Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607

August 16, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 16, 2007, 4:50 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2007, 4:50 PM EDT (20:50 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2007, 10:23 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Dearborn County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Clark County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Pike County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Mason County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNSwitzerland35 min
Aug 16, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Franklin, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott46 min
Aug 16, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham41 min
Aug 16, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCabell, Mason, Putnam26 min
Aug 16, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFleming37 min
Aug 16, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath59 min
Aug 16, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCampbell39 min
Aug 16, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCarroll, Gallatin, Owen47 min
Aug 16, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis43 min
Aug 16, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGreenup32 min
Aug 16, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBrown47 min
Aug 16, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Mason42 min
Aug 16, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Harrison, Nicholas40 min
Aug 16, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXPutnam25 min
Aug 16, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd20 min
Aug 16, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKShelby47 min
Aug 16, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry42 min
Aug 16, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBrown, Clermont41 min
Aug 16, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXKanawha33 min
Aug 16, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGrant, Kenton, Pendleton47 min
Aug 16, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis39 min
Aug 16, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin39 min
Aug 16, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFleming23 min
Aug 16, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNMason, Robertson52 min
Aug 16, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis48 min
Aug 16, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis, Mason44 min
Aug 16, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLRowan13 min
Aug 16, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette39 min
Aug 16, 6:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken50 min
Aug 16, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXClay, Kanawha29 min
Aug 16, 6:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis116 min
Aug 16, 7:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLawrence28 min
Aug 16, 7:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNAdams, Scioto2 hr
Aug 16, 7:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMason, Putnam24 min
Aug 16, 7:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoyd4 hr
Aug 16, 8:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXJackson22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2007-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 940 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2007-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 221 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
940 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-256 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1293 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 162100
SEL7  
SPC WW 162100
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-WVZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST INDIANA
       NORTHERN KENTUCKY
       SOUTHERN OHIO
       WEST CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF CINCINNATI OHIO TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
HUNTINGTON WEST VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 603...WW 605...WW 606...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EWD ALONG A
STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR THE OH RIVER.  MODERATE INSTABILITY
WILL SUPPORT MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 10:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Fulton and 16 more64 min
Aug 15, 10:35 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 18 more4 hr
Aug 16, 12:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington and 13 more89 min
Aug 16, 1:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois and 17 more56 min
Aug 16, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 28 more4 hr
Aug 16, 1:02 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAuglaize, Champaign, Clark, Crawford, Darke, Delaware and 21 more4 hr
Aug 16, 3:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Crawford, Darke and 32 more24 min
Aug 16, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBraxton, Calhoun, Clay, Fayette, Gilmer, Greenbrier and 13 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.