Alert archive / New York / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2007
Heavy Snow Warning 3, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this heavy snow warning at Mar 16, 2007, 4:51 AM EDT for 9 counties in New York. It took effect at Mar 16, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2007, 4:51 AM EDT (08:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 16, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2007, 2:52 PM EDT
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 998 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 75 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 160851 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW RETURNS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK... .LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL SPREAD MOISTURE OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD BEGIN IN THE SOUTHERN TIER AROUND MID DAY AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY SATURDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 4 TO 8 INCHES EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE THE SNOWFALL WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. AMOUNTS COULD BE LOCALLY ENHANCED FROM ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. THESE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER... FINGER LAKES AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ004-005-161700- /O.UPG.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1800Z-070317T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ013-014-161700- /O.UPG.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1800Z-070317T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T1800Z-070318T1100Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ021-161700- /O.UPG.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1600Z-070317T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T1600Z-070318T1100Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY WITH MOST OF THE SNOW FALLING THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ006>008-161700- /O.UPG.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T2200Z-070317T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ003-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-161700- /O.EXB.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-161700- /O.EXT.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1600Z-070318T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY WITH MOST OF THE SNOW FALLING THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-085-161700- /O.EXT.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1800Z-070318T1100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 451 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY WITH MOST OF THE SNOW FALLING THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ TMA
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 161504 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LATE SEASON SNOWS RETURN TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK... .LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER SOUTH CAROLINA AT MIDDAY WILL MAKE ITS WAY TO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY NIGHTFALL...THEN WILL DEEPEN AS IT WILL TRACK UP THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO NEAR CAPE COD BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY. A LARGE PRECIPITATION SHIELD AHEAD OF THE LATE WINTER STORM WILL SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING IN THE FORM OF SNOW. THE SNOW HAS ALREADY BEGUN ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND WILL SPREAD TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN NEW YORK DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL FINALLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY EVENING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY SATURDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 4 TO 8 INCHES EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE THE SNOWFALL WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. AMOUNTS COULD BE LOCALLY ENHANCED FROM ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. THESE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER... FINGER LAKES AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ021-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T1600Z-070318T1100Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ013-014-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T1800Z-070318T1100Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ003>008-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ019-020-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1600Z-070318T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...MAINLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AFTER 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-085-162315- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T1800Z-070318T1100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1104 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH
000 WWUS41 KBUF 162001 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LATE SEASON SNOWS RETURN TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK... .LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING WILL MOVE UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST AND DEEPEN OVERNIGHT. THE STORM WILL BE CENTERED NEAR CAPE COD BY SATURDAY DAYBREAK. A LARGE AREA OF STEADY SNOW AHEAD OF THE STORM HAS ALREADY SPREAD ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND AS THIS EVENING PROGRESSES...THE SNOW WILL MAKE ITS FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND ALSO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY SATURDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 4 TO 8 INCHES EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE THE SNOWFALL WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES...AND SLIGHTLY LOWER AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. AMOUNTS COULD BE LOCALLY ENHANCED FROM ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. THESE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER... FINGER LAKES AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ021-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BECOME A LITTLE LESS WIDESPREAD ON SATURDAY WHEN ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. SNOW THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ013-014-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ003>008-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY BEFORE 2 AM. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM WILL INTERACT WITH THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO TO PRODUCE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW AS WELL. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT RANGING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.070316T2100Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES IN MOST AREAS... BUT AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF BATAVIA. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH THE SNOW HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FOR EACH PERIOD. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-085-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 401 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY DAYBREAK WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WYOMING COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR EACH PERIOD. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH
000 WWUS41 KBUF 170210 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LATE SEASON SNOWS RETURN TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK... .LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND DEEPEN OVERNIGHT...REACHING A POSITION NEAR CAPE COD BY SATURDAY DAYBREAK. A LARGE AREA OF STEADY SNOW IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM COVERED THE ENTIRE AREA AS OF MID TO LATE EVENING...AND THIS IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...TO AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE THE SNOWFALL WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES...AND SLIGHTLY LOWER AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. AMOUNTS COULD BE LOCALLY ENHANCED FROM ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. THESE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER... FINGER LAKES AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ021-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED TO FALL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW WILL BECOME A LITTLE LESS WIDESPREAD ON SATURDAY WHEN ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ013-014-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS BY SUNDAY MORNING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ003>008-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM WILL INTERACT WITH THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO TO PRODUCE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW AS WELL. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT RANGING FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES IN MOST AREAS... BUT AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF BATAVIA. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COLDER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED SNOWFALL OFF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FOR EACH PERIOD. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-085-171015- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1010 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. STEADY SNOW TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WYOMING COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR EACH PERIOD. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH/JJR
000 WWUS41 KBUF 170801 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...LATE SEASON SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH TODAY TO SOUTHERN MAINE BY THIS EVENING. A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW TO THE REGION TODAY. THE HEAVIEST ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY IS EXPECTED EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE...AND ALSO ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN LAKE ENHANCEMENT. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TODAY WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. NYZ021-171615- /O.EXT.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070317T2000Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ NYZ013-014-171615- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ NYZ003>008-171615- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE GENERAL SNOWFALL A PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT IS EXPECTED SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE IN SOME LOCATIONS. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ010-012-019-020-085-171615- /O.EXT.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070317T2000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA...AND INTO THE 5 TO 8 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001-002-011-171615- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BATAVIA 401 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE GENERAL SNOWFALL...A PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 3 TO 7 INCH RANGE. A SNOW ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN 4 TO 6 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 171400 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...LATE SEASON SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON... .LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING PERIODS OF SNOW TO THE REGION TODAY. THE HEAVIEST ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN LAKE ENHANCEMENT. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 7 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TODAY WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING. NYZ007-008-013-014-171500- /O.CAN.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE TODAY AND ANOTHER INCH OR TWO TONIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL REMAIN SLIPPERY. $$ NYZ021-171500- /O.CAN.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070317T2000Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCUMULATE ONLY ANOTHER INCH OR TWO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...UNTREATED ROADS WILL REMAIN SLIPPERY. $$ NYZ010-012-019-020-085-171500- /O.CAN.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070317T2000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY BE AN INCH OR SO THIS AFTERNOON AND ANOTHER INCH TONIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL REMAIN SLICK. $$ NYZ003>006-172200- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE OF VARYING INTENSITIES DUE TO ENHANCEMENT OFF LAKE ONTARIO. BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE 4 TO 7 INCH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 8 TO 14 INCH RANGE IN SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY AROUND METRO ROCHESTER. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ NYZ001-002-011-172200- /O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BATAVIA 1000 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. ENHANCEMENT FROM LAKE ONTARIO WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...BRINGING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 6 TO 10 INCH RANGE. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK. $$ SFM
000 WWUS41 KBUF 171852 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 252 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVIER SNOWS HAVE TAPERED OFF... .A NORTHWEST FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR ON THE BACKSIDE OF A MAJOR EAST COAST STORM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITIES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE ACTIVITY WILL BE ENHANCED BY ITS PASSAGE ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY BE IN THE ORDER OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. NYZ003>006-172000- /O.CAN.KBUF.HS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN... OSWEGO 252 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY END SUNDAY MORNING. THEY MAY ACTUALLY PICK UP A BIT THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS...BUT AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY ACCUMULATE OVERNIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AGAIN AFTER DARK. $$ NYZ001-002-011-172000- /O.CAN.KBUF.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070318T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BATAVIA 252 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY. SNOW HAS ENDED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT SNOW SHOWERS MAY REDEVELOP AGAIN THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH 1 TO 3 INCHES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AGAIN AFTER DARK. $$ SFM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Mar 16, 3:43 AM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 3:43 AM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DIFFICULT FORECAST THIS PERIOD WITH THE AREA ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF
DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM. NAM AND GFS EVOLUTION OF COASTAL STORM
SIMILAR WITH THE GFS A LITTLE FASTER AND EAST WHEN COMPARED TO THE
NAM. AS EXPECTED WITH THE SLOWER MODEL SOLUTION THE NAM QPF AND
THEREFORE SNOWFALL TOTALS A LITTLE HEAVIER THAN QPF/SNOWFALL OUTPUT
OF GFS. HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED HPC GUIDANCE WHICH SUGGESTS A BLEND
OF GFS AND NAM SNOWFALL AMOUNTS GIVING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWATH OF
4-8 INCH SNOWFALL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. INITIALLY LOW
LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL LIMIT
SNOWFALL...THEREFORE EXPECTED BULK OF THE SNOW TO FALL DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
AS THE LOW LIFTS INTO THE NEW ENGLAND STATES ON SATURDAY WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE WILL WORK ACROSS THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS...GENERALLY IN THE 1-3 INCH RANGE. CONCERNED ABOUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR LANE ENHANCED/LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO IN THE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME WITH
850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING DOWN TO AROUND -14C. ROCHESTER AND
SYRACUSE BUFKIT PROFILES SUGGESTING GOOD AREA OF CRYSTAL GROWTH AND
OMEGA DEVELOPING IN A WELL ALIGNED NORTHWEST FLOW THEREFORE COULD
EASILY SEE ENHANCED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SOUTH SHORE COUNTIES
POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE FINGER LAKES. THOUGH LAKE ERIE REMAINS
MOSTLY ICE COVERED...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE ENHANCED BY UPSLOPE
COMPONENT.
