Red Flag Warning 36, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
454 AM EDT WED APR 4 2007

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEAST INTO FLORIDA BY THIS EVENING AND SLOWLY PROGRESS SOUTH
THROUGH THE STATE AND PASS SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. CLOUDS WILL LINGER SOME FRIDAY MORNING BUT
THEN A COOLER AND DRIER WEEKEND IS IN STORE FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
EASTERLIES RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT AND WARMING FOLLOWS. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS DUE THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY EVENING SO THERE WILL BE
A SLGT CHC OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FOR MONDAY IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE AREA SO WILL
HAVE A SLIGHT CHC OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY. NOT MUCH COOLING IF AT
ALL EXPECTED WITH THIS STALLING FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION...THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR MOST OF THE AREA, BUT ALONG THE WEST
COAST A SEA BREEZE WILL LIKELY CREATE SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING
THE AFTERNOON, OTHERWISE MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE A PROBLEM AT 10 TO 15 KNOT MAXIMUM.
DIRECTIONS WILL BE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH TO START AND VEER AROUND TO
THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. NO ADVISORIES
EXPECTED ATTM.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MINIMUM RHS WILL DIP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR ABOUT 4
TO 5 HOURS THIS AFTERNOON OVER GLADES, HENDRY AND EASTERN COLLIER
COUNTY. FOLLOWED THE RUC40 WHICH LOOKED VERY REASONABLE. THERE
WILL BE NO CONCERNS ON THURSDAY DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
SOME RAINFALL. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, AFTERNOON RHS WILL
AGAIN BE A CONCERN THOUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR THE NORTHWEST AREAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  83  66  82  63 / -  10 30 30
FORT LAUDERDALE  82  68  82  66 / -  10 30 30
MIAMI            83  69  84  66 / -  10 30 30
NAPLES           84  65  83  62 / -  10 30 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR FLZ063-FLZ066-FLZ070.

AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...18/GR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...04/AT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
349 AM EDT WED APR 4 2007

FLZ063-066>075-042355-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
349 AM EDT WED APR 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
ATLANTIC SHORES TODAY ESPECIALLY AT TIME OF LOW TIDE WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND 4 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE EASTERLY FLOW REGIME THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE FOR THE LAST
COUPLE OF WEEKS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY
THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE NORTH.
THIS WILL REDUCE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE RIP
CURRENT THREAT WILL LIKELY INCREASE BY THE FIRST PART OF NEXT
WEEK...AS EASTERLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA ON
THURSDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. AT THIS
TIME...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES APPEAR TO POSE THE
GREATEST THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

TINGLER