High Wind Warning 4, NWS Burlington, VT

000 
WWUS71 KBTV 250309
NPWBTV

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1009 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF VERMONT
ON TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT...BEFORE REACHING
CENTRAL NEW YORK TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AN OCCLUDED FRONT WILL EXTEND
FROM THE SURFACE LOW SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VERMONT AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS
A BAND OF VERY STRONG WINDS AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL ALONG THE SPINE OF
THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND ALSO ACROSS NORTHEASTERN VERMONT. THESE
HIGH WINDS AROUND 4000 TO 5000 FEET WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
IN GUSTS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...BEGINNING IN SOUTH-CENTRAL
VERMONT DURING THE MORNING AND DEVELOPING NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN VERMONT DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING
HOURS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS WITH DOWNSLOPE
ENHANCEMENT TO THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

VTZ003-004-006-007-011-016>019-251115-
/O.CON.KBTV.HW.W.0004.081125T1200Z-081126T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WESTERN RUTLAND-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...RUTLAND...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...
UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
1009 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES A HIGH WIND
WARNING...FOR THE WESTERN SLOPES AND SPINE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS...
AS WELL AS NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY.

SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
GREEN MOUNTAINS.

A BAND OF VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SPINE OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN VERMONT
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. THESE HIGH WINDS WILL DEVELOP FIRST
ACROSS SOUTH- CENTRAL VERMONT DURING THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ON TUESDAY.

WIND GUSTS WILL BE LOCALLY ENHANCED BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW COMING OFF
THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR EASTERLY OR
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH...AND LOCALLY UP TO 70 MPH
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WEST SIDE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. SOME
COMMUNITIES POSSIBLY AFFECTED BY THE HIGH WINDS INCLUDE...BUT
AREN/T LIMITED TO... THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF RUTLAND...
LINCOLN...UNDERHILL...THE CAMBRIDGE AND PLEASANT VALLEY AREA...
AND MONTGOMERY. ALL MOUNTAIN GAPS ALONG THE GREEN MOUNTAINS SPINE
ARE ALSO POTENTIALLY AFFECTED BY THE HIGH WINDS FOR TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY EVENING.

ACROSS NORTHEAST VERMONT...WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...
BUT WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM
THE IMMEDIATE UPPER CONNECTICUT AND LOWER PASSUMPSIC VALLEYS.

THE EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS ARE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE DAMAGE
TO TREES AND POWER LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD TIE DOWN OR REMOVE ANY LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BECOME A HAZARD OR BE
DAMAGED IN THE STRONG WINDS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

VTZ008-010-251115-
/O.CON.KBTV.WI.Y.0008.081125T1200Z-081126T0300Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH
1009 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES A WIND ADVISORY
FOR CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL VERMONT...FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY.

ACROSS WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT...SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY
BE STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

THESE WINDS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO TRAVELERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS INCLUDES THE HIGH PORTION OF I-
89 FROM RANDOLPH TO BROOKFIELD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS FOR
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. THIS WILL MAINLY OCCUR AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBTV 250848
NPWBTV

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF VERMONT
TODAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD AND INTENSIFY TODAY...BEFORE REACHING
CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON. AN OCCLUDED FRONT WILL EXTEND
FROM THE SURFACE LOW SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NEW ENGLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS A BAND OF VERY STRONG WINDS
AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL ALONG THE SPINE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND ALSO
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN VERMONT. THESE HIGH WINDS AROUND 4000 TO 5000
FEET WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE IN GUSTS TODAY...BEGINNING IN
SOUTH-CENTRAL VERMONT DURING THE MORNING AND DEVELOPING NORTHWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS
WITH DOWNSLOPE ENHANCEMENT TO THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

VTZ003-004-006-007-011-016>019-252100-
/O.CON.KBTV.HW.W.0004.081125T1200Z-081126T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WESTERN RUTLAND-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...RUTLAND...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...
UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
348 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH...ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

