Blizzard Warning 3, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK42 PAFG 182318
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
218 PM AST THU JAN 18 2007

AKZ213-190300-
/X.NEW.PAFG.BS.Y.0004.070119T0300Z-070119T1500Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070119T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
218 PM AST THU JAN 18 2007

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A BLOWING
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST FRIDAY. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST.

NORTHEAST WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE
TO REDUCE VISIBILITY TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...BUT
WINDS TO 35 MPH AND VISIBILITY AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES
WILL CONTINUE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG
WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED
DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

$$

000 
WWAK42 PAFG 190253
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
553 PM AST THU JAN 18 2007

AKZ213-191500-
/X.UPG.PAFG.BS.Y.0004.070119T0300Z-070119T1500Z/
/X.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070119T1500Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
553 PM AST THU JAN 18 2007

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST FRIDAY ON THE 
BERING STRAIT COAST...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING ON THE BERING STRAIT COAST IS NOW EXTENDED
UNTIL 6 AM AST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING FOR SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND AND THE BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

NORTHEAST WINDS TO 45 MPH WITH SNOW AND NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN
BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BERING STRAIT COAST THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. THE WIND AND BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH FRIDAY.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE ANY TRAVEL
OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

000 
WWAK42 PAFG 191043
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
143 AM AST FRI JAN 19 2007

AKZ213-191145-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070119T1500Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
143 AM AST FRI JAN 19 2007

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED ON THE BERING STRAIT 
COAST...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING. 

SOME GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...
BUT CONDITIONS ARE NOT DOWN TO BLIZZARD LEVELS.

$$

ES JAN 07

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
310 AM AST THU JAN 18 2007

.DISCUSSION...

ALOFT...A MEAN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES
MOVING THROUGH. A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE
BERING SEA. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON HANDLING
OF THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ECMWF
AND GFS SOLUTIONS BECOME INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE ECMWF MOVING THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
EASTWARD TO AROUND 155W BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. GFS
HOLDS THE TROUGH STATIONARY OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA/EASTERN
BERING/WEST COAST.

SURFACE...
A MODERATE LOW SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOFS WILL WEAKEN VERY
SLOWLY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOVING TO ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH
OF NUNIVAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A MODERATE TO STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MARINE ZONE 210 WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND...WEAKENING ONLY VERY GRADUALLY. MODELS ARE IN REASONABLY
GOOD AGREEMENT HERE.

A SERIES OF 4 LOWS WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA INTO THE WEEKEND. GFS/WRF ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT
ON THE HANDLING OF THESE SYSTEMS...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES IN POSITION AND CENTRAL PRESSURE. THE ECMWF IS HAVING
SERIOUS PROBLEMS...SHOWING POOR CONSISTENCY BETWEEN RUNS. GFS/WRF
ARE SHOWING FAIRLY GOOD RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY ON THE FIRST 2 LOWS.
ON THE NEXT 2 SYSTEMS...THE GFS APPEARS TO HAVE THE BEST RUN TO
RUN CONTINUITY.

PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR MAY SEE A LIGHT
DUSTING OF SNOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FIRST LOW
MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE INTERIOR...WEAKENING INTO A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.

GALE FORCE NORTH WINDS OVER ZONES PKZ210 AND AKZ213 WILL DIMINISH
TO BRISK WIND TONIGHT...BRISK WIND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. FOR AKZ213...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WILL BE CHANGED TO
BLIZZARD WARNING...BOTH GAMBELL AND TIN CITY SHOWING VISIBILITY
1/4 MILE PREDOMINATING.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

&&

RF JAN 07