Alert archive / Michigan / Blizzard Warnings in 2008

Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Northern Indiana

December 21, 2008Cass County, Michigan

NWS Northern Indiana issued this blizzard warning at Dec 21, 2008, 3:39 PM EST for Cass County, Michigan. It was in force for 14 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2008, 3:39 PM EST (20:39 UTC)
Expired
Dec 22, 2008, 5:13 AM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

County Cass County, MI

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 21, 6:43 PM ESTBLIZZARDCassopolis, MIHIGH WINDS CAUSING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN CASSOPOLIS. SOME ROADS ARE NEARLY IMPASSABLE DUE TO 3 TO 5 FT HIGH SNOW DRIFTS UP TO 20 FT LONG ON THE ROADS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-12-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-12-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
650 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 212039
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
339 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...BLAST OF COLD AIR USHERING IN BITTER COLD WIND CHILLS...LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN SOME AREAS...

.BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL BE OVER THE REGION INTO MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND ZERO OR BELOW ZERO IN MANY
LOCATIONS...EXCEPT CLOSE TO LAKE MICHIGAN. THESE VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS WILL ALLOW FOR WIND CHILLS OF 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR
30 BELOW ZERO. THE HIGH WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE SNOW IS FALLING AND THERE IS MORE SNOW ON
THE GROUND. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ROADS ARE BEING CLOSED AND VISIBILITY IS ZERO.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD AIR AND WIND CHILLS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY
MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS AND
SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY FOR
ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

MIZ077-078-220445-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0018.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.BZ.W.0001.081221T2039Z-081222T1500Z/
BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
339 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO
MONDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO CAN BE EXPECTED. TRAVEL IS
BEING DISCOURAGED AND MANY ROADS ARE BEING CLOSED.

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE SHORE WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR
ZERO. TRAVEL WILL BE TREACHEROUS AND MANY ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE
TO ACCIDENTS OR DRIFTING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING
AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN
BERRIEN...CASS AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. THE LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY FOR
ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

INZ003>009-012-014-016-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-220445-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON
339 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 /239 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
/9 AM CST/ MONDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST /9 AM CST/ MONDAY. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 ABOVE ZERO TO NEAR
5 BELOW ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
TODAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND WILL CREATE
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WHERE
SNOW IS FALLING OR HAS ACCUMULATED ON THE GROUND. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WHICH
WILL ALSO HAMPER TRAVEL AND MAKE CONDITIONS WORSE. THE CHANCES
FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE GREATEST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6...
CLOSER TO THE INDIANA...MICHIGAN AND OHIO STATE LINES.

THE STRONG WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH
TREES AND POWER LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE
RECENT ICE STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH INTO THIS EVENING
WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME
TREES AND POWER LINES TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES
HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ079-220445-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0018.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS
339 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING
AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN
BERRIEN...CASS AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. THE LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE SHORE WILL
CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL WILL BE
TREACHEROUS AND MANY ROADS MAY BE CLOSED DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR
DRIFTING.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY
FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS WILL CREATE POTENTIALLY DEADLY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE THAT BECOME STRANDED OUTSIDE.

$$

INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024-025-220445-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
339 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 ABOVE ZERO TO NEAR
5 BELOW ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH TREES AND POWER
LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE RECENT ICE
STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KIWX 220102
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
802 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...BLAST OF COLD AIR USHERING IN BITTER COLD WIND CHILLS...LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN SOME AREAS...

.BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL BE OVER THE REGION INTO MONDAY.
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FROM ZERO TO 7 BELOW ZERO...EXCEPT
CLOSE TO LAKE MICHIGAN. THESE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL DROP WIND CHILLS TO
BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO. THE HIGH WINDS WILL
ALSO CREATE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE FALLING SNOW AND SNOW ON
THE GROUND IS BLOWN BY THE WIND. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE SOME ROADS WERE CLOSED AND
WIDESPREAD VISIBILITY WAS NEAR ZERO.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD AIR AND WIND CHILLS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS AND SNOW WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY FOR ANYONE
STRANDED OUTSIDE.

MIZ077-078-220915-
/O.CON.KIWX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
802 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO
MONDAY MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL IS BEING
DISCOURAGED AS MANY ROADS ARE CLOSED OR IMPASSABLE.