A BAND OF VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SPINE OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN VERMONT
TODAY. THESE HIGH WINDS WILL DEVELOP FIRST ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL
VERMONT DURING THE MORNING HOURS TODAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WARNING AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

WIND GUSTS WILL BE LOCALLY ENHANCED BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW COMING OFF
THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR EASTERLY OR
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH...ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WEST
SIDE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. SOME COMMUNITIES POSSIBLY AFFECTED BY
THE HIGH WINDS INCLUDE...BUT AREN/T LIMITED TO...THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE CITY OF RUTLAND...LINCOLN...UNDERHILL...THE
CAMBRIDGE AND PLEASANT VALLEY AREA...AND MONTGOMERY. ALL MOUNTAIN
GAPS ALONG THE GREEN MOUNTAINS SPINE ARE ALSO POTENTIALLY AFFECTED
BY THE HIGH WINDS FOR TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

ACROSS NORTHEAST VERMONT...WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...
BUT WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM
THE IMMEDIATE UPPER CONNECTICUT AND LOWER PASSUMPSIC VALLEYS.

THE EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS ARE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE DAMAGE
TO TREES AND POWER LINES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD TIE DOWN OR REMOVE ANY LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BECOME A HAZARD OR BE
DAMAGED IN THE STRONG WINDS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

VTZ008-010-252100-
/O.CON.KBTV.WI.Y.0008.081125T1200Z-081126T0300Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH
348 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

ACROSS WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT...SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TODAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY BE STRONGEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

THESE WINDS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO TRAVELERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS INCLUDES THE HIGH PORTION OF I-89
FROM RANDOLPH TO BROOKFIELD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS FOR
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. THIS WILL MAINLY OCCUR AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBTV 251545
NPWBTV

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1045 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST VERMONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A BAND OF
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS A FEW THOUSAND FEET HIGH IN THE ATMOSPHERE.
SOME OF THE STRONG WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO LOWER ELEVATIONS IN THE
FORM OF STRONG GUSTS. AREAS THAT ARE MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE
STRONGER WINDS WILL BE THE RIDGE TOPS...WESTERN SLOPES OF THE
GREEN MOUNTAINS...AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. THESE
WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-252345-
/O.CAN.KBTV.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081126T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KBTV.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081126T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
1045 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
WILL LIKELY BE STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISH DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

THE POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS FOR ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES DUE TO
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES....ESPECIALLY ACROSS THOSE
AREAS THAT HAVE HAD A FEW INCHES OF WET SNOW EARLIER TODAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

VTZ011-018-019-251645-
/O.CAN.KBTV.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081126T0300Z/
WESTERN RUTLAND-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...BRISTOL...RIPTON...
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
1045 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

THE THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS RUTLAND AND
ADDISON COUNTIES.

$$

VTZ008-010-252345-
/O.CON.KBTV.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081126T0300Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH
1045 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT.  

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 50
MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL LIKELY BE STRONGEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

