River Flood Warning 11, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 061920
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT WELLSVILLE
  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE


DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

NYC003-051-121-070120-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080207T1600Z/
/WLLN6.1.ER.080206T1926Z.080207T0000Z.080207T1000Z.NO/
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT WELLSVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST 
  13.2 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  DAYBREAK THURSDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MORE GENERAL FLOODING
  ALONG THE RIVER IN LOWLYING AREAS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. SOME
  RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL DAMAGES. LEVEE PROTECTS MOST OF
  WELLSVILLE.

$$

NYC003-051-121-070120-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.080206T1912Z-080207T1734Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.080206T1910Z.080207T0000Z.080207T1134Z.NO/
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST TO NEAR
  20.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG REACH (BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH). LITTLE 
  DAMAGE.

$$

NYC009-070119-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080208T1920Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.080206T1854Z.080207T1200Z.080208T1320Z.NO/
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO E. 
  RIVERSIDE DR. 1 TO 3 MI US FROM UNION ST BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-070119-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.080206T1912Z-080208T0900Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.080206T1836Z.080207T1200Z.080208T0300Z.NO/
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-070119-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080207T1100Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.080206T1206Z.080207T0000Z.080207T0500Z.NO/
220 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE-MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$
TJP

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 070103
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT WELLSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

NYC003-051-121-070133-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080207T1600Z/
/WLLN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT WELLSVILLE.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.0 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.9 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...BANKS OVERFLOW 
  AND BEGIN TO FLOOD LOWLYING AREAS OUTSIDE THE LEVEEES IN PLACES 
  SUCH AS SCIO AND WHITESVILLE. MINOR DAMAGES.

$$

NYC003-051-121-070703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080207T1734Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.080206T1922Z.080207T0600Z.080207T1134Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.3 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG REACH (BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH). LITTLE 
  DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-070703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.080207T0600Z-080208T0600Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.080207T0600Z.080207T1200Z.080208T0000Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-070702-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080208T1920Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.080206T1801Z.080207T1200Z.080208T1320Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO E. 
  RIVERSIDE DR. 1 TO 3 MI US FROM UNION ST BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-070702-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080208T0900Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.080206T1836Z.080207T1200Z.080208T0300Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-070702-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080207T0812Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.080206T1206Z.080206T1900Z.080207T0212Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE-MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

NYC029-037-063-070702-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.080207T2024Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.080207T2024Z.080208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 070409
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

NYC003-051-121-071009-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080207T1734Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.080206T1922Z.080207T0600Z.080207T1134Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.3 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG REACH (BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH). LITTLE 
  DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-071009-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.080207T0600Z-080208T0000Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.080207T0600Z.080207T1200Z.080207T1800Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-071009-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080207T2100Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.080206T1801Z.080207T0306Z.080207T1500Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-071009-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080208T0622Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.080206T1836Z.080207T1200Z.080208T0022Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-071009-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.080207T2024Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.080207T2024Z.080208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC029-037-070439-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080207T0812Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.080206T1206Z.080206T1900Z.080207T0157Z.NO/
1109 PM EST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE.
* AT 11 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 070935
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA


DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...

NYC009-071535-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080208T0122Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.080206T1801Z.080207T0706Z.080207T1922Z.NO/
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO E. 
  RIVERSIDE DR. 1 TO 3 MI US FROM UNION ST BRIDGE.

$$

NYC009-071534-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080208T0622Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.080206T1836Z.080207T0830Z.080208T0022Z.NO/
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 4 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-071534-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.080208T0600Z-080208T1200Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.080208T0600Z.080208T0600Z.080208T0600Z.NO/
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE 
  IS LOWLAND FLOODING OF FARM AREAS AND SOME ROAD CLOSURES SUCH AS 
  FLETCHER, BURDICK, KIRBY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD.

$$

NYC003-051-121-071005-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080207T1734Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.080206T1922Z.080207T0300Z.080207T0635Z.NO/
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT PORTAGEVILLE.
* AT 4 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.0 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG REACH (BELFAST TO LETCHWORTH). LITTLE 
  DAMAGE.

$$

NYC037-055-071005-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080208T0000Z/
/CHRN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
435 AM EST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* AT 4 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
719 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY
NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT PASSING JUST TO OUR SOUTH. THIS WILL
KEEP US ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE STORM BUT CRITICAL TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL MAKE THIS A VERY DIFFICULT CALL ON PRECIPITATION TYPE
THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY. COLDER AIR
ALOFT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE THE CALL EASIER FOR
SNOW OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY BUT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LEFTOVER LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE LEFTOVER FOR CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES SATURDAY THEN DEEPEN AS IT MOVES TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A QUICK UPDATE WAS ISSUED TO ADD WYOMING...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO
COUNTIES TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SPOTTY FREEZING RAIN HAS
BEEN REPORTED IN LIVONIA.

THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A VERY TRICKY FORECAST TODAY...ESPECIALLY
FOR P-TYPE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. PROJECTED PROFILES
FROM BOTH THE WRF AND THE GFS ARE INDICATING A WINTRY MIX FROM
BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER TO OSWEGO BUT IT WOULDNT TAKE MUCH FOR IT TO
BE ALL SNOW. FURTHER SOUTH...IT WILL BE MAINLY RAIN. THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL BE MAINLY SNOW. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL
BE CRITICAL ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS JUST SOUTH OF LOAKE ONTARIO.
AS FAR AS THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN. COLD AIR IS STILL
ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTH AS THE SURFACE LEVEL. DAYTIME TEMPS
WILL PROBABLY BE CLOSE TO 32 FROM THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO THE
NORTHERN FINGER LAKES. A LITTLE WARMER TO THE SOUTH BUT THIS WILL
HAVE TO BE WATCHED. THE WRF MOS EVEN HAS SOME OF OUR SOUTHERN
AREAS SLIPPING CLOSE TO FREEZING. OUR PLAN IS TO EXTEND THE
CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES THROUGH TONIGHT. LATER SHIFTS
WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER OTHER AREAS AS WELL AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS.

