Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Warnings in 2007
Tornado Warning 4, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this tornado warning at Feb 2, 2007, 7:56 AM EST for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 19 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2007, 7:56 AM EST (12:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2007, 8:15 AM EST
- In force
- 19 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Polk County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 8:00 AM EST | TORNADO | Frostproof, FL | BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NEAR FROSTPROOF. NO DAMAGE REPORTED THUS FAR. RELAYED BY COUNTY AND STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 997 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 598 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 345 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 378 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.7
- Supercell composite
- 10.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WFUS52 KTBW 021257 TORTBW FLC105-021315- /O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0004.070202T1256Z-070202T1315Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 756 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 815 AM EST * AT 756 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO OVER SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... FROSTPROOF NOW. THIS STORM IS MOVING ACROSS HIGHWAY 98. PLEASE REPORT ANY DAMAGE NEARBY TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. COVER YOUR HEAD AND BODY WITH PILLOWS OR BLANKETS. PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OF LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323. && LAT...LON 2786 8165 2768 8162 2772 8117 2789 8133 $$ 88
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS52 KTBW 021313 SVSTBW SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 813 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLC105-021323- /O.EXP.KTBW.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070202T1315Z/ POLK- 813 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 815 AM EST... THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... FROSTPROOF BY 815 AM EST. AT 813 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THE TORNADO HAD DISSIPATED...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM. && LAT...LON 2786 8165 2768 8162 2772 8117 2789 8133 $$ 55
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Feb 2, 4:18 AM EST, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 4:18 AM EST, 3 hours 38 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY - RUSKIN FL
418 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007
CORRECTED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SECTION
.SHORT TERM (TODAY-SUNDAY)...LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST
OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY. A PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ONSHORE REACHING THE TAMPA BAY REGION IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. STORMS CONTINUE TO BE RATHER STRONG AT THIS TIME..BUT
THEY SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES AS UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT OVER FAR SOUTH
FLORIDA WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS USHERING IN SOME COOLER DRIER
AIR AF THE SURFACE. HOWEVER...A SHORT DISTANCE ABOVE THE SURFACE
WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ABOVE 5000 FEET WHICH WILL SETUP
A OVERRUNNING PATTERN KEEPING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION.
.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO
RIDGE DOWN THE STATE AT THE SURFACE SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH
SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. MOISTURE FROM A REMNANT BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE ENERGY
ALOFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. AS THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE...THE
MOISTURE WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA AND CLEAR OUT THE RAIN CHANCES
BY TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WITH NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
THEN CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
INCREASE FROM WELL BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS TO NEAR
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
TERMINALS THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BECOME VFR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.MARINE...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING TODAY AND
SHIFT TO NORTH NORTHEAST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT AND REMAIN IN
THE EXERCISE CAUTION RANGE...POSSIBLY NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA....INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH NO HIGHLIGHTS ANTICIPATED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 73 55 63 46 / 80 10 40 50
FMY 81 63 71 52 / 70 20 40 50
GIF 75 57 63 46 / 80 10 40 50
SRQ 73 58 65 49 / 80 10 40 50
BKV 73 50 61 40 / 40 10 40 50
SPG 73 57 63 48 / 80 10 40 50
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.
&&
SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE...PRC
LONG TERM/AVIATION...JLCHazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 6:46 AM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 646 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-021600- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 646 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES. WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY...BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN SOMEWAHT HIGH THIS MORNING WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TO NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS HIGH WILL ALSO USHER IN SOME COLDER AIR WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEVY COUNTY SUNDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED TODAY. PRC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 2, 6:07 AM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 607 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLZ051-055-021130- MANATEE-HILLSBOROUGH- 607 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS RACING INTO SOUTH HILLSBOROUGH AND NORTHERN MANATEE COUNTY... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT GIBSONTON...APOLLO BEACH...WIMAUMA AND SUN CITY CENTER...AS WELL AS PALMETTO AND ELLENTON...UNTIL 630 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL. && WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES. WHEN USING WIPERS...TURN ON HEADLIGHTS. AVOID DRIVING THROUGH PUDDLES THAT COULD HIDE POTHOLES OR CAUSE HYDROPLANING. MAKE SURE YOUR HEADLAMPS...TIRES...AND WIPERS ARE IN GOOD CONDITION. KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT WHICH INCLUDES A FLASHLIGHT...FLARES...AND SIMPLE HAND TOOLS. SEVEN THOUSAND PEOPLE DIE IN WEATHER RELATED AUTOMOBILE ACCIDENTS EACH YEAR... MANY DUE TO POOR VISIBILITY AND WET ROADS. REMEMBER: VISIBILITY AND TRACTION LEAVE TIME FOR REACTION BSG
Special weather statement, Feb 2, 6:36 AM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 636 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLZ051-052-055-021215- POLK-MANATEE-HILLSBOROUGH- 636 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NORTHERN MANATEE AND WESTERN POLK COUNTY... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT BARTOW...MULBERRY...LAKELAND HIGHLANDS...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUN CITY CENTER AND WIMAUMA...UNTIL 715 AM EST. THE STRONGEST CELL IS MOVING INTO WESTERN POLK COUNTY NEAR MULBERRY. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL. SHOULD STORMS INTENSIFY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED...PARTICULARLY IN WESTERN POLK COUNTY BEFORE 7 AM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. BSG
Local storm report, Feb 2, 7:09 AM EST, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
709 AM EST FRI FEB 02 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 AM TORNADO 6 NE WILDWOOD 28.92N 81.97W
02/02/2007 SUMTER FL EMERGENCY MNGR
LIKELY TORNADO. SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN NORTHERN
SUMTER COUNTY. AREA GENERALLY BETWEEN OXFORD AND THE
VILLAGES CONTINUING INTO LAKE COUNTY. AN NWS SURVEY TEAM
WILL BE ENROUTE BY MID MORNING.
&&
BSGSpecial weather statement, Feb 2, 7:13 AM EST, 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 713 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLZ052-021245- POLK- 713 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY WITH POSSIBILITY OF INTENSIFICATION... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH...WILL MOVE FROM BRADLEY JUNCTION EAST INTO THE FORT MEADE...BARTOW...AND EVENTUALLY LAKE WALES AREA....UNTIL 745 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY FURTHER AND REQUIRE A POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING BEFORE 730 AM. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. BSG
Special weather statement, Feb 2, 7:52 AM EST, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 752 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 FLZ052-021330- POLK- 752 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH...WILL AFFECT FORT MEADE...FROSTPROOF...AND LAKE WALES...UNTIL 830 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...AN ISOLATED SHORT-LIVED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATED AND POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNINGS. RJS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 8:41 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 64 min | |
| Feb 1, 11:19 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus | 26 min |
| Feb 2, 1:04 AM EST | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 56 min | |
| Feb 2, 1:58 AM EST | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 32 min | |
| Feb 2, 2:14 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus | 46 min |
| Feb 2, 2:59 AM EST | Coastal Flood Warning | TBW | 4 hr | |
| Feb 2, 3:02 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Sumter | 18 min |
| Feb 2, 6:16 AM EST | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 29 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Florida, 2007Every tornado warning in 2007Tornadoes in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.