Tornado Warning 166, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 012048
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

MSC061-012115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0166.000000T0000Z-080901T2115Z/
JASPER MS-
348 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR JASPER
COUNTY...

AT 348 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ORANGE...OR 14 MILES WEST OF QUITMAN...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 52 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  GARLANDVILLE AND MONTROSE BY 400 PM CDT...
  ROBERTS BY 405 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3223 8932 3223 8913 3223 8892 3186 8891
      3187 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 122DEG 46KT 3210 8901

$$

GARRETT

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 012101
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
401 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

MSC061-012115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0166.000000T0000Z-080901T2115Z/
JASPER MS-
401 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
JASPER COUNTY...

AT 401 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GARLANDVILLE...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF
NEWTON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 47 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  ROBERTS BY 410 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3211 8932 3223 8932 3223 8892 3210 8892
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 124DEG 41KT 3218 8913

$$

GARRETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1144 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING ONSHORE ON THE SERN LA COAST...

.DISCUSSION...GUSTAV HAS BEGUN TO MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE SERN LA
COAST. BANDS OF SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT INTO THE AREA AND THE
RISK OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-20 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS GUSTAV LIFTS INLAND INTO LA. THE STRONGEST
WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR IN PRECIP AS STRONG WINDS ARE MIXED DOWN TO
THE SURFACE. SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO AFTERNOON HIGHS AND POPS
SOME CENTRAL AND SRN ZONES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...THE NEXT 48-60 HRS WILL BE ALL ABOUT
GUSTAV...THE REMNANTS AND WEATHER RISKS AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES.
LANDFALL LOOKS TO BE EARLIER THAN PREV ANTICIPATED AND LIKELY VERY
CLOSE TO PORT FOURCHON BETWEEN 7-8 AM. SFC PRESSURE FALL COUPLET
STRONG SUPPORTS THIS WITH A NEARLY STEADY NW HEADING THROUGH
SOUTH-CENTRAL LA.

A FEW MAIN ISSUES TO FOCUS ON FOR THE NEXT 24HRS. HOW MUCH WILL WILL
THE CWA GET AND WHAT IMPACTS TO EXPECT...TORNADO RISK...THEN
FLOODING POTENTIAL.

THE HIGHEST WINDS LOOK TO OCCUR ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84/98 CORRIDOR
FROM NATCHEZ TO HATTIESBURG. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY SEE SUSTAINED
30-45 MPH WITH GUSTS 50-65 MPH. EXPECT WIDESPREAD TREES/POWER LINES
DOWN WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF POWER OUTAGES. THE AREA N OF HWY 84
TO I-20 SHOULD SEE SUSTAINED 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS 40-50 MPH. SCT TO
WIDESPREAD TREE/POWER LINE DMG WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF POWER
OUTAGES. NORTH OF I-20 WILL SEE SUSTAINED 18-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH. SCT TREES WILL LIKELY COME DOWN. THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 8AM N THE SE TO AROUND MIDNIGHT IN
THE SW. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM THAT POINT ON. DUE TO
THE FASTER SPEED...WE WILL REMOVE THE TS WIND WARNING AND WIND ADV
AT 09Z (4AM). THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A CLEANER SUITE OF PRODUCTS
WHICH IS QUITE LENGTHLY ALREADY.

THE MAIN SVR RISK WILL BE WITH TORNADOES IN THE OUT RAIN/STORM
BANDS. MY THINKING IS THAT GUSTAV MAY BE PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCER
AS THE DRY AIR INGREDIENT LOOKS TO BE PRESENT. STORM TRENDS THIS
MORNING SUPPORT THIS AS SEVERAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ARE/HAVE BEEN
MOVING ON SHORE ACROSS MOBILES CWA. THIS FAVORED TORNADO AREA WILL
ROTATE OUR WAY AND SHIFT W THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE TONIGHT
PERIOD. BEST RISK TODAY WILL BE SE OF A MERIDIAN TO BROOKHAVEN LINE.
THE FOCUS SHIFTS TO S OF A LAKE PROVIDENCE TO JACKSON TO LAUREL LINE
THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. MOST WILL BE BRIEF AND WEAK (EF0 TO EF1) BUT
STRONG SHEAR LOOKS TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AS WELL (EF2).
THE BRIEF PART IS TRICKY AS ANY TORNADO MAY COVER A LARGE DISTANCE
B/C OF THE FAST MOTIONS. DUE TO THIS INCREASED RISK...I HAVE/WILL
PLAY UP THE POTENTIAL MORE AND HAVE INCREASED THE PROBABILITIES TO
AROUND 12-18%.

