Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this winter storm warning at Feb 24, 2007, 3:10 PM EST for 28 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Feb 25, 2007, 5:00 AM EST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 24, 2007, 3:10 PM EST (20:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 25, 2007, 5:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2007, 3:17 PM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
All 28 counties
Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2093 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 79 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KCTP 242010 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 310 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-045-250415- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0004.070225T1000Z-070226T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1000Z-070226T0500Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- 310 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY. WARM MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK...THEN ADVANCE NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING. A LAYER OF MILDER AIR SEVERAL THOUSAND FEET ABOVE GROUND WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...FOLLOWED BY A LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH THICK IS LIKELY ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AND COUNTIES NEAR THE MARYLAND BORDER. FURTHER NORTH NEAR INTERSTATE 80...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...TOPPED BY A LAYER OF SLEET AND PERHAPS A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY EVENING AS THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF. THERE STILL IS A LOWER PROBABILITY THAT THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION COULD FALL AS MAINLY SNOW. IN THIS CASE...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE HIGHER BETWEEN ROUTE 22 AND INTERSTATE 80...IN THE 5 TO 9 INCH RANGE BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER TO LIGHTER SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN OCCURS LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. IF ALL SNOW OCCURS FOR SEVERAL HOURS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IT COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. GREATLY REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AND CAUSING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ041-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-250415- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0004.070225T1400Z-070226T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1400Z-070226T0500Z/ NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 310 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY. WARM MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS SUNDAY. A LAYER OF MILDER AIR SEVERAL THOUSAND FEET ABOVE GROUND WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...FOLLOWED BY A LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH THICK IS LIKELY ACROSS THE THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF PENNSYLVANIA. FURTHER NORTH NEAR INTERSTATE 80...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW OF WILL FALL DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...TOPPED BY A LAYER OF SLEET AND PERHAPS A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY EVENING AS THE PRECIPITATION LIGHTENS UP. THERE STILL IS A LOWER PROBABILITY THAT THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION COULD FALL AS MAINLY SNOW. IN THIS CASE... SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE HIGHER BETWEEN ROUTE 22 AND INTERSTATE 80... IN THE 5 TO 9 INCH RANGE BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER TO LIGHTER SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN OCCURS LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. IF ALL SNOW OCCURS FOR SEVERAL HOURS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IT COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. GREATLY REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AND CAUSING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ004>006-037-042-250415- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.070225T1700Z-070226T0500Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 310 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW...OR SLEET WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGE QUICKLY TO SNOW...WHICH WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW OF WILL FALL BY 8 PM SUNDAY AND COULD BE TOPPED BY A THIN LAYER OF SLEET AND PERHAPS A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY EVENING AS THE PRECIPITATION LIGHTENS UP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ LAMBERT/LACORTE/TYBURSKI
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KCTP 250257 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 957 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-045-251500- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1000Z-070226T0500Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- 957 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY. WARM MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AROUND DAYBREAK...THEN CONTINUE NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING. A LAYER OF MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET. FREEZING RAIN COULD FURTHER COMPLICATE THE FORECAST. AT THIS TIME EXPECT A WINTRY MIX OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET TO FALL ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AND COUNTIES NEAR THE MARYLAND BORDER. THIS COULD BE TOPPED BY A LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH THICK. FURTHER NORTH NEAR INTERSTATE 80...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...ALSO MIXED WITH SOME SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN. THE AMOUNT OF WARM AIR THAT MOVES IN ALOFT...AND THE AMOUNTS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN THAT RESULT ARE STILL UNCERTAIN. IF MOSTLY SNOW OCCURS...ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS TO LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...IF PRECIPITATION FALLS AS MAINLY SNOW...IT COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THIS WOULD GREATLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND CAUSE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ041-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-251500- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1400Z-070226T0500Z/ NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 957 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY. WARM MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS SUNDAY. A LAYER OF MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. AT THIS TIME EXPECT A WINTRY MIX OF AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW AND SLEET...FOLLOWED BY A LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH THICK ACROSS THE THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF PENNSYLVANIA. FURTHER NORTH NEAR INTERSTATE 80...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...MIXED WITH SLEET AND PERHAPS TOPPED BY A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN. THE AMOUNT OF WARM AIR THAT MOVES IN ALOFT...AND THE AMOUNTS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN THAT RESULT ARE STILL UNCERTAIN. IF MOSTLY SNOW OCCURS...ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS TO LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...IF PRECIPITATION FALLS AS MAINLY SNOW...IT COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THIS WOULD GREATLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND CAUSE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ004>006-037-042-251500- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.070225T1700Z-070226T0500Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 957 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON SUNDAY. AS MILDER AIR ALOFT SPREADS NORTHWARD...THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET DURING THE AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF TO SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SUNDAY NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ LA CORTE/STEINBUGL
000 WWUS41 KCTP 250905 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 405 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-045-251715- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1000Z-070226T0500Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- 405 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY EARLY THIS MORNING TO NEAR CHICAGO THIS EVENING. WARM...MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER A THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS MORNING. AFTER IT BEGINS...A LAYER OF MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET...AND THEN TO FREEZING RAIN IN MANY PLACES. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT TODAY IS FOR A THICK ACCUMULATION OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN IN AREAS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF ROUTE 22...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY BETWEEN A QUARTER AND A HALF OF AN INCH. THICK ICE LIKE THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...AND HALT TRAVEL. A BIT FURTHER NORTH...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL AMOUNT TO 2 TO 4 INCHES IN MANY LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...BUT THE HEAVY SLEET...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS...AND COULD ALSO BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ041-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-251715- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.070225T1400Z-070226T0500Z/ NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 405 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY EARLY THIS MORNING TO NEAR CHICAGO THIS EVENING. WARM...MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER A THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING. AFTER IT BEGINS...A LAYER OF MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET...AND THEN TO FREEZING RAIN IN MANY PLACES. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT TODAY IS FOR A THICK ACCUMULATION OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN IN AREAS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF ROUTE 22 AND I-81...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY OVER A QUARTER OF AN INCH. THICK ICE LIKE THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...AND HALT TRAVEL. A BIT FURTHER NORTH...GENERALLY FROM HARRISBURG AND POTTSVILLE NORTH TO WILLIAMSPORT...THE MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL AMOUNT TO 2 TO 5 INCHES IN MANY LOCATIONS...BUT THE HEAVY SLEET...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS...AND COULD ALSO BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ004>006-037-042-251715- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.070225T1700Z-070226T0500Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 405 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY. AS SOME MILDER AIR ALOFT MOVES IN...THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET DURING THE AFTERNOON. A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS WELL. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF TO SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE LATER TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ DANGELO