THESE WINDS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO TRAVELERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS INCLUDES THE HIGH PORTION OF I-
89 FROM RANDOLPH TO BROOKFIELD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS FOR
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. THIS WILL MAINLY OCCUR AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NASH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
314 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS
EVENING WILL QUICKLY INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS IT MOVES TOWARD CENTRAL
NEW YORK STATE OVERNIGHT. A WINTRY MIX WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM
OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS VERMONT FROM
TUESDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 245 PM EST MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DROP SOUTH AND
EAST FROM GREAT LAKES REGION TO NEAR THE OH-PA BORDER BY MORNING.
SLOW MOVING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE CWA
OVERNIGHT...PRECIP WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND OVERSPREAD
THE REGION...STARTING AROUND 03Z. 850 TEMPS WILL BE BELOW ZERO
FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT BEGIN TO WARM AND ZERO LINE
RETREATS NORTH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING STARTING IN SOUTHERN
VERMONT. AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS WITH WAA ALOFT...RAIN WILL MIX
WITH SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND SOUTHERN SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY TOWARDS EARLY MORNING AS THICKNESSES BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR RAIN STARTING IN THE SOUTH AND MOVING NORTH. MIN
TEMPS OVERNIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 20S ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND
FROM THE GREENS AND EAST IN VERMONT. THE SAINT LAWRENCE AND
CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS WILL BE A BIT WARMER...HOVERING AROUND 30 WITH
SOME ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS CREEPING UP THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
ESPECIALLY. THE ADIRONDACKS WILL REMAIN IN THE COLD AIR THE
LONGEST...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED IN THE
ADIRONDACKS BY MORNING. OTHER SPOT WHICH WILL LIKELY SEE THREE TO
FIVE INCHES BY MORNING WILL BE SOUTHERN VERMONT...EAST OF THE
GREENS. IN THIS AREA THE WINDS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR UPSLOPE
ENHANCEMENT...AND THE PRECIP WILL START FIRST IN THE SOUTHERN
CWA. THEREFORE...BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES TO RAIN IN THE AM ACROSS
SOUTHERN VERMONT THERE WILL BE THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW.
DOWNSLOPE AREAS IN BOTH THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND THE ADIRONDACKS
WILL SEE LOWER AMOUNTS OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE EVENT DUE TO
SHADOWING AND SLIGHT WARMING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM EST MONDAY...TUESDAY MORNING WARM AIR WILL WRAP
AROUND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NOW WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NY-PA BORDER. WARM AIR WILL REACH OUR
VT COUNTIES FIRST...FOLLOWED BY THE CHAMPLAIN VILELY OF VT AND
NY. WARM AIR WILL ALSO MAKE IT INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY...BUT ADIRONDACKS WILL STAY COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE EVENT. STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A
TRACE WHERE RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW OVERNIGHT IN THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY TO AS HIGH AS NINE INCHES IN THE ADIRONDACKS. CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY WILL PROBABLY ONLY HAVE A COUPLE OF INCHES...LIKEWISE ONE
TO THREE INCHES IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. WILL ALSO HAVE SOME
SMALLER STORM TOTALS IN THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS WHERE WE
WILL SEE SOME PRECIP SHADOWING AND ALSO THE WARMER AIR WRAPPING
AROUND THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE ANOTHER SMALL
MAXIMA IN THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT WITH TWO TO
FOUR INCHES EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE RIGHT AT RIDGE
TOP ON TUESDAY AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. 60 TO 65 KT JET AT 925
MB AND 75-80 KT JET AT 850 MB WILL MOVE OVER THE VT AREA FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH STARTING AROUND 12Z TUESDAY AND THROUGH AT LEAST
00Z WED. THESE WINDS WILL BE RIGHT AT RIDGE TOP ACROSS THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS AND WILL HAVE SOME DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE DOWNSLOPE
SIDE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY THE RUTLAND AND CAMBRIDGE
AREAS. WILL ALSO SEE SOME STRONG GUSTS MIX DOWN IN THE NORTHEAST
KINGDOM. LOOKS LIKE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE REGION
AROUND 18Z TUESDAY. FAVORABLE SE WIND DIRECTION IS NOTORIOUS FOR
DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREENS. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO LOOK VERY ISOTHERMAL WITH NO OBVIOUS
INVERSION CAP. NORTHEAST KINGDOM HIGH WIND EVENTS ARE NOT AS
PREVALENT AS WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREENS...BUT ESE FLOW OF THAT
STRENGTH SHOW A POSSIBLE RARE EVENT IN THAT AREA WITH DOWNSLOPING
AND DRYING OFF WHITE MOUNTAINS. THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT. BULK OF PRECIP WILL HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA TOWARDS
EARLY WED MORNING. SIGNIFICANT DRY SLOT BEGINS TO WORK INTO THE
REGION EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND OVERSPREADS THE ENTIRE CWA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AREAS THAT CHANGED OVER TO RAIN DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY WILL CHANGE BACK OVER TO SNOW DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOWARDS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 233 PM EST MONDAY...NO MAJOR PATTERN CHANGES ARE FORESEEN.
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE PLENTY OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH
SEASONAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL TEMPERATURES DURING THE
PERIOD. THE REMNANT VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE AREA IS
EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER SERN ONTARIO DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. PERSISTENT BLOCKING PATTERN DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC WILL FORCE THIS LOW TO LIFT NORTH AS IT CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN WED NIGHT THRU THURS NIGHT. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW AND
RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN CLOUDS AND POSSIBILITY OF SNOW
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS DUE TO FAVORABLE
WEST- SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. MARGINAL LOW LEVEL TEMPS
MAY ALLOW FOR SNOW/RAIN MIX IN VALLEYS DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS.
SOME WEAK RIDGING ON FRIDAY SHOULD ALLOW FOR MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE.