AS FOR FLOODING...NOT REAL CONCERNED FOR THE TODAY PERIOD...BUT THE
RISK WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE S PORTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL REALLY INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
ON TUE. DURING THIS TIME...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL SLOW AND ALLOW
FOR MORE OF A TRAINING SETUP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE W HALF. AREAS
W OF I-55...MAINLY AROUND THE MS RIVER...COULD SEE SOME 5-10 INCH
TOTALS DEPENDING ON HOW THE BANDS OF CONVECTION SET UP.

THE FLOODING AND TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE FOR TUE WITH A FOCUS
ACROSS THE W HALF OF THE CWA. WILL HAVE TO EVALUATE THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW SHIFTS TO SEE IF IT NEEDS TO BE EXTENDED.
AGAIN...PARAMETERS ARE SETTING UP FOR AN ACTIVE TORNADO DAY. THIS
RISK MAY EXTEND INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV LINGER NEAR
THE AREA.

AS FOR FORECAST ELEMENTS...TWEAK TEMPS FOR SOME AREAS AS SOME WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO LONGER PERIODS OF PRECIP...OTHERS MAY GET WARMER
COME TUE/WED AS BRIEF BRAKES IN THE PRECIP WILL ALLOW FOR WARMING
WHICH WILL INCREASE INSTABILITY AND SUPPORT MORE STORMS. AS FOR
POPS...GENERALLY INCREASED POPS FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH WED. I ADDED
HEAVY RAIN AND TORNADOES INTO THE ZONES FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUES TO BETTER DESCRIBE THE RISK. I NORMALLY DONT LIKE TO MENTION
THUNDER WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS...BUT GUSTAV HAS BEEN SUPPORTING SOME
LIGHTING EITHER IN THE CORE OR IN BANDS TO AT LEAST MENTION ISO
THUNDER WHILE WE ARE UNDER HIS INFLUENCE.  /CME/

.LONG TERM...THE FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED IS DIFFICULT BUT
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE IT COULD BE A WET ONE. THE MDLS CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST GUSTAV SLOWING DOWN CONSIDERABLY AND POSSIBLY STALLING
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN LA/ERN TX. IF THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV DO STALL
OUT OR SLOW DOWN OVER THAT AREA THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN. A FFA IS ALREADY IN EFFECT THROUGH WED EVN
AND IF THIS SCENARIO SETS UP THEN THAT WATCH WILL MOST LIKELY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED INTO THU WHERE IT LOOKS LIKE AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
COULD SET UP ACROSS NERN LA/SERN AR AND WRN MS. AFTER THU IT STILL
LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A DECENT CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN INTO THE
WEEKEND. /CAB/

&&

.AVIATION...CEILINGS ACROSS THE REGION WERE GENERALLY VFR WITH MVFR
CEILINGS TO THE SOUTH FOR THIS MORNING. TROPICAL SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR MVFR TO IFR ISSUES WITH
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
EXPECT CEILINGS TO BECOME MVFR-IFR LEVELS TO DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTH
FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER CENTRAL AND SRN ZONES WITH TROPICAL STORM
FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-20. WIND WILL INCREASE OVER WRN
AREAS...INCLUDING THE DELTA...DURING THE AFTERNOON AS GUSTAV LIFTS
NWWD ACROSS LA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       73  82  72  85 / 100  98  82  84
MERIDIAN      74  84  72  86 /  83  83  62  72
VICKSBURG     75  81  73  84 / 100 100  99  92
HATTIESBURG   73  84  74  86 / 100  89  57  74
NATCHEZ       73  81  74  82 / 100 100  99  90
GREENVILLE    73  81  73  81 /  93 100  97  93
GREENWOOD     73  82  72  83 /  84  96  77  85

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR MSZ018-019-025>046-
     050>052-057-058.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR MSZ040>043-047>050-
     053>056-059>066-072>074.

     TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     MSZ047>049-053>056-059>066-072>074.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR LAZ007>009.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

     TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR LAZ015-
     016-023>026.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR ARZ074-075.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

CME/CAB/03/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
225 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ040>043-047>050-053>056-
021900-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-
225 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVES NORTHWEST OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA
...WIND...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH
HIGHER WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
LOCATED WITHIN THE HEAVY OUTER RAIN BANDS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR MORE DETAILS ON
FORECASTED WIND SPEEDS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND KEEP UP TO DATE ON
THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING GUSTAV. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 THROUGH AFTERNOON. BY EVENING...THE
RISK OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD TO THE NORTH. A FEW
TORNADOES MAY BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.

HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL RAIN BANDS MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS RESULTING IN A QUICK 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. THROUGH
TONIGHT...MOST LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING 3 TO 6 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AS THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV LINGERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
WE MAY SEE THE WESTERN AREAS IMPACTED BY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...ESPECIALLY IF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM STALLS WEST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MSZ018-019-025>039-044>046-051-052-057-058-021900-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-
CLARKE-
225 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND EAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

AS HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVES NORTHWEST OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA
...WIND...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
LOCATED WITHIN THE HEAVY OUTER RAIN BANDS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR MORE DETAILS ON
FORECASTED WIND SPEEDS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND KEEP UP TO DATE ON
THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING GUSTAV.

TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 THROUGH AFTERNOON. BY EVENING...THE
RISK OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD TO THE NORTH. A FEW
TORNADOES MAY BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL RAIN BANDS MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER
THE SAME LOCATIONS RESULTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

AS THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV LINGERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
WE MAY SEE THE WESTERN AREAS IMPACTED BY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...ESPECIALLY IF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM STALLS WEST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

LAZ024-026-MSZ059>063-021900-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
225 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH PORTION OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

AS HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVES NORTHWEST OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA
...WIND...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
LOCATED WITHIN THE HEAVY OUTER RAIN BANDS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR MORE DETAILS ON
FORECASTED WIND SPEEDS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND KEEP UP TO DATE ON
THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING GUSTAV. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 84 THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RISK OF
TORNADOES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD TO THE NORTH. A FEW TORNADOES MAY
BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.

HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL RAIN BANDS MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS RESULTING IN A QUICK 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. THROUGH
TONIGHT...MOST LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING 6 TO 10 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

AS THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV LINGERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
WE MAY SEE THE WESTERN AREAS IMPACTED BY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...ESPECIALLY IF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM STALLS WEST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MSZ064>066-072>074-021900-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
225 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVES NORTHWEST OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA
...WIND...HEAVY RAINS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
LOCATED WITHIN THE HEAVY OUTER RAIN BANDS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR MORE DETAILS ON
FORECASTED WIND SPEEDS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND KEEP UP TO DATE ON
THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING GUSTAV. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 THROUGH AFTERNOON. BY EVENING...THE
RISK OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD TO THE NORTH. A FEW
TORNADOES MAY BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.

HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL RAIN BANDS MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS RESULTING IN A QUICK 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. THROUGH
TONIGHT...MOST LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING 5 TO 10 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE
REMNANTS OF GUSTAV LINGERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WE MAY
SEE THE WESTERN AREAS IMPACTED BY LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...ESPECIALLY
IF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM STALLS WEST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

17

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     TROPICAL STORM   NATCHEZ                 31.55N 91.39W
09/01/2008                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ACROSS ADAMS COUNTY.

0223 PM     TROPICAL STORM   BROOKHAVEN              31.58N 90.45W
09/01/2008                   LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
            NUMEROUS...WIDESPREAD TREES DOWN ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY.
            TREE FELL ON A FIRE ENGINE AND INJURIES HAVE BEEN
            REPORTED.

&&

WILSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
242 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N COLUMBIA           31.43N 89.83W
09/01/2008  M60 MPH          MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED WIND GUST AS ROTATING SQUALL PASSED BETWEEN
            BUNKER HILL AND SOCIETY HILL NEAR THE MARION/JEFFERSON
            DAVIS COUNTY LINE

&&

WILSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
300 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     TORNADO          3 SW BAY SPRINGS        31.95N 89.32W
09/01/2008                   SMITH              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON HWY 531. PROBABLE TORNADO BASED ON RADAR.

&&

FXA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
302 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     TORNADO          2 NE STRINGER           31.89N 89.24W
09/01/2008                   JASPER             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON CR 10. PROBABLE TORNADO BASED ON RADAR.

&&

FXA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
305 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     TORNADO          3 SW BAY SPRINGS        31.95N 89.32W
09/01/2008                   SMITH              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON HWY 531. PROBABLE TORNADO BASED ON RADAR.

&&

FXA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
311 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     TROPICAL STORM   PURVIS                  31.14N 89.41W
09/01/2008                   LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO TRAVEL TRAILERS FLIPPED OVER.

&&

FXA