000 WWUS41 KCTP 251644 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1144 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-041-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-260045- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070226T0500Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 1144 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWESTERN STATES TODAY WILL BECOME CENTERED NEAR CHICAGO THIS EVENING. WARM...MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL BE LIFTED OVER A THICK LAYER OF COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA RESULTING IN SNOW OR SLEET ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...WITH WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR SOUTHERN TIER AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY FROM SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. AFTER IT BEGINS...A LAYER OF MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL STREAM NORTH...AND CAUSE THE SNOW TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET...AND THEN TO FREEZING RAIN IN MANY PLACES OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT TODAY IS FOR A THICK ACCUMULATION OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN IN AREAS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF ROUTE 22...WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY BETWEEN A QUARTER AND A HALF OF AN INCH. THICK ICE LIKE THIS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...AND HALT TRAVEL. A BIT FURTHER NORTH...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL AMOUNT TO 2 TO 4 INCHES BY LATE THIS EVENING IN MANY LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW OR SLEET FOLLOWED BY A THIN COATING OF ICE FROM FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS OF 5 OR 6 INCHES MAY FALL ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF STATE COLLEGE...AND ACROSS SCHUYLKILL COUNTY. THE SNOW...SLEET...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS...AND COULD ALSO BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATIVE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. CARRY EXTRA SUPPLIES...INCLUDING BLANKETS...FOOD AND A CELLULAR PHONE...IN CASE YOUR CAR BECOMES STRANDED. $$ PAZ004>006-037-042-260045- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.070225T1700Z-070226T0500Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 1144 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. AS SOME MILDER AIR ALOFT MOVES IN...THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF ROUTE 2 19. A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS WELL ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED BY LATE THIS EVENING. PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE PREDAWN HOURS OF MONDAY BRINGING AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW. AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS BRINGING A THIN LAYER OF ICE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ LAMBERT
000 WWUS41 KCTP 252017 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 317 PM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-041-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-260430- /O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070226T0500Z/ /O.EXB.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070226T1200Z/ ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 317 PM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PERIODS OF MAINLY LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR CHICAGO MOVES SLOWLY EAST. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS WHERE ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT COULD RANGE FROM ONE TENTH...TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. ELSEWHERE...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY ADD UP TO AN ADDITONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH UP TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF SCHUYLKILL COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ004>006-037-042-260430- /O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070226T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 317 PM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES FROM BRADFORD WEST THROUGH WARREN COUNTY...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR CHICAGO MOVES SLOWLY EAST. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. THE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY PRODUCE A THIN COATING OF ICE AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ACROSS WARREN AND WESTERN MCKEAN COUNTIES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ LAMBERT/TYBURSKI/ LA CORTE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 24, 11:09 AM EST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 11:09 AM EST, 4 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1109 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 .SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDED FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO SWRN PENN LATE THIS MORNING...WHILE A NEARLY NORTH/SOUTH UPPER RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE MIDWEST WITH A THICK SHIELD OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST TO THE WEST OF ITS AXIS. NEAR PERFECTLY SUNNY...AZURE BLUE SKIES AND DIMINISHING NW WIND WILL OCCUR THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES LIGHT NE TO EAST OVERNIGHT AND CLOUDS THICKEN UP FROM THE WEST. WE STILL NOTE THE CONSISTENT ONSET TIMING OF MIXED PRECIP VIA THE LATEST 09Z SREF...ACROSS THE SW MTNS AROUND 10Z SUNDAY...THEN ALONG A LINE FROM KBFD TO KUNV AND KMDT BETWEEN 14Z AND 17Z. THIS CONTINUES TO MESH NICELY WITH THE TIMING OF PRECIP ONSET CONTAINED IN OUR CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCHES FOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL BUT THE NRN TIER COUNTIES OF PENN. EXCELLENT EARLY MORNING DISCUSSION BY MY PREDECESSOR ON SHIFT HIGHLIGHTS MANY OF THE DETAILS THE AREAS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVIER SNOW FOR SUNDAY /ACROSS A SLIVER OF COUNTIES IN THE CENTRAL PENN MTNS AND SUSQ VALLEY/...WITH MAINLY MIXED PRECIP ACROSS THE SRN ZONES. 