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE SHORE WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL WILL BE TREACHEROUS AND MANY
ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR DRIFTING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING
AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN
BERRIEN...CASS AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. THE LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY
FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

INZ003>009-012-014-016-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-220915-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-
STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON
802 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 /702 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
/9 AM CST/ MONDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST /9 AM CST/ MONDAY. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 ABOVE ZERO TO NEAR
5 BELOW ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
TODAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND WILL CREATE
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WHERE
SNOW IS FALLING OR HAS ACCUMULATED ON THE GROUND. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WHICH
WILL ALSO HAMPER TRAVEL AND MAKE CONDITIONS WORSE. THE CHANCES
FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE GREATEST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6...
CLOSER TO THE INDIANA...MICHIGAN AND OHIO STATE LINES.

THE STRONG WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH
TREES AND POWER LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE
RECENT ICE STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH INTO THIS EVENING
WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME
TREES AND POWER LINES TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES
HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ079-220915-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0018.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS
802 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING
AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN
BERRIEN...CASS AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. THE LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE SHORE WILL
CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL WILL BE
TREACHEROUS AND MANY ROADS MAY BE CLOSED DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR
DRIFTING.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY
FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS WILL CREATE POTENTIALLY DEADLY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE THAT BECOME STRANDED OUTSIDE.

$$

INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024-025-220915-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
802 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 ABOVE ZERO TO NEAR
5 BELOW ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH TREES AND POWER
LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE RECENT ICE
STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KIWX 220605
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...BLAST OF COLD AIR CONTINUES TO SUPPORT BITTER COLD WIND
CHILLS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN SOME
AREAS...

.BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL BE OVER THE REGION INTO MONDAY.
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FROM ZERO TO 7 BELOW ZERO...
EXCEPT CLOSE TO LAKE MICHIGAN. THESE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL DROP
WIND CHILLS TO BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO. THE
HIGH WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE FALLING
SNOW AND SNOW ON THE GROUND IS BLOWN BY THE WIND. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE SOME
ROADS WERE CLOSED AND WIDESPREAD VISIBILITY WAS NEAR ZERO.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD AIR AND WIND CHILLS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.


INZ003-007>009-012-014-016-OHZ001-002-004-005-221415-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
LA PORTE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...BRYAN...
MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 /1205 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM AROUND ZERO TO NEAR 5 BELOW
ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
THROUGH MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE PROBLEMS WITH TREES AND
POWER LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE RECENT ICE
STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
TO FAIL AS WELL.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

$$

MIZ077-078-221415-
/O.CON.KIWX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO
MONDAY MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL IS BEING
DISCOURAGED AS MANY ROADS ARE CLOSED OR IMPASSABLE.

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
40 MPH ALONG THE LAKE SHORE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
MORNING. THIS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. TRAVEL WILL BE TREACHEROUS AND MANY
ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR DRIFTING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING
AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN
BERRIEN...CASS AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. THE LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY
FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

INZ004>006-MIZ080-081-221415-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 ABOVE ZERO TO NEAR
5 BELOW ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO
THROUGH MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND WILL CREATE
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WHERE
SNOW IS FALLING OR HAS ACCUMULATED ON THE GROUND. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TONIGHT WHICH WILL ALSO HAMPER
TRAVEL AND MAKE CONDITIONS WORSE. THE CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATING
SNOW WILL BE GREATEST NORTH OF THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD.

THE STRONG WINDS TONIGHT WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH TREES AND
POWER LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE RECENT ICE
STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ079-221415-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0018.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

A COMBINATION OF STRONG WEST WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CREATE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MORNING. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. THE LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE. THIS WILL CREATE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO.
TRAVEL WILL BE TREACHEROUS AND MANY ROADS MAY BE CLOSED DUE TO
ACCIDENTS OR DRIFTING.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...COLD WIND CHILLS
AND SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...POTENTIALLY DEADLY
FOR ANYONE STRANDED OUTSIDE.

&&

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS WILL CREATE POTENTIALLY DEADLY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR
THOSE THAT BECOME STRANDED OUTSIDE.

$$

INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024-025-221415-
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
105 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM AROUND ZERO TO NEAR 5 BELOW
ZERO COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE WIND
CHILLS BETWEEN 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO THROUGH
MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE HAVOC WITH TREES AND POWER
LINES ALREADY COVERED WITH ICE OR WEAKENED BY THE RECENT ICE
STORM. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
ADDITIONAL TREE LIMBS AND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
TO FAIL AS WELL. REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RECEIVED.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

$$

JC
000 
WWUS43 KIWX 221013
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...FIRST WAVE OF WINTER WEATHER WINDING DOWN...WITH ANOTHER WINTER
STORM LOOMING AHEAD...

.LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY EXIT THE REGION...AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DOING THE
SAME ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. AN ADDITIONAL 1 OR 2 INCHES
OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN BERRIEN
AND WESTERN CASS COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL
SUPPORT AREAS OF DRIFTING SNOW...MAINLY ON NORTH-SOUTH ROADWAYS.
OTHERWISE....DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO
CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING JUST
BELOW ZERO AT MANY LOCATIONS.

ANOTHER POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWS AND
SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO START AS SNOW LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET SOUTH
OF ROUTE 30 LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...EVENTUALLY MIXING WITH
FREEZING RAIN. THE MIX PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION WITH MAINLY SNOW EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AT THIS
TIME. AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE ROUTE 30 CORRIDOR HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT ICING DEPENDING ON HOW QUICK
SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR A QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IN THIS AREA.
FARTHER NORTH...MAINLY SNOW IS EXPECTED POSSIBLY MIXING WITH
SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ICE ACCUMULATION.

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH REGARDING THIS EVENT...AS A SLIGHT SHIFT
IN STORM TRACK AND SPEED WILL HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST.
IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT THE WINTRY CONDITIONS COULD ALSO EXTEND
INTO THE DAY WEDNESDAY. PERSONS SHOULD BEGIN THINKING ABOUT
PREPARATIONS NOW...WELL BEFORE THE EVENT IS SET TO
BEGIN...ESPECIALLY WITH HOLIDAY TRAVEL INCREASING. TAKE TIME TO
ORGANIZE A PLAN OF ACTION AND CREATE A PREPAREDNESS KIT WITH
SUPPLIES SO YOU ARE NOT CAUGHT OFF GUARD. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.


MIZ077-078-221815-
/O.CAN.KIWX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.LE.Y.0009.081222T1013Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0012.081223T1800Z-081224T1200Z/
BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A HALF MILE OR LESS
CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL SUPPORT AREAS OF DRIFTING
SNOW. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GREATLY IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING
AS WINDS DIMINISH AND SNOW SHOWERS WANE.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. 

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND SLEET TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES.

&&

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ079-221815-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0018.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.LE.Y.0009.081222T1013Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0012.081223T1800Z-081224T1200Z/
ST. JOSEPH MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THOROUGH THE MORNING.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A HALF MILE OR LESS CAN BE
EXPECTED AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS WILL SUPPORT AREAS OF DRIFTING SNOW. CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO GREATLY IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING AS WINDS DIMINISH AND
SNOW SHOWERS WANE.

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH READINGS RANGING
FROM 10 BELOW ZERO CLOSER TO THE LAKE TO AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO
WELL INLAND. 

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND SLEET TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES. FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET.

&&

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

INZ004>006-MIZ080-081-221815-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0012.081223T1800Z-081224T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES AROUND ZERO WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO
20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO
THROUGH MORNING.

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOW AND SLEET TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN.


&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

INZ012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ004-005-015-016-024-025-221815-
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0012.081223T1800Z-081224T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-
WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-
JAY-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...
FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...
DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...
VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 /413 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES AROUND ZERO WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO
20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO
THROUGH MORNING.

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH PRECIPITATION MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO FREEZING
RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
EXCESS OF ONE QUARTER INCH...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE
30.

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

INZ003-007>009-OHZ001-002-221815-
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0012.081223T1800Z-081224T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-081222T1800Z/
LA PORTE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD
513 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 /413 AM CST MON DEC 22 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES RANGING AROUND ZERO WITH WESTERLY WINDS
OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 25
BELOW ZERO THROUGH MORNING.

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SNOW...SLEET AND POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A PERIOD OF FREEZING
RAIN. 

&&

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

JC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Dec 21, 12:24 PM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 12:24 PM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1224 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS

VERY DRY/COLD AIRMASS AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE BEHIND ARCTIC
FRONT HAS LED TO VFR CONDITIONS AT BOTH TAF SITES. SHOULD SEE VFR
CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE MID AFTN HOURS...ALTHOUGH
DEVELOPING CU FIELD MAY ALLOW FOR BKN HIGH END MVFR CIGS. WILL
REMAIN OPTIMISTIC WITH SCT020 FOR NOW AND AMEND IF NEEDED. STRONG
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND LOW TRACKING INTO THE EASTERN LAKES
HAS ALLOWED WINDS TO GUST NEAR 35 KTS. EXPECT THESE STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A SFC HIGH BUILDS INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY. MAIN FCST ISSUE WILL BE EVOLUTION OF LAKE EFFECT SHSN
ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS SECONDARY TROUGH AXIS
PIVOTS THROUGH ON BACKSIDE OF DEEP UPPER VORTEX. FLOW WITHIN THE
CLOUD BEARING LAYER WILL SHIFT MORE WNW WHICH WILL ALLOW SHSN
ACTIVITY AND MVFR SC DECK TO IMPACT FWA/SBN. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF LIFR/IFR VIS RESTRICTIONS AT SBN LATE THIS
AFTN AND TONIGHT. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE WITH MVFR CIG/VIS FCST
WITH A TEMPO IFR MENTION THIS EVENING AT SBN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1040 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008/

..DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND INCREASING
THREAT FOR POWER OUTAGES CONTINUE TO LOOM...

UPDATE...

SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO FORECAST THIS MORNING AND ALL PRODUCTS
SHOULD BE UPDATED AND OUT. SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH ARCTIC INTRUSION HAS CLEARED SKIES ACROSS MOST AREAS EXCEPT
WHERE LAKE CLOUDS PERSIST. ADDED SUNSHINE SHOULD HELP INCREASE
MIXING TO SOME EXTENT IN LOWER LEVELS AND THIS WILL RESULT IN
INCREASED WINDS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE
AGAIN LATER TODAY. SURFACE GEOSTROPHIC WIND PLOT SHOWING 50 TO 60
KNOTS AT 12Z UPSTREAM TO EASTERN IA AND WESTERN WI. BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS WERE SHOWING POTENTIAL OF UP TO 45 KNOTS FROM INVERSION
HEIGHT. GIVEN THE ICING SITUATION AND NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES
ALREADY OCCURRING...DECIDED TO UPGRADE TO A WIND ADVISORY MOST
AREAS. HOWEVER...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS WHERE A LIGHT SNOW
OCCURRED AND SNOW COVER ALREADY EXISTS...WENT WITH A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ADDED IMPACT OF BLOWING SNOW AND POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS PRODUCT
COMBINES THE WIND THREAT WITH THE BLOWING SNOW FOR SIMPLICITY OF
HEADLINES.

NEXT FOCUS WAS ON WIND CHILL CRITERIA. AS WE HAVE BEEN INDICATING
LAST FEW DAYS...MODELS HAD NO CLUE ON SEVERITY OF THIS COLD AIRMASS
AND ONLY COLLABORATION ISSUES KEPT US FROM GOING COLDER. NOW THAT IT
IS HERE AND TEMPS ARE WELL BELOW GUIDANCE...UPGRADES ARE NEEDED FROM
WIND CHILL ADVISORY TO WARNINGS. SEVERAL SITES ALREADY AT OR BELOW
ZERO WITH TEMPERATURES AND CURRENT WINDS CREATING WIND CHILLS AT
WARNING CRITERIA NEAR 25 BELOW ZERO. UPGRADED ALL AREAS TO WARNING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HIGHER GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON COULD PUSH
VALUES COLDER THAN 30 BELOW IN SOME AREAS AS WE ARE NOT EXPECTING
MUCH RECOVERY IN TEMPS. WINDS RELAX SOME TONIGHT BUT LOWS BELOW
ZERO EXPECTED SO WIND CHILLS SHOULD REMAIN IN WARNING AREA. IT HAS
BEEN AWHILE SINCE WE HAVE EXPERIENCED THESE KIND OF WIND CHILLS.

WINTER STORM WARNING WAS LEFT INTACT. AGAIN TO KEEP HEADLINES
SIMPLE...WIND ADVISORY AND WIND CHILL ARE COMBINED INTO THE WARNING
AND MENTIONED IN BODY. WIND CHILLS ACTUALLY ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT
MORE MODERATE IN THIS AREA DUE TO WARMER LAKE PLUME AND CLOUDS.
HOWEVER WIND SPEEDS COULD BE GREATER NEAR THE LAKE.

SHORT TERM... TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.BITTER WIND CHILLS...LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS AND INCREASING
THREAT FOR POWER OUTAGES CONTINUE TO LOOM...

ARCTIC COLD FRONT MAKING GOOD PROGRESS WITH TEMPS PLUMMETING BEHIND
IT. MOST LOCATIONS GOING FROM MIDDLE 20S TO THE SINGLE DIGITS WITHIN
3 HOURS. ALSO BURST OF STRONGER WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STG
CAA WITH GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 35 KT RANGE. HAS BEEN SOME DISCUSSION ON
WIND ADVISORIES FROM SURROUNDING OFFICES...BUT THINK FOR NOW WILL
HOLD OFF ON ANYTHING. IF WE CAN GET SOME SUN THIS AFTERNOON AND
ALLOW FOR SOME MIXING...COULD BE LOOKING AT THE NEED FOR ONE FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND EVE HOURS. WILL DEFER TO DAY SHIFT TO MONITOR.

