Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2007
Wind Advisory 28, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Dec 2, 2007, 1:14 PM EST for 23 counties in Virginia; 6 counties in North Carolina; Mercer County, Monroe County, Summers County, West Virginia. It took effect at Dec 3, 2007, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 2, 2007, 1:14 PM EST (18:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 3, 2007, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 3, 2007, 8:17 PM EST
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 32 counties
Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Franklin County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1791 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 432 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 558 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS71 KRNK 021814 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...STRONG WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AND THEN PERSIST INTO MONDAY NIGHT. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-030215- /O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0004.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0008.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...HOWEVER DOWNED TREES COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE AND MAY CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-030215- /O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0004.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0008.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS 114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...HOWEVER DOWNED TREES COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE AND MAY CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ010-022>024-030215- /O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0004.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ BLAND-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAND...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ007-032>035-WVZ042>045-030215- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-TAZEWELL-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-MERCER- SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL... STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON... UNION...LEWISBURG 114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS71 KRNK 030137 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 837 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...STRONG WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AND THEN PERSIST INTO MONDAY NIGHT. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-030945- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 837 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...HOWEVER DOWNED TREES COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE AND MAY CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-030945- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS 837 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...HOWEVER DOWNED TREES COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE AND MAY CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ007-010-WVZ042>045-030945- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ TAZEWELL-BLAND-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...BLAND...BLUEFIELD...HINTON... UNION...LEWISBURG 837 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ022>024-032>035-030945- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.071203T0500Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...SALEM... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 837 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS71 KRNK 030927 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. VAZ022>024-031730- /O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ /O.EXA.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 35 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN SOME TREES...POTENTIALLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-031730- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES... AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-031730- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 35 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN SOME TREES...POTENTIALLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-031730- /O.EXB.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.071203T1000Z-071204T0200Z/ STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YADKINVILLE... MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON... KEYSVILLE 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE WIND SPEED COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ VAZ007-010-WVZ042>045-031730- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ TAZEWELL-BLAND-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...BLAND...BLUEFIELD...HINTON... UNION...LEWISBURG 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE WIND SPEED COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-031730- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 427 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE WIND SPEED COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS71 KRNK 031644 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS EXITED THE REGION. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS...WITH VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-040045- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-022>024-040045- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN SOME TREES...POTENTIALLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ007-010-WVZ042>045-040045- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ TAZEWELL-BLAND-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...BLAND...BLUEFIELD...HINTON... UNION...LEWISBURG 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE WIND SPEEDS COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-040045- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE WIND SPEEDS COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-040045- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0200Z/ STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YADKINVILLE... MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON... KEYSVILLE 1144 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT TIMES...WILL DIMINISH BY MID EVENING. THESE WIND SPEEDS COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS71 KRNK 032009 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS EXITED THE REGION. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS...WITH VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. VAZ007-010-WVZ042>045-032115- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ TAZEWELL-BLAND-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...BLAND...BLUEFIELD...HINTON... UNION...LEWISBURG 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-032115- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0200Z/ STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YADKINVILLE... MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON... KEYSVILLE 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-040415- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH AT TIMES. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-022>024-040415- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH GUSTS TO 55 TO 60 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN SOME TREES...POTENTIALLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-040415- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 309 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO 15 TO 30 MPH... WITH GUSTS AT TIMES TO NEAR 50 MPH ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THESE WIND SPEEDS COULD DOWN ISOLATED WEAK TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS71 KRNK 040117 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 817 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WINDS DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT... NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-016-040900- /O.CAN.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0029.071204T0117Z-071204T0900Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...GALAX 817 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ VAZ009-011>014-017>020-022>024-040230- /O.CAN.KRNK.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SMYTH-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 817 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW WARNING CRITERIA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-040230- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-071204T0900Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 817 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. HOWEVER...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Dec 2, 1:11 PM EST, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 2, 1:11 PM EST, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
111 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
PASS THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
RAINFALL TO MOST OF THE REGION INTO THIS EVENING. MUCH COLDER AIR
WILL WORK IN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ON STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS LATER
TONIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
WARM ADVECTION PATCHY SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE MAIN AXIS OF CONVECTION JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT APPROACHES AROUND 00Z. THIS MAY BRING A MORE
SIGNIFICANT ROUND OF SHRA TO THE WEST WHERE WILL INCLUDE SOME
ELEVATED TSRA PER RADAR TRENDS ATTM. OTRW KEEPING LIKELY/CAT POPS
MOST AREAS THIS EVENING THEN QUICKLY CUTTING BACK AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
THE FRONT SLIDES THRU THE REGION. AS THE ACTUAL 850 MB FRONT ARRIVES
LATE TONIGHT THRU EARLY MONDAY...QUICK SURGE IN POST FRONTAL NW
WINDS EXPECTED AIDED BY STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND JET ALOFT OVERTOP COLD
ADVECTION. THIS MAY BRING WARNING TYPE WIND GUSTS TO THE RIDGES BY
MORNING BEFORE BETTER MIXING DEVELOPS ON MONDAY. LATEST FORECAST
RAOBS HOWEVER A BIT WEAKER THAN EARLIER RUNS WITH A HIGHER INVERSION
LEVEL SEEN WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM UNLESS MIXING IS
STRONGER. THUS UPGRADING THE CURRENT WATCH TO A HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR MUCH OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND BORDERING WITH AN ADVISORY ELSEWHERE.
LOW TEMPS TRICKY OVERNIGHT SINCE QUITE CHILLY ATTM BUT EXPECT SOME
RISES AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SW JET INCREASES...THEN FALLS LATE PER
FROPA. FOR NOW PLAYED JUST BELOW MOS EAST GIVEN CURRENT TEMPS AND
ABOVE IN THE WEST AS COLD ADVECTION LIKELY A BIT SLOWER AT THIS
POINT.
ONCE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY MONDAY MORNING...UPSLOPE
SHOWERS WILL BEGIN. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL SUPPORTING SNOW
AT MOST ELEVATIONS IN THE WEST. SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY
BECOME SIGNIFICANT IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF GREENBRIER COUNTY DUE TO
PERSISTENT COLD AIR AND PASSAGE OF UPPER TROF THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER GIVEN SUCH A WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE AND RATHER WARM GROUND
NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO ON THE WESTERN SLOPES
NORTH OF HINTON...LITTLE IF ANY ELSEWHERE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE COLD AND ESPECIALLY THE WIND BEHIND THE
FRONT. 850 WINDS AROUND 60 KNOTS...STRONG PRESSURE RISES...VERY
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION...AND A SFC LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL RESULT IN SOME WIND WARNING CRITERIA
GUSTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND WIDESPREAD DOWNED
TREES. WILL LIKELY NEED TO EXPAND THE CURRENT HIGH WIND WATCH AREA
AND EXTEND THE TIME A BIT. BORDERING COUNTIES OF THE WATCH WILL
HAVE ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL BE HIGH-LIGHTED IN
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK (HWO).
ONCE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY MONDAY MORNING...UPSLOPE
SHOWERS WILL BEGIN. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL SUPPORTING SNOW
AT MOST ELEVATIONS IN THE WEST. SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY
BECOME SIGNIFICANT IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF GREENBRIER COUNTY DUE
TO PERSISTENT COLD AIR AND LAKE MOISTR ADVECTION THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. THIS BARES WATCHING. ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY APPROACH 2-3
INCHES ON WESTERN SLOPES NORTH OF HINTON...LITTLE IF ANY ELSEWHERE
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GOOD COLD ADVECTION BEHIND POTENTIAL STRATIFORM SYSTEM FOR NORTHERN
HALF OF CWA ON WEDNESDAY...LEADS TO A CHILLY THURSDAY. MOST SPOTS
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MAY NOT SEE 40F IN THE AFTERNOON. THE 0Z OP GFS
IS MORE AMPLIFIED THAN THE ENSEMBLE OR THE ECMWF CONCERNING A SYSTEM
APPROACHING OUR WESTERN SLOPES ON FRIDAY. THUS...IT ALSO HAS A
WARMER PUNCH AND WIDER SWATH OF QPF THAT WILL BE DISCOUNTED FOR NOW.
