Wind Advisory 10, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WWUS73 KFGF 171558
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1058 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY...

.SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST OVER 40 MPH TODAY IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER
VALLEY TODAY. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES.

MNZ001-002-022-NDZ027-029-030-171700-
/O.CAN.KFGF.WI.Y.0010.070617T1800Z-070618T0000Z/
WEST POLK-NORMAN-MAHNOMEN-GRAND FORKS-STEELE-TRAILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...
HALSTAD...MAHNOMEN...GRAND FORKS...FINLEY...MAYVILLE
1058 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE GRAND FORKS...MAYVILLE...AND MAHNOMEN AREA.  

THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING A BIT SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED AND WIND SPEEDS TODAY WILL REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA. 

$$

MNZ003-027>031-040-NDZ038-039-049-052-053-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.WI.Y.0010.070617T1800Z-070618T0000Z/
CLAY-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-
EAST OTTER TAIL-GRANT-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOORHEAD...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...
BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS...NEW YORK MILLS...ELBOW LAKE...
VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...GWINNER...WAHPETON
1058 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY. WINDS WILL SLOWLY
SUBSIDE BY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH OR FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$
TG

000 
WWUS73 KFGF 172030
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
330 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007


MNZ003-027>031-040-NDZ038-039-049-052-053-172130-
/O.CAN.KFGF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-070618T0000Z/
CLAY-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-
EAST OTTER TAIL-GRANT-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOORHEAD...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...
BRECKENRIDGE...FERGUS FALLS...NEW YORK MILLS...ELBOW LAKE...
VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...GWINNER...WAHPETON
330 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

$$
TG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
151 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

.SHORT TERM...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ONGOING IN CENTRAL ND...JUST ABOUT MOVING
INTO OUR FAR WESTERN FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE...WILL BE RATHER
BRIEF WITH THIS MORNING DISCUSSION WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER MOVING IN. MODELS LOOK TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT...WITH
THE CONSISTENT GFS PREFERRED.

FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION
BY LATE TONIGHT. AMPLE INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYERED SHEAR WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA ONCE MORNING ELEVATED CONVECTION MOVES INTO
CANADA. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
STORMS...SOME COULD DEVELOP RAPIDLY THIS EVENING ONCE CAP ERODES.
THE CAP WILL BE QUITE STRONG THOUGH...AND MAY HOLD FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE AFTERNOON. ONCE LARGE SCALE FORCING ACTS ON SFC
COLD FRONT THOUGH...I EXPECT SFC BASED STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND
BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE INITIALLY WITH
ANY SUPERCELLS. WILL MENTION SEVERE ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL AS WELL. IT WILL ALSO BE VERY WINDY IN THE SOUTHERN 2/3
OF THE VALLEY TODAY...WITH 45KT TO MIX AND GUSTS OVER 40MPH LIKELY
AT THE SFC FROM FAR-GFK. THEREFORE...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY
FOR 18Z-00Z TODAY.

FOR MONDAY...WRAPAROUND SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITH INSTABILITY
GONE...SO DON/T EXPECT ANY THUNDER.

ON TUESDAY...THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON WED ALONG WITH TEMPS
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

.AVIATION...
MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TODAY NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG
SOUTH WINDS ARE LIKELY TODAY IN GFK/FAR SITES...WITH GUSTS OVER 40
MPH POSSIBLE.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR NDZ027-029-030-038-039-049-052-053.

MN...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR MNZ001>003-022-027>031-040.

&&

DK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
624 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2007

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-171130-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
624 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2007

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON IN
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AROUND SUNSET IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...THEN MOVE INTO EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA AROUND MIDNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTH AND
EAST INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF OVER 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IF
STORMS REMAIN OVER ONE AREA FOR AN EXTENDED TIME...SO LISTEN TO
LATER STATEMENTS.

RIVERINE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY FROM OSLO
AND POINTS SOUTH...AND ON TRIBUTARIES OF THE RED RIVER IN
MINNESOTA FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND WILL LIKELY INCREASE INFLOWS INTO THE RIVER SYSTEM...AND
ADD TO THE FLOODING CONCERNS. STAY TUNED TO LATER STATEMENTS...AND
REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SEVERE IN
NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA SUNDAY MORNING.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO CANADA BY LATE MORNING...AND ALLOW
THE ATMOSPHERE TO HEAT UP. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG A COLD
FRONT NEAR THE RED RIVER VALLEY. THESE STORMS MAY BECOME RAPIDLY
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR ANY
STORMS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
DECREASE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION
BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

DK