Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2007
Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm watch at Feb 12, 2007, 4:12 AM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 13, 2007, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 12, 2007, 4:12 AM EST (09:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 13, 2007, 3:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 12, 2007, 3:36 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 863 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 42 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 126 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 120912 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 412 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ007-008-121200- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070212T1200Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 412 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 7 AM. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH 7 AM WILL BE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER FAR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. THE LAKE BAND WILL LIKELY BE SOUTH OF JEFFERSON COUNTY BY 7 AM. THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS WILL FOCUS ON THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 7 AM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE LAKE SNOWS MAY STILL CONTINUE PAST 7 AM AND THIS MAY CAUSE THE WARNING TO BE EXTENDED A BIT LONGER. HOWEVER...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ006-121200- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070212T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 412 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 7 AM. HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 7 AM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE LAKE SNOWS MAY STILL CONTINUE PAST 7 AM AND THIS MAY CAUSE THE WARNING TO BE EXTENDED A BIT LONGER. HOWEVER...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-121715- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 412 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ TMA
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 121149 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 649 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ007-122000- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070212T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 649 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE SETTLED SOUTH OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...MAINLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN BUT THE THEREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS ENDED. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ006-121500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070212T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 649 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 10 AM. HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL FALL OVER THE MEXICO...PARISH AND PALERMO AREAS. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ008-121500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070212T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 649 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 10 AM. HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL FALL OVER THE HIGHMARKET AND NORTH OSCEOLA AREAS. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-122000- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 649 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 121204 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 704 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ006-121500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070212T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 704 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 10 AM. HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL FALL OVER THE MEXICO...PARISH AND PALERMO AREAS. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ008-121500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070212T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 704 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH 10 AM. HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL FALL OVER THE HIGHMARKET AND NORTH OSCEOLA AREAS. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ001>005-007-010>014-019>021-085-122015- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 704 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE SETTLED SOUTH OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...MAINLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN BUT THE THEREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS ENDED. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 121429 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 929 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ008-122230- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070212T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 929 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED SOUTH OUT OF THE COUNTY...BUT MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM ARE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ006-121900- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070212T1900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 929 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH 2 PM. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 2 PM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL FALL SOUTH OF PARISH AND OSWEGO. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL HELP SHIFT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH AND ALSO HELP TO DISORGANIZE THE ACTIVITY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHERLY AND SHOULD FINALLY END THIS LAKE EFFECT EPISODE. MORE SNOW IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ001>005-007-010>014-019>021-085-122230- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 929 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE PATH AND TIMING OF THE STORM. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 121636 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1136 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ006-130045- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070212T1900Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1136 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS WEAKENED AND SHOULD END ENTIRELY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD MORE SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. THE ADDITIONAL SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE IN AREAS OF RECENT HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS. THE PATH AND SPEED OF THE STORM ARE UNCERTAIN. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$ NYZ001>005-007-008-010>014-019>021-085-130045- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...BATAVIA... WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1136 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE EVENING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. THE ADDITIONAL SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE IN AREAS OF RECENT HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE PATH AND SPEED OF THE STORM ARE UNCERTAIN. LATER STATEMENTS WILL BETTER DETAIL THE EXACT TIMING AND PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 122036 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 336 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ006>008-130445- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0002.070214T0100Z-070215T0100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 336 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TUESDAY AND THEN ON OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WEDNESDAY. A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM AND AFFECT OUR REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK TUESDAY EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATER IN THE DAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS SHOULD BE IN THE RANGE OF 12 TO 18 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. UNLIKE RECENT EVENTS...THIS STORM WILL BE A GENERAL ONE...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT ONE OF THE WINTER SEASON. THE CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW WILL BE A BIT HEAVIER THAN DURING ALL THE RECENT LAKE EFFECT EVENTS...SO HOMEOWNERS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE RISK OF ADDED LOADING ON ROOFS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES WHICH HAVE RECEIVED SUCH HUGE SNOWFALLS OF LATE. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. LATEST INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010>014-085-130445- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0002.070213T2200Z-070214T2200Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 336 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TUESDAY AND THEN ON OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WEDNESDAY. A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM AND AFFECT OUR REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION NEAR SUNSET TUESDAY AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE BUFFALO NIAGARA REGION TO 12 TO 18 INCHES FROM ROCHESTER AND THE GENESEE VALLEY EAST INTO THE FINGER LAKES REGION. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE TUESDAY NIGHT BUT INCREASE FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW. THIS WILL BE OUR FIRST MAJOR GENERAL SNOWFALL OF THE WINTER SEASON AND SHOULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. LATEST INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ019>021-130445- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.070213T2000Z-070215T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0002.070213T1900Z-070214T1900Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 336 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TUESDAY AND THEN ON OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WEDNESDAY. A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM AND AFFECT OUR REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON HOURS OF TUESDAY AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND TAPER OFF BY MIDDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE IN THE 8 TO 12 INCH RANGE. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE TUESDAY NIGHT BUT INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW. THIS WILL BE OUR FIRST MAJOR GENERAL SNOWFALL OF THE WINTER SEASON AND SHOULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. LATEST INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ SFM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 12, 3:09 AM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 3:09 AM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
309 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LAKE SNOWS CONTINUING IN EARNEST EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO EARLY THIS
MORNING. BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOWS FOCUSING ACROSS THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU WITH RADAR ESTIMATED SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER 3 INCHES PER
HOUR. EXPECT THE LAKE BAND TO DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH THROUGH 12Z
AS ARCTIC BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO DROPS
DOWN ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. THIS SHOULD FOCUS HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS
ACROSS THE HARDEST HIT AREAS OF OSWEGO COUNTY BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z.
CURRENTLY HAVE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS UP UNTIL 7 AM FOR THE THREE
COUNTIES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AT THIS POINT...WILL ALLOW WARNING TO
CONTINUE IN PLACE AND WILL FINE TUNE WARNING CONFIGURATION AT THAT
TIME. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE WARNING WILL BE BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR
JEFFERSON COUNTY...BUT MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED JUST A BIT LONER FOR
LEWIS AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.
THE PASSAGE OF THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY IN THE GENERALLY TIME FRAME OF
15Z-20Z WILL HELP WIND DOWN THE TREMENDOUS LAKE SNOWS FOR THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER TO
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND THERE SHOULD BE A HIGHER DEGREE OF
SHEAR IN THE COLUMN ALONG WITH ADVECTION OF MUCH DRIER AIR. STILL
CANNOT RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF MULTI-BANDED LAKE
SNOWS FROM ROCHESTER EASTWARD INTO OSWEGO COUNTY INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...BUT FEEL ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR THESE AREAS
INCLUDING OSWEGO COUNTY WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER.
OFF LAKE ERIE...LIGHT LAKE SNOWS ALSO CONTINUING FROM THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW
LEVEL FLOW HAS VEERED WESTERLY AND DESPITE LAKE ERIE BEING MOSTLY
ICE COVERED THERE MUST BE ENOUGH OPEN WATER TO KEEP SNOWS GOING
HERE. SNOWS HERE SHOULD TAKE ON A SOUTHWARD DRIFT AS WELL WITH
APPROACHING BOUNDARY. SNOWFALL RATES HERE MUST LESS INTENSE PER KBUF
RADAR ESTIMATES OF AROUND A HALF INCH OR SO PER HOUR. SOME AREAS
COULD EXPERIENCE SEVERAL HOURS OF SNOWFALL...THEREFORE LOCAL 2-4
INCH ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
EXPECT ARCTIC BOUNDARY TO IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA WITH A BURST OF
MODERATE SNOWS...BUT SHOULD NOT LAST LONG ENOUGH TO HAVE MUCH OF AN
IMPACT.
ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DRY OUT TONIGHT AS RIDGE BUILDS DOWN
ACROSS THE AREA. LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS NORTHERLY AND WITH 850 MB
TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR -20C STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LAKE SNOWS FOR THE SOUTH SHORE COUNTIES AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ROCHESTER BUFKIT PROFILE DOES TRY
TO HINT AT THIS POTENTIAL WITH AN INCREASING OMEGA FIELD AND
FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SNOW GROWTH REGION...BUT WITH CRASHING INVERSION
BELOW 5K FEET HARD TO FORECAST MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOWFALL...BUT
WOULD NOT RULE SOME FLUFFY ACCUMULATIONS FROM NIAGARA COUNTY OVER TO
THE ROCHESTER AREA.
QUICKLY WE TURN OUR ATTENTION TO THE THREAT OF A MAJOR WINTER STORM
FOR THE AREA DURING THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME. STILL SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE NAM AND GFS...BUT NOT SO
MUCH WITH OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THE STORM SYSTEM AS HAS BEEN THE CASE
THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS OF SO. THE NAM TRIES TO BRING A BIT MORE
WARMER AIR NORTHWARD INTO THE SYSTEM THAN THE GFS...BUT FOR OUR AREA
THIS IS LIKELY NOT TO BE MUCH OF A FACTOR AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE NORTH WILL KEEP ATMOSPHERE COLD ENOUGH FOR AN ALL SNOW EVENT AS
SUGGESTED BY COLDER GFS. GFS IS A BIT FASTER WITH OVERALL ARRIVAL OF
PRECIPITATION INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER. DESPITE SOME DIFFERENCES...
BOTH MODELS ARE PRETTY SIMILAR ON THE SUGGESTION OF HEAVY QPF
FOR THE AREA WHICH IS IN LINE WITH CURRENT HPC GRAPHICS. 21Z SREF
SHOWING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY ANOMALOUSLY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF
30 TO 40 KNOTS INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WHICH IS ABOUT 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. BOTH MODELS SUGGESTING AREA WILL
BE IN A DEFORMATION ZONE...ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING. AT THIS TIME..POTENTIAL CERTAINLY EXISTS FOR A MAJOR
WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL EVENT FOR THE AREA WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
UPWARDS OF A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE. HAVE THEREFORE PLACED ENTIRE
AREA INTO A WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
LONG TERM PERIOD AND BEYOND AS ENOUGH HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING REMAINS
IN PLACE TO PREVENT ANY PACIFIC ZONAL FLOW FROM TAKING HOLD OF THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS NOAM. BIG CHANGES TO THE START OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD WITH HANDLING OF SOUTHERN STREAM SYNOPTIC SYSTEM IN THE
SHORT TERM. MOST OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE NOW FULLY PHASE
THE STREAMS OVER THE EAST COAST WITH BOMBOGENESIS FORECAST TOWARDS
THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD ALONG THE EAST COAST. ASSUMING THIS
PHASING OCCURS...POLAR VORTEX WILL AGAIN BE DRAWN SOUTH INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. NEW 12Z GFS EVEN MORE AGGRESSIVE IN THIS
SCENARIO THAN PREVIOUS RUNS WITH SUB 5000 METER H5 HEIGHTS OVER
WESTERN NY BY THU NGT BEHIND DEPARTING COASTAL.
GIVEN INHERENT UNCERTAINTY WITH PHASING OF STREAMS AND SUBSEQUENT
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF SURFACE FEATURES...WILL KEEP THU THROUGH SUN
PERIOD GENERIC FOR NOW IN GRIDS. IF STRONGER SOLUTIONS VERIFY...MAY
AGAIN SEE A VERY FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT SETUP BEHIND THIS SYSTEM FROM
THU INTO FRI...PROBABLY ON A MORE WNW OR NW FLOW THIS TIME. HAVE
INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR THU...AND
HIGH CHANCE FRI. ENOUGH ICE COVER ON LAKE ERIE NOW TO PREVENT
ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT. HAVE KEPT TEMPS BELOW HPC GUIDANCE FOR LATE
NEXT WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND...AND IF THE DEEPER SOLUTIONS VERIFY A
FURTHER DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT IN TEMPS WILL BECOME NECESSARY FOR MOST
OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z-06Z/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY BLOSSOMED EAST OF LAKE ERIE LATE IN THE
EVENING WITH IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING QUICKLY ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES. QUICK IMPROVEMENT IS FOR KBUF NEAR THE BEGINNING OF THIS
TAF CYCLE BUT GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL STILL BE A PROBLEM OVERNIGHT.