STILL SOME CRITICAL TEMPERATURE PROFILES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER BUT OVER ALL THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A COOL
DOWN THAT SNOW IS FAVORED FOR ALL AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. QPF LOOKS
GOOD FOR A FEW INCHES OF SNOW.

IMPRESSIVE RADAR REFLECTIVITIES TO OUR WEST AS OF 07Z. WE WILL
CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE HEAVY RAIN THAT IS EXPECTED IN THE
HEADWATERS OF MOST OF CREEKS AND RIVERS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY
DURING THIS CURRENT NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THURSDAY IS NOT LOOKING QUITE AS GOOD AS IT DID YESTERDAY. BOTH THE
WRF AND THE GFS CLOSE OFF THE UPPER LOW AND SLOW DOWN THE EASTWARD
PROGRESS OF THE SURFACE LOW. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP SOME SNOW IN THE
FORECAST FOR AT LEAST THE MORNING AS CYCLONIC FLOW CONTINUES AROUND
THE DEPARTING LOW. THERE MAY EVEN BE A LITTLE LAKE ENHANCEMENT
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

RIDGING AT ALL LEVELS THURSDAY NIGHT. WE WILL KEEP THIS PERIOD FAIR.
FRIDAY DOESNT LOOK LIKE TOO BAD OF A DAY EITHER. SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AND PROBABLY FAIR WEATHER. WE WILL KEEP IN JUST A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WITH A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS
THE AREA ALOFT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THIS PERIOD CONTINUES TO A FEATURE A MORE TYPICAL MID WINTER PATTERN
ACROSS THE AREA. 12Z/05 MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THE PERIOD
WILL BE DOMINATED BY TROUGHING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST
CONUS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A PACIFIC FLOW RE-ESTABLISH ITSELF
BY TUESDAY AND THEN CONTINUING FOR THE BULK OF NEXT WEEK.

LATEST GFS/ECMWF SUGGESTING A STRONG NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
DIG INTO THE GREAT LAKES FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND...
BRINGING A SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THIS MAY
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY SOUTH OF THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS. LATEST
RUN HAS MODERATED THE EXTENT OF COLD AIR ON SUNDAY WITH MINOR
AJUSTMENTS MADE TO MAX TEMPS. OTHERWISE PRIMARILY LOOK AT DAILY
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. COULD BE LOOKING AT
TEMPERATURES STARTING THE PERIOD NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL...BUT
SHOULD FALL TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY
THEN A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FIRST SLUG OF PRECIPITATION MOVING ACROSS THE AREA NOW WITH BACK
EDGE OF THIS AREA JUST BEGINNING TO CLEAR THE EXTREME WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH TEMPERATURES VERY CLOSE TO
FREEZING, PRECIP THUS FAR HAS BEEN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WITH
SOME PATCHY SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BEING REPORTED. IFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH ANOTHER BATCH OF PRECIP OVERSPREADING THE
REGION LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS SECOND SLUG WILL
MAINLY BE SNOW...MIXING AGAIN AT TIMES WITH RAIN AND SLEET. CIGS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IFR THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. A BRISK
NORTHEAST WIND OF 12-15 KNOTS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVERNIGHT AND
THURSDAY AND PROVIDE A RETURN TO DRY VFR WEATHER...BEFORE ANOTHER
WEAK SYSTEM BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW AND MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LAKES THIS MORNING. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS THE WINDS
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND WAVES BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET...
ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTH SHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DIMINISH WINDS/WAVES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING OVER THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN GALE FORCE
WINDS AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE STILL LOOKS TO BE A RATHER SHARP DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN A
POTENTIAL WINTRY MIX AND RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS POINT WE
THINK THIS DIVIDING LINE WILL BE GENERALLY THE THRUWAY WITH THE
WINTRY MIX NORTH OF IT AND RAIN TO THE SOUTH. THE WINTRY MIX WILL
LIKELY HOLD DOWN RAINFALL AMOUNTS BUT WITH THE GROUND BEING
SATURATED ANY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT WATER LEVELS.
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER...UPPER GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES.
THE HEADWATERS OF THE BUFFALO AREAS CREEKS ARE ALSO FOUND IN THIS
AREA. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT JUST A SLIGHT FLUCTUATION OF THE
TRACK OF THE SURFACE WAVE AND THERMAL PROFILES COULD ALTER THE
PLACEMENT OF THE RAIN AND WINTRY MIX LINE WHICH COULD GREATLY
AFFECT THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ001>008-
     010>014.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>004-
     010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LOZ042>044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SAGE
NEAR TERM...SAGE
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...LEVAN/TMA
AVIATION...LEVAN
MARINE...LEVAN
HYDROLOGY...TMA/SAGE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1008 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

NYZ001>004-010-011-071515-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WIND EVENT DURING THE WEEKEND.
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO OUR NORTH ONCE
AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005>008-071515-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WIND EVENT DURING THE WEEKEND.
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO OUR NORTH ONCE
AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071515-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WIND EVENT DURING THE WEEKEND.
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO OUR NORTH ONCE
AGAIN. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012>014-019>021-085-071515-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WIND EVENT DURING THE WEEKEND.
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO OUR NORTH ONCE
AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA