Alert archive / Massachusetts / Wind Advisories in 2007

Wind Advisory 15, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

April 15, 20075 counties in Rhode Island; 9 counties in Massachusetts; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this wind advisory at Apr 15, 2007, 4:06 AM EDT for 5 counties in Rhode Island; 9 counties in Massachusetts; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire. It took effect at Apr 15, 2007, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2007, 4:06 AM EDT (08:06 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 15, 2007, 6:00 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 16, 2007, 11:00 AM EDT
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Hillsborough County, NH, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 5 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2007-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2007-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1421 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 150806
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
406 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019-151615-
/O.UPG.KBOX.HW.A.0004.070415T2000Z-070416T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.HW.W.0003.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...PLYMOUTH
406 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING STRONG
WINDS TO IMMEDIATE COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TODAY AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. BOSTON IS INCLUDED IN THIS WARNING.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME TONIGHT.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

$$

MAZ020>024-RIZ005>008-151615-
/O.EXT.KBOX.HW.W.0003.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
406 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 AM EDT MONDAY. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING STRONG
WINDS TO IMMEDIATE COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TODAY AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME TONIGHT.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-151615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
406 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TODAY AND ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR A TIME TONIGHT.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH.  WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 151558
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1158 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ005>008-160000-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0003.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1158 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 AM EDT MONDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTS.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NEW YORK
CITY LATE TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BRING HIGH AND DAMAGING WINDS TO A FEW
PORTIONS OF IMMEDIATE COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR A TIME TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM ALONG THE SOUTH
COASTS OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS. MEANWHILE...FOR COASTAL
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS THE STRONGEST WIND WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 11 PM
AND 5 AM.

THE 4 PM FORECAST UPDATE MAY EXTEND THE WARNING TO 9 AM MONDAY IN THE
GLOUCESTER NEWBURYPORT REGION OF COASTAL ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS THE WELLFLEET TRURO PROVINCETOWN REGION OF 
OUTER CAPE COD.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-160000-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
1158 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM MONDAY
ALONG NEAR THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM PROVIDENCE TO BOSTONS
IMMEDIATE WESTERN SUBURBS.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OVER NEW YORK CITY
LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR A TIME TONIGHT.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH.  WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

DRAG
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 151930
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
330 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ005>008-160330-
/O.EXT.KBOX.HW.W.0003.070415T2000Z-070416T0900Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
330 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTS.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL LIKELY BRING VERY STRONG AND
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING.
WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF
RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS. MEANWHILE...FOR COASTAL EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS THE STRONGEST WIND WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 11 PM AND 5 AM.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-160330-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.070415T2200Z-070416T0900Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
330 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY NEAR THE
INTERSTATE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM PROVIDENCE TO BOSTONS IMMEDIATE
WESTERN SUBURBS.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TONIGHT WILL BRING VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR A TIME TONIGHT.

ANY LOOSE ITEMS THAT ARE OUT OF DOORS...SUCH AS TRASH BARRELS AND
LAWN FURNITURE...SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH.  WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

FRANK/DRAG
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 160256
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1056 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ005>008-160900-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070416T0900Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1056 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT AS A COASTAL STORM
INTENSIFIES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST UNTIL 3
AM... AND WILL AFFECT THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT
AND 5 AM. THESE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL SUBSIDE TOWARD DAYBREAK
MONDAY.

DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND
OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-160900-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T0900Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
1056 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...

EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT AS A COASTAL STORM
INTENSIFIES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE LIKELY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 5 AM. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.

WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

$$

JWD
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 160712
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
312 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ005>008-161100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070416T1100Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
312 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING
FOR THE RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE.

WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL LAST UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK BEFORE SLOWLY
DIMINISHING. SO FAR WINDS HAVE GUSTED TO 63 MPH AT BLUE HILL
OBSERVATORY IN MILTON AND TO 61 MPH ON NANTUCKET.

DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND
OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-161100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T1100Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
312 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND INTERIOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER
SUNRISE.

WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

$$

JWD
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 161048
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
648 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ005>008-161500-
/O.CAN.KBOX.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070416T1100Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T1500Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...BOSTON...QUINCY...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
648 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE HIGH
WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EDT.

STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BATTER THE COAST
THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. EXPECT FREQUENT GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55
MPH...ESPECIALLY UNTIL 9 AM.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND MAY CAUSE
POWER OUTAGES IN A FEW LOCATIONS. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001>004-161500-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T1500Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK
648 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS
MORNING. EXPECT FREQUENT GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY UNTIL 9 AM.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND MAY
CAUSE POWER OUTAGES IN A FEW LOCATIONS. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

JWD
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 161203
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
803 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

NHZ012-015-161500-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T1500Z/
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE
803 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE...WHICH IS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
TO 50 TO 55 MPH WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND MAY
CAUSE POWER OUTAGES IN A FEW LOCATIONS. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MAZ006-007-013>024-RIZ001>008-161500-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-070416T1500Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...
NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
803 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BATTER THE COAST
THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. EXPECT FREQUENT GUSTS AS HIGH AS
55 MPH...ESPECIALLY UNTIL 9 AM.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND MAY
CAUSE POWER OUTAGES IN A FEW LOCATIONS. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$
FIELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Apr 15, 3:50 AM EDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 3:50 AM EDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
350 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...MAJOR COASTAL STORM WILL BRING A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY INTO MON...

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LEADING EDGE OF RAIN SHIELD HAS MADE IT INTO NYC EARLY THIS MORNING
BUT PRECIPITATION IS STILL ALOFT BACK ACROSS HUDSON VALLEY...SO IT
WILL TAKE A FEW MORE HOURS FOR THIS TO REACH OUR WESTERN ZONES. A
QUICK CHECK ON MODELS SHOWS BOTH NAM/GFS HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS
LEADING EDGE AS OF 06Z...WITH NAM DOING A LITTLE BETTER...BUT MODELS
ARE UNDERDONE WITH RAINFALL TO OUR S ACROSS VA/NC.

START TIMES FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LOOKS TO BE 5 TO 7 AM IN WESTERN
ZONES AND 7 TO 9 AM IN EAST...THOUGH STEADIER AND HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

MODELS STILL HAVE DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO TRACK OF THIS LATE
SEASON NOREASTER...BUT ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH 00Z
RUNS. ALTHOUGH NAM/GFS ARE STILL RUNNING W OF UKMET...CANADIAN AND
ECMWF...THEY HAVE TRENDED CLOSER TO COAST AND IN FACT A BLEND OF GFS
AND CANADIAN IS PREFERRED BY HPC BASED UPON BETTER INITIALIZATION AS
WELL AS SUPPORT FROM ENSEMBLE MEAN. AS A RESULT WE WILL BRING LOW
INTO NYC AREA MON MORNING...WHICH IS SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT S OF 00Z GFS.

THIS STORM WILL BRING A VARIETY OF HAZARDS WHICH WE WILL DETAIL HERE.
REFER TO SECTIONS BELOW FOR RIVER FLOOD...COASTAL FLOOD...AVIATION
AND MARINE IMPACTS.

WINTER WEATHER...
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NW MA AND SW NH FOR 2 TO 6 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION WITH HIGHEST TOTALS IN HILLS. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN
AS SNOW OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON AS LIFT INCREASES DRAMATICALLY. IN FACT...CROSS SECTIONS
OVER FAR INTERIOR SHOW GOOD SNOW GROWTH POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE LOWER LEVEL WARMING IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
INFLOW OFF OCEAN CAUSES AN EVENTUAL CHANGE TO RAIN TONIGHT.

THICKNESSES AND TEMPERATURE PROFILES CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT THIS
IS GOING TO BE A VERY SUBTLE EVENT...ONE WHICH WILL LIKELY DEPEND ON
SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION INTENSITY FOR RAIN VS SNOW...
AND IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE THAT WE HAVE SNOW FALLING AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS WITH RAIN OR A MIX IN VALLEYS.

FARTHER S...IT SHOULD START AS RAIN THIS MORNING FROM HARTFORD TO
WORCESTER AND BOSTON WITH SNOW OR A MIX IN HILLS. INCREASING NE FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD COOL LOWER LEVELS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A
RAIN/SLEET MIX ALONG MUCH OF THIS CORRIDOR...WITH POSSIBILITY OF
SLEET/SNOW IN HILLS. ANY ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE AN INCH OR LESS
HOWEVER.

HIGH WINDS...
WE WILL EXTEND HIGH WIND WARNINGS TO E MA COASTLINE AND BUFFER
WARNING AREA WITH WIND ADVISORIES FROM PROVIDENCE INTO WESTERN
SUBURBS OF BOSTON.

VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF NEARLY 80KT WILL MOVE THROUGH SE NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS...ALTHOUGH STRONGLY INVERTED...
INDICATE 50 TO 55KT GUSTS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON COASTAL PLAIN AND
ESPECIALLY ON CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. MAIN TIME FRAME FOR ONSET OF
STRONGEST WINDS IS NOW A BIT SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST...MORE
LIKE 10 PM TONIGHT TO 4 AM MON. GUSTS TO 40KT ARE EXPECTED JUST
AWAY FROM COAST...BUT WE WILL NOT EXTEND ADVISORIES ANY FARTHER
INLAND AS LOW LEVEL WINDS DECREASE DRAMATICALLY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOWING SOME CONSENSUS...BUT STILL HAVE
DIFFERENCES AS WOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THE SUITE. EVEN WITH THE LOW
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER W...AS DEPICTED VERY WELL BY THE GFS AND...TO A
LESSER DEGREE...THE NAM/WRF...APPEARS THAT THE CANADIAN REGIONAL AND
GLOBAL GEM MODEL HAS LEANED IN THIS DIRECTION AS WELL. USED A BLEND
OF THE RGEM/GGEM AND GFS FOR THE EARLY PORTION OF THE FORECAST...
THEN LEANED BACK TOWARD THE GFS. GOOD OVERALL PATTERN SETUP...I.E.
THE UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW CAPTURING THE SURFACE FEATURE AND
SPINNING IT OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST THROUGH ABOUT MID
WEEK...THEN MOVES EAST HAS BEEN IN THE CARDS FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW.

ON MONDAY...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO EVER SO SLOWLY IMPROVE. THE STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET WILL SHIFT EAST BY MIDDAY MONDAY...SO EXPECT WINDS TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL STILL HAVE RAINFALL...BUT
INTENSITY WILL BE MUCH LESS AS AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL HEADS INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. APPEARS THAT THE ACTUAL LOW CENTER WILL DO A
LOOP OVER SOUTHWESTERN NEW ENGLAND DURING MONDAY...THEN SHIFT OFF
THE LONG ISLAND COAST BY MONDAY NIGHT. THERE COULD EVEN BE A PERIOD
OF ONLY DRIZZLE OR SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST BY NIGHTFALL.

MONDAY NIGHT...LOW ROTATE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST AROUND
THE UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF SYSTEM. EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN OR
SHOWERS...WHICH ACTUALLY MAY SHIFT OUT OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BACK
ACROSS THE REGION. WITH A SYSTEM THIS LARGE...WEAK SHORT WAVES WILL
TEND TO ROTATE AROUND THE LARGE CIRCULATION...SO SOME PLACES MAY SEE
SOME BRIEF HEAVIER DOWNPOURS MAINLY OVER EASTERN AREAS...WHILE
OTHERS MAY ONLY SEE DRIZZLE AND PERIODS OF RAIN.

AS THE LOW ROTATES OFF THE COAST...SURFACE WINDS ACROSS INLAND AREAS
WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY...SO COULD SEE MIXED RAIN/SNOW OR EVEN
PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW. TEMPS WILL HOVER CLOSE TO OR JUST BELOW
FREEZING...SO WILL PROBABLY ONLY SEE LIGHT SLUSHY ACCUMULATIONS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WORCESTER HILLS...THE
MONADNOCKS AND THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...PRETTY MUCH A REPEAT OF MON/MON NIGHT.
THE LOW ACTUALLY APPEARS TO DUMBBELL AS IT ROTATES NEAR OR SE OF THE
BENCHMARK. WILL STILL CONTINUE WITH MAINLY SHOWERS RATHER THAN
STEADY RAINFALL...AND THE CHANCES OF THAT WILL EVER SO GRADUALLY
DECREASE TO THE SCATTERED VARIETY. AGAIN...WILL SEE SOME MIXING WITH
SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHTTIME.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE EXPANSIVE CIRCULATION AROUND THE
LOW...EVEN THOUGH IT CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THIS
TIMEFRAME...WILL KEEP ITS INFLUENCE ACROSS THE REGION WITH A LOT OF
CLOUDS AND A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMPS MAY EVER SO SLOWLY
START TO CREEP UPWARD. THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE
40S...BUT BY THURSDAY...THERE MAY BE SOME 50 DEGREE OR SO READINGS
AS THE STRONG APRIL SUN TRIES TO WORK THROUGH THE CLOUDS.  DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY...IT APPEARS THAT THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOWS
CIRCULATION WILL FINALLY SHIFT FAR ENOUGH EASTWARD ...ALONG WITH A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT TRIES TO SHIFT EAST OUT OF THE GREAT
LAKES...THAT SOME PLACES MAY ACTUALLY HAVE A DRY DAY.

BEYOND THURSDAY...GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT...WITH SUNSHINE INCREASING BY
THE END OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...NOT A WHOLE LOT OF CONFIDENCE WITH
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE MODELS ARE NOTORIOUS FOR TRYING TO
SHIFT VERTICALLY STACKED WEATHER SYSTEMS EASTWARD TOO QUICKLY...BUT
ITS NICE TO THINK THERE MAY BE SOME SUN FOR THE END OF SCHOOL
VACATION WEEK. WITH THE STRONG SUN THAT WILL HOPEFULLY BREAK
THROUGH...TEMPERATURES WILL RESPOND AS WELL...WITH A FEW 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE BY WEEKS END. THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS DO
SUPPORT THIS.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z-06Z/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TODAY AT ALL TERMINALS AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS MORNING DEEPENS AND MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD. THE CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
VICINITY OF NEW YORK CITY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MEANDER
OVER LONG ISLAND OR LONG ISLAND SOUND THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY.

CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR THIS MORNING...THEN ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER
FURTHER TO IFR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THEY WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH
TONIGHT. VSBYS WILL DETERIORATE AS WELL AS HEAVY PRECIPITATION MOVES
INTO THE REGION BY LATE MORNING LASTING THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE
BOS...PVD...BDL TERMINALS WILL SEE MAINLY RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES.
HOWEVER...SOME SLEET AND SOME WET SNOWFLAKES WILL PROBABLY MIX IN
FROM TIME TO TIME...MAINLY AT BOS...THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ORH AND MHT THE TAFS GET A LITTLE BIG TRICKIER AS MORE IN THE
WAY OF MIXED PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED. EXPECT A MIX OF
RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET TO DEVELOP AT THESE LOCATIONS THIS
MORNING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. THE MIXTURE OF
PRECIP WILL GO OVER TO ALL RAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE A BIG ISSUE...MAINLY COASTAL TERMINALS. EXPECT LOW
LEVEL JET TO REALLY START TO ROAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND PEAK OUT
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT LOOKS AS THROUGH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF
AROUND 70 KNOTS WILL BE QUITE LIKELY BETWEEN 1 AND 2 KFT FOR BOS
SOUTHWARD TO PVD AS WELL AS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...CREATING QUITE A
BIT OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND MECHANICAL TURBULENCE. AT THE
SFC...EXPECT EASTERLY WINDS AT THESE TERMINALS TO PEAK THIS EVENING
AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 KNOTS. SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED AT ACK.

&&

.MARINE...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE ON ALL WATERS TODAY AND ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS MORNING
DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTHEASTWARD TODAY. THE CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF NEW YORK CITY AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...THEN MEANDER OVER LONG ISLAND OR LONG ISLAND SOUND THROUGH
MUCH OF MONDAY.

STORM WARNINGS ARE POSTED FOR ALL WATERS WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 50
KNOTS EXPECTED LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOW PROBABILITY OF A FEW 65
KT GUSTS OVER THE OUTER WATERS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
REACH THEIR PEAK TONIGHT...WITH 20+ FT EXPECTED. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 30 FOOTERS OUT THERE LATER TONIGHT. SEAS AND
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT IT WILL TAKE SEVERAL DAYS
FOR CONDITIONS TO BECOME SAFE FOR SMALL CRAFT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN POSTED FOR ALL ZONES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO MONDAY...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM NE
CT INTO RI AND MUCH OF EASTERN MA WHERE SOME 5 INCH TOTALS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

NERFC CONTINGENCY FORECAST RUN SAT EVENING INDICATED THIS AMOUNT OF
RAIN WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING ON SEVERAL MAINSTEM RIVERS...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING ON SOME OF SMALLER RIVERS IN THE
MERRIMACK BASIN AS WELL AS PAWTUXET RIVER IN RI. FASTER RESPONDERS
COULD REACH FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY LARGER RIVERS
MON.

SINCE MOST OF THIS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL WITHIN A 12 HOUR
PERIOD...WE ALSO NEED TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING AS WELL.

&&

.TIDES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG ENTIRE RI/MA COASTLINE
FOR HIGH TIDE CYCLE TONIGHT. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.
00Z MODELS CONTINUE TREND FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS SO WE ONLY NEED TO
MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM ON THE SOUTH COAST AND BETWEEN
10 AND 11 PM ON THE EASTERN MA COAST. STRONG EASTERLY INFLOW COMBINED
WITH PRESSURE FALLS OF NEARLY 30 MB SHOULD RESULT IN ABOUT A 2 FOOT
STORM SURGE ON THE E COAST...AND IT MAY EXCEED 3 FEET ALONG PARTS OF
THE SOUTH COAST...ESPECIALLY NARRAGANSETT BAY IF WINDS TURN SE AS
EXPECTED WITH FURTHER INLAND TRACK. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND WAVE
ACTION FROM 20 FT SEAS WILL BE MAJOR FACTOR TO COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG EAST COAST. WAVE ACTION WILL BE LESS ALONG THE S COAST BUT
SURGE WILL HAVE GREATER CONTRIBUTION...ESPECIALLY SOUTH COASTAL BAYS.

NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE MON MORNING MAY ALSO BE AT RISK FOR COASTAL
FLOODING...MAINLY ACROSS E COASTAL MA AS HIGH SEAS UP TO 15 FEET WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE INTO MON MORNING AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL REMAIN
HIGHER THAN NORMAL. NEXT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER A COASTAL FLOOD
WATCH FOR MON MORNING HIGH TIDE.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES REMAIN QUITE HIGH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
WHILE WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...PERSISTENT NE FLOW MAY STILL
PRODUCE MINOR SPLASHOVER FOR SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE CYCLES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     CTZ002>004.

MA...FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     MAZ002>024-026.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR MAZ002-003-008.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY
     FOR MAZ007-015-016-019>024.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     MAZ006-013-014-017-018.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
     EDT TONIGHT FOR MAZ020-021.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
     EDT TONIGHT FOR MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024.

NH...FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     NHZ011-012-015.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR NHZ011-015.

RI...FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     RIZ001>008.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY
     FOR RIZ005>008.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     RIZ001>004.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
     EDT TONIGHT FOR RIZ002-004>008.

MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     ANZ230>237-250-254-255.

&&

SHORT TERM...JWD
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...EKSTER
MARINE...EKSTER
HYDROLOGY...JWD
TIDES...JWD
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 3:27 AM EDT, 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MAZ002-003-008-NHZ011-015-161100-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
   FLOOD WATCH

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ020-021-RIZ005>008-161100-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
   HIGH WIND WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-161100-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   HIGH WIND WARNING
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ006-013-014-017-018-RIZ001-003-161100-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS
AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   WIND ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RIZ002-004-161100-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
   WIND ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ002>004-MAZ004-005-009>012-026-NHZ012-161100-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-161100-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
327 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 8:35 AM EDTCoastal Flood WatchBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington8 hr
Apr 15, 4:40 PM EDTCoastal Flood WarningBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington19 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2007Wind Advisories in Rhode Island, 2007Wind Advisories in New Hampshire, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.