Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS New York, NY

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 160339
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1139 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...

A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PASSED SOUTH OF THE TRI-STATE AREA AND
HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. RAIN WAS FALLING OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER...WITH COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH...SLEET WAS MIXED IN. SNOW WILL ALSO MIX IN WITH THE RAIN
AND SLEET OVERNIGHT...MAINLY INLAND.

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY DURING
FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE
GULF COAST DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE LOW THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS AND
LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

PRECIPITATION COULD BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS...TO AS MUCH AS 8 TO
14 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET NORTH AND WEST OF NEW YORK CITY.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
WHICH WILL AFFECT THE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-161000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.070316T0900Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1139 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM
EDT SATURDAY. 

RAIN AND SLEET WILL EVENTUALLY TURN TO ALL SNOW TOWARD MORNING.
ONLY LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY
MORNING...BUT HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW
FREEZING. A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW
MAY MIX WITH SLEET FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND
SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 14 INCHES BEFORE ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDS
SATURDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-009>011-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-161000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.070316T0900Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1139 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM
EDT SATURDAY. 

RAIN AND SLEET WILL MIX WITH SNOW OVERNIGHT...AND THEN CHANGE OVER
TO SNOW EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ONLY LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. A MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT...AND MAY TURN OVER TO ALL SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR A PERIOD FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES BEFORE ACCUMULATING
SNOW ENDS SATURDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ008-161000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.070316T0900Z-070317T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
1139 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW OVERNIGHT...AND
THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW TOWARD MORNING. ONLY LIGHT SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. A MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE EVENTUALLY CHANGING
BACK TO ALL RAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES BEFORE ACCUMULATING SNOW
ENDS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-161000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.070316T0900Z-070317T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1139 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY. 

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW OVERNIGHT...POSSIBLY
TURNING TO ALL SNOW TOWARD MORNING. ONLY LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. A MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE EVENTUALLY CHANGING
BACK TO ALL RAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE ACCUMULATING SNOW
ENDS FRIDAY EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 161656
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST THIS EVENING...THEN PASS JUST EAST OF
MONTAUK POINT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS
PRIMARILY SNOW INLAND AND A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN ACROSS NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND. AS THE LOW
APPROACHES...PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVY TONIGHT...BUT WARMER
AIR WILL ALSO WORK IN ALOFT...CHANGING THE PRECIPITATION TO
PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET OVER INLAND SECTIONS...AND A MIX OF
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN CLOSER TO THE COAST.

UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW AND SLEET COULD ACCUMULATE WELL NORTH AND WEST
OF NEW YORK CITY...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES IN AND AROUND NEW YORK
CITY...AND LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER EAST ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-170100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
SLEET TONIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL RANGE
FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN ORANGE
COUNTY...BEFORE ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDS SATURDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ009-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>076-170100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL
RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES BEFORE THE ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDS LATER
TONIGHT. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION FROM FREEZING RAIN IS
ALSO POSSIBLE...MAKING DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS QUITE
HAZARDOUS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-010-170000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T0000Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN
AND RAIN LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND
SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS
LATER TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ077-078-170100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5
INCHES THIS AFTERNOON...HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG
ISLAND...BUT UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION IS POSSIBLE...MAKING
DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS VERY HAZARDOUS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ079>081-170000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0000Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1256 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
WINTRY MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. THIS WILL KEEP
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DOWN SOMEWHAT...BUT 3 TO 6 INCHES TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS ALONG THE SOUTH
FORK OF LONG ISLAND. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 162058
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST THIS EVENING...THEN PASS JUST EAST OF MONTAUK
POINT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS PRIMARILY SNOW
INLAND AND A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND
AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT. AS THE LOW APPROACHES...PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME HEAVY TONIGHT...BUT WARMER AIR WILL ALSO WORK IN ALOFT... 
CHANGING PRECIPITATION TO PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET OVER INLAND
SECTIONS...AND A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN CLOSER TO 
THE COAST.

