Tornado Warning 7, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WWUS51 KILN 310322
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1119 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

INC041-161-177-310345-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080531T0345Z/
WAYNE IN-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-
1119 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
UNION...NORTHERN FAYETTE AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...

AT 1115 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE 
GROUND NEAR U.S. 40 EAST OF LEWISVILLE ABOUT TO ENTER WESTERN WAYNE
COUNTY.

RADAR INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
CAMBRIDGE CITY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAGERSTOWN...CAMBRIDGE CITY...CENTERVILLE...FOUNTAIN 
CITY...LIBERTY...RICHMOND AND CONNERSVILLE.

IN ADDITION...EAST GERMANTOWN...BEESONS...METTEL FIELD...
JACKSONBURG...ECONOMY...WATERLOO...GREENS FORK AND SPRINGERSVILLE ARE
NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS
TORNADO...TAKE COVER NOW

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3978 8530 3979 8520 3999 8518 4001 8482
      3994 8481 3960 8485 3963 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 0319Z 276DEG 46KT 3983 8519

$$
RANDALL

000 
WWUS51 KILN 310333
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1131 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

INC041-161-177-310345-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080531T0345Z/
WAYNE IN-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-
1131 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
UNION...NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...

RADAR INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
CENTERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. A TORNADO WAS REPORTED EARLIER
WITH THIS STORM ON THE WAYNE AND HENRY COUNTY LINE.  

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FOUNTAIN CITY AND RICHMOND.

IN ADDITION...SPRING GROVE...WITTS STATION...BOSTON...RICHMOND
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...MIDDLEBORO...WHITEWATER AND BETHEL ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3996 8512 4001 8482 3996 8481 3992 8482
      3988 8482 3971 8484 3968 8513
TIME...MOT...LOC 0331Z 261DEG 54KT 3984 8497

$$
AR

000 
WWUS51 KILN 310348
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1148 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

INC041-161-177-310358-
/O.EXP.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080531T0345Z/
WAYNE IN-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-
1148 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN UNION...EASTERN FAYETTE AND WAYNE
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL INDIANA HAS EXPIRED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3996 8512 4001 8482 3996 8481 3992 8482
      3988 8482 3971 8484 3968 8513
TIME...MOT...LOC 0333Z 261DEG 54KT 1958 17435

$$

HATZOS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1008 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES PULLING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A
SECONDARY FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD BACK IN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
CONVECTION OVER INDIANA IS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NW PORTION OF THE
FA. CONVECTION HAS BEEN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO MID LEVEL CAP.
STILL FEEL THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED SVR WX. BACKED OFF THE
SVR WORDING TO THE NW PART OF THE FA.

FOR THE REST OF THE FCST...GRADUALLY INCREASED THE POPS AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES. KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS...CATEGORICAL...IN THE
N...TAPERING DOWN TO CHC IN THE S.

KEPT MIN TEMPS AS IS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
APPEARS THAT THE FRONT WILL BE BISECTING THE FA...RUNNING NR
I-71...AT BEGINNING OF SATURDAY. WENT WITH THE HIGHEST POPS IN THE
S AND E EARLY IN THE MORNING...WITH A DRYING TREND IN THE W DURING
THE AFTN AS FNT PUSHES E ALLOWING DRIER AIR TO WORK IN. LINGERED CHC
POPS IN THE E WITH SFC TROF SWING DOWN THRU NRN OH INTO CENTRAL OH.
CONTINUED THE TREND OF GOING COOLER THAN GUIDANCE FOR SAT HIGHS.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SAT NGT. IN NW FLOW ALOFT...S/W DROPS
SE THRU THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AFTN. SECONDARY SFC FRONT TO DROP
SOUTH THRU THE FA AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THIS WITH CHC POPS ACRS
THE FA. MAV LOWS SAT NGT LOOK REASONABLE...BUT WENT WITH COOLER
MET HIGHS ON SUN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY IS AN EXTENSION OF YESTERDAYS WITH THE
CONSENSUS THAT THE MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT AND HPC GUIDANCE IS
THE COMMON GROUND TO START FROM.

MEAN H5 FLOW WILL START OUT FROM THE NW UNTIL A LOW OVER THE
MIDWEST/UPPER MIDWEST...DEPENDING ON THE MODEL CHOICE...TRACKS
NORTHEAST. AT THE SFC...A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
WEDNESDAY BUT THE TIME FRAME FOR THIS OCCURRING IS ENTIRELY TOO
LENGTHY PER HPC GRAPHICS TO BE AN ACCURATE DEPICTION OF AN ACTUAL WX
PATTERN. BELIEVE THAT THE WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP ON TUES AND LIFT
NWD ON WED. HPCS GRAPHIC SFC FEATURE AT 12Z THURS SHOWS WMFNT
FURTHER SW FROM PREVIOUS 24 HRS WHICH SHOULD BE UNLIKELY.

REGARDLESS OF THIS...HAD TO GO COOLER ON WED THAN ON TUES WITH CWA
BEING ON THE COLD SIDE OF WMFNT. COULD NOT ACTUALLY INCREASE TEMPS
ON WED FROM TUES HIGHS WITH THE INCREASED POPS AND CLOUD COVER. THIS
WAS THE ONLY LARGER DISCREPANCY I HAD WITH SURROUNDING FCST
OFFICES/HPC DURING THIS TIME...SUBSEQUENTLY THE ONLY SPOT WHERE I
HAD CONFIDENCE ENOUGH IN A METEOROLOGICAL PATTERN TO TRY AND IMPROVE
ON. THOUGHT THAT LOWER 80S WERE TOO WARM AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER
60S WERE TOO MOIST IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...JUST FROM THE PATTERN
OVER OHVLY THE PAST FEW WEEKS. DID NOT SEE TREMENDOUS SIGNS OF
STRONG RIDGING AND OPEN GULF FOR THESE TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO BE
REALIZED/EXPECTED. WOULD HEDGE DRIER AND COOLER IN THE EXTENDED IF
IN ANY DIRECTION...BUT DO NOT HAVE THE CONFIDENCE TO DIVERGE FROM
COMMON GROUND.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE WEST....AND THEY SAG ACROSS THE
TERMINALS 05Z-08Z...THEN PERSISTING THROUGH 10Z-12Z. TIMING WILL BE
HONED...AS THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION SEEMS TO BE SLOWING SOMEWHAT.
WILL KEEP VCTS THROUGH THIS PERIOD...AMENDING AS IT BECOMES MORE
IMMINENT AND TIMEABLE. MVFR CIGS/VIS ARE LIKELY WITH THE STORMS.

THE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE TERMINALS BY 14Z. WINDS WILL VEER
TO WEST SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
POSSIBLE.

OUTLOOK...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AND AGAIN TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SITES
NEAR TERM...SITES
SHORT TERM...SITES
LONG TERM...FRANKS
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
541 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-310945-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
541 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
DROPS INTO OHIO. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS. LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
OHIO AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY.