Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 2007

Tornado Warning 1, NWS Shreveport, LA

February 24, 2007Hempstead County, Arkansas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this tornado warning at Feb 24, 2007, 10:44 AM CST for Hempstead County, Arkansas. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 24, 2007, 10:44 AM CST (16:44 UTC)
Expired: Feb 24, 2007, 11:15 AM CST
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hempstead County, AR

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 24, 8:47 AM CST	Tornado Watch PDS	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 144 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -313 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 511 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 513 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 661 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 7.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS54 KSHV 241645
TORSHV
ARC057-241715-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0001.070224T1644Z-070224T1715Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1044 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 1115 AM CST

* AT 1039 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PATMOS...OR
  ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH OF LEWISVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPEATING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING
FOR...
  HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
UNTIL 1115 AM CST.

LAT...LON 3348 9348 3350 9350 3350 9369 3355 9367
      3361 9360 3362 9360 3369 9352 3373 9348

$$

17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Feb 24, 9:13 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 9:13 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
913 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

.UPDATE...
TO ADD TORNADO WATCH 30 TO ZONE GROUPINGS INCLUDED UNTIL 4PM.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 439 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007/

DISCUSSION...

SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWS A LOW IN WESTERN KANSAS...WITH
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO NEAR ELP. A WARM FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAS LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA...AS TEMPS
HAVE LINGERED IN THE MID 60S THIS MORNING. THE MOISTURE AXIS IS
STILL SOUTH AND WEST OF THE AREA...AS MOST DEW POINTS LINGER IN
THE 50S. A DRY LINE EXTENDS FROM NEAR CDS TO JUST WEST OF DRT.

MODELS INITIALIZED IN SOMEWHAT AGREEMENT ON THE 00Z RUN...AND
STAYED IN LINE WITH MOVEMENT OF UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THROUGH 24 HRS.
HOWEVER WITH THE NAM 06Z RUN IT HAS REGRESSED A LITTLE IN
TIMING...THUS SLOWING THE SYSTEM DOWN A TAD. IF THE NAM IS
RIGHT...THE DRY LINE WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE AREA UNTIL 18Z OR
AFTER...WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING IN CLOSER TO 00Z. THIS MAY
ALLOW THE AREA TO WARM UP QUITE A BIT AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE...IF
CLOUDS DON/T HINDER. NAM HAS COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH GFS ON BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...INCREASING SOME IN THE
LATEST RUN. WE SHOULD GET AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY AS...BOTH MODELS INDICATE
DECENT THETA E...AND BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE AR...LA WESTERN
BORDER A SQUALL SHOULD FORM.

SVR ANALYSIS... DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE PLENTIFUL ACROSS THE AREA...SO
DEVELOPING STORMS WILL LIKELY HAVE ROTATION. MODELS HAVE
SIGNIFICANT HELICITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
LA AND SOUTH CENTRAL AR...SO THIS MAY BE THE PRIME FOCUS AREA FOR
TORNADOES. LIFT IS STILL MARGINAL...AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT TO
SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS IS NOT PRESENT...SO HAIL SHOULD NOT BE TO
SIGNIFICANT. SO DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT TODAY...SO EXPECT A ROCKY DAY WITH POSSIBLE TORNADO WATCHES
THIS AFTERNOON.

REMAINED CONSISTENT WITH CATEGORICAL POP FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA...ALTHOUGH I AM SCRATCHING MY HEAD ON DEEP EAST TEXAS AS
MODELS LACK MID LEVEL MOISTURE FOR THIS AREA. IN LINE WITH HPC ON
QPF...WITH FAST QUICK DRYING TREND POST FRONT.

ELEVEN

AVIATION...

CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE ACROSS ALL TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MORNING AS AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR AN
ACTIVE DAY. WILL KEEP WIND SHEAR GOING AREAWIDE THIS MORNING AS
PROFILER SITES INDICATING NEAR 60KTS AT 2K ACROSS NE TX WITH 40KTS
ACROSS NE LA WITH GOOD VEERING PROFILES IN THE LOWEST 2K.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SHOWERS WITH TSRA INCREASING QUICKLY
THIS MORNING AS THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ARRIVES AHEAD OF THE STORM
SYSTEM ACROSS NE TX. WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY ACROSS NE TX FOR STRONG
TSTMS WILL BE THIS MORNING WITH THE FOCUS SHIFTING FURTHER EAST
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AR AND NORTH CENTRAL LA FROM NOON THROUGH 800
PM. SITES NOT ALREADY MVFR/IFR WILL BECOME THAT WAY LATER THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPO LIFR IN AND AROUND -SHRA/TSRA. SE WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL BECOME SW BEHIND THE LINE OF TSRA WITH VERY STRONG
WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 MPH GUSTING AT TIMES TO NEAR 40 MPH ACROSS NE
TX BY AFTN. CEILINGS SHOULD IMPROVE DIRECTLY BEHIND THE LINE OF
STORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH WINDS DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT TONIGHT.
/13/

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 75 45 64 39 / 90 0 0 0
MLU 73 46 64 38 / 90 20 0 0
DEQ 71 38 60 33 / 90 0 0 0
TXK 73 43 62 38 / 90 0 0 0
ELD 73 43 63 35 / 90 20 0 0
TYR 71 44 64 43 / 90 0 0 0
GGG 75 43 64 41 / 90 0 0 0
LFK 74 44 66 42 / 90 0 0 0

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COLUMBIA...HEMPSTEAD...HOWARD...LAFAYETTE...LITTLE
RIVER...MILLER...NEVADA...SEVIER...AND UNION AR.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
HOWARD...LITTLE RIVER...AND SEVIER.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
BIENVILLE...BOSSIER...CADDO...CALDWELL...CLAIBORNE...DE
SOTO...GRANT...JACKSON...LA
SALLE...LINCOLN...NATCHITOCHES...OUACHITA...RED
RIVER...SABINE LA...UNION LA...WEBSTER...AND WINN.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: AND MCCURTAIN.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
AND MCCURTAIN.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
ANGELINA...BOWIE...CAMP...CASS...CHEROKEE...FRANKLIN...GREGG...HARRISON...MARION...MORRIS...NACOGDOCHES...PANOLA...RED
RIVER...RUSK...SABINE TX...SAN
AUGUSTINE...SHELBY...SMITH...TITUS...UPSHUR...AND WOOD.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
ANGELINA...BOWIE...CAMP...CASS...CHEROKEE...FRANKLIN...GREGG...HARRISON...MARION...MORRIS...NACOGDOCHES...PANOLA...RED
RIVER...RUSK...SABINE TX...SAN
AUGUSTINE...SHELBY...SMITH...TITUS...UPSHUR...AND WOOD.

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 6:00 AM CST, 4 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
600 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-241800-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
600 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. LOOK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. DESPITE THE
CLOUD COVER...SOME DECENT DAYTIME HEATING WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER
NORTH LOUISIANA AND SOUTH ARKANSAS...ADDING ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY TO AN ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE AND HIGHLY SHEARED
ATMOSPHERE. A DRYLINE WILL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE AREA...FURTHER
ENHANCING LIFT FOR THUNDERSTORM GROWTH. THESE STORMS WILL INCREASE
AROUND MIDDAY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS...AND RAPIDLY MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. OTHER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP INTO A SQUALL LINE
ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE ITSELF. STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THIS STORM SYSTEM
AND DRY LINE WILL PUSH EAST OUT OF THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY
EVENING...WITH GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND THE ADJACENT COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED TODAY...AS A RESULT OF THE WINDY
CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER
STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS EVENT.

11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 24, 5:34 AM CST	Red Flag Warning	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	12 hr
Feb 24, 10:59 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Nevada	46 min
Feb 24, 11:20 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Columbia, Union	55 min
Feb 24, 11:28 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Columbia, Union	47 min
Feb 24, 12:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Lafayette, Nevada	60 min
Feb 24, 1:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Union	53 min
Feb 24, 3:11 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Union	49 min
Feb 24, 3:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Union	33 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2007 Every tornado warning in 2007 Tornadoes in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.