09Z SREF CONTINUES RIGHT IN LINE WITH THE 03Z RUN...AND THE 00Z/06Z MREF AND CANADIAN EPS...BY CARRYING SLEET AS THE PRIMARY PRECIP TYPE FOR MOST FCST POINTS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE BEST ARGUMENT FOR HEAVY SNOW IS CONTAINED WITHIN THE PAST 3 OPERATIONAL NAM RUNS /00Z...06Z...AND THE FRESH 12Z DATA/. THIS SINGLE MODEL RESPONDS MORE /THAN THE MEAN ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS/ TO THE INTENSE...SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG UVVEL AND LOW/MID LVL WARM ADVECTION AT THE NOSE OF A 50-60 KT 850 HPA SOUTHERLY JET...AND TIPS ITS LLVL WET BULB PROFILE TO A FEW DEG BELOW FREEZING... SUPPORTING HEAVY SNOWFALL. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR COULD FALL WITHIN A 3-6 HOUR WINDOW DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL PENN AND THE ENTIRE SUSQ VALLEY BASED ON THIS LONE MODEL OUTLIER. A PURE...10 TO 1 SNOW WATER RATIO /TYPICAL OF WARM ADVECTION SNOW/ OFF THE NAM WOULD MEAN 5-9 INCHES OF SNOW FOR MOST OF CENTRAL PENN AND THE ENTIRE SUSQ VALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OTHERWISE...MEAN LIQ EQUIVALENT FOR SLEET VIA THE 03/09Z SREFS IS 0.30-0.40 ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL PENN AND PRACTICALLY THE ENTIRE WINTER STORM WATCH AREA. A ROUGH...3 TO 1 SLEET/WATER RATIO WOULD MEAN A SOLID INCH OR MORE OF SLEET LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A KEY ELEMENT IN THE PRECIP TYPE MAY REST ON THE DEPTH OF THE VERY DRY AIR...AND DEGREE OF RADIATIONAL COOLING EARLY TONIGHT. OPERATIONAL MODELS AND SREFS HAVE TRENDED /IF ANYTHING/ A FEW HOURS LATER WITH THE THICKER CLOUDS AND PRECIP ONSET ACROSS CENTRAL PENN AND THE SUSQ VALLEY...TO THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. FOR THE LATE MORNING UPDATE TO THE WINTER STORM WATCHES...WILL BE EMPHASIZING THE PRECIP RATES...AND OUTSIDE SHOT AT 1-2 INCH/HR SNOWFALL RATES IN MANY AREAS. WILL ALSO ISSUE A PHLSPSCTP FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET ACROSS THE NORTH. THERE...A 3RD PERIOD WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON ZONE PACKAGE...WHILE WATCHES ARE UPGRADED TO WINTER STORM WARNINGS ELSEWHERE AFTER DIGESTING THE 12Z GFS AND MREF. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007/ SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/... QUIET WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM ACROSS CENTRAL PA WITH SFC HIGH WEDGED FROM NW TO SE FROM THE CENTRAL GLAKS TO THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST PROVIDING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. SOME HIGH CLOUDS SPILLING OVER THE SHARP 5H RIDGE AXIS OVER THE WESTERN GLAKS THIS MORNING MAY EVENTUALLY FILTER THE SUN OVER WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE DAY WEARS ON...AS THE 5H RIDGE AXIS PROPOGATES INTO THE CENTRAL OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. SFC RIDGE WILL PROPOGATE SLIGHTLY EASTWARD THIS EVENING AS UPPER RIDGE AXIS REACHES THE OH/PA BORDER BY 06Z. RAPID MOISTURE RETURN WEST OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS THIS MORNING OVER WI...WITH HEAVY SNOW FALLING WITHIN THE AXIS PRESENTLY. WILL LIKELY SEE A SIMILAR RAPID MOISTENING TONIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION BREAKING OUT NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVERNIGHT AS THE WARM ADVECTION COMMENCES IN EARNEST. CLOSE EXAMINATION OF AVAILABLE MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATES PRELIMINARY PRECIPITATION TYPES MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET MIXED IN MAINLY SOUTH OF THE TURNPIKE. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... PRECIPITATION WILL COMMENCE EASTWARD THROUGHOUT CENTRAL PA SUNDAY MORNING. GFS/NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MAINLY SNOW PROFILES INITIALLY...MIXED WITH SLEET GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF LEWISTOWN. 00Z RUN WAS DECIDEDLY COLDER WITH LESS OF A FREEZING RAIN THREAT INDICATED. SREFS DEPICT A BIMODAL PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION WITH SEVERAL MEMBERS CLUSTERING AROUND .4-.5 W.E. AND REMAINING MEMBERS CLUSTERING AROUND .8 TO .9 WATER EQUIVS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN PA. AMOUNT OF LIQUID THAT FALLS WILL BE CRITICAL FROM A WINTER STORM VERIFICATION STANDPOINT...IN ADDITION TO HOW MUCH SLEET IS MIXED WITH THE SNOW. AT THIS TIME...THINK THAT BEST CHANCES FOR 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IS IN A FAIRLY NARROW CORRIDOR FROM BLAIR AND CENTRE COUNTIES ENE THROUGH SOUTHERN LYCOMING AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES. SOUTH OF THESE AREAS MORE SLEET WILL BE MIXED IN...AND POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN. FURTHER SOUTH... DESPITE THE COLDER 00Z RUN...FZRA POTENTIAL REMAINS AND THUS WILL HOLD ONTO THE EXISTING WATCHES. AGAIN...TOTAL W.E. FROM THIS STORM WILL BE THE DETERMINING FACTOR AND BIMODAL DISTRIBUTION TO SREFS MAKES THIS A DIFFICULT CALL. MREFS ARE MOSTLY CLUSTERED AROUND THE 5 TO .6 W.E. MARK...WHICH IS PERFECTLY MARGINAL. ALL GUIDANCE POINTS TO CONTINUING CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCHES...WHILE EXPANDING SLIGHTLY NORTH TO INCLUDE ELK...CAMERON...AND LYCOMING COUNTIES FOR POTENTIAL 6 SNOW/SLEET ACCUM. SECONDARY COASTAL DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL ROB OUR REGION OF THE BEST MOISTURE BY SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT PARENT LOW CIRCULATION STILL PROGGED TO MEANDER EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GLAKS INTO MONDAY...WITH DEFORMATION BETWEEN 2NDARY LOW AND PARENT CIRCULATION KEEPING LOW CHANCE SNOW POPS GOING THROUGH MOST OF MONDAY...AND EVEN INTO TUESDAY AS UPPER LOW FILLS VIRTUALLY OVERHEAD. UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL NUDGE THE REMAINS OF THE FILLING UPPER LOW EASTWARD BY LATE WEDNESDAY WITH SFC RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE EASTERN LAKES TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. ANOTHER MESSY STORM APPEARS IN THE OFFING FOR LATE IN THE WEEK. AVIATION /09Z-06Z/... VFR FLYING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BUT DECREASE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AS SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-045. WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR PAZ041-046-049>053-056>059-063>066. && SHORT TERM...LAMBERT
