Red Flag Warning 60, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 171818
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
118 PM EST SAT NOV 17 2007

FLZ044-144-171930-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071117T2200Z/
NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
118 PM EST SAT NOV 17 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY BRIEFLY APPROACH 35
PERCENT OVER PARTS OF LAKE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CRITICAL
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

52

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
915 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...COLD NIGHT IN STORE WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR
NORTH...

.DISCUSSION...

CLASSIC SHALLOW DRAINAGE FLOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PENINSULA SINCE
SUNSET WITH NW WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND N TO NE WINDS OVER THE WRN
HALF OF THE PENINSULA. CCAFS 915MHZ PROFILER DATA SHOWS WINDS JUST
ABOVE THE SHALLOW NR SFC LAYER (2-6KFT) HAVE BEEN VEERING MORE TO
THE NE...AND FURTHER EVIDENCE OF THIS TAKING PLACE IS THE BKN MARINE
SC LAYER OVER THE ATLC SHIFTING SHOREWARD. HOWEVER...CLOUDS HAVE BEEN
GETTING EATEN UP PRETTY READILY AS THE DECK MOVES OVER THE COOLER
SHELF WATERS AND TWD THE EVEN COOLER/DRIER AIR MASS OVER LAND.

FCST LOOKS PRETTY GOOD FOR THE MOST PART. ABOUT THE ONLY REAL TWEAKS
TO THE FCST WILL BE TO MODIFY TEMPS A BIT OVER THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
SECTIONS OF THE SPACE/TREASURE COASTS (BY EXPANDING MIN RANGES) AND
INTRODUCING SOME CLOUDS NR THE COAST AS WELL FROM ABOUT THE CAPE SWD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC FOR THE MOST PART. SOME BKN SC CIGS FL035-045
ALREADY CREEPING CLOSE TO THE COAST @ FPR-SUA-PBI...AND WILL LIKELY
MAKE A RUN TWD VRB AND PSBLY MLB TOWARD 12Z...THOUGH I SUSPECT MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL GET EATEN AWAY BY DRY AIR BEFORE GETTING MUCH
PAST THE BARRIER ISLANDS.

&&

.MARINE...NRLY WIND ON THE DECLINE OFFSHORE AND SEAS ARE STARTING TO
COME DOWN AS WELL. WITH 7.5FT AT 010 AND 5-5.5FT AT 009...CAN PROBABLY
STILL ASSUME SEAS UP AROUND 7FT IN THE GULF STREAM. NO CHGS TO THE
CWF OTHER THAN CONTINUING THE DOWNWARD TREND FOR HAZARDOUS CONDS IN
THE GULF STREAM.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAKE COUNTY.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 AM SATURDAY
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
459 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
162000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
459 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. 8 TO 10 FOOT SEAS ARE FORECAST FOR THE WATERS
WELL OFFSHORE AND OVER THE GULF STREAM. CLOSER TO THE COAST 5 TO 7
FOOT SEAS WILL PRESENT HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
VERY DRY AIR WILL PRODUCE CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR GREATER
THAN SEVERAL HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON. COMBINED WITH A NORTH WINDS THESE
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE THE SPREAD OF ANY NEW WILDFIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES THIS AUTUMN EARLY SATURDAY WILL LEAD TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY FROST IN WIND PROTECTED AREAS AND LOW
SPOTS OVER NORTHERN LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTY. INCREASING
EAST WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL INCREASE THE DANGER OF RIP CURRENTS
ALONG THE EAST COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PENDERGRAST