Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 120325
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1125 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

FLC097-120345-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-070412T0345Z/
OSCEOLA FL-
1125 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...

AT 1124 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST LAKE TOHO...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SAINT
CLOUD...EAST LAKE TOHO...NARCOOSSEE...HARMONY...PINE GROVE...HOLOPAW 
AND ALLIGATOR LAKE

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2832 8168 2792 8158 2794 8094 2833 8098

$$

MRV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
955 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...

...STORMS MOVING TOWARD METRO ORLANDO AND VOLUSIA COUNTY THROUGH
LATE EVENING...

CONVECTIVE LINE HAS HELD TOGETHER WELL ACROSS NRN SECTIONS WITH SOME
HAILERS ALREADY JUST WEST OF THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.
HAVE ALREADY INCREASED POPS ACROSS THE NORTH ON EARLIER UPDATE AND
BEEFED UP HWO ACROSS THE NORTH FOR STRONG STORMS. EVENING SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THREAT FOR MARGINAL SVR HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NRN
FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS STORMS MOVE ENE. DO NOT
ANTICIPATE NEED FOR FURTHER PUBLIC FCST UPDATES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT +TSRA EXPECTED ACROSS NRN TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND MAY MAKE IT TO KMLB VCNTY BY 04Z. ACTIVITY SHOULD
DIMINISH 04Z-06Z FROM KISM TO KTIX-KMLB.

&&

.MARINE...OTHER THAN INCREASING STORM COVERAGE ACROSS THE NRN LEG
WILL NOT NEED MUCH UPDATES TO CURRENT FCST.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

VOLKMER/PENDERGRAST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
845 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
120230-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
845 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ALLOW A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO MOVE EAST AT 30 MPH ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH LATE EVENING. A FEW STORMS WILL BE
STRONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO TWO INCHES..GUSTY WINDS
TO 40 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES THROUGH LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO TWO
INCHES WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS MAY OCCUR WITH STORMS THAT TRACK
EASTWARD OFF THE VOLUSIA COAST DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH
FRIDAY WILL DRAW DOWN A DRIER AIR MASS FROM THE NORTH RESULTING
IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES APPROACHING CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ANOTHER MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT
IS FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING STRONG TO POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS TO
THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD SELF ACTIVATE IF STORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA.

VOLKMER