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 12:07 PM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1207 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 PAZ010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-041-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-251715- ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 1207 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE HEADED INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY WILL PUSH AN AREA OF SNOW OR SLEET INTO THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION OR SNOW WILL START ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS SUNDAY...AND BEGIN IN COMMUNITIES THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY DURING THE MID DAY HOURS...AND CONTINUE ACROSS ALL AREA INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION OR SNOW COULD FALL HEAVY AT TIMES. AT PRESENT...EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY SUNDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...TO AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES ACROSS THE COUNTIES NEAR AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET OR FREEZING OCCURS WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN MANY LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY OR SUNDAY EVENING. THE SLEET COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER HALF INCH TO ONE INCH ON TOP OF THE SNOW. SLIGHTLY HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR INTERSTATE 80. THERE STILL IS A LOWER PROBABILITY THAT THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION COULD FALL AS MAINLY SNOW. IN THIS CASE...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE HIGHER AND IN THE 5 TO 8 INCH RANGE BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER TO LIGHTER SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN OCCURS LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. IF ALL SNOW OCCURS FOR SEVERAL HOURS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IT COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. GREATLY REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF OF A MILE OR LESS. ADDITIONALLY...A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION OF OVER ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY...ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. THE EXACT PATH OF THIS STORM SYSTEM IS UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...IF HEAVY SNOW OR ICE BECOMES IMMINENT...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 INCHES OR MORE AND SIGNIFICANT ICE OR SLEET ACCUMULATION. PAZ004>006-037-042-251715- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 1207 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL HEAD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN SUNDAY...AS A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA LATE SUNDAY MORNING OR EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE TO FALL AT VARYING INTENSITY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. A SHALLOW LAYER OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ALOFT COULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION TO CAUSE THE SNOW TO MIX WITH SLEET LATER IN THE DAY SUNDAY. AT PRESENT...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND RATES OF SNOWFALL APPEAR TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH THE VALENTINES DAY STORM. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...TOPPED BY A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT ALL OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...SO PLAN EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR REFER TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/SATATECOLLEGE FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS UPCOMING STORM SUCH AS STATEMENTS...AND POSSIBLE LATER WINTER STORM WARNINGS OR WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 INCHES OR MORE AND SIGNIFICANT ICE OR SLEET ACCUMULATION. LAMBERT/TYBURSKI/CRUZ
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 24, 11:46 AM EST, 3 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1146 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 PAZ004>006-037-042-250330- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-SULLIVAN- 1146 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AND SOME SLEET POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT... LOW PRESSURE WILL HEAD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN SUNDAY...AS A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA LATE SUNDAY MORNING OR EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE TO FALL AT VARYING INTENSITY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. A SHALLOW LAYER OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ALOFT COULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION TO CAUSE THE SNOW TO MIX WITH SLEET LATER IN THE DAY SUNDAY. AT PRESENT...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND RATES OF SNOWFALL APPEAR TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH THE VALENTINES DAY STORM. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...TOPPED BY A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR A THIN LAYER OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT ALL OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...SO PLAN EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR REFER TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/SATATECOLLEGE FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS UPCOMING STORM SUCH AS STATEMENTS...AND POSSIBLE LATER WINTER STORM WARNINGS OR WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES. LAMBERT
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 3:10 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | CTP | Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre and 27 more | 43 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.