HAVE LOWERED HIGHS TODAY TO BETTER REFLECT THE PUSH OF COLD AIR.
STARTING AT 12Z ANTICIPATING TEMPS TO BE WELL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
WEST TO MID TEENS EAST AS FRONT WILL JUST BE CLEARING THESE AREAS.
THEN TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. POPULATED WITH RUC40 DATA
WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON TRENDS...WHICH WOULD PUT SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE SW AREAS NEAR OR EVEN BELOW ZERO BY LATE MORNING.
GIVEN UPSTREAM TEMPS ALREADY 1 ABOVE AT ORD AND CORE OF COLDEST 850
MB TEMPS POISED TO PASS OVER THE SW HALF THIS AFTERNOON WITH VALUES
IN THE -25 TO -28 C RANGE /15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW MEANS FOR
DECEMBER/...THINK THIS IS REASONABLE AND GRIDS REFLECT THIS. THIS
BRINGS ANOTHER CHALLENGE. IF WINDS DO REMAIN UP...THEN THESE SAME
AREAS WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED WIND CHILL WARNING CRITERIA. FOR NOW
WILL STICK WITH ADVISORY...BUT SPEED UP ONSET TO START WITH PACKAGE
RELEASE AND LET DAY SHIFT MONITOR WINDS AND TEMPS FOR POSSIBLE
UPGRADE.

ALSO HAS HAS BEEN NOTED IN MANY PRODUCTS...ANTICIPATING INCREASED
ISSUES WITH POWER OUTAGES AND TREE/POWER LINE DAMAGE AS STRONG WINDS
OVERLOAD ALREADY BURDENED LINES AND TREES. POWER HAS ALREADY BEEN
FLUCTUATING HERE AT THE OFFICE AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE FOR MANY
AREAS WITH ICE STILL AROUND.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS WILL QUICKLY KICK IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA.
WILL CONTINUE WITH WINTER STORM WARNING FOR BERRIEN THROUGH ST JOE
COUNTIES IN MICHIGAN. WHILE BEING A BIT OF A PROLONGED EVENT...WIND
CHILLS...WINDS...TEMPS AND SNOWFALL WILL ALL LEAD TO ROUGH TRAVEL IN
THESE AREAS. BAND STILL LOOKS TO SET UP RATHER NICELY TOWARDS MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHER MICHIGAN COUNTIES AND SINCE THIS HAS
BEEN THERE FOR SEVERAL RUNS WILL BLEND WITH GRR AND DTX AND EXPAND
LIKELY POPS OUT INTO HILLSDALE CO. WILL KEEP AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 2
INCH RANGE IN THESE AREAS FOR NOW.

THINGS LOOK TO EASE UP FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT TO GIVE A DRY BUT
COLD FORECAST BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM ARRIVES IN THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...
DIFFICULT FCST PD THROUGHOUT.

VRY INTENSE SW TROUGH OVR THE GULF OF AK YDA HAS STEAMED SEWD TO NR
COASTAL WA STATE THIS MORNING...BRINGING RARE HEAVY SNOW TO KSEA AND
A GOOD INDICATOR OF HOW INTENSE THIS SYS IS. UPSTREAM JET STREAK PER VAPOR
LOOKS QUITE INTENSE AS WELL AND WILL AID SYS DIG INTO SWRN ROCKIES
TUE. DOWNSTREAM CONDS REMAIN A MESS THOUGH W/INCOMING INTENSE ARCTIC
WEDGE AND EVENTUALLY STG LL MSTR RTN OVERTOP RETREATING COLD DOME
MID WEEK. 00Z GUIDANCE TAKEN AS A WHOLE TRENDING QUICKER W/PCPN DVLPMNT
AND NOW INDICATING SNOW TUE AM AND SEE NO REASON TO ARGUE GIVEN UPR
JET SHIFTING THROUGH THE NRN LAKES BY TUE AFTN. PRIMARY DIFFICULTY
LIES W/LL THERMAL RESPONSE INTO RETREATING ARCTIC WEDGE. AS NOTED
YDA...STILL FEEL MODELS ERODING ARCTIC DOME TOO QUICKLY ESP OVR
DEEPER HIGH DENSITY SNOWPACK ACRS NRN PORTION OF CWA YET ON THE
OTHER HAND CANT DISCOUNT LACK OF SNOW CVR ACRS DOWNSTATE IL/IN.
THUS IT SEEMS AT LEAST THE THREAT FOR ANOTHER POTENTIALLY SIG ICING
EVENT PSBL TUE NIGHT AND WED ACRS NRN/NW THIRD OF CWA. PRIOR TO
THAT...MAINLY SNOW TUE INTO TUE EVENING BFR WARM LYR LEADS TO IP MIX
GENERALLY SOUTH OF US 30 AND ZR SOUTH OF US 24.