LAKE SNOWS WILL DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT. FULL BLOWN LAKE EFFECT SNOW
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO EARLY IN THIS PERIOD WITH IFR CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND LIKELY FALL APART
AFTER 12Z AS WINDS SHIFT. AN ARCTIC FRONT SCHEDULED TO MOVE THROUGH
MOST SITES LATE MONDAY MORNING WILL PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS FOR A
FEW HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE IN FROM QUEBEC LATER MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CREATE
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS OF LOCAL MVFR IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO IN THE SHALLOW MOIST LAYER.
&&
.MARINE...
SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH AT LEAST THIS
AFTERNOON WITH BRISK WSW FLOW BEING MAINTAINED BY A CLIPPER PASSING
BY WELL NORTH OF THE LAKE. SHOULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK IN SCA
CONDITIONS FOR TONIGHT INTO TUES AS FLOW BECOMES N THEN NE AND
WINDS DIMINISH AS A NARROW SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.
WINDS INCREASE AGAIN LATER TUE NGT THROUGH THU AS A SURFACE LOW
APPROACHES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE EAST COAST WITH A LOW BOMBING OUT ALONG THE COAST OR JUST
OFFSHORE. IF THIS WERE TO VERIFY...WOULD LIKELY SEE GALES ON LAKE
ONTARIO LATER WED INTO THU AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS ON THE NW PERIPHERY
OF THE EAST COAST STORM. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK AND
STRENGTH...WILL HOLD TO JUST BELOW GALE CRITERIA FOR NOW IN GLFLO.
ON LAKE ERIE...THE LAKE IS MOSTLY ICE COVERED THEREFORE WAVES HAVE
BEEN OMITTED.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ006>008.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
LOZ042>045.
&&
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...WCHHazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 2:43 PM EST, 13 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-120900- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND TRACK CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING THE THREAT OF A SIGNIFICANT GENERAL SNOWFALL OF AT LEAST SEVERAL INCHES TO THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE FROM THE GENESEE VALLEY INTO THE FINGER LAKES REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006-120900- OSWEGO- 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT LAKE SNOWS WILL SETTLE SOUTH INTO THE COUNTY AGAIN TONIGHT BUT FINALLY BREAK UP ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. A LAKE SNOW WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LAKE SNOWS WILL FINALLY END MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH. HOWEVER...THERE IS THE THREAT OF A GENERAL SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ON WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP ALONG THE COAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-008-120900- JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT LAKE SNOWS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH OVERNIGHT. A LAKE SNOW WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LAKE SNOWS SHOULD FINALLY SHUT DOWN MONDAY FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. HOWEVER...THERE IS THE THREAT OF A SIGNIFICANT GENERAL SNOWFALL ON WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP ALONG THE EAST COAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ040-041-061-LOZ062>065-SLZ022-024-120900- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE... LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ042>045-120900- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 243 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SFM
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 12, 1:38 AM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 138 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 NYZ006>008-120930- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 138 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007 ...HEAVY LAKE SNOW PARKED OVER THE TUG HILL... A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE INTERSECTION OF JEFFERSON...OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH 6AM AND VARY A FEW MILES TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH WITHIN THE AREA BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE WIDE AREA, AND UP TO A FOOT OT SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN THE STRONGER PART OF THE SNOW BAND. THE SNOW BAND WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AROUND DAYBREAK AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER SOUTH AND BREAK UP BY LATE MORNING.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 3:36 PM EST | Heavy Snow Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 52 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in New York, 2007Every winter storm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.