Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2007
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at Oct 21, 2007, 3:52 PM CDT for 8 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Oct 21, 2007, 6:31 PM CDT. It was in force for 33 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 21, 2007, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 21, 2007, 6:31 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 23, 2007, 3:52 AM CDT
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1073 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS64 KMOB 212052 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 352 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .SATURATED GROUND AND ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WARRANT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-220500- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0002.071022T0000Z-071023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 352 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE... PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A STRONG WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GULF WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING TO SATURATED GROUND IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE BEING DRAWN NORTHWARD AROUND 25 MPH. THIS ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
7 follow-up statements
000 WGUS64 KMOB 212331 AAA FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 631 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WARRANT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND SATURATED THE GROUND. ALZ060-FLZ005-006-220745- /O.EXB.KMOB.FF.A.0002.071022T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COVINGTON-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDALUSIA...OPP...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB... VALPARAISO 631 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...COVINGTON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... COASTAL OKALOOSA AND INLAND OKALOOSA. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY MORNING WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND LATER MOVES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THESE FEATURES WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND SATURATED THE GROUND. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$ ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>004-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-220745- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0002.071022T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 631 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY MORNING WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND LATER MOVES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THESE FEATURES WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND SATURATED THE GROUND. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 220840 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 340 AM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WARRANT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND SATURATED THE GROUND. ALZ051>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221645- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 340 AM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY MORNING WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND LATER MOVES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THESE FEATURES WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND SATURATED THE GROUND. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 221613 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WARRANT THE CONTINUATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT COULD BRING RAPID FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. ALZ051>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-222200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A DEEPLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS MOVING INLAND OFF THE GULF WILL AID IN THE GENERATION OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING. THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THE GENERATION OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL. * THE EXPECTED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO RAPID FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 222149 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 449 PM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .CONTINUED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WARRANT THE CONTINUATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT COULD BRING RAPID FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. ALZ051>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-230600- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 449 PM CDT MON OCT 22 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS EVENING WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS SPREADING INTO THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THE GENERATION OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO RAPID FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 230556 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BEGINNING TO ENTER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. UNTIL THE COLD FRONT BRINGS AN END TO THE WIDESPREAD RAINS...THE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BRING RAPID FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. ALZ051>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA- COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE... BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BEGINNING TO ENTER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WHICH WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. * UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO RAPID FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 230751 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 251 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL TAPER OFF ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH AND BRINGING AN END TO THE RAIN. UNTIL THE COLD FRONT BRINGS AN END TO THE WIDESPREAD RAINS...THE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BRING RAPID FLOODING CONDITIONS TO STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. ALZ051-MSZ067-230900- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...WAYNESBORO 251 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATED THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER WAYNE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THESE TWO COUNTIES. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND HAS BROUGHT AN END TO THE RAIN. $$ ALZ052>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ075-076-078-079-231200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON- UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-PERRY-GREENE- STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON... THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD... MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA... LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 251 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN... LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE... WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY AND STONE. * UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH OVERNIGHT. * UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...THE PERIODS OF RAIN COULD LEAD TO RAPID FLOODING OF STREAMS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SERIOUS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 230852 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 352 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE RAINFALL OVER THE REGION WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. SOME NUISANCE PONDING OF WATER OVER ROADWAYS AND SWOLLEN STREAMS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE WATERS FULLY DRAIN. ALZ052>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ075-076-078-079-231000- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON- UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-PERRY-GREENE- STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON... THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD... MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA... LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 352 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SOME FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND STREAMS WAS REPORTED IN STONE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI BUT OTHERWISE THE RAINFALL OVER THE REGION WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. SOME NUISANCE PONDING OF WATER OVER ROADWAYS...POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND SWOLLEN STREAMS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE WATERS FULLY DRAIN. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Oct 21, 4:19 AM CDT, 11 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 21, 4:19 AM CDT, 11 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 419 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 .SHORT TERM TODAY AND TONIGHT...LITTLE CHANGE IN THINKING FROM THIS TIME 24 HOURS AGO...SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND ALLOW DEVELOPING WARM FRONT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO RETURN NORTHWARD IN THE INCREASINGLY MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE. RAIN SHOULD MOVE ONSHORE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDNIGHT. INCREASED ISENTROPIC LIFT RESULTS IN SHOWERS AND LIGHT RAIN LATE AFTERNOON. HEAVIER RAINS SPREAD INLAND THIS EVENING...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN AGAIN OVER THE COASTAL ZONES. HAVE BEEN CONSIDERING A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO WAIT AND TAKE A LOOK AT THE 06Z MODEL RUNS. /11 .LONG TERM MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF DIGGING INTO THE PLAINS ON MONDAY...WILL MAINTAIN THE NORTHWARD FLOW OF DEEP GULF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING OUT OF THE PLAINS. LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO LOUISIANA...NORTHEASTWARD INTO MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY MONDAY WITH A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT ANTICIPATED. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAST THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE. NCEP FORECASTS ARE TAKING A BLEND OF THE GFS...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE AND THE SLOWER CANADIAN GEM/ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. THE INCREASED SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OPERATING ON THE DEEP LAYER GULF MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER TROF...COMBINED WITH A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT SUGGESTS THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS BECOMING MORE PROBABLE ALONG THE GULF COAST MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. VEERING AND INCREASING WINDS WITHIN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUGGESTS ENOUGH SHEAR SUPPORTING SOME SEVERE STORMS ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH MOIST ADIABATIC THERMAL PROFILES KEEPING A CHECK ON INSTABILITY...COVERAGES OF SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE WITHIN SLIGHT RISK CRITERIA AS OUTLOOKED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. DUE TO THE RECENT RECORD RAINFALL EVENT THAT OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THERE IS CONCERN THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO ANOTHER FLOODING EPISODE. THIS MAY LEAD TO A FLOOD WATCH A BIT LATER AS WE AWAIT RECEIPT OF NEW DATA. STAY TUNED. FOLLOWING A FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY...RAINS WILL MOVE OUT AND COOLER WEATHER SETS IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. NIGHTTIME LOWS POSSIBLY MID TO UPPER 40S FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. /10 && .MARINE...WINDS HAVE BECOME EASTERLY AS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST. WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AS WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH...BRINGING RAIN AND SHOWERS IN ADVANCE AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE FRONT. WINDS GET CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVELS IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT THEN GO WEST AND NORTHWEST LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE REQUIRED FOR THE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. OFFSHORE WINDS REMAIN MODERATE TO STRONG THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. /11 && .FIRE WEATHER...NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS DUE TO INCREASED HUMIDITY VALUES. /10 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MOBILE 82 71 82 57 / 30 80 80 80 PENSACOLA 81 72 82 60 / 40 80 70 80 DESTIN 81 73 81 67 / 50 80 70 80 EVERGREEN 83 65 80 57 / 10 80 80 80 WAYNESBORO 83 65 80 54 / 10 80 90 90 CAMDEN 84 65 80 55 / 10 80 90 90 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. FL...NONE. MS...NONE. GM...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 21, 12:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1204 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-221715- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1204 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE GULF WATERS FOR EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS MOVING ONSHORE TONIGHT. FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS IN THE MOISTENING AND DESTABILIZING AIR ALONG THE WARM FRONT ARE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO LIKELY AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES INLAND FROM THE GULF OVER THE DEEP LAYER OF MOIST AIR SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. RAIN MAY BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE THIS EVENING...BUT THE HEAVIER RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. SOME STORMS LIKELY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. IF THIS OCCURS IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE RECENT FLOODING RAINS...THEN ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR. PLEASE STAY INFORMED BY KEEPING UP WITH THE LATEST FORECAST AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN ON MONDAY EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTH AND NORTHWEST OVER THE BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY REQUIRE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BY MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY BE NEEDED FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 21, 1:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 136 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-220045- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 136 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007 A STRONG WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GULF WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES TO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE IS CLOSELY MONITORING THIS SITUATION AS IT UNFOLDS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS BEING EVALUATED AT THIS TIME. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION THROUGH THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MOB...NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2007Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2007Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2007Every flash flood watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.