VICINITY.  A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE COASTLINES THROUGH MIDNIGHT
MONDAY MORNING. THESE SWELL CONDITIONS WILL GENERATE STRONG AND
DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS.

IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST MARINE UPDATES FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS MARINE
WEATHER EVENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...CONFUSED AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...WE HAVE CONTINUED THE
HIGH SURF ADVISORY THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY MORNING FOR THE WEST
THROUGH NORTH COASTS OF ST THOMAS...ST JOHN...ST CROIX AND THE
ADJACENT SMALLER ISLANDS IN THE VICINITY. THESE SWELL CONDITIONS
WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF
ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS.

IN ADDITION...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING. STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST MARINE UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON THIS MARINE WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

FROM YOUR PDA/PHONE: HTTP://MOBILE.SRH.NOAA.GOV OR
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WML