Storm Warning 30, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 310326 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA.,.CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
550 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-311500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 963 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL WILL MOVE TO 300 NM WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 996 MB THU AFTERNOON. A 984 MB LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR AND STRENGTHEN TO 965 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-311500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-311500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 36 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
27 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-311500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE
WATERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE
FREE WATERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.   

$$

PKZ165-311500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-311500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 70 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-311500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
550 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 65 KT
IN THE EVENING BECOMING 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-311500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-311500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 34 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-311500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-311500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-311500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE
WATERS. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-311500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE NAM MODEL IS PREFERRED OVER THE GFS MODEL THIS MORNING. THE GFS
IS MOVING THE NEXT LOW OUT CENTRAL PACIFIC A LITTLE TOO FAST AND
KEEPS IT A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH OF THE NAM POSITION. NAM IS IN BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH UKMET AND NOGAPS THAN GFS.

UPPER AIR...
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE UPPER LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO SIBERIA WEDNESDAY WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC. THERE WILL BE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE POSITION OF THE
300 MB JET. STRONG SOUTH FLOW INTO MAINLAND ALASKA WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURE ABOVE NORMAL.

AT SURFACE...
EAST SIDE...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MORE
RAIN AND WIND WILL MOVE BACK INTO KODIAK TONIGHT AND MAY SPREAD INTO
THE LOWER INLET WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOCAL GUST WINDS THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WEST SIDE...
A SERIES OF LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING 70 TO 90 MPH OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE FIRST LOW MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA AND WEAKENS.

THE NEXT STORM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A SIMILAR PATH THROUGH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT BE AS
STRONG AS THE LAST ONE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONES 155 161 AND 181.
         FLOOD WARNING FOR ZONE 121.
MARINE...STORM 165 180
         GALE 130 132 138 150 155 160 170 171 172 176 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM JAN 07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
442 PM AST TUE JAN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 50 W TOGIAK             58.93N 161.98W
01/30/2007  E96 MPH          PKZ180             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CAPE NEWENHAM REPORTED A GUST TO 96 MPH EARLY THIS
            AFTERNOON.

0356 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MEKORYUK                60.37N 166.28W
01/30/2007  M78 MPH                             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            MEKORYUK ON NUNIVAK ISLAND RECORDED A WIND GUST TO 78 MPH
            THIS AFTERNOON.

0153 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST COLD BAY                55.22N 162.74W
01/30/2007  M83 MPH                             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            COLD BAY RECORDED A WIND GUST TO 83 MPH EARLY THIS
            AFTERNOON.

0156 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST KING COVE               55.06N 162.30W
01/30/2007  M84 MPH                             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            KING COVE RECORDED A WIND GUST TO 84 MPH EARLY THIS
            AFTERNOON.

0256 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST KIPNUK                  59.92N 164.10W
01/30/2007  M82 MPH                             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            KIPNUK RECORDED A WIND GUST TO 82 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

0805 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 20 SE ANCHORAGE         60.97N 148.76W
01/29/2007  M84 MPH                             AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            MCHUGH CREEK RECORDED A WIND GUST TO 84 MPH YESTERDAY
            EVENING.

&&

DANG