THERE EXISTS THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE SIGNIFICANT STORM - A POSSIBLE
NOREASTER...AS PORTRAYED BY THE 00Z ECMWF...TO OCCUR DURING
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH THE BROAD UPR TROUGH REMAINING
IN PLACE ACROSS SERN CANADA AND THE NERN CONUS...PRESENT
INDICATIONS SUGGEST A COASTAL LOW TRACK YIELDING A SNOW/WINTRY
MIX SCENARIO PLAYING OUT ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. BUT BUYER
BEWARE: RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY...AS WELL AS CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
THE COMMON HOUR ECMWF AND GFS SOLNS HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
TYPICAL. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR/TRAVEL INTERESTS FOR SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR FUTURE
FORECASTS FOR ANY CHANGES. MTN SNOW SHOWERS AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN NWLY DEEP-LAYER FLOW IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z AS
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS SPREAD OVER THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER
AFTER 00Z BUR REMAIN VFR UNTIL 03Z OR SO. THE PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BEGIN AS SNOW AROUND
04Z/05Z...AND MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. ALL SITES WILL
DROP TO AT LEAST IFR LATE TONIGHT WITH KSLK/KRUT/KMPV BRUSHING
LIFR VISIBILITY. THE SNOW WILL SLOWLY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO RAIN
DURING THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY WITH KSLK BEING THE LAST TO SEE
A CHANGEOVER TO ALL LIQUID PRECIP. SOME SITES WILL IMPROVE TO
MVFR ONCE THE CHANGE TAKES PLACE. SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEED WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTS WILL BE 25-30 KNOTS ACROSS
VERMONT BY 18Z...AND 15-20 KNOTS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK.

18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EXTENDED AVIATION PERIOD. ANY LINGER SNOW SHOWERS
WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN BACK TO SNOW
TUESDAY EVENING AS COLD AIR FILTERS BACK INTO THE REGION. SNOW
WILL COME TO AN END TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT EXPECT OFF AND ON SNOW
SHOWERS TO RESUME WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
REGION ON SATURDAY...WITH STEADIER SNOW DEVELOPING BY 12Z.
ALTHOUGH PREVAILING CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR...IFR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY FOR VTZ003-
     004-006-007-011-016>019.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR VTZ010-012-019.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY FOR VTZ008-010.
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ029>031-034.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...MB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
522 AM EST MON NOV 24 2008

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-011-016>019-251030-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
522 AM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHEAST
VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND MIX WITH RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN
TOWARDS MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

ADDITIONALLY...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN ON TUESDAY.
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF THE
MORNING COMMUTE. ANOTHER SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION EVENT IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON TUESDAY. REPORT ANY
HIGH WINDS...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...AND CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON VERMONT.

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001-002-005-009-012-251030-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-WINDSOR-
522 AM EST MON NOV 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND MIX WITH RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN
TOWARDS MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ADDITIONALLY...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN ON TUESDAY.
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF THE
MORNING COMMUTE. ANOTHER SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION EVENT IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON TUESDAY. REPORT ANY
STRONG WINDS...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...AND CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION
TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON VERMONT.