Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 821

May 10, 20067 counties in Alabama; 16 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2006, 4:01 AM CDT for 7 counties in Alabama; 16 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2006, 4:01 AM CDT (09:01 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2006, 5:30 AM CDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Attala County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2006-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3836 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2006-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 158 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3836 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
547 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
15.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 100901
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100901 
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-101030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0820
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK...EXTREME NERN TX AND CNTRL/WRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 100901Z - 101030Z

WEATHER WATCHES MAY NEED TO BE REALIGNED ACROSS THE REGION BY 10Z OR
SO.

A SECONDARY MID-LEVEL IMPULSE WAS MOVING INTO WRN OK THIS MORNING
AND APPEARS TO BE LARGELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE TSTM CLUSTER MOVING
INTO CNTRL/SWRN OK AND WRN N TX.  MESOANALYSIS PLACES A COLD FRONT
ARCING FROM NWRN AR ACROSS SERN OK...THEN WWD ALONG THE RED RIVER
INTO THE VERNON TX AREA.  TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ALONG THIS
FRONT FROM NEAR FORT SMITH TO PARIS TX...AS THE UPSTREAM WAVE
APPROACHES THE REGION.

SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET HAS MAINTAINED A FLOW OF UNSTABLE PARCELS FROM N
TX INTO OK AND AR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN A LARGE HAIL THREAT.  MOREOVER...A 50-60 KT
MID-LEVEL JET ASSOCD WITH THE IMPULSE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES EMBEDDED WITHIN
LINEAR SEGMENTS.  THE LINES WILL TEND TO BOW AND PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS. 

THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK APPEARS TO BE ACROSS EXTREME NERN TX INTO
PARTS OF WRN AR...BUT THE SRN-MOST CELLS ACROSS WRN N TX/SWRN OK MAY
REMAIN POTENTIALLY SEVERE AS THEY MOVE INTO SWRN/SCNTRL OK.

..RACY.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

34739973 35449879 35539579 35679323 34439260 33419330
32989532 33189686

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Butler, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 13 more2 hr
May 10, 2:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 3 more55 min
May 10, 2:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Hale, Lamar and 5 more5 hr
May 10, 5:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler, Chilton and 30 more88 min
May 10, 6:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler, Chambers and 25 more6 hr
May 10, 8:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Greene, Lamar, Pickens, Tuscaloosa89 min
May 10, 9:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Hale and 12 more5 hr
May 10, 12:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 18 more84 min
May 10, 12:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 18 more5 hr
May 10, 12:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 11 more93 min
May 10, 1:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Choctaw and 26 more7 hr
May 10, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Clarke, Marengo, Sumter, Washington, Wilcox2 hr
May 10, 3:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Chambers, Lee, Macon, Russell2 hr
May 10, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Bolivar, Carroll, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada and 13 more7 hr
May 10, 6:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Leflore, Panola, Quitman and 5 more93 min
May 10, 10:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Franklin, Hinds and 19 more2 hr
May 10, 11:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBolivar, Coahoma, Humphreys, Leflore, Quitman, Sharkey and 3 more3 hr
May 10, 12:03 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah, Covington, Franklin and 21 more9 hr
May 10, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmite, Pike, Walthall, Wilkinson85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.