EJECTION OF INTENSE WRN SW LT TUE MORE DISCONCERTING GIVEN DRAMATIC
MED RANGE TRENDS W/DEGREE OF SFC DVLPMNT SEEN IN 00Z GFS AND ITS
ENSEMBLES. OP GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS SIMILAR...BOTH IN INTENSITY AND
QUICKER NEWD EJECTION COMPARED W/GFS ENSEMBLES YET CERTAINLY WITHIN
THE SCOPE OF POSSIBILITIES. PRIOR FLAT OPEN WV EJECTION SEEN IN 12Z
RUNS COMPARABLE W/LATEST WRF 4KM RUN SO UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH. BEST
RECOURSE AT THIS POINT IS TO WEIGHT WED PD MORE HEAVILY TWD A MIXED
PCPN EVENT XPC PERHAPS FAR NW PER IMPLIED SFC LOW TRACK BUT DO XPC
ADDNL SIG FLUCTUATIONS THROUGH THE NXT 36HRS UNTIL THIS SYS GETS
FURTHER INTO UPR AIR NETWORK AND SAMPLED BTR. IN THE LEAST...ANOTHER
HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT LIKELY TO BE REALIZED TUE NIGHT/WED.

AFT THAT...PATTN RELOADS AMAZINGLY FAST W/YET ANOTHER INTENSE MID
LAT CYCLONE FOR LT WEEK. ADDNL HEADACHES CERTAIN YET WILL SPARE ANY
DETAILS FOR THE MOMENT GIVEN THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ MONDAY FOR
     INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR INZ013-015-017-
     018-020-022>027-032>034.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ MONDAY FOR
     INZ003>009-012-014-016.

MI...WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR MIZ080-081.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR MIZ080-081.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR MIZ077>079.

OH...WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-
     015-016-024-025.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR OHZ015-016-024-
     025.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ001-002-
     004-005.

LM...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ043-
     046.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...FISHER
LONG TERM...HOLSTEN
UPDATE...LASHLEY
AVIATION...STEINWEDEL
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 21, 10:07 AM EST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1007 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-221515-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BRANCH-
HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-
ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...COLDWATER...
HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
1007 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 /907 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 5 ABOVE ZERO AND 5 BELOW ZERO TODAY AND DROP
BELOW ZERO IN MANY AREAS TONIGHT. STRONG WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL
CREATE WIND CHILLS OF 15 BELOW ZERO TO NEAR 30 BELOW ZERO LASTING
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION...THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL POWER
OUTAGES AS ICE DAMAGED AND OR WEAKENED TREES SNAP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANOTHER POTENT WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS TAKING SHAPE FOR THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS. HOWEVER HOLIDAY TRAVEL ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES WILL BE IMPACTED.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

MIZ077>079-221515-
BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS
1007 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME HEAVIER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. STRONG WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS IN OPEN AREAS. TEMPERATURES
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS COMBINED WITH THESE WINDS WILL CREATE WIND
CHILLS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LASTING INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANOTHER POTENT WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS TAKING SHAPE FOR THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS. HOWEVER HOLIDAY TRAVEL ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES WILL BE IMPACTED TO SOME DEGREE.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-221515-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1007 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED INTO
THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WILL
OCCUR...CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS. GALES TO 30
KNOTS TONIGHT WILL EAST TO WEST WINDS OF 30 KNOTS BUT HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WILL CONTINUE. WAVES WILL ALSO BE GREATER THAN 10 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AND
CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 21, 11:23 AM EST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1123 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 AM     SNOW             BENTON HARBOR           42.12N  86.45W
12/21/2008  E2.5 INCH        BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IN PAST 12 HOURS. VISIBILITY HAS
            BEEN NEAR ZERO FOR MUCH OF THE MORNING

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0802095

MCS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 21, 9:31 AM ESTWind Chill WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale27 hr
Dec 21, 9:31 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryIWXBranch, Hillsdale20 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every blizzard warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.