Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 250311
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1011 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027>030-036-037-047-251115-
/O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-SENECA-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...
MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
1011 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SPREAD
PRECIPITATION INTO NORTHWEST OHIO OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL MAINLY AS FREEZING RAIN THOUGH THERE COULD BE A PERIOD
OF SNOW OR SLEET. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM PAST THE FREEZING MARK CHANGING
THE FREEZING RAIN TO JUST RAIN.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A QUARTER INCH ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THIS STORM.

ALSO EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND
25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS
COULD TAKE DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES...STRAINED BY ICE
ACCUMULATION.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A HEAVY ACCUMULATION OF ICE
WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE DRIVING CONDITIONS. YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER POSTPONING ANY TRAVEL. IF DRIVING IS
UNAVOIDABLE... USE EXTREME CAUTION... AND CARRY A WINTER
EMERGENCY KIT IN CASE YOU ARE STRANDED. ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED
BY DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ009>013-019>023-031>033-038-251115-
/O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.070225T0700Z-070225T1700Z/
ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...
MENTOR...CHARDON...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...
WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG
1011 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SPREAD
PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION BEFORE DAWN SUNDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION COULD START AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW OR SLEET BUT
IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN. IT WILL CONTINUE
INTO SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM PAST THE FREEZING
MARK CHANGING THE FREEZING RAIN TO JUST RAIN.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THIS STORM.

ALSO EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND
25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH EARLY SUNDAY. THIS COULD TAKE DOWN
TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES...STRAINED BY ICE ACCUMULATION.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A HEAVY ACCUMULATION OF ICE
WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE DRIVING CONDITIONS. YOU
SHOULD CONSIDER POSTPONING ANY TRAVEL. IF DRIVING IS
UNAVOIDABLE... USE EXTREME CAUTION... AND CARRY A WINTER
EMERGENCY KIT IN CASE YOU ARE STRANDED. ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED
BY DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-251115-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0004.070225T1100Z-070226T0000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1011 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SPREAD A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION STARTING AROUND DAWN
SUNDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW BUT SHOULD MIX WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE MORNING. DURING THE AFTERNOON THE
PRECIPITATION COULD CHANGE TO ALL RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN BEFORE
CHANGING BACK TO LIGHT SNOW DURING THE EVENING.

WHILE A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...AN
ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS ALSO LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA MAKING TRAVEL
HAZARDOUS.

ALSO EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH EARLY SUNDAY. THIS COULD TAKE
DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES...STRAINED BY ICE
ACCUMULATION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 250854
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
354 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

OHZ017-027-028-036-037-047-251500-
/O.EXT.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1500Z/
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINDLAY...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
354 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE ICE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING.

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
PRECIPITATION INTO NORTHWEST OHIO THIS MORNING. A MIXTURE OF RAIN
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE
QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN LATE THIS MORNING. BEFORE
CHANGING TO RAIN...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A QUARTER
INCH ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA WITH THIS STORM.

EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30
MPH WILL ALSO OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. THIS
COULD RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREE BRANCHES STRAINED BY ICE
ACCUMULATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.


$$

OHZ003-006>013-018>023-029>033-038-251700-
/O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...
MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG
354 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR
MOST OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OHIO.

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
FREEZING RAIN INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING. PERIODS OF FREEZING
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRANSITIONING
TO ALL RAIN AROUND NOON. BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN...TOTAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A QUARTER INCH ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA
WITH THIS STORM.

EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30
MPH WILL ALSO OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. THIS
COULD RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREE BRANCHES STRAINED BY ICE
ACCUMULATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-251700-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0004.070225T1100Z-070226T0000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
354 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SPREAD A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL START AS A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
AROUND DAYBREAK BUT MAY CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE. LOCATIONS FURTHER INLAND WILL LIKELY SEE
A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE ENTIRE AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW
BY THIS EVENING.

EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30
MPH WILL ALSO OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. THIS
COULD RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREE BRANCHES STRAINED BY ICE
ACCUMULATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 251215
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
715 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

OHZ017-027-028-036-037-047-251315-
/O.CAN.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1500Z/
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINDLAY...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
715 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE ICE
STORM WARNING FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO FROM FINDLAY TO MARION TO MOUNT VERNON.

WARMER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING TODAY. ICY SPOTS
WILL LINGER ESPECIALLY ON THE COLD GROUND...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. LOCAL AUTHORITIES REPORT THAT MAIN ROADS HAVE
BEEN SALTED AND ARE WET OR SLUSHY. SECONDARY ROADS AND SIDEWALKS
MAY STILL BE ICY.

$$

OHZ018-019-029-030-251500-
/O.EXT.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1500Z/
SENECA-HURON-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND
715 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE ICE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING FOR PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO. WARMER AIR IS MOVING INTO
THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING IN ALL AREAS BY
10 AM.

IN ADDITION TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...THE RAIN HAS TAPERED OFF
TO SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. ICY CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY
IMPROVE THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES RISE. SECONDARY ROADS AND
SIDEWALKS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ICY THROUGH MID MORNING.

$$

OHZ003-006>013-020>023-031>033-038-251700-
/O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...WOOSTER...CANTON...
YOUNGSTOWN...MILLERSBURG
715 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
MORNING BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN BY NOON.
BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A
QUARTER INCH ARE LIKELY. UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL BE
ICY.


$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-252015-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070226T0000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
715 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SPREAD A
WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL START AS A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
EARLY THIS MORNING BUT MAY CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKESHORE. LOCATIONS FURTHER INLAND WILL
LIKELY SEE A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE ENTIRE
AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL LIKELY BECOME ICY.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 251452
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
952 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

OHZ003-006>013-020>022-031-032-038-251600-
/O.CAN.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-WAYNE-STARK-HOLMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WOOSTER...CANTON...MILLERSBURG
952 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE ICE
STORM WARNING. 

WARMER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING TODAY. ICY SPOTS MAY
LINGER ESPECIALLY ON COLD GROUND...BUT CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF TODAY.

$$

OHZ018-019-029-030-251600-
/O.CAN.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1500Z/
SENECA-HURON-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND
952 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE ICE
STORM WARNING. 

WARMER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING TODAY. ICY SPOTS MAY
LINGER ESPECIALLY ON COLD GROUND...BUT CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF TODAY.

$$

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-252300-
/O.CAN.KCLE.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070226T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.ZR.Y.0004.070225T1452Z-070226T0000Z/
ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...
EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
952 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE PREDOMINATELY A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN...BUT MAY CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
VALLEY LOCATIONS FURTHER INLAND WILL LIKELY SEE A MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS AND
SIDEWALKS WILL LIKELY BECOME ICY. AT MOST A TENTH OF AN INCH OF
ICE ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OHZ023-033-251700-
/O.CON.KCLE.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN
952 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE AND EVENTUALLY
TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON. BEFORE CHANGING TO
RAIN...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A QUARTER INCH ARE LIKELY.
UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL BE ICY.

$$

OUDEMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1230 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

.AVIATION(18Z-18Z)...
STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES ON TRACK TOWARD THE AREA.  TERMINALS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ALTHOUGH CIGS WILL BE
THICKENING AND LOWERING THROUGH THE PERIOD.  STARTED PRECIPITATION
AND MVFR CONDS IN THE WEST BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z. BASED ON BUFKIT FCST
SOUNDINGS AND NAM12 TEMPS AT 850MB VS THE SFC EXPECT PRIMARY THREAT
TO BE FREEZING RAIN. PRECIPITATION COULD START OUT AS SNOW OR MIXED
WITH SLEET. EXPECT ONSET OF PRECIP INTO KCLE AROUND 08-10Z AND
EVENTUALLY KERI BY 11Z-12Z WINDOW.  EXPECT A MID DAY THAW WITH
FREEZING RAIN CHANGING TO JUST RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA PORTION
OF THE AREA ALTHOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE NWRN PA REMAINS AT OR VERY
CLOSE TO FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE BY
MORNING (07Z-10Z) FROM THE EAST SUSTAINED 18-22KTS GUSTING TO 28-32
KTS THROUGH 18Z.

&&

.SHORT TERM(TODAY THRU MONDAY)...
INITIAL BATCH OF WARM ADVECTION SNOW FROM WISCONSIN CROSSING LAKE
MICHIGAN AND SHOULD DIMINISH AND STAY NORTHWEST OF FCST AREA THIS
MORNING BUT WILL WATCH IT TO MAKE SURE NOTHING SNEAKS TOWARD TOL.
SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE PCPN NOT MAKING IT TO THE GROUND ON
SOUTHERN EDGE OF RADAR ECHOES.

ARCTIC HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE COLD AND DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE
INTO SUNDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR OVERRUNNING AS SOUTHWESTERN SYSTEM
LIFTS OUT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE IS A
CHANCE OF SNOW AND THERE CERTAINLY COULD BE SOME SNOW AT THE ONSET
BUT THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF WARM AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL END UP ALOFT OF THE COLD BOUNDARY LAYER AND FEEL
CONFIDENT THAT SYSTEM WILL ULTIMATELY TRANSITION INTO A FREEZING
RAIN EVENT. NORMALLY A FRONT END WINTER EVENT (WHERE THE WARMER
AIR IS COMING) IS SHORT LIVED AND MORE WORTHY OF AN ADVISORY AND
THIS MAY BE THE CASE FOR THIS SYSTEM AS WELL.