NYZ078-170400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0400Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW AND SLEET WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS
EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN TOWARD
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LEFTOVER FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ICE
ACCRETION FROM FREEZING RAIN OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION 
WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-010-170600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T0600Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE
TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIX WILL
GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LEFTOVER
FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL
RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION FROM
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...MAKING DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS QUITE HAZARDOUS. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-170700-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER
MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12
INCHES BEFORE ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDS SATURDAY MORNING. ICE ACCRETION
FROM FREEZING RAIN OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>077-170700-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER
MIDNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 2
TO 5 INCHES...WITH SOME TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN ESSEX COUNTY...BEFORE THE ACCUMULATING SNOW
ENDS LATER TONIGHT. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION FROM FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...MAKING DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS QUITE
HAZARDOUS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ009-NJZ003-004-NYZ071-170700-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES BEFORE THE ACCUMULATING SNOW
ENDS LATER TONIGHT. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION FROM FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...MAKING DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS QUITE
HAZARDOUS. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ079>081-170400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0400Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
458 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
THIS EVENING. THIS WINTRY MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN
TOWARD MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LEFTOVER FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. 
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER AMOUNTS ALONG THE SOUTH FORK OF LONG
ISLAND. ICE ACCRETION FROM FREEZING RAIN OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION 
WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 170246
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET OVERNIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE DELMARVA COAST THIS EVENING WILL MOVE NORTH
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...PASSING OVER OR JUST EAST OF MONTAUK POINT VERY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS PRIMARILY MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW OVER ORANGE COUNTY...A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW WITH
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN MOST ELSEWHERE...AND RAIN OVER EASTERN LONG
ISLAND AND FAR SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-170400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0400Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO RAIN...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
HOWEVER...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT. 

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX
WITH FREEZING RAIN...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 8 TO 12
INCHES...BUT WITH SOME HIGHER TOTALS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE IN
ORANGE COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>077-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES...THEN GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES...BUT WITH SOME TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN ESSEX COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-010-170600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T0600Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN BEFORE MIDNIGHT. 
THIS WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH
SOME LEFTOVER FREEZING RAIN IN SOME COLDER INTERIOR VALLEYS. 
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ009-NJZ003-004-NYZ071-171100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL RANGE
FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-NYZ078-080-170400-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0400Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1046 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN TOWARD MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME
LEFTOVER POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 170345
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET OVERNIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST ALONG THE DELMARVA
COAST THIS EVENING WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...PASSING OVER
EASTERN LONG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION IS PRIMARILY
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET OVER ORANGE COUNTY...A MIXTURE OF
SLEET AND SNOW WITH POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN MOST ELSEWHERE...AND
RAIN OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND FAR SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

NYZ080-170445-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0400Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

TEMPERATURES ARE RISING ABOVE FREEZING AND PRECIPITATION IS CHANGING
TO ALL RAIN. THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 
 
$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-171145-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL OCCASIONALLY
MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 8 TO
12 INCHES...BUT WITH SOME HIGHER TOTALS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN ORANGE COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>077-171145-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES...THEN
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES...BUT WITH SOME
TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN
ESSEX COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-010-170600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T0600Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME
LEFTOVER FREEZING RAIN IN SOME COLDER INTERIOR VALLEYS. TOTAL SNOW
AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ009-NJZ003-004-NYZ071-171145-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY.

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN...THEN GRADUALLY TAPER
OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL
RANGE FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-NYZ078-170600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T0600Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1145 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM...WITH
SOME LEFTOVER POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN SPOTS. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 170546
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT...PASSING OVER FAR EASTERN LONG ISLAND TOWARD DAYBREAK.
WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SLEET
AND SNOW...WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT.

CTZ008-170700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T0600Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO ALL RAIN...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING.
HOWEVER...AS HEAVY RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA...ROADS COVERED BY SNOW
AND SLEET WILL BECOME SLUSHY...AND DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
HAZARDOUS. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

$$

CTZ007-010-171200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN OVERNIGHT...THEN
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL
RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-171200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES...BUT
WITH SOME HIGHER TOTALS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE IN ORANGE COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>077-171200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...BUT WITH SOME
HIGHER TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN
ESSEX COUNTY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ009-NJZ003-004-NYZ071-171200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

SLEET AND SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. 
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 
10 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-NYZ078-171000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T1000Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
146 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES REMAIN JUST BELOW FREEZING...THEREFORE THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED. SLEET AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO RAIN...AND THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 170849
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
449 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER STORM COMING TO AN END THIS MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF MONTAUK POINT EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF THIS MORNING. 

CTZ005>007-009-010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>077-171600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070317T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T1600Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
449 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...SOME LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN...FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SLEET MAY LINGER INTO THIS
MORNING...WHICH COULD STILL CAUSE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ080-171600-
/O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T1600Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
449 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...SOME LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN...FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SLEET MAY LINGER INTO THIS
MORNING...WHICH COULD STILL CAUSE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-NYZ078-171600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070317T1600Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
449 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TODAY. 

HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...SOME LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN...FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SLEET MAY LINGER INTO THIS
MORNING...WHICH COULD STILL CAUSE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

GOODMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1105 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...MAJOR CHANGES TO UNFOLD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
...LATE SEASON WINTER STORM LOOKING LIKELY FRI INTO SAT...

.NEAR TERM (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...
WITH THE BULK OF THE RAIN CURRENTLY N AND W OF THE TRI-STATE AREA
AND ONLY SPORADIC AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING IN/AROUND THE LOCAL
AREA...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND LOWERED POPS TO CHC FOR THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. WILL SEE POPS INCREASING TO CATEGORICAL BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...SO ONLY CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE EARLY PART OF THE
PERIOD. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...ALLOWING TEMPS
TO RISE INTO THE 50S AND 60S. WILL MAKE SOME TWEAKS...BUT HIGHS AREA
FINE FOR THE MOST PART.

OTHERWISE...MAJOR CHANGES DEVELOPING AS THE ZONAL FLOW BUCKLES
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH A STRONGLY AMPLIFIED...NEGATIVELY TILTED
UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING AND TILTING THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

THE POLAR FRONT SETTLES SWD LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH OVERRUNNING
RAINS SPREADING FROM NW TO SE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. WINDS SHIFT
AROUND TO THE N/NE BEHIND THE FRONT AS A LARGE SPRAWLING HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS ACROSS EASTERN CANADA SUPPORTED BY CONFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS HIGH FORCING
THE COLD FRONT SOUTH TOWARDS THE DELMARVA BY EVENING...AND THEN
TOWARDS VIRGINIA/NA CAROLINA BORDER BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

MODELS COMING INTO A BIT BETTER AGREEMENT ON HOW QUICKLY THE COLD
AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION. SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING FROZEN PRECIP
DEVELOPING ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA BY MIDNIGHT AND
WORKING TO THE COAST BY DAYBREAK AS COLD AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND COLD
FRONT. SURFACE TEMPS DROP TO AROUND OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT A RAIN TO
SLEET TO SNOW TRANSITION...AS COLUMN COOLS RATHER UNIFORMLY.
&&

.SHORT TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXIST IN THIS PERIOD OF THE FORECAST...WHICH IS
BASED ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE IN DIGGING UPPER
TROUGH OVER UPPER GREAT LAKES EARLY FRIDAY AS A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
OVER THE CANADIAN ROCKIES PHASES AND SHORTWAVE OVER THE DEEP SOUTH
PHASE WITH THE BROAD TROUGH...AND THEN NEGATIVELY TILTING AND
CLOSING IT OFF FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT PIVOTS THROUGH THE REGION SAT INTO
SUN. THE NAM SEEMS TO BE A SLOWER AND BROADER OUTLIER WITH THIS
TROUGH...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT AND MORE OPEN FORMATION AS
IT PIVOTS THROUGH THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

THIS PHASING OF ENERGY AND EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER TROUGH IS THE KEY
TO THE FORECAST...AND WITH CURRENT UNCERTAINTY IN THIS LIES
UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK/STRENGTH OF A DEVELOPING MID-ATLANTIC
LOW WORKING UP THE COAST...WHICH WILL PLAY HAVOC WITH DETERMINE
P-TYPE AND ACCUMULATIONS.

AS IT STANDS NOW WILL STAY CLOSER TO GFS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE OF
ABOVE MENTIONED MODEL SUITE. PREFERRED MODEL SUITE IS IN AGREEMENT
WITH A WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
TONIGHT AND THEN TRACKING UP THE FRONT...TO OFF THE DELMARVA FRI
EVE. AFTER A LIGHTENING OF PRECIP LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...PRECIP REDEVELOPS FRI MORNING/AFTERNOON FROM SW TO NE AS
LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT FROM RIGHT REAR UPPER JET AND MOISTURE
FROM LOW-LEVEL JET WORKING UP THE COAST. PROFILE DURING THIS TIME
SUPPORT A MIX OF SNOW/SLEET FOR NYC/NE JERSEY/LI AND COASTAL CONN
AND SNOW TO THE NORTH. A GENERAL 1 TO 4 INCH ACCUMULATION OF SNOW
AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS PRECIP BECOMES
HEAVIER.

AS PHASED UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS TOWARDS THE COAST FRI EVENING...LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST INTENSIFIES OFF THE DELMARVA. THE EXACT
TRACK RIGHT NOW IS A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT BEST GUESS AT THIS TIME
WOULD TAKE IT JUST E OF MONTAUK PT AND UP NARRAGANSETT BAY. TO THE N
AND W OF THE LOW...LIFT INTENSIFIES FRI EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
WITH PRECIP BECOMING MODERATE TO HEAVY. INITIALLY PROFILES SUPPORT
MAINLY SNOW...WITH SNOW/SLEET TOWARDS THE SE COAST.

THE INTENSIFYING LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP A COASTAL FRONT WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO WORK ONSHORE FRI NIGHT. THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD FOR
THIS COASTAL FRONT TO WORK ONSHORE WOULD BE SUFFOLK COUNTY AND
COASTAL SE CONN...WHERE PRECIP WOULD TRANSITION TO RAIN IN THE
EVENING. TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE FRONT...ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE REGION A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET FALL FOR THE EVENT COULD BE AS HIGH AS A FOOT
FOR THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SW INTERIOR CT...AND NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF NE NJ WHERE PRECIP MAY REMAIN PRIMARILY AS SNOW. A SWATH OF 5 TO
8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NYC/NE NEW
JERSEY/NASSAU COUNTY/NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY...COASTAL LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY...SW COASTAL CONN...AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CONN. WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SE COASTAL SECTIONS BEFORE
A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. AFTER COLLAB WITH HPC/OTHER OFFICES WILL ISSUE
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT COASTAL SE CONN...AND
EASTERN LI.

WHERE PRECIP CHANGES TO RAIN...RAIN WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE. WITH THIS RAINFALL
ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUM...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. SINCE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF THE COASTAL FRONT WILL NOT ISSUE FLOOD WATCH TO DEAL
WITH THIS...BUT MAY BE NECESSARY AS EVENT NEARS.

HEAVIEST MOISTURE/LIFT AXIS SLIDES EAST OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS BUT MINIMAL ACCUM ON SAT AS
UPPER TROUGH COMES THROUGH. ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD END BY
SAT NIGHT WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
DEPARTING LOW.
&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A MODERATING TREND ENSUES MON INTO TUE WITH A STRENGTHENING RETURN
FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGRESSING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IN THE FORECAST FROM MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD ADVANCING FRONT. &&

.HYDROLOGY...
POTENTIAL FOR 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF RAINFALL TODAY WITH SHOWER/ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. ANOTHER 1/2 INCH OF QPF
POSSIBLE TONIGHT BEHIND THE POLAR FRONT WITH ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE.

HEAVIEST QPF LOOKS TO BE FRI INTO FRI NIGHT WITH
OVERRUNNING PCPN INCREASING IN INTENSITY AS A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS
ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND TRACKS UP THE COAST. AT THIS TIME
OVER 2 INCHES OF QPF MAY BE A POSSIBILITY DURING THIS TIME. THE
MAJORITY THIS PCPN LOOKS TO FALL IN THE FROZEN STATE OVER
NYC/NJ/LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR CONN. EASTERN LI AND COASTAL
SE CONN WILL LIKELY SEE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN...WHICH MAY PRESENT THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING.

ICE JAMS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A PROBLEM AS OF YET ON OUR RIVERS AND
STREAMS...ESPECIALLY WITH A TURN TOWARDS COLDER CONDITIONS TONIGHT.
WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON MAIN STEM RIVERS UPSTREAM WITH MILD
CONDITIONS AND STILL 1 TO 3 INCH OF SWE IN HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE
NORTH. AS WARMER TEMPS CONTINUE TODAY AND WITH SOME RAINFALL
POSSIBLE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE WALKILL AND DELAWARE
RIVERS WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE EFFECTS FROM COMBINED SNOWMELT AND QPF.
&&

.AVIATION...
THE BULK OF THE PRECIP REMAINS WELL N OF THE AREA AND WILL DROP S
TOWARDS LCL TERMINALS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WITH BREAKS IN CLOUDS...
VFR CIGS/VSBYS SHOULD BE IN PLACE FOR MOST TERMINALS UNTIL 18-10Z...
AND WILL ISSUE TAF AMENDMENTS HIGHLIGHTING THIS WITH PATCHY MVFR
VSBYS IN BR.

WINDS...LOOK FOR LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INITIALLY THIS
MORNING...THEN AN ABRUPT CHANGE TO NORTHWEST/NORTH BY 16-18Z (WIND
SHIFT FIRST AT KSWF AND LAST NEAR THE COAST). NORTHERLY WINDS PICK
UP IN SPEED TO 10 TO 15 KTS AND WILL BECOME GUSTY 20 TO 25 KTS
TOWARD EVENING...AND THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD AIR ALOFT STEEPENS
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. ALL RAIN THROUGH 05Z OR SO...THEN AREA WILL
SEE A TRANSITION TO RAIN/SNOW MIX AROUND MIDNIGHT KSWF...AND A FEW
HOURS LATER ELSEWHERE. EXPECT MOSTLY SNOW TOWARD FRIDAY MORNING AS
ENOUGH COLD AIR MOVES ON IN.
&&

.MARINE...
MORNING FCST PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK IN TERMS OF WINDS/WAVES. WITH
POLAR FRONT STILL WELL TO THE N...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND LOWERED POPS
TO CHC FOR THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO
CATEGORICAL LATE.

OTHERWISE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR OCEAN
WATERS AS SEAS RUNNING AROUND 7 FT. THEN...THE PERSISTENT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ABRUPTLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST/NORTH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AS FRONT SAGS SOUTH. WINDS WILL PICK UP AS STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH AND COLD AIR ADVECTION GETS GOING IN
EARNEST. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. WILL ISSUE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY STARTING EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING FOR LI SOUND AND NY HARBOR...AND GALES FOR THE OCEAN ZONES
SAME TIME FRAME. EXPECT THESE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MODEL DIFFERENCES NOTED WITH GFS MUCH
DEEPER WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE...AND THIS LOW TRACKS JUST EAST OF
THE WATERS. EVEN IF GFS IS TOO STRONG WITH THIS LOW...WHICH IS
POSSIBLE...GALES EXPECTED AND WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFT TO NORTH/THEN
NORTHWEST SATURDAY AS STORM SYSTEM DEPARTS.

CONDITIONS IMPROVE SUNDAY BEFORE WINDS INCREASE ON RETURN FLOW
MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. AS SUCH...SEAS WILL RESPOND.

AS FOR ANY COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS...WILL NOT HIGHLIGHT ANYTHING
AT THIS TIME AS WE WOULD BE LOOKING AT A FOURTH PERIOD CONCERN HERE.
LOOKS LIKE THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE THE ONE TO WATCH AS
LATEST GFS BASED CSTL FLOODING GUIDANCE NUMBERS INDICATE AT LEAST 2
FEET ABOVE. DO NOT FEEL THAT THE FRIDAY MORNING TIDES WILL BE
AFFECTED...WITH MAYBE A FOOT ABOVE...WHICH IS BETWEEN GFS AND
USUALLY POOR NGM GUIDANCE.
&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR CTZ005>010.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ067>078.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ002>006-011.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
         ANZ330-335-338.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
         ANZ350-353-355.
         GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
         ANZ350-353-355.
&&

MORNING UPDATE...MPS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

CTZ011-012-NYZ079>081-161000-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. RAIN
WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TODAY...BUT AS COLDER AIR TAKES HOLD IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO A MIXTURE
OF RAIN AND SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS COULD CREATE SOME
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE
AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO AROUND FREEZING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY ON FRIDAY
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF COAST
DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY
FRIDAY EVENING...THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS AND LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
EVENING...BEFORE WARMER AIR WORKS OVER AREA AND PRECIPITATION TURNS
TO RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MINOR URBAN FLOODING
POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AND MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ330-335-338-161000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ350-353-355-161000-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ005>010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ068>078-161000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-PUTNAM-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS THIS
EVENING AND GRADUALLY TO THE COAST LATE TONIGHT...WITH HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY ON FRIDAY
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF COAST
DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY
FRIDAY EVENING...THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS AND LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

PRECIPITATION COULD BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SLEET WILL
MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LINGERING LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NYZ067-161000-
ORANGE-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE TODAY INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING...WHICH COMBINED WITH SNOW MELT AND ICE JAM FLOW FROM THE
NORTH MAY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE WALKILL AND DELAWARE
RIVERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AS THE COLD FRONT SINKS FURTHER SOUTH THIS EVENING COLD AIR WILL
BUILD DOWN INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA AND TO THE NORTH...SNOW MELT
CONTRIBUTION INTO THE MAIN STEM RIVERS SHOULD LESSEN.
NONETHELESS...THIS SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY AND
RESIDENTS..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WALKILL AND DELAWARE RIVERS...ARE
ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS THIS
EVENING...WHICH SHOULD ELIMINATE RUNOFF INTO THE RIVERS AS WELL.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY ON FRIDAY
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF COAST
DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY
FRIDAY EVENING...THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS AND LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

PRECIPITATION COULD BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SLEET WILL
MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LINGERING LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.