Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2007
Wind Advisory 1, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this wind advisory at Feb 23, 2007, 3:10 PM CST for 47 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Feb 24, 2007, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2007, 3:10 PM CST (21:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2007, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2007, 12:43 AM CST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
All 58 counties
Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3671 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS74 KJAN 232110 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 240515- /O.NEW.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.070224T1500Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY. AS A STRONG CYCLONE DEVELOPS TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS WILL TIGHTEN AND WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH. BY MID TO LATE MORNING TOMORROW WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WHILE WINDS AROUND 1000 TO 2000 FT ABOVE THE GROUND WILL APPROACH 40 TO 50 MPH. THESE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE GROUND WILL INCREASE FURTHER TO AROUND 55 TO 60 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. AS THESE WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE GROUND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ACROSS THE DELTA THE WINDS MAY BE EVEN STRONGER WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH. THIS AREA WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IN THE DELTA. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$ CAB
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS74 KJAN 240438 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1038 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 241245- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.070224T1500Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 1038 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY. AS A STRONG CYCLONE DEVELOPS TONIGHT ACROSS OKLAHOMA...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS WILL TIGHTEN AND WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH. BY MID MORNING SATURDAY...WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ABOVE 20 MPH WHILE WINDS AROUND 1000 TO 2000 FT ABOVE THE GROUND WILL APPROACH 40 TO 50 MPH. THESE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE GROUND WILL INCREASE FURTHER TO AROUND 55 TO 60 MPH BY AFTERNOON. AS THESE WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE GROUND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ACROSS THE DELTA...THE WINDS MAY BE EVEN STRONGER WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH. THIS AREA WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IN THE DELTA. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL LATER SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED SQUALL LINE RACES FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$ 40
000 WWUS74 KJAN 241001 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 401 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 241815- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.070224T1500Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 401 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY... AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY LATE MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO HEAT UP STRONG WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX DOWN...LEADING TO WINDS GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. DRIVING CONDITIONS MAY BECOME DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED. ALSO...AREA LAKES WILL BE ROUGH AND CHOPPY...WATER ENTHUSIASTS ARE URGED TO AVOID OR USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT ON AREA LAKES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$
000 WWUS74 KJAN 241630 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1030 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 250030- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 1030 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY. AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASING OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO HEAT UP STRONG WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX DOWN...LEADING TO WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. DRIVING CONDITIONS MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED. ALSO...AREA LAKES WILL BE ROUGH AND CHOPPY...WATER ENTHUSIASTS ARE URGED TO AVOID OR USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT ON AREA LAKES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$ 14
000 WWUS74 KJAN 242105 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 305 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 250515- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 305 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY. AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO HEAT UP STRONG WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX DOWN...LEADING TO WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. DRIVING CONDITIONS MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED. ALSO...AREA LAKES WILL BE ROUGH AND CHOPPY...WATER ENTHUSIASTS ARE URGED TO AVOID OR USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT ON AREA LAKES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$ 14
000 WWUS74 KJAN 250250 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 850 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 250900- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 850 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY. AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO HEAT UP STRONG WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX DOWN...LEADING TO WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. DRIVING CONDITIONS MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED. ALSO...AREA LAKES WILL BE ROUGH AND CHOPPY...WATER ENTHUSIASTS ARE URGED TO AVOID OR USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT ON AREA LAKES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. $$ 17
000 WWUS74 KJAN 250643 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1243 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 250745- /O.CAN.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T0900Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI... TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR... STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 1243 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH. WINDS COULD STILL GUST TO 25 MPH OR SO ALONG THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING AND A LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED LATER ON. THE HIGHER WIND RISK HAS ENDED FOR NOW. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 23, 2:59 PM CST, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 2:59 PM CST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
259 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...
.SHORT TERM...OMINOUS WEATHER SITUATION SETTING UP FOR THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AS AN EARLY SPRING LIKE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE CNTRL CONUS.
BEFORE THE WEATHER GETS INTERESTING WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO
THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND PICK UP IN MAGNITUDE. THIS WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT
MOISTURE INTO THE CWA. THAT SAID THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE RETURN
WONT COMMENCE UNTIL MIDDAY SAT AS A VERY STRONG LL JET DEVELOPS.
TONIGHT LOOKS FOR CLOUDS TO BUILD ESPECIALLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS
AROUND MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE WEST. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE AS THE WAA INTENSIFIES AND THERE WILL POSSIBLY BE SOME
LIGHT SHRA ACROSS OUR EXTREME WRN COUNTIES BEFORE SUNRISE. AFTER
SUNRISE THE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE.
TOMORROW THE POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SRN
PLAINS CAUSING HEIGHTS TO LOWER AND LIFT TO INCREASE. AT THE SAME
TIME A DEEP SFC LOW WILL ALSO BE MOVING ENE THROUGH KS AND THIS WILL
CAUSE LL WINDS TO INCREASE DRASTICALLY THROUGH THE DAY. THE WINDS
WILL BE ANOTHER PROBLEM TO CONTEND WITH BUT MORE ON THAT LATER. WITH
SRLY FLOW AND LIFT INCREASING ALONG WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT PRECIP
WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER THE WRN AND NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWERING HEIGHTS WILL ONLY PROMOTE COOLER TEMPS ALOFT AND WITH WARM
LL TEMPS...LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN AND THIS WILL INCREASE THE
INSTABILITY. BY MID/LATE MORNING SCT TSRA WILL BE ABLE TO GET GOING
WITH THE SOME OF THEM BECOMING SEVERE. THESE STORMS WILL MAINLY BE
ACROSS THE NW AND PUSH EAST AND THEY WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED WITH
HAIL BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. AS THE DAY WEARS ON THE LL WIND FIELD
WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND TO THE PLAINS SYSTEM AND BY AFTERNOON SRLY
WINDS AT H85 LOOK TO APPROACH 70KT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE LL MOISTURE
TO BEGIN TO QUICKLY MOVE NORTH AND WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING ACROSS
THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
BY MID AFTERNOON A SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY BE GOING ON ACROSS CNTRL
AR AND WRN/CNTRL LA AND SHOULD APPROACH THE CWA DURING THE LATE AFTN
HRS. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME SERIOUS WINDS TO WORRY
ABOUT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA LATE TOMORROW AFTN AND TOMORROW
EVENING. THE GFS HAS SLOWED DOWN JUST A BIT AND THIS IS CAUSING THE
ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME EVEN MORE UNSTABLE. THIS WOULD LEAD TO MORE
INTENSE STORMS IN THE LINE. ADDING TO THAT THE GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW
A VERY PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH BEHIND THIS LINE AND 0-3KM
HELICITIES OF GREATER THAN 500 M2/S2. THESE SHEAR VALUES WOULD
PROMOTE BOW ECHOS AND BREAKS IN THE LINE WITH VERY STRONG AND
DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH A VERY DISTINCT POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE IS BECOMING MORE OF A CONCERN IN THE SOUTH
NOW. WITH LIFT INCREASING OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE DAY...SCT
TSRA WILL LIKELY DEVELOP 3-5 HRS OUT AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE OVER A
GOOD PORTION OF THE CWA. NOW WITH A SLOWER SYSTEM THE INSTABILITY IS
FORECASTED TO BE A LITTLE HIGHER AND IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE A
DECENT CHANCE OF SEEING SFC BASED CONVECTION ACROSS THE WRN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA BY MID AFTERNOON. THE THREAT OF SFC BASED CONVECTION WILL
ONLY INCREASE THE FURTHER SOUTH YOU GET AND THIS THREAT WILL EXPAND
EAST ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE CWA THROUGH THE AFTN AND EARLY
EVENING. CURRENT GFS IS SHOWING ML CAPES OF OVER 1000 J/KG ACROSS
THE SRN HALF WITH 0-3KM HELICITIES IN EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2. MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY AND APPROACH 7
C/KM. IF ANY TSRA CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AND BECOME
SFC BASED THEN THERE WILL BE AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEEING TORNADOES.
SO TO SUMMARIZE...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SCT SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSRA
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NWRN ZONES. AS THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
INCREASES THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREAT. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST AND EXPAND
SOUTH AROUND MIDDAY AND INTO THE AFTN. THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SFC
BASED WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. BY MID
AFTN A SQUALL LINE SHOULD BE MOVING TWRDS OUR LA PARISHES WITH
SCATTERED SHRA AND TSRA OUT AHEAD OF THE LINE. THESE STORMS AHEAD OF
THE LINE COULD BE THE BIGGEST CONCERN AS SHEAR AND INSTABILITY
INCREASE. IF THESE STORMS MATERIALIZE THEY SHOULD BE SFC BASED AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES SOME OF WHICH COULD BE LONG LIVED.
THIS AREA OF TSRA WILL EXPAND EAST THROUGH THE EVENING WITH THE
SQUALL LINE QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS. THIS SQUALL LINE IN ITS OWN LOOKS
BAD WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THE SQUALL
LINE SHOULD APPROACH THE MS RIVER AROUND 6/7 PM...THE JACKSON METRO
BY 8/9 PM AND ERN MS AROUND 10/11 PM.
NOW ONE THING TO NOTE AND IT COULD REALLY KEEP THE WIDESPREAD RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER DOWN IS LL MOISTURE. IF WE ARE UNABLE TO GET THE
RETURN THAT IS BEING FORECASTED THEN THE STORMS AHEAD OF THE LINE
WILL NOT BE AS MUCH OF A CONCERN. A FEW MAY STILL BE SEVERE BUT THEY
WOULD LIKELY BE ELEVATED WITH ONLY HAIL THE MAJOR CONCERN. THE
SQUALL LINE WILL STILL BE IMPRESSIVE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD DAMAGE ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA.
NOW THE WINDS TOMORROW. THE WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 40KTS BEFORE MIDDAY AND LOOK TO ONLY GO UP THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A VERY WINDY SITUATION AND WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH SUSTAINED WILL BE LIKELY BY MIDDAY OVER MOST OF THE CWA. AS THE
AFTERNOON WEARS ON THE WINDS WILL ONLY GET STRONGER WITH LOCATIONS
IN THE DELTA POSSIBLY BECOMING SUSTAINED AT 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
50MPH. NOW THIS IS JUST THE GRADIENT WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE CAN BRING DOWN WEAK/DEAD TREES AND LARGE LIMBS. WITH THAT
WE WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A WIND ADV FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE DELTA AND WE MAY NEED TO UPGRADE THAT
AREA TO A HIGH WND WARNING.
RAIN AND CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY CLEAR OUT BEHIND THE SQUALL LINE AFTER
MIDNIGHT BUT WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE
FINALLY RELAXING SOMETIME SUN. /CAB/
.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. AS A
RESULT...NO CHANGES TO THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL BE MADE AT
THIS TIME.
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST LONG TERM DISCUSSION FOLLOWS. /19/
UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS OUT OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND THE AIR MASS DRIES.
WLY FLOW DEVELOPS THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
DIGS UPSTREAM. WILL SEE COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT BUT
READINGS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING. LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS TO
THE SOUTH MONDAY. A FLAT WAVE TRACKS OVER THE REGION BUT WEATHER
WILL REMAIN DRY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT PER LIMITED MOISTURE THROUGH
THE COLUMN. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SHIFTS INTO THE REGION
TUESDAY...LIFTING EWD BY TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A SURFACE RIDGE SETS
UP OVER THE AREA. KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN DURING THE DAY BUT KEPT
NIGHT TIME DRY DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE AND FLAT RIDGING.
THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS EWD BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE NEXT
SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHES. WILL SEE INCREASING LOW LEVEL SLY FLOW
BUT THE AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY. DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINS TO
SET UP AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY 12Z THURSDAY 850 MB WINDS
FORECAST FROM 35 TO 45 KTS AND THE AIR MASS DESTABILIZES
SIGNIFICANTLY. 700-500MB LAPSE RATES ARE GENERALLY 7 DEGS OR
GREATER AHEAD OF A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH WHICH PROGRESSES INTO ERN
ZONES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MODELS IN RELATIVELY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM 7 DAYS IS OUT TOO FAR CONSIDERING
MODEL TENDENCIES TO FLUCTUATE IN TIMING ONE OR TWO TIMES BEFORE
GETTING A GOOD HANDLE ON TIMING. WILL KEEP MENTION OF THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER OUT OF THE HWO FOR NOW BUT WITH
FORECAST CAPE VALUES ABOVE 1000 OVER SWRN ZONES AND LIFTED INDICES
-2 TO -4...THE THURSDAY SYSTEM BEARS WATCHING. /03/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 51 72 49 66 / 14 75 100 14
MERIDIAN 47 71 50 69 / 9 56 100 21
VICKSBURG 54 71 47 65 / 24 97 86 12
HATTIESBURG 48 74 52 70 / 10 46 100 20
NATCHEZ 56 72 49 63 / 25 88 90 12
GREENVILLE 52 68 45 59 / 31 100 70 12
GREENWOOD 50 67 47 58 / 18 84 92 13
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY FOR MSZ018-
019-025>066-072>074.
LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM CST SUNDAY FOR ARZ074-
075.
&&
CAB/19Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 5:16 AM CST, 9 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 0516 AM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 241116- ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW- CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL- FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS- ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR- LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA- MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE- OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER- TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO- 0516 AM CST FRI FEB 23 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... ...DAYS TWO AND THREE...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. AS THE STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE ARKLAMISS REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF A GREENWOOD...TO VICKSBURG...TO NATCHEZ LINE...WITH THE RISK SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY EVENING. THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SEE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS WEST OF THE ARKLAMISS EARLY SATURDAY...AND THEN QUICKLY MOVES ACROSS THE WHOLE REGION WELL BEFORE DAYBREAK SUNDAY. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS LINE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT. ...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY TO THURSDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY MARCH 1ST. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2007Wind Advisories in Louisiana, 2007Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.