THE TROUBLESOME FEATURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS AN UNSTABLE LAYER ALOFT
WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS (PERHAPS
EVEN SOME LIGHTNING?) WHICH COULD PUT DOWN BURSTS OF HEAVIER
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AND PERHAPS EVEN CHANGE PCPN BRIEFLY BACK TO
SNOW WITH ENOUGH DYNAMIC COOLING. THINK THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE
HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS IS ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO AND WILL GO
AHEAD AND UPGRADE WATCH TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FAR NORTHWEST
COUNTIES (FINDLAY TO TOLEDO...TIFFIN TO PORT CLINTON). NOT AS
CONFIDENT ABOUT NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND EVEN LESS CONFIDENT ABOUT NE
OH/NW PA AS EAST DOWNSLOPE FLOW TYPICALLY REDUCES PCPN AMOUNTS
ACROSS NE OH/NW PA. IF A BIT OF SOUTHEAST FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS NE
OH/NW PA THEN TEMPS WILL TRY TO RISE QUICKER SO THERE IS A LIMITED
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION FROM MILLERSBURG TO
WOOSTER/CANTON TO CLEVELAND TO YTOWN FROM BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL MID
TO LATE MORNING AND THERE SIMPLY MAY NOT BE ENOUGH QPF DURING THIS
TIME TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA ICE...MAY BE MORE OF AN ADVISORY
SITUATION WHERE THERE IS COATING IF ICE/SLEET/SNOW AND THEN TEMPS
SLOWLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING. SINCE THERE IS UNCERTAINTY WILL CONTINUE
WITH THE EXISTING WINTER STORM WATCH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
AND NE OHIO AND CONTINUE WITH NO HEADLINES FOR EXTREME NE OH/NW PA
WHERE AN ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY. OF COURSE EVEN A
SMALL COATING OF FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL UNTIL
TREATED.

MODELS TRENDING TOWARD A TRACK SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN EARLIER
RUNS AND WEAKENING SURFACE LOW PROGGED TO DRIFT TOWARD LAKE ERIE AND
EVENTUALLY FILL IN EARLY NEXT WEEK. COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK AROUND
SYSTEM AS UPPER LOW ALSO DRIFTS ACROSS LOWER GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
PROVIDE OPPORTUNITIES FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY
NIGHT EVENTUALLY BECOMING ALL SNOW AS COLDER AIR SPREADS BACK IN.
MODELS OFTEN ARE OVER DONE WITH THIS WRAP AROUND TYPE PCPN BUT WITH
UPPER LOW OVERHEAD THERE SHOULD BE AT LEAST LIKELY POPS IN THE
FCST THROUGH MONDAY ALTHOUGH I DOUBT THERE WILL BE ANY HEAVY SNOW.

GUIDANCE TEMPS ARE SIMILAR BUT WENT WITH COLDER ETA MOS TEMPS TODAY
AND TONIGHT GIVEN THE ARCTIC NATURE OF CURRENT AIR MASS.

&&

.LONG TERM(TUE-FRI)...
DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO LONG TERM PORTION OF FCST.
YESTERDAYS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

MODELS NOW SHOWING MORE OF A CUTOFF UPR PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
THE LOW SFC LOW MOVG TO NR LERI THEN STALLING AND WEAKENING AS THE
UPR LOW MAKES A LOOP ARND NWRN OH. XPCT SCT SHSN FM THIS FEATURE TO
CONT INTO WED THEN RDGG SHUD DRY THINGS OUT TIL THU AFTN WHEN
ANOTHER LOW SHUD MOV OUT OF THE PLAINS TWD OUR AREA.  TEMPS PRE GFS
APPEAR TO WRM JUST ENUF FOR A COLD RA EVENT BUT THIS FAR OUT
ANYTHING IS PSBL SO WL PROB MNLY CALL FOR RA/SN CHC.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR OHZ009>013-019>023-031>033-038.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST
     SUNDAY FOR OHZ003-006>008-017-018.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR OHZ027>030-036-037-047.

PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
     PAZ001-003.

&&

SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...ADAMS/KOSARIK
AVIATION...TK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
551 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-251100-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
551 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FREEZING RAIN... AS WELL AS SOME SLEET AND SNOW... WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.
A GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED AND THE ICE COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IN
SOME AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST OHIO WHERE THE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. A
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR EXTREME
NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE
A WINTER STORM WARNING ISSUED WILL LIKELY HAVE A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY ISSUED FOR LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY FOR THE FREEZING
RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AND ICY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
MORNING BUT TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST AREAS
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
RAIN TO CAUSE ICE JAMS OR FLOODING ON RIVERS NEAR LAKE ERIE
ALTHOUGH WARMER WEATHER EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

KOSARIK