THINKING OF A WEAKER SYSTEM WITH A MORE SSW TO ENE TRACK...WITH
SPOTTY RAIN SHOWERS IN WHAT WILL BE A VERY DRY AIRMASS...WITH AN INC
IN CLOUDS. FIGURING THAT MOS GUIDE WILL CONTAIN TOO MUCH OF THIS
OUTLIER SOLUTION....SO WILL LIKELY BE UNDER ITS POP FORECAST. WITH
EASTERLY COMPONENT REMAINING UNTIL SUNDAY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
SIMILAR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WITH MORE OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT ON
SUNDAY....TEMPS WILL BE WARMER WITH A CHC OF SHOWERS...AS A
DEVELOPMENT ROLLS OVER HIGH PRESSURE PARKED ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST. MAIN DIFFERENCE NEXT WEEKEND BETWEEN SOLUTIONS IS THE
HANDLING OF AN UPPER LOW OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST. THE 0Z OP GFS ISNT
AS DEEP AND CLOSED OFF...THUS THE SE RIDGE IS STRONGER THAN THE
ECWMF/GFS ENSEMBLE. SO...ONE WOULD EXPECT MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW WITH
WEAK SYSTEMS AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF TEMPERATURE SWINGS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...UNTIL THE CLOSED SYSTEM IN THE SW OPENS UP AND
MOVES EAST. WHEN THAT OCCURS...THE SE RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN AND THE
REGION SHOULD SEE A RETURN TO A WARMER PATTERN INTO DAYS 8-10.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER THIS AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AND SHOWERS PUSH IN FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT MOST SITES ACROSS THE WEST TO
REACH MVFR LEVELS BY EVENING...WITH PERIODS OF LOW CLOUDS ACROSS
THE EAST AS WELL. GIVEN FAST MOVING POCKETS OF SHRA WILL INCLUDE
AT LEAST VICINITY MENTION AND BRIEF TEMPO GROUPS LWB/BLF WHERE
RAINFALL SHOULD BE MORE WIDESPREAD.
THE COLD FRONT IS FCST TO CROSS THE FCST AREA BETWEEN 07-13 UTC
TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING. A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION TO VSBY SHOULD
OCCUR AT THAT TIME WITH WIDESPREAD SHRA ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING A PERIOD OF STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS. STRONG POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL OCCUR MONDAY...WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO TUESDAY. SURFACE WINDS AT ROA MAY
BE AROUND 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. OTHER SITES WILL SEE
WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. DOWNSLOPE
CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MONDAY...BUT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH
WIDESPREAD STRATOCU ANTICIPATED FROM BLF/LWB NORTHWARD...CIGS BKN-
OVC010-030 ALONG WITH SCTD SNOW SHOWERS.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY
FOR VAZ009-011>020.
WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
VAZ007-010-022>024-032>035.
NC...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY
FOR NCZ001-002-018.
WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
NCZ003-019.
WV...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
WVZ042>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...JS/RCS
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...JH/JS/PMHazardous weather outlook, Dec 2, 4:37 AM EST, 8 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 437 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009>020-022>024-030945- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY- GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT- ROCKBRIDGE- 437 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA MAY BE AS HIGH AS 40 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 65 MPH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR WIND REPORTS AND DOWNED TREE REPORTS. VAZ007-WVZ042>045-030945- TAZEWELL-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 437 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS TOWARD MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR WIND REPORTS AND DOWNED TREE REPORTS. NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-030945- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 437 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-030945- SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- 437 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR WIND REPORTS AND DOWNED TREE REPORTS.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 1:14 PM EST | High Wind Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Carroll, Craig, Floyd and 15 more | 31 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2007Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2007Wind Advisories in West Virginia, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.