Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 721

May 2, 2006Seward County, Stevens County, Kansas; 12 counties in Oklahoma; 53 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 2, 2006, 2:22 PM CDT for Seward County, Stevens County, Kansas; 12 counties in Oklahoma; 53 counties in Texas. It was in force for 23 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2006, 2:22 PM CDT (19:22 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2006, 2:45 PM CDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 67 counties

Seward County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Howard County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Moore County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Sill, OK (KFSI), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Sill, OK at 12:00Z on 2006-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 186 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Sill, OK at 12:00Z on 2006-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
186 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-368 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1076 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 021922
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021922 
OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-021945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 PM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF W/NW TX INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...WRN OK AND
SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021922Z - 021945Z

ONE OR TWO TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE REQUIRED SOON ACROSS PARTS OF
W/NW TX NWD THROUGH THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND WRN OK/SWRN KS.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S/ CONTINUES TO
RETURN NWD THROUGH NW TX INTO ERN TX/OK PANHANDLES AND WRN OK...
ALONG/E OF THE DRY LINE.  LATEST VIS IMAGERY INDICATED CU HAS
DEVELOPED WITHIN DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER.  TCU RECENTLY FORMED
SE OF AMA INDICATIVE OF WEAKENING INHIBITION AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES
REACH CONVECTIVE VALUES AROUND 90 F.  INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT
AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE
LIKELIHOOD FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION.  VERY STRONG INSTABILITY
COMBINED WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR
DRY LINE AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT ROTATING
STORMS WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.

..PETERS.. 05/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

31540156 32960201 34910219 37240155 37199932 36159896
33469907 31339940

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cotton, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 3 more84 min
May 2, 12:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal, Creek and 21 more115 min
May 2, 1:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 28 more9 hr
May 2, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBryan, Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens8 hr
May 2, 3:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 32 more113 min
May 2, 7:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Cotton and 13 more97 min
May 2, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 10 more90 min
May 2, 2:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills8 hr
May 2, 5:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 10 more94 min
May 2, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more5 hr
May 2, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Carter, Comanche and 16 more90 min
May 2, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 25 more118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.