BASED ON FORECASTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL ISSUE A SNOW ADVISORY FOR
NIAGARA...ORLEANS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES STARTING LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER.
HAVE DECIDED TO UPGRADE ADVISORY TO A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE ROCHESTER AREA WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR 6-12 INCHES. ALL HEADLINES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOWS WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY AS LOW PULLS AWAY AND HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRIER AIR BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE AND COLDER AIR WILL GIVE A CHANCE OF SOME LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW AND
FRONTAL COMPLEX. THE LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME SNOW
OVER THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE LOW
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF A LOW OVER THE PLAINS WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z-06Z/...
SURFACE HIGH BUILDING THROUGH SE CANADA EARLY THIS MORNING ALLOWING
MUCH DRIER LOW/MID LEVEL AIR TO ADVECT IN ON NE FLOW. MEANWHILE A
BROAD AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITHIN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
A 130+KT UPPER LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE SWATH OF HIGH
CLOUDS ACROSS THE TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNTIL MID
OR LATE AFTERNOON THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO TIMING OF ONSET OF SNOW
AND LOWER VSBY/CIGS IN ASSOCIATION WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW. HAVE
FAVORED AN ONSET TIME A COUPLE HOURS LATER THAN 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE
DUE TO EXTENSIVE LOW/MID LEVEL DRY WEDGE AND EXPECTATION OF INITIAL
VIRGA. LOW LEVELS SHOULD SATURATE SUFFICIENTLY BY LATE AFTERNOON TO
ALLOW SNOW TO BEGIN...WITH CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO IFR AT ALL
THE TERMINALS EARLY THIS EVENING.
&&
.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN
SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH ON SAT THEN NORTHWEST FOR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. SOME POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF
LOW END GALES ON SUNDAY IN NW FLOW BEHIND DEPARTING COASTAL LOW WHEN
SURFACE GRADIENT AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME MAXIMIZED. FOR NOW
WILL HOLD WINDS AT 30 KNOTS AND ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO REFINE BASED
ON LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
FLOODING CONTINUES ON SOME CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
YORK. FOR THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...ALL HAVE RECEDED BELOW FLOOD
STAGE EXCEPT FOR THE TYPICALLY SLOWER TONAWANDA CREEK. THE CREEK HAS
CRESTED AT BATAVIA JUST BELOW MAJOR FLOOD CATEGORY AND SHOULD RECEDE
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. DOWNSTREAM AT RAPIDS THE LEVEL IS
STILL RISING AND IS EXPECTED TO CREST LATE TONIGHT VERY NEAR THE
MAJOR FLOOD CATEGORY. A FLOOD OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF AMHERST...
CLARENCE...NEWSTEAD...AND ROYALTON SPREADING UPSTREAM INTO THE
ALABAMA SWAMP. THE CREEK WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AT RAPIDS DUE TO ITS TYPICALLY SLOW RESPONSE.
ELSEWHERE...OATKA AND BLACK CREEKS HAVE CRESTED BUT WILL REMAIN
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO. THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT
OLEAN IS STILL RISING...BUT SHOULD CREST SHORTLY AT ABOUT 13.2 FEET
AND THEN RECEDE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER HAS
CRESTED AT SALAMANCA AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS
EVENING.
CHECK FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
FOR NYZ003>008.
SNOW ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
NYZ001-002-010-011.
SNOW ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NYZ019-
020.
HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
NYZ021.
SNOW ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
NYZ012-085.
HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EDT SUNDAY
FOR NYZ013-014.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR LOZ042>044.
&&
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Mar 15, 5:25 PM EDT, 11 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 NYZ004-005-012>014-085-162130- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SNOW ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019>021-162130- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SNOW ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>003-010-011-162130- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-162130- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SNOW ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-162130- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 525 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SAGE
Nearby
Heavy Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every heavy snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.