Tornado Warning 19, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WWUS51 KILN 190329
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1128 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

INC115-155-KYC077-190338-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-071019T0400Z/
OHIO IN-SWITZERLAND IN-GALLATIN KY-
1128 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GALLATIN...NORTHEASTERN
SWITZERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN OHIO COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS EXITED THESE COUNTIES AND MOVED INTO 
BOONE COUNTY KENTUCKY.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3909 8469 3891 8430 3887 8471 3889 8473
      3902 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 233DEG 35KT 3895 8464

$$

KYC015-037-117-190400-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-071019T0400Z/
BOONE KY-CAMPBELL KY-KENTON KY-
1128 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FOR CENTRAL
KENTON...CENTRAL CAMPBELL AND EASTERN BOONE COUNTIES...

AT 1126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR UNION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLORENCE...ELSMERE...INDEPENDENCE...ERLANGER...EDGEWOOD...CRESTVIEW
HILLS AND CLARYVILLE.

IN ADDITION...BANK LICK...RICEDALE...CINCINNATI-NORTHERN KENTUCKY
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...WHITE TOWER...VISALIA...LATONIA LAKES AND
RYLAND HEIGHTS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

NIGHTTIME TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU
WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A
SAFE PLACE.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3909 8469 3891 8430 3887 8471 3889 8473
      3902 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 233DEG 35KT 3895 8464

$$

HAWBLITZEL

000 
WWUS51 KILN 190348
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1147 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

KYC015-037-117-190357-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-071019T0400Z/
BOONE KY-CAMPBELL KY-KENTON KY-
1147 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL KENTON...CENTRAL CAMPBELL AND
EASTERN BOONE COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...AND LOST ITS 
TORNADIC POTENTIAL...THEREFORE THE TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM.

LAT...LON 3909 8469 3891 8430 3887 8471 3889 8473
      3902 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 233DEG 35KT 3906 8445

$$

HAWBLITZEL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
924 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AFTER MIDNIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
SEVERE WEATHER STILL ANTICIPATED AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACRS
THE WESTERN CWFA.

PER LATEST RUC MODEL AND UPSTREAM MOSAIC RADAR...HAVE DELAYED THE
ONSET OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THERE SHOULD STILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY...500-1000 J/KG ALONG
WITH HIGH SHEAR AND HELICITY...0-6 KM SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 50
KNOTS...STORM RELATIVE HELICITY 0-3 KM 200-300 M2/S2...TO CONTINUE
TO HIGHLIGHT SEVERE POTENTIAL. BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE IS STILL
EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF WHERE ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN A
REAL THREAT OVERNIGHT. WEAKENING INSTABILITY TOWARD MORNING MAY
ONLY BRING A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS ACRS THE EASTERN
HALF. HAVE UPDATED ZONES/GRIDS TO REFLECT SLOWER TIMING.

OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 50S WEST
TO THE MID 60S EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN CWFA EARLY ON FRIDAY...AND
THEN IT WILL BE EAST OF THE FCST AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END EARLY IN THE MORNING
...WITH ONLY SOME WRAP AROUND SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACRS THE NW CWFA
DURING THE AFTN. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EARLY WEST WILL BECOME MOSTLY
CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON WHILE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EAST WILL BRIEFLY
BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTN HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY GIVEN LOW LVL CAA. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S
WEST TO THE MID 70S EAST.

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SFC AND ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA. LOW LVL CLOUDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE WARM FOR LATE
OCTOBER...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S NORTHEAST TO THE LOWER 70S
SOUTHWEST.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 40S IN THE NORMALLY COOLER LOW LYING
LOCATIONS...TO THE LOWER 50S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RIDGE GIVES WAY TO ANOTHER TROUGH DURING PERIOD. TIMING OF NEXT COLD
FRONT IS MAIN FOCUS. TEMPS START OUT ABOVE NORMAL ON SUNDAY. WITH
FULL SUNSHINE LEFT TEMPS AT CURRENT FCST. COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON MON
WITH NEW MODEL RUNS. BUMPED POPS UP ACCORDINGLY ON MONDAY AND KEPT
CHC IN FOR MON NIGHT WITH UNCERTAINTY OF TIMING OF FNT PASSAGE. HIGH
TEMPS ON MON TRICKY DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER AND SHRA. WENT A BIT
WARMER THAN GUIDANCE FOR NOW AND IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
SURROUNDING FCST. TSRA POSSIBLE ON MON WITH FNT BUT LEFT OUT FOR NOW
TO SEE HOW DYNAMICS EVOLVE. REST OF PERIOD PC TO CLOUDY WITH TEMPS
BELOW NORMAL. MAY NOT BE COOL ENOUGH ON LOWS FOR WED AND THURS
DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER. HIGHS MAY ALSO BE A BIT OPTIMISTIC.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT THIS HOUR BUT CONVECTION WILL AFFECT TAF
SITES TONIGHT. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH IFR VISIBILITIES AND MVFR
CEILINGS 03-10Z WITH AN INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET OUT AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. MVFR CEILINGS WILL LINGER TO 14Z BEFORE SCATTERING OUT
TO VFR. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AGAIN WITH SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 17Z.

OUTLOOK...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HICKMAN
NEAR TERM...HICKMAN
SHORT TERM...HICKMAN
LONG TERM...PADGETT
AVIATION...CONIGLIO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1034 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ026-034-035-042>045-
051>054-060>063-070>072-077>080-200245-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-PREBLE-
MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
BROWN-HIGHLAND-
1034 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...TORNADO WATCH 725 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT.
NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. THE LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 4 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

KYZ100-OHZ046-055-056-064-065-073-074-081-082-088-200245-
LEWIS-DELAWARE-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-ROSS-HOCKING-
ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1034 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT.
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 2 AM AND 7 AM
FRIDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
AROUND DAYBREAK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1102 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     GHENT                   38.74N 85.06W
10/18/2007                   CARROLL            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A PERSISTENT ROTATING WALL CLOUD...WITH AN OCCASIONAL
            FUNNEL CLOUD...WAS OBSERVED NORTHEAST OF GHENT ALONG THE
            OHIO RIVER.

&&

HATZOS