Red Flag Warning 58, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS84 KMOB 210843
RFWMOB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
343 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND SECTIONS OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE INLAND
SECTIONS OF THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ACROSS THE INLAND SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

FLZ001-003-005-220000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0058.070521T1500Z-070522T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
343 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
450 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2007

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...LATEST SFC MAP SHOWS BROAD HIGH
PRES CENTERED OVER WESTERN TN PROGGED TO DRIFT SE AND WEAKEN THROUGH
WED. THROUGH TONIGHT LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO BE LOW DUE TO CONTINUED
SUBSIDENCE IN THE LOW TO MID LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. WILL CONTINUE
TO MENTION AREAS OF SMOKE FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...ALSO. WILL USE TO THE CURRENT MAVMOS FOR TEMPS THROUGH
TONIGHT. /32

THIS AFTERNOONS WET MICROBURST RISK IS NONE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)...A DRY AIRMASS W/ PWS AOB
1 INCH CONTINUES THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF THE FORECAST UNTIL THE END OF THE
FORECAST. THE COLD FRONT THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED FOR
THURSDAY...NOW APPEARS TO STALL WELL BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHEAST
AS SFC AND UPPER RIDGING BLOCK THE FRONT. REINFORCING SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES FOR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. AS THIS HIGH WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST BY LATE
IN THE WEEK...ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS FOR ISOLATED DIURNAL
POPS NEXT WEEKEND. /13

&&

.MARINE...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE BUILDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS
A RESULT A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT
BECOMING SOUTHEAST OR REPLACED WITH AN ONSHORE SEABREEZE EACH
AFTERNOON. EASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO THE EAST. AREAS OF
SMOKE AND HAZE MAY BE EXPERIENCED WITH SURFACE VISIBILITIES LOWERING
TO 3 TO 5 MILES AT TIMES. /32

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION FOR
THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THIS WILL RESULT IN CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES AGAIN TODAY AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON MONDAY. AN
INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ON MONDAY MAY ALLOW FOR ENOUGH
MOISTURE TO RETURN TO COASTAL ZONES AND PREVENT RED FLAG CRITERIA
ALONG THE COAST. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR UPDATES ON LATER
FORECASTS. LIGHTER WINDS WILL PREVENT THE NEED FOR A RED FLAG
WARNING IN ALABAMA. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      85  59  86  61 /  00  00  00  00
PENSACOLA   82  63  83  64 /  00  00  00  00
DESTIN      83  63  83  66 /  00  00  00  00
EVERGREEN   85  54  87  55 /  00  00  00  00
WAYNESBORO  86  56  86  57 /  00  00  00  00
CAMDEN      85  57  89  58 /  00  00  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

13/JC
32/EE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
550 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2007

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-
211200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
MOBILE BAY-BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-
CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
550 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

CRITICALLY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO GIVE
WAY TO AN INCREASED